Metrics

Top 10k managers not yet sold on Man City assets as Gameweek 10 splits captaincy

The Gameweek 10 captaincy debate looks destined to cause a drastic re-shaping of the top 10,000 Fantasy Premier League managers.

That’s because there is no standout candidate for the armband this week, according to analysis on LiveFPL.net.

Rather than one or two individuals breaking away from the chasing pack, there is an unprecedented five-way split of similarly backed captains – which is sure to create serious rank movement at this level.

As you can see, Jamie Vardy (£10.2m) was the top 10k’s favourite for the armband ahead of a favourable home meeting with Fulham’s naive and obliging defence.

However, only 21.1% were happy backing the Leicester man, the rest perhaps swayed by the disparity between his home and away form (only one of his 10 attacking returns have come at the King Power Stadium this season) or maybe enticed by the array of other options.

Mohamed Salah‘s (£12.2m) midweek appearance, a first outing since returning from self-isolation, has convinced 16.1% of the top 10k that he can be trusted against Brighton.

Prior to his positive coronavirus (COVID-19) test, the Egyptian had returned in four of his previous five Premier League appearances.

But the recent double-figure haul from Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.8m), combined with Leeds’ recent drubbings, means that a further 15.7% chose the Everton man as captain.

Meanwhile, 14.7% went with away-day specialist Bruno Fernandes (£10.8m), with double-figure hauls in every road-trip this season and Harry Kane (£11.0m), despite facing Chelsea’s improved defence, still managed to attract 14.5% of the top 10k’s captain armbands.

The impact of such a concertinaed captaincy spread on effective ownership is fascinating too.

It means no player can boast a figure in this department over 100% for Gameweek 10, Calvert-Lewin going closest with 96.3%.

Once again, tough fixtures have not triggered a flash sale of Spurs assets among the top 10k, Kane and Son Heung-min (£9.5m) sitting inside the top three for effective ownership at this level.

What these figures mean is that Gameweek 10 is the perfect week to have tried something different, considering that going against the so-called “crowd” carries considerably less risk than usual. As a result, making such a decision carries a higher chance of bigger green arrows if successful.

It is particularly telling that no Manchester City player featured in the top five captains at this level, despite a favourable match-up with Burnley.

The Clarets have lost their last three trips to the Etihad Stadium (in all competitions), every time by a 5-0 scoreline.

If Kevin De Bruyne (£11.6m) benefits from Saturday afternoon’s outing, he will reward only a small number of captainers in the top 10k.

Just 6.6% of them felt confident enough to hand the Belgian their armband, while only 1.1% captained Raheem Sterling (£11.5m).

In fact, not a single Manchester City player appears in the template at this level yet, despite Pep Guardiola’s men embarking on their appealing fixture run this Gameweek.

After hosting Burnley, Manchester City welcome Fulham, West Bromwich Albion and Newcastle to the Etihad Stadium between now and Gameweek 15, but only 19.5% of the top 10k are invested in De Bruyne, the Citizens most popular player among such managers.

Son, Fernandes remain the most fashionable premium options in midfield while Salah and Diogo Jota (£6.7m) are the movers and shakers, replacing Wilfried Zaha (£7.3m) and James Rodríguez (£7.9m) in the template.

Unsurprisingly, there was much less fluctuation among the defenders and forwards.

Calvert-Lewin has overtaken Kane as the most popular striker in the top 10k, now owned by 80% of them while the Spurs man saw his backing drop by a margin of 10 percentage points. 

Patrick Bamford (£6.1m) holds onto the third-place spot meaning Vardy remains outside the podium for top 10k ownership.

Meanwhile, the top-five defenders remain unchanged, with minimal shifts in top 10k ownership.

Just 23% of the managers in this rank bracket have gone chipless thus far in the campaign while 46.4% have deployed exactly one.

Interestingly, 2.3% of them have already exhausted their entire supply.

Once again, the Wildcard was the most popular chip for the latest Gameweek although it was used sparingly compared to the rest of the top 10k.

With 2.9% going for the Free Hit, 3.7% pulled the trigger on brand new squads for Gameweek 10.

Interestingly, those playing the Wildcard at this level have largely templated themselves to the overall selection picture, as you can see a large number of overlaps.

Despite the tougher fixtures, Son and Kane still feature heavily in these squads, as do Salah and Jota while João Cancelo (£5.5m) and Vardy are the big exceptions to the main template.

Statistics taken from LiveFPL.net.

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865 Comments Post a Comment
  1. komodosam
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Oh man, so who sold Wilson?

    1. wantsharptv
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      I brought him in

    2. mrelpea
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 days ago

      I did...decided to keep Watkins instead

  2. Dirty Harry
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Wilson continues to bury me further down. Wait I'm so far down it doesn't even matter anymore

  3. Bury94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Get in Wilson, great start to the weekend. Felt destined for a 0-0!

  4. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 9 days ago

    Wilson has some great fixtures coming up

    1. Right In The Stanchion
        3 months, 9 days ago

        He’s been working excellent since signing for Newcastle. Could get 25 goals if stays fit for the season.

        1. Right In The Stanchion
            3 months, 9 days ago

            *Been an

      • ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Wow - anyone see the end to the Super League Grand Final?

        1. FourLokoLeipzig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          The whole game was amazing, and that finish was something else. Definitely glad I tuned into that instead of the footy tonight!

      • Zim0
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        I know who my GW14 captain is now

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          GW12 too.

      • HippY
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Need to hope and pray this week, missed the deadline :/

        Wanted KDB as captain but instead it's Bruno....more worrying is Brewster(VC)

      • Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Who did the Joelinton mocking stats post on twitter?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Neale probably.

          1. Pukki Party
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Cheers

      • TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        LMS safety score currently -3

        https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

      • Poison Apple
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 9 days ago

        Was flipping between bam n wilson for thr transfer n settled for the former.. thats a great start...

        1. Wılly
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Easy to say after one game but Bamford hasn't even played yet

      • Right In The Stanchion
          3 months, 9 days ago

          So glad I don’t own a palace goalkeeper or defender

        • Bruce Lee
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          Mitchell out the team and Palace crumble... coincidence?

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            No Zaha

        • Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 9 days ago

          GK suggestions please.

          Have Guaita. "Anyone else" is an acceptable answer, but want to make it worth it. No doubt won't take that long to pay off at this rate...

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Areola?

            1. The Knights Template
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              At a pinch.

              1. Bojam
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Like what you did there lol

            2. Hazz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Wish I'd got him in for Leicester.

          2. lordkippe
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Would reccomend Forster. Not playing but gives you some cash ITB and you know what you get! A big fat 0!

            1. Hazz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Already have him. Wish he played 😆

          3. lordkippe
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Kepa?

          4. Leif Erikson-Formerly of La…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            McCarthy has done the job for me.

            1. Hazz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Would you believe I started with him before a dreaded GW3 wildcard.

              May beg him to let me return.

          5. Trilly
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Got Guaita in for GW5 perfect run of games to get at least a couple of clean sheets. Here we are 5 weeks later with a lovely average of 2 points per gameweek.

            Worst transfer I’ve made in my four seasons of playing this game.

          6. LarryDuff
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Shay Given?

        • Vazza
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Feeling so bored.. Don’t know what to do.. ?

            1. The Knights Template
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Wilson in

          • Rash
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            For all his endeavour PVA has been a nightmare signing for me

            1. camarozz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Same here. Il give him West Brom then cut my loses.

            2. KennyKickIt127
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Likewise.... he could easily have had an assist or even a goal tonight...which would have been boosted by the clean sheet and 3 BAPS...but as has been the case too many times, the worst possible outcome happens!

              1. HuttonDressedasLahm
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                2020

          • Mile Plankton
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Half of my efing ML owns Wilson. For fecks sake. Guaita a$$hole
            Feel like GW from nightmare started with that CS gone.

            1. noquarternt
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              What a nice post

          • ChickenTikkaMoSalah
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            So close to brining in Wilson for -4 🙁

            1. The Knights Template
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Salty

            2. Forever In Our Shadow
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Coulda shoulda woulda.

          • camarozz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Frm 9 to 1 pt in less than a minute. Damn u PVA

            1. KennyKickIt127
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Same here... story of the FPL season so far for me!

          • Leif Erikson-Formerly of La…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Keeper cleanie wiped isn't the end of the world - Least important points on the pitch.

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              From 10 to 2 hurts.

              1. Hazz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Especially when it's happened three times.

            2. noquarternt
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              ‘They all count’

            3. Trophé Mourinho
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Keeper points can make a big difference in tight league positions, people always under estimate the importance of a good keeper and typically set n forget or give them way too long.
              Yes its hard to judge form with a keeper, and it could be the defence not the keepers fault.

              But looking at Guaitas returns since GW2, which is what like 15 points or something total, if any other player in your team performed that badly they would be out after 3 GWs.

              Fab for instance is 24 points better off in total, 24 points for the same price is a big difference (plus Guaita is one game ahead)

              1. Hazz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Yes you're correct. A few extra points for your GK every week really makes a difference & can be a boom when the CS comes in.

                Has felt absolutely turd relying on VG.

            4. RAFA THE GAFFA
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              TOOOOOOOON!!!

            5. Leif Erikson-Formerly of La…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Reply fail to a guy with Gauita, lads.

          • alexmj
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Held Wilson last week, get in

            1. Dirty Harry
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Masterstroke missed the deadline?

          • KennyKickIt127
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Story of my season so far, had PVA on Clean sheet and 3 point bonus on 86 mins.... then by the end of the game just 4/5 mins later, poof, 8 points down the drain! Has happened too many times this season! On for a ridiculously poor point total, after two consecutive seasons of 2350 points and top 25k and top 15k finishes!

          • The Hunt
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            "If Kevin De Bruyne (£11.6m) benefits from Saturday afternoon’s outing, he will reward only a small number of captainers in the top 10k.
            Just 6.6% of them felt confident enough to hand the Belgian their armband, while only 1.1% captained Raheem Sterling (£11.5m)."

            Confirms what I've always thought; if you make it into the top 10k you've probably only made it there through sheer good luck and you won't be there for much longer.

            1. noquarternt
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              I think most up there are probably Salah GW1 Triple cappers that had Son and Kane from the start. If they keep doing well, can’t see much changing.

            2. Sloane426
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 9 days ago

              It’s sheer luck if you don’t captain only man city players?

              1. The Hunt
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Just sheer luck...for most of them.

            3. Bushwhacker
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 9 days ago

              What's the logic there? Vardy is far and away the most obvious captain for this week. The others above KDB and Sterling are better contenders given form. I'm on KDB so I hop the 6.6% are right!

            4. Nimby
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Sounds like bitter nonsense to me.

            5. LarryDuff
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Doesn't 'confirm' anything. Stupid post

          • Salarrivederci
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            A nearby apartment is throwing a party jumping around screaming to the likes of: Barbie Girl, Castle in the Sky, Whistle Song, My Humps and Macarena.....

            If I had owned Guaita or PvA I would start knocking on that door, but I guess I'll keep relaxed. Atleast as long as the kiddo is still asleep.

            1. ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Sorry about that

              1. Salarrivederci
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Thanks 🙂

            2. Hazz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Sounds like a place I need to go.

              1. Salarrivederci
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                I'll buzz you in if you promise to change the music at the very least 🙂

            3. Babit1967
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Once ting tang walla walla bing bang comes on, it’s time to call the cops

              1. Salarrivederci
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Hahah! Would'nt surprise me if they got it queued up already. Fingers crossed they forgot it though 😀

            4. The Hunt
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Anarchy for the U.K.
              It's coming sometime and maybe

            5. Bushwhacker
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Covid-tastic.

          • wulfranian
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            One time that my defender on a Friday game to keep a cs.Noooo.Never.Never.

          • Paul Psychic Octopus
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Reposting from an old thread....

            Apologies if this was done to death earlier but switched onto FPL late and only watched the last 10 mins while cooking a fish supper.

            Mitchell... Not on the bench tonight because....?

            I guess his time is up anyway. PVA was Palace's only real attacking threat.

            1. The Knights Template
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Fish details please

              1. Paul Psychic Octopus
                • 10 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                Salmon leek Pasta with chilli, tarragon and lemon.

                1. The Knights Template
                  • 7 Years
                  3 months, 9 days ago

                  Arise, Sir Paul the Octopus!

          • It’s gonna Ben Mee
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            PvA > ?

            5.5m max

            1. Rash
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 9 days ago

              Unless on wildcard I'd keep 1 more week

              1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
                • 7 Years
                3 months, 9 days ago

                For another blank?

          • Fudgy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 9 days ago

            My ML leader is privately laughing at me and mocking me because of his Wilson haul.

            1. Bushwhacker
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 9 days ago

              If it's private how do you know?

          • Davros
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Happy Chappy

          • Stupendous
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            Wow Wilson keeps rolling AND those fixtures.

            Hmm. Turned my head!

          • how now brown cow
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 9 days ago

            No salah, vardy, kdb but have Wilson.

            Think I better enjoy this while it lasts.