Spot the Differential

In-form Neto can offer starting berth and FPL value during December

There is certainly no shortage of differential candidates to consider for Gameweek 11 of Fantasy Premier League.

Gameweek 10 saw one of our picks, Raphinha (£5.4m), deliver for his owners, while former column favourites Illan Meslier (£4.5m), Jarrod Bowen (£6.3m) and Ademola Lookman (£5.0m) also hauled.

This time, we have selected differentials from Wolves, Brighton and Southampton, who we think have the potential to make an impact in Gameweek 11 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Pedro Neto

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: liv | AVL | CHE | bur | TOT

Pedro Neto (£5.6m) has been in exceptional form for Wolves this season and has seized his opportunity following the sale of Diogo Jota (£6.9m) to Liverpool.

Having registered his sixth attacking return of the season against Arsenal last time out, his fourth in as many matches, he is now the highest scoring FPL midfielder priced under £6.0m.

The 20-year-old ranks top of Wolves’ squad for chances created and crosses, second for shots and penalty area touches, while he also boasts the highest expected goal involvement (xGI) total. In fact, his 18 created chances this season makes him the ninth-most creative player in the league.

Whether fielded out wide, as a number 10 or deeper, Neto has found a way to impact games, and in a short space of time has gone from a rotation option to being one of Nuno Espírito Santo’s key men. 

After several years of playing three at the back, somewhat surprisingly, Wolves have used a back-four setup in their two most recent matches which has seen them take four points. In light of Raúl Jiménez’s (£8.3m) head injury, it remains to be seen whether or not they continue with this shape, but if they do, it should offer more potential in an attacking sense.

Their opponents in Gameweek 11, Liverpool, have a mounting injury list which could see them turn to an inexperienced backline again on Sunday. That bodes well for Wolves, who are now seventh in the table and just four points off the top.

Neto is one of the Premier League’s brightest young stars, and with an ownership of just 3.4%, is a tempting differential for the Christmas period, especially considering the kind hand they have been dealt in terms of festive rest times.

Pascal Groß

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: SOU | lei | ful | SHU | whu

A recent return to Brighton and Hove Albion’s starting XI has seen Pascal Groß (£5.8m) impress.

He has now started the Seagulls’ last four matches, producing attacking returns in three of them, via assists at Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa before scoring from the penalty spot in last weekend’s draw against Liverpool.

The statistics suggest there is more to come, too.

Since his first start of the season in Gameweek 7, Groß ranks joint-fifth amongst midfielders for creating chances – only Kevin De Bruyne (£11.7m), Jack Grealish (£7.7m, Matheus Pereira (£5.8m) and Hakim Ziyech (£8.3m) have more key passes – while only Andros Townsend (£5.9m) has delivered more successful crosses.

Those numbers probably should not come as a huge surprise though, bearing in mind Groß arrived on the south coast from Germany having created more chances than any other player in the Bundesliga in 2016/17.

His link-up play with Tariq Lamptey (£4.8m) down Brighton’s right-flank is one of their key attacking weapons right now, and together I see them causing Southampton’s backline plenty of problems when they meet on Monday.

Despite managing just two wins across their ten Premier League matches to date, Graham Potter’s team have been posting some encouraging numbers. According to that data, they look to be one of the better sides in the division, and have the potential to kick on over the next few weeks. Their short-term schedule will certainly give them the platform to do that, with Gameweek 11 opponents Saints looking vulnerable defensively on their travels this season, and Fulham and Sheffield United to follow in the next four Gameweeks.  

Dead-ball specialist Groß has a real influence on Brighton’s attack, and could be key to their prospects over the coming weeks. 

Stuart Armstrong

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: bha | SHU | ars | MCI | ful

Southampton’s fixtures are among the best in the Premier League over the next five Gameweeks, warranting investment in their attack.

With some uncertainty over which forwards will line-up in Gameweek 11, based on Danny Ings‘ (£8.3m) return to training, it could be safer to look to the Saints’ midfield instead.

Over the last four matches, only James Ward-Prowse (£6.1m) has been the target of more passes in the opposition half than Stuart Armstrong (£5.5m) among Southampton players.

His touches in that area of the pitch is also second only to the England international compared to his colleagues. Crucially, two of his three attacking returns have come since Gameweek 7, so his appealing fixtures can give him exactly what he needs to kick on and offer Fantasy value.

Brighton offer arguably one of the stiffer defences Armstrong will face between now and Gameweek 15, but they have still conceded in all but one of their home matches this season.

After that, Southampton face Sheffield United and Fulham over the festive period.

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1,341 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Superninteno Chalmers
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    Struggling....
    Son + Ziyech to KDB + Jota or hold and pray ?
    Could do Son to Bruno FT

    1. Little Red Lacazette
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Is the 1st move for free?

      1. Superninteno Chalmers
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        No for a hit

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          A -4 is OK if you have Salah already for GW12.

          1. Superninteno Chalmers
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 20 days ago

            I do... just hurts to rid Ziyech on a good fixture. Has a huge ceiling.
            Thanks!

  2. Little Red Lacazette
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    Nah, JWP is more value.

    1. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Cus hes gonna score set pieces every week?

      1. Little Red Lacazette
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        4 goals, 2 assists overall for a 6.1 is not bad.

        1. TeamSteam
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          No, its not. But he has 10 shots in total, 7 on target, and 15 chances (2 big) over the course of 10 games. 3 of his goals have been free kicks, and i think both of his assists have been from corners. Hes a great set piece taker, no doubt about it, but those are highly unsustainable numbers.

    2. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Yeah, I like JWP too, but included him in GW1, so fancied going for one of the wide players this time!

  3. XX SMICER XX
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    Captain KDB or Sterling?

    Currently on Sterling to try and justify the hit I took last week!

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      KDB

    2. Rhodes your boat
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Kdb

    3. Is Stones nailed?
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      I got Sterling last week for a hit too, I'm more likely to lose him for another hit than cap.

      1. southernpacific
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Agreed I think I’m going to sell Sterling after hit for him last week

    4. Dusty Donut
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      KDB no question

    5. mirkomen77
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Sterling would not play by the look of it

  4. Rondon9
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    Would you do Semedo to Dias for free here, or save?

    Martinez
    Chilwell Lamptey Semedo
    KDB Grealish Son Bruno
    Vardy DCL Bamford

    4m - Coufal Mitchell Reed

    1FT 1.1m ITB

    Cheers

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Go for it

    2. Dusty Donut
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Do it!

    3. Rondon9
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Cheers lads

  5. HenryPham13
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    Martinez (Forster)
    Chilwell, Coufal, Kilman, (Konsa, Mitchell)
    Bruno, Salah, Torres, Rodriguez (Grealish)
    Kane, DCL, Brewster

    A) Konsa --> KWP
    B) Rodriguez --> Mahrez and KWP for a -4?
    C) Rodriguez --> Mahrez
    D) save ft

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      C

      1. Legohair
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Easy c

  6. Cruz88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    Ok so here's my dilemma, I have three villa players, and also Reguilon (hoping he's fit) and Sterling (not sure if playing):

    (Martinez)
    Reguilon Zouma Chilwell Taylor Justin
    Sterling KDB Ziyech Bruno (Grealish)
    DCL (Watkins)

    Happy to play without a keeper this week, so what's my best option:

    A) Grealish to Jota, hope Sterling and Reg play, bench Taylor
    B) Grealish to Jota, Sterling to Salah (-4), hope Reg plays, bench Taylor
    C) Play Taylor in a 5 man defence, no hits. Next week use 2FT to bring Salah in for Sterling.

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      C

    2. Dusty Donut
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      C

  7. g40steve
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    Those with Martinez keeping & playing (0) or taking a hit to get another playing keeper ?

    1. HenryPham13
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      playing 0

      1. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Cheers

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      I have a FT and probably going for Mccarthy or Meslier

    3. Rhodes your boat
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Playing

    4. Dusty Donut
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      playing (0)

    5. tuvok
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Playing for 0. Not worth the gamble of a hit when you’re best likely outcome is 2pts more than you started with

  8. Rhodes your boat
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 20 days ago

    One player I am considering in the next few weeks is Bowen, has looked good when I’ve seen him. Neto is another consideration. Anybody else to consider in this price range different from those above?

    1. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Trossard, Raphinha

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Would you get raphinha even if you had bamford?

        1. Holmes
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          Yep, worth a shot. Atleast for few weeks.

    2. TNB
        1 month, 20 days ago

        I am going to get Neto in next gw for Zaha and reinvest the money on my defense

    3. seewhyaxe
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      pages are flying I thought it's gameday.

    4. gooberman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      With Wolves upcoming fixtures, how can FFS seriously promote Neto as a viable option?

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Form over fixtures argument

        1. gooberman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          What form? 1 win in the last 3 games isn't exactly great form.

          1. avfc82
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 20 days ago

            Presume he's talking about Neto...

            1. gooberman
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 20 days ago

              Oh yeah ok

              1. avfc82
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 11 Years
                1 month, 20 days ago

                No worries, and I totally get your point about fixtures, I just think Wolves are pretty well setup for these type of games, but let's see.

      2. avfc82
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        On first glance maybe, but I'm not so sure they're that bad.

        Lets see how he gets on, happy to revisit in a few weeks time.

    5. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      What makes so many convinced Mahrez is going to start?

      1. Jellyfish
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        benched mid week

        1. gooberman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          I don't the line ups in the Champions League matches has any bearing on who plays in the league to be honest.

      2. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Bench in midweek, simple.

        (If only it was that simple...)

      3. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Scored more points than KDB from less appearances

      4. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Benched midweek and hat trick last game

        1. claretparrot
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          plus Pep's comments about goalscorers getting starts

          1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 20 days ago

            That's probably the best argument tbh

    6. b91jh
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Switch the premium or switch the budget?

      Plan A:
      11: Ziyech to Mahrez
      12: Mahrez to Jota
      13: Jota to Mahrez/Torres/Foden or hold depends if other issues occur

      Plan B:
      11: hold
      12: Ziyech to Jota, KDB to Salah
      13: Salah to KDB

      1. Werner Bremen
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Hold

      2. Superninteno Chalmers
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        I'm thinking similar to plan B.. hold on for dear life this week and hope Ziyech can pull a haul out of the bag to cover not having KDB or Jota. Then move for Jota next week to pair with Salah.

        Mahrez is a pain to own and people chasing last week's points could get pied this week by a surprise Pep roulette.

    7. FPLord
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Martinez (Forster)
      Robertson Chillwell Cancelo Dallas (Douglas)
      Fernandes Ziyech Son (Grealish Stephens)
      DCL Kane Bamford 1.6 2FT

      A.
      GW11: Son, Cancelo > KDB (c), Webster
      GW12: Ziyech, Kane > Salah, Wilson

      B.
      GW11: Stephens, Cancelo > Jota, Webster,
      GW12: Ziyech, Kane > Salah, Wilson (-4)

      So it's basically KDB(c), Fernandes, Dallas vs. Fernandes(c), Jota, Son this week. Probably leaning towards going without City....

    8. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Grealish > Mahrez for free, or hold?
      Foden my only City attacker (I know, I know...)

    9. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      No scout picks article this week?

      Foden is an odd choice anyhow. I don't think he'll start.

      1. Herman Toothrot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Torres most likely

      2. claretparrot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Think it's usually later in the day if Saturday deadline. Are you referencing last week's picks re Foden?

        1. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          Oh those are last week's. They look so much like this week's xD

      3. Bobby Digital
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Deadline tomorrow, picks later today

    10. Werner Bremen
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      No City cover. Grealish to Mahrez and gat him back later?

      1. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Mahrez is my only City cover.

    11. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      GTG?

      #Martinez,
      Zouma, Chilwell, Robbo
      Bruno VC, Son, Jota, Mahrez C
      DCL, Kane, Bamford

      Forster, Coufal, Lamptey, Grealish,

      .2 bank

      Captain Mahrez?

      Article points to Bruno away again?

      1. Jellyfish
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        I own Bruno and Mahrez and am going Mahrez. He's only a 1 week pick for me so worth a punt

    12. Jellyfish
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Whose everybody giving the armband to this GW?

      Captain Mahrez for me I think....

      1. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Him or Bruno look above

      2. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Kevin

      3. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Still deciding between Mahrez, KDB and Bruno

        1. Jellyfish
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          KDB surely if you own him?

    13. mlm
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Martinez* (Martin)
      Robertson Chilwell Zouma KWP (Mitchell)
      Salah Bruno Ziyech Jota (Grealish*)
      Vardy(c) DLC (Brewster)

      0.0ITB, 1FT

      GTG?

    14. beetlejuice
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      I'm lost here

      Martinez | Steer
      Cancelo | Chilwell | Justin | Dallas | Mitchell
      Salah | Son | Fernandes | Grealish | Romeu
      Vardy | Bamford | DCL

      1FT, 0.2 ITB

      I am thinking to do Cancelo + Grealish > Lamptey + Mahrez
      I am planning to buy Grealish in 2 GWs after Wolves game and will pay 0.1 more only (bought him at 7.4)

      What you reckon? Thanks!

      1. Olson
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Why are so many managers unable to pick their own players?

        1. Olson
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          Wrong reply

        2. Garlana
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          surely this site is here to help with that?

      2. Garlana
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Well, i own Cancelo and im of the assumption he doesnt play so ive got to get rid as my bench is a mess so i agree get rid, if Lamptey is your pick then that looks good. The Grealish out -> Mahrez move is a tricky one. Its worth a punt maybe.

        1. beetlejuice
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          I would not remove Cancelo for a hit but I need funds to upgrade Grealish to Mahrez. Just feels wrong to go to next fixtures without any City asset, cant fit KDB so has to be Mahrez i guess

      1. Klaren
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        At least we got his 1 point vs Spurs. Don't be greedy!

      2. avfc82
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Yeah, sorry about that, didn't go to plan at all.

        1. avfc82
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 20 days ago

          If it's any consolation, which it probably isn't, I signed him too.

    15. mcginnntonic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Do i free hit? only have 7 players playing.. cheers

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        I had more than that but doubts and no City/Bruno so went for it

      2. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        Nah, consider this as a BGW. Sort those bench players, will be handy in December.

    16. Bruce Lee
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      All clear to make transfers now right?

    17. Johan Queef
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Currently have no attackers from Liverpool or City. Use my 1FT for:

      A) Rodriguez to Mahrez
      B) Rodriguez to Jota

      Thanks!

    18. Ronnies
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Captain ?

      A) Salah
      B) Bruno

      Thanks.

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        B

      2. claretparrot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 20 days ago

        B. Could see Salah hooked early again and Bruno away is unstoppable

    19. wijohnson85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      A) SEMEDO and SOUCEK -> MAHREZ and LAMPTEY

      B) KANE and REED -> DE BRUYNE and ADAMS

    20. La vida FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Please help if you can guys:

      A) Robertson > Diaz/James, Son > Kdb (C) (-4)
      B) Grealish > Jota, Son > Kdb (C) (-4)
      C) Martinez > Mesiler, Son > Kdb (C) (-4)

      Martinez*, Steer
      Robertson, Chilwell, Bellerin, Lamptey, Mitchell
      Bruno, Son, Ziyech, Grealish*, Stephens
      Vardy, DCL, Bamford

      2.3 ITB, 1 FT

    21. S.Kuqi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Anyone else saving their ft? Got no playing gk this gw and Lamptey good enough to cover Grealish.

    22. OptimusBlack
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      Gauita
      Lamptey Chilwell Reguilón
      Burno Mahrez KDB (C) Bissouma
      Bamford DCL Vardy
      Forster Grealish Semedo Dunne
      0 FT 0.3 itb
      Any other Thoughts like play 4-3-3 and bench Bissouma

    23. Zim0
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 20 days ago

      When did fpl site start?