Spot the Differential

Promising Raphinha can exploit Digne absence as Leeds visit Everton

The Gameweek 10 deadline is now upon us which gives us the opportunity to have a look at some other differential options.

This time, we’ve got routes into Manchester City and Leeds United’s attacks, plus Manchester United’s defence.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Raphinha

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: eve | che | WHU | NEW | mun

Raphinha (£5.4m) has had to be patient since his deadline day move from Rennes, but finally made his first start against Arsenal last time out.

Operating on the right of Leeds United’s 4-1-4-1 setup, the Brazilian looked lively throughout. 

Though he lacked an end product, he showed his quality in flashes and provided some eye-catching moments, producing four shots, four penalty area touches and the highest expected assist (xA) total of any player on the pitch. It was an impressive full debut for the 23-year-old who saw out the full 90 minutes and almost capped the day with a late winner.

His performances in France certainly suggest he can thrive in England, as he helped Rennes to qualify for the Champions League last season, contributing a combined eight goals and assists in 22 Ligue 1 appearances. 

Whites head coach Marcelo Bielsa will know, of course, that he may be able to target Everton’s left-flank this weekend, knowing that Lucas Digne (£6.2m) will sit out after suffering an ankle ligament injury in training. That could mean the inexperienced Niels Nkounkou (£4.0m) steps into a defence which has now conceded two or more goals in six straight Premier League matches, which further boosts Raphinha’s appeal. 

Leeds could count themselves highly unlucky not to have scored against Arsenal last weekend, but will take encouragement from their performance. The signs are good though, and Raphinha should only get better as he settles into his new surroundings.

Raheem Sterling

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £11.5m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: BUR | FUL | mun | WBA | sou

England forward Raheem Sterling (£11.5m) has gone from strength-to-strength during his time at Manchester City, netting 31, 25 and 23 goals in his last three seasons.

He is yet to hit those heights this term, but has enjoyed a reasonably productive start, scoring five times in all competitions despite the Citizens’ well documented troubles in front of goal.

Against Olympiakos on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola made several tactical tweaks in an attempt to rejuvenate his faltering attack. The wingers, who played on their stronger footed sides, were positioned closer to Gabriel Jesus (£9.3m) with the full-backs providing the width. It resulted in them looking sharper than they have done in weeks, with Sterling providing the assist for Phil Foden’s (£6.5m) winner. 

We’ve seen the wingers playing on their natural sides in Europe on a couple of occasions now, is the Premier League next?

Saturday’s opponents Burnley were dealt a huge blow earlier this week with the news that influential keeper Nick Pope (£5.4m) looks set to miss out. With home games against Fulham and West Bromwich Albion to follow, either side of the Manchester derby, City now have the opportunity to kick start their season, and if they are to find that rhythm their assets have the potential to rack up huge individual hauls.

Sterling is an intriguing differential ahead of City’s fixture swing, and is perhaps an overlooked pick for the armband in Gameweek 10.

Alex Telles

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW10-14 fixtures: sou | whu | MCI | shu | LEE

After making his first Premier League start against West Bromwich Albion last weekend, Alex Telles (£5.5m) is at long last ready to make his debut in this column.

The Brazilian completed his move from Porto to Manchester United in the summer, but has had a stop-start beginning to his Old Trafford career after testing positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) last month.

However, the 27-year-old has now started back-to-back matches for his new club and impressed in both, particularly with his delivery from wide areas. Against the Baggies, Telles served up seven crosses in total, which was more than any other player on the pitch. He also had the second highest number of touches in the final third and registered two shots, which are encouraging numbers. 

He then built on that performance against Istanbul Basaksehir in midweek, which is where he really caught the eye. One of the standout performers on the night, Telles created four goalscoring chances and was instrumental in The Red Devils first two goals.

In the absence of Luke Shaw (£4.8m), Telles is expected to get an extended run in the starting XI, and could become a major asset down United’s left-flank. Given how focused they are down that side, he has the potential to be one of the best defensive assets in the game, and could be a huge differential for those willing to invest early.

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99. A FREE trial is now available during December.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

1,464 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Jack Burton
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    For a hit Rasford to KDB or Salah want Salah longterm but KDB next few are nice thanks in advance

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Really is too tight to call.

      1. Jack Burton
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        I know mate prob go KDB and captain the next 2 cheers and GL

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Then swap him in GW 12.

          1. Jack Burton
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Yeah thats the plan I think

    2. antis0cial
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Tough, kdb for next 2

      1. Jack Burton
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        I think so cheers and gl mate may your future be blessed with green arrows

  2. cnewman7
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    RMWCT?
    Missing player is Bruno but can't have them all.

    Martinez
    Cancelo Dias Justin
    KDB Salah Grealish Jota
    Vardy DCL Bamford

    Steer Soucek James Dallas

    1. Cojiro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Justin will be replaced soon, so wouldn't pick him

      1. Bob.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        This

      2. DROP IT LIKE IT'S HART
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Perreira is back?

  3. unitednations
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Best moves here with 1ft and 4m

    Martinez
    Chilwell James Saiss* -- Lamptey Mitchell
    Son Bruno Barnes Grealish --- Burke
    Watkins Kane DCL

    A: Saiss + Barnes >> Lewis + KDB (-4). Save in gw11 and do Mitchell/Bruno/Kane >> Robbo/Salah/Bamford (-4) in gw12

    B: Saiss + Son >> Dias + KDB (-4). Save in gw11 and do Barnes + Kane/Bruno >> Salah + Jota/Bamford in gw12

  4. Dark Side Of The Loon!
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Play two:

    A) Dallas vs Everton
    B) Coufal vs Villa
    C) James vs Spurs

    Thanks!

    1. LOLarov
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      bench Dallas

  5. Riggs
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    A) Zaha OUT > Jota / Ziyech / F. Torres
    B) Robbo and Zaha OUT > KWP and Bruno IN -4 (After that I will be able to swap KDB OUT > Salah IN with only 1 move and thus far keeping Son, Kane, DCL, Grealish - they are in good form)
    C) Other moves

  6. JJO
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Any chance Pva starts tonight in more attacking position and Mitchell displace him at LB?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Low chance

      1. JJO
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Ok thanks
        So he goes to that 3rd bench spot

  7. Gudjohnsen
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Son to KDB (C) for -4?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      No.

      1. HVT
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Why not???
        Surely KDB out scores Son by 4 over the next 2 and is C material?

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Well, you're selling the best player in FPL at the moment, someone who has scored in the "tough fixtures", 2 against UTD (18 points) 1 against City (10 points) vs someone who's scraping the barrel. Then you add in the fact you're doing it for a loss of points.

        2. Pumpy Pro
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          You underestimate the power of the Son my friend

    2. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Given KDB's recent comments, I think he'll spend time on the bench v Fulham, to be fit for the ManU game the following week.

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        But he is not playing any more European games as City have qualified and should finish first?

        Can't he manage one game a week?

        1. ClassiX
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          I think the problem is City have 11 games between now and Jan 2nd across 3 competitions - tough to predict which games each player will be rested but one must assume KDB plays in the tougher fixtures. Also, in terms of the CL - you need to build and maintain winning momentum - not sure Pep is willing to easily lose a CL game.

  8. RED_ARMY
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Werner to Vardy (C) (got KDB as cap currently):
    a) yay
    b) nay

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Nay for me

    2. IRBOX ⚽
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Absolutely not

    3. Westfield Irons ⭐️
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      yay - then switch to Kun v FUL in GW11

    4. HVT
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      So much negativity on here for Vardy, go for it.

    5. Original - Wolves Ay We
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      A

    6. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      A

    7. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Neigh.

    8. Pumpy Pro
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Yep. Ignore everyone. People banging on about stats where Vardy is involved are playing the game wrong. He could blank as could the rest, but he could easily put 3 past that defence

  9. Dave Dreamer
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Team A

    Leno
    James, Diaz, Cancelo
    Jota, Bruno, Son, Salah
    DCL, Vardy, Bamford

    Team B

    Mendy
    Bellerin, Robertson, Cancelo
    Grealish, Jota, Bruno, Son, Salah
    DCL, Wilson

    How important is Vardy? He allows a move to Aguerro, or we could spread funds.

    1. Westfield Irons ⭐️
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Team A and agree re Aguero in GW11 - worthy plan

  10. Mikey44
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Start Mitchell or Kilman? Is it safe to start Mitchell and then Kilman comes in if he doesn't play?

    1. Dark Side Of The Loon!
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      That's what I am doing. Starting Mitchell. Do not know who the other two should be. Have these choices, need to pick two:

      A) Dallas
      B) James
      C) Coufal

    2. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      That's fine unless Mitchell comes in off the bench.

    3. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      I’d just start Kilman, it’s a close call anyway so why take the risk of a cameo?

  11. Oscarrr17
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Really stuck on my transfers this week any help appreciated.

    Thinking Robertson and Lookman out for either,
    A - Walker and Jota
    B - Bruno and Nkounkou

    Team is
    Martinez
    Robertson James Dallas Masuaku Lamptey
    Sterling Salah Grealish Son Looman
    DCL Bamford Brewster

    1. maditass
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      I personally wouldn't remove robbo.

  12. Cojiro
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 2 days ago

    Who scores more over next few weeks?

    A) Cancelo, 4.5 mid, Vardy (-4)
    Or
    B) Bench fodder defender, Jota, Jesus

    1. NoThomasNoPartey18
        2 months, 2 days ago

        A

    2. DA Minnion
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Very interesting game week coming up. Captain will be crucial. It's party time.

    3. Fuddled FC
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Which option?

      a) J. Rod > Jota
      b) Mane > Salah
      c) save

    4. Dele
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      So many hits!

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        To lose the best players.

    5. Original - Wolves Ay We
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      A) Do nothing
      B) Ziyech to Sterling (-4)
      C) Ziyech to Salah and Zouma to KWP (-8)

      Tempted by Sterling (b) or getting in Salah early (c)?

      1. Rasping Drive
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        You certainly love a hit, I’ll give you that!

        I assume you can’t afford KDB?

    6. Disturbed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Watkins or bamford? Own grealish.

      1. Gudjohnsen
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Bamford

      2. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        B

      3. antis0cial
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Bam

    7. applebonkers
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      long time no post (no one cares) but wanted to share this 3 act horror story.

      https://i.ibb.co/LRqGXbc/horror-story.png

      1. Original - Wolves Ay We
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        No wonder it flopped. 😀

      2. ClassiX
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        In future, please post these moves in advance,so we know what not to do... 😉

    8. Gudjohnsen
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      A. Kane to Vardy (c) for -4
      B. Son to KDB (C) for -4
      C. Bruno (C)

      1. Stram Dunk
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        A

      2. Bob.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        C

    9. Buck The Trent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Would you do Ziyech to Salah for -4?

      1. Original - Wolves Ay We
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Only if you could be priced out getting Salah next game week.

      2. KDB4PREZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Yeah

    10. gellinmagellan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 2 days ago

      Play Soucek or Adams?

      1. KDB4PREZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Adams

      2. Il Capitano
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Adams

      3. Atimis
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Hamez Reguilon to Sterling Cancelo -4?

        Would (c) Sterling next week.

      4. KDB4PREZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 2 days ago

        Repost”
        Any help/advice be great team.

        Martinez
        Chilly Semedo Dallas (Lamptey,3.9)
        Son Bruno Rashy Grealish Ziyech
        Kane bambam (Brewster)
        1.4 itb

        A)Kane>Vardy (C) +Play Dallas
        B) Kane&Lamptey>Vardy&Cancelo -4
        C) Kane&Rashy&Lmaptey>KDB&Vardy&4.5

      5. shiraz
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Which gk to start?
          A. McCarthy (vs Man U)
          B. Ryan (vs Liv)

          1. antis0cial
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            A, can't see cs for either

        • Sgt Frank Drebin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Thoughts on Wilson vs Watkins vs Bamford? All great options to be honest. Wilson is the best player out of the 3 but plays for the worst team (in terms of attacking potential). Fixtures are better than Leeds' but slightly worse than AV's. Watkins plays for quite attacking team and the fixtures are great. Leeds are unpredictible and doubt they will stay deep even vs tough opponents. Tough choice...

          1. EgyptianKing
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Exactly my dilemma at the moment ahah

          2. Rasping Drive
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            I have Watkins but in your position I would probably go Bamford.

          3. FourLokoLeipzig
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Not Wilson. Probably Bamford if you have Grealish, Watkins if you don’t

            1. Sgt Frank Drebin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 2 days ago

              Why not Wilson?

              1. FourLokoLeipzig
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 2 days ago

                I owned him through his loooooonnnnng slump when he played in a far more attacking team than Newcastle. I don’t think he’s a bad option, but Watkins or Bamford would be in my team if I were playing 3 up front

        • wilson007
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Martinez
          Cancelo Chilwell Robbo
          KDB Bruno(c) Grealish Ziyech Son
          DCL Watkins

          Forster Brewster Lewis Bernardo

          1FT 0.0ITB

          G2g?

        • Dave Dreamer
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Foden a good shout for these fixtures?

          1. Sgt Frank Drebin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            No. Unless you're sure he will start in like at least 3/4 of the games.

            1. Sgt Frank Drebin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 2 days ago

              For that price I'd rather have Jota.

              1. Dave Dreamer
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 2 days ago

                planning on both 😮

        • EgyptianKing
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Best 6.5 max forward for next 3 to 4 GWs?

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Wilson has the fixtures.

            1. EgyptianKing
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 2 days ago

              Thank you!

          2. Silecro
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Wilson by a country mile

            1. EgyptianKing
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 2 days ago

              Cheers mate

          3. Who are all Lukakus
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Bamford for sure

          4. FourLokoLeipzig
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Watkins or Bamford

        • Silecro
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          Which one to play?

          A) Coufal vs AVL home (also have Martinez and Grealish in first 11)
          B) Dallas vs EVE away (have DCL)

          Cheers!

          1. Who are all Lukakus
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            Having double Villa or DCL has nothing to do with Coufal / Dallas comparison. Independent events.
            Imo Dallas, he was very attacking last game

        • ludaslol
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 2 days ago

          I hate the look of my team and I'm currently on a -4 already. Is there any hits worth atleast considering? I don't like the double up spurs for instance.

          Martinez
          Robbo Chillwell Balbuena
          Jota Grealish Bruno Son
          Kane DCL Werner

          Lamptey (suspended), Fergusson, Zambo

          1. Rasping Drive
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 2 days ago

            What trade have you already made this week?

            1. Rasping Drive
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 2 days ago

              *trades