Spot the Differential

In-form Neto can offer starting berth and FPL value during December

There is certainly no shortage of differential candidates to consider for Gameweek 11 of Fantasy Premier League.

Gameweek 10 saw one of our picks, Raphinha (£5.4m), deliver for his owners, while former column favourites Illan Meslier (£4.5m), Jarrod Bowen (£6.3m) and Ademola Lookman (£5.0m) also hauled.

This time, we have selected differentials from Wolves, Brighton and Southampton, who we think have the potential to make an impact in Gameweek 11 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Pedro Neto

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: liv | AVL | CHE | bur | TOT

Pedro Neto (£5.6m) has been in exceptional form for Wolves this season and has seized his opportunity following the sale of Diogo Jota (£6.9m) to Liverpool.

Having registered his sixth attacking return of the season against Arsenal last time out, his fourth in as many matches, he is now the highest scoring FPL midfielder priced under £6.0m.

The 20-year-old ranks top of Wolves’ squad for chances created and crosses, second for shots and penalty area touches, while he also boasts the highest expected goal involvement (xGI) total. In fact, his 18 created chances this season makes him the ninth-most creative player in the league.

Whether fielded out wide, as a number 10 or deeper, Neto has found a way to impact games, and in a short space of time has gone from a rotation option to being one of Nuno Espírito Santo’s key men. 

After several years of playing three at the back, somewhat surprisingly, Wolves have used a back-four setup in their two most recent matches which has seen them take four points. In light of Raúl Jiménez’s (£8.3m) head injury, it remains to be seen whether or not they continue with this shape, but if they do, it should offer more potential in an attacking sense.

Their opponents in Gameweek 11, Liverpool, have a mounting injury list which could see them turn to an inexperienced backline again on Sunday. That bodes well for Wolves, who are now seventh in the table and just four points off the top.

Neto is one of the Premier League’s brightest young stars, and with an ownership of just 3.4%, is a tempting differential for the Christmas period, especially considering the kind hand they have been dealt in terms of festive rest times.

Pascal Groß

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: SOU | lei | ful | SHU | whu

A recent return to Brighton and Hove Albion’s starting XI has seen Pascal Groß (£5.8m) impress.

He has now started the Seagulls’ last four matches, producing attacking returns in three of them, via assists at Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa before scoring from the penalty spot in last weekend’s draw against Liverpool.

The statistics suggest there is more to come, too.

Since his first start of the season in Gameweek 7, Groß ranks joint-fifth amongst midfielders for creating chances – only Kevin De Bruyne (£11.7m), Jack Grealish (£7.7m, Matheus Pereira (£5.8m) and Hakim Ziyech (£8.3m) have more key passes – while only Andros Townsend (£5.9m) has delivered more successful crosses.

Those numbers probably should not come as a huge surprise though, bearing in mind Groß arrived on the south coast from Germany having created more chances than any other player in the Bundesliga in 2016/17.

His link-up play with Tariq Lamptey (£4.8m) down Brighton’s right-flank is one of their key attacking weapons right now, and together I see them causing Southampton’s backline plenty of problems when they meet on Monday.

Despite managing just two wins across their ten Premier League matches to date, Graham Potter’s team have been posting some encouraging numbers. According to that data, they look to be one of the better sides in the division, and have the potential to kick on over the next few weeks. Their short-term schedule will certainly give them the platform to do that, with Gameweek 11 opponents Saints looking vulnerable defensively on their travels this season, and Fulham and Sheffield United to follow in the next four Gameweeks.  

Dead-ball specialist Groß has a real influence on Brighton’s attack, and could be key to their prospects over the coming weeks. 

Stuart Armstrong

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW11-15 fixtures: bha | SHU | ars | MCI | ful

Southampton’s fixtures are among the best in the Premier League over the next five Gameweeks, warranting investment in their attack.

With some uncertainty over which forwards will line-up in Gameweek 11, based on Danny Ings‘ (£8.3m) return to training, it could be safer to look to the Saints’ midfield instead.

Over the last four matches, only James Ward-Prowse (£6.1m) has been the target of more passes in the opposition half than Stuart Armstrong (£5.5m) among Southampton players.

His touches in that area of the pitch is also second only to the England international compared to his colleagues. Crucially, two of his three attacking returns have come since Gameweek 7, so his appealing fixtures can give him exactly what he needs to kick on and offer Fantasy value.

Brighton offer arguably one of the stiffer defences Armstrong will face between now and Gameweek 15, but they have still conceded in all but one of their home matches this season.

After that, Southampton face Sheffield United and Fulham over the festive period.

1,341 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Rog.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Mitchell or Kilman most likely to start?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Kilman

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Kilman

    3. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Thanks both

    4. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Don't see either starting

  2. Call Me Old Fashioned
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    In a pickle, considering a WC

    McCarthy
    Zouma, Mitchell, Justin
    Salah, Bruno, Son, Biss
    DCL Bamford Kane

    Steer Grealish Taylor Lascelles

    1FT, 1.5 in bank

    1 - Lascelles --> Ruben Dias
    2 - Grealish--> Jota or Mahrez
    3 - Salah --> KDB(C)
    4 - Bruno -->KDB(C)
    5 - Son and Kane --->KDB(C) and Werner/Jesus (-4)

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      3 - just do it.

    2. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No need to WC. Just do lascelles to dias

    3. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      5 looks good with KDB jesus

  3. YEAH PITCH!
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Captain

    A) Salah
    B) Son
    C) Kane

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Son

  4. Catastrophe
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Anything worth a hit? Money ITB for Vardy, Bissouma & Mitchell -> Salah, Dallas & Brewster over next 2 weeks.

    Martinez*
    Walker, Chilwell, Zouma
    KDB, Mahrez, Fernandes, Jota
    Vardy, DCL, Bamford

    (Steer, Bissouma, Kilman, Mitchell)

    Cheers!

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Martinez to McCarthy

      1. Catastrophe
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers. Surely not worth a hit? Villa fixtures are better than Southampton's and Martinez has 2 DGWs to come

        1. The Polymath
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Not the immediate fixtures and you can always bring in Targett for the DGW's.

  5. Jdpz
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Johnstone, Nyland
    Chilwell, Konsa*, Justin, James, KWP
    Mane, Bruno, Son, Grealish*, Gordon
    Werner, Bamford, Wilson*
    1ft., 1.5M in the bank
    Play Wildcard?

    or sell Wilson/Grealish?

  6. SNEAKY SNEAKY
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Guys,
    Apologies if I'm behind the times but is Kane in or out?

    1. Parsnips
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      In

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Depends on she is you’re talking about.

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Or him. Trying to improve.

  7. Top Lad Dakes.
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Would you take Mahrez (Hamez out) over KDB if it meant keeping Kane this week?

    Otherwise bringing in Bamford KDB

    1. Parsnips
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    2. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      nah, we all know how buying Mahrez will end.

      1. Top Lad Dakes.
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        dyou think, tina? just compared the stats and mahrez not far off. plus full rest means he should start...

        what's your team/moves looking like ?

    3. mookie
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      In December I prefer nailed on players.

      1. Top Lad Dakes.
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        This is a fair point I suppose.... keep performing well though and that could be Mahrez

    4. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

  8. mookie
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    What's the deal with Cavani now? Ban? No ban? Waiting for Woodward to show up with a bag of money? If no bag, ban next weekor the week after? Are they researching Uruguayan history back to the middle ages?

  9. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    People actually think Bruno would be benched ? I think ole is a bad string of results away from losing his job not going to bench his best player

  10. EmreCan Hustle
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Is it silly to captain Vardy eventhough I have KDB?

    Vardy away record has been pretty good. But worried that Fulham could be blown away this week.

  11. Garlana
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    So those comments on Sterling by Pep...they dont change anything really do they?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      No not really.

  12. tommo123
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Best mid under 7.4m?

    1. EmreCan Hustle
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Jota

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Jota

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Gotta be Jota.

    4. tommo123
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Already have him, anyone else?

  13. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Best use of my FT for this team

    Areola

    Chilwell Keane Lamptey Semedo

    Son Jota Ziyech

    Kane DCL Vardy

    0 ITB No WC FH available

    Any ideas would be welcomed

  14. Igz08
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    0.1 off this FH team

    Schmeichel (4.0)
    Walker PVA Justin (3.8 4.0)
    KdB Ziyech Bruno Son Mahrez
    Adams Vardy (4.3)

    Any ideas? Open to suggestions, looking at Guaita, Reguillon, Jesus, Zaha, Jota, Mendy (both), Chilwell as contenders for inclusion

  15. Top Lad Dakes.
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Would you rather keep Hamez or Podence (w/ money ITB) and why?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      That’s not a proper would you rather.
      I guess Podence because he excites me so much.

      1. Top Lad Dakes.
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Haha is it not? Why not?

        Am likely transferring one of them out to KDB (funded likely sadly by Kane to Bamford) - unless I choose Mahrez punt instead, in which case it needs to be Hamez - so one stays one goes?

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          It’s just a classic English game.
          Like would you rather make sweet love to your mum once, or watch your parents have sweet love for the rest of their lives?

          1. Top Lad Dakes.
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            LOL

          2. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            I prefer thinking about sisters 😆 just me?

        2. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 3 months ago

          Tough as Bamford has Chelsea but then looks good.

          1. Top Lad Dakes.
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 3 months ago

            Exactly. Fully prepared for Kane to punish this week but at least I have Son.... right? 😆

  16. Neo-Viper
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    A) Hamez to Torres.
    Yay or Nay?
    B) Souchek over Coufal for the first 11. Yay or Nay?
    C) Captain Salah over Bruno and Torres.
    Yay or Nay?

  17. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Worth doing Mitchel to Neco Williams?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Classic article move.

  18. Tripleh123
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    In a bit of a headache here. Have Martinez and Steer, need a keeper.Which keeper would be better to replace Steer long term as sub keeper?

    1) Johnstone
    2) Mcarthy
    3) Meslier

    1. Big boy Bowen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      2 for me

    2. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      2

  19. Big boy Bowen
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Promising comments from Pep on Sterling, hopefully he gets the start!

    1. Silver_and_Gold
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Whenever he says something like this, it's supposed to boost player's morale before he tells him, he's benched 🙂

      1. Big boy Bowen
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Oh please no

    2. have you seen cyan
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      from what I read, I dont think it really helped indicate if he starts or not.

      1. Big boy Bowen
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        I’m just glad it was positive! And mentions the contribution he brings, fingers and toes crossed!

    3. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      I don't think sterling will start. Think pep will play the same team that beat Burnley

      1. Big boy Bowen
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Gutted

    4. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      2pts incoming.

  20. tbhogal
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Son > KDB (C) - 4 worth it guys ?

  21. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Sterling and Grealish -> KDB and Jota -4?

    Really tempting me.. can’t afford the straight switch

  22. have you seen cyan
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    All week I didnt have any concern about Kane, but now doubts creeping in :/
    Its because Jose keeps saying I think he starts, I hope he starts etc, if he is playing mind tricks, then maybe Kane isnt starting...

    Im certainly not taking Kane out, but he has my arm band. I guess leave it on him, because if he doesnt start he wont get any minutes at all. Son would be upfront in his absence, maybe vice Son instead of Werner?

  23. bruuuno
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Could Rash Son > KDB(c) Gundogan work out?

    Or Raphinha... These moves makes it possible to transfer in Salah for free next gw

  24. janlu0
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Will Zaha come back, all guns blazing? Or not?

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Well he wasn't all guns blazing before so unlikely. Might make Palace better though. They are poor without him.

  25. tommo123
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Best mod under 7.4m, with exception of Jota?

    1. tommo123
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      *mid

    2. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      TM

      1. Forever In Our Shadow
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Although to be fair he is more of a big hitter.

    3. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Paul Weller

      1. lespaul
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 3 months ago

        Good one

  26. tommo123
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Sterling & Rodriguez->KDB & other mid? Worth a hit and who to bring in for 7.4m or less?

  27. manu4life99
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    1FT £3m itb

    A) Son to KDB
    B) Kane to Jesus
    C) Grealish to Mahrez

    Johnstone
    Robbo Chilwell Dias Lamptey
    Bruno Son Jota
    Kane DCL Bamford

    steer soucek mitchell* grealish*

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      A.
      Don't trust Jesus. Don't loose Grealish.

  28. Forever In Our Shadow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    Not seeing Kane in many teams these days. Will be sweet when he fires his usual big haul against Arsenal especially when he is “injured” too. A typical Maureen smokescreen. “He is injured”. Oh wait he scores a hat trick. 😉

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 3 months ago

      Waiting for it!

  29. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 3 months ago

    2 FT 1.5 mib
    DCL - Vardy - Kane
    Ziyech - Son - Grealish - Bissouma - Bruno
    Zouma - Cresswell - Mitchell - Cooper - Lamptey

    A. Son to KDB and Ziyech to Jota?
    B. Or Kane to Bamford or Adams, Bissouma to Jota and Ziyech to KDB 4ph?
    C. ?