Pro Pundits

How to use teams’ specific weaknesses to pick the right FPL assets

Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

2,522 Comments Post a Comment
  1. dmcnam12
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) Werner + Son to Watkins + Bruno (-4)
    B) Son to Bruno (Free)

    1. JJeyy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Why would you even consider A?

    2. FFSbet.com
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

    4. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

    5. Puncheon Guly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Why are you selling Son?

    6. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

  2. FFSbet.com
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    How is this looking G2G?

    Bellerin + Ayling ➡️ James + Lewis 0ITB

    Martinez
    Chilwell - James - Lamptey
    Salah - KDB(C) - Son - Grealish - Bowen
    Kane - DCL

    (Lewis - Brewster - Neco)

    1. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Worth making the Lewis transfer if you're just going to bench him? Otherwise could save that FT for next week

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        He doesn't have the money, that's why

      2. FFSbet.com
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yes 0ITB

    2. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Gtg

  3. Mr. O'Connell
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Bench Werner or Taylor?

    1. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Taylor for me

    2. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Taylor

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      T

  4. Drogba Legend
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Save FT, Son out, or Son and DCL out for a hit? Maybe even drop Robbo to someone?

    Mendy
    Robbo - Chill - Dallas - Dias
    KDB (C) - Son - Grealish - Salah
    Bam - DCL

    Steer - Giroud - Stephens* - Douglas*

    A) Save
    B) Son > Rash, Bowen (allows me to do DCL > Kane next GW), Mahrez or Torres
    C) Son + DCL > Kane and Bowen (-4)

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Salah to Bruno for me, or mega hit selling Giroud and Robbo

      1. Drogba Legend
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

  5. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Not doing this all at once, but thinking I might start heading this direction. No Spurs taking its toll. Hoping for no price changes (ha!).

    Chilwell, Grealish, Wilson > James, Son, Dec-Reid

    McCarthy, Forster
    Chilwell, KWP, Targett, Lamptey, Kilman
    Salah, KDB, Grealish, Bruno, Soucek
    DCL, Bamford, Wilson

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Sorry to disappoint but prices will change

      1. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Oh, I know. Hence me laughing at the statement.

  6. Rashers
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    City defence worth it? Dias at 5.6 safest but surely the likes of James, Cresswell and Dier plus money in the bank can keep up or outscored.

    Stones in anyway nailed? Surely Laporte is back in sooner rather than later. A nailed Stones at 4.8 would be nice.

    Many looking to invest?

    1. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I brought in Dias 2 GW purely for fixtures and it looks like they've shored up the defense a bit in the last month. Lots of CS in all comps for them. Lots still have Cancelo I bet but going to only play 50-75% of the games I bet with Pep. Stones looks in good form and should start again tomorrow alongside Dias.

      1. Rashers
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah they certainly have the fixtures. Dias and Walker seem the most nailed but just not sure on price. Just can't see massive scores from Dias

    2. nolard
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Just got Dias as city have a decent run of fixtures.

      1. Rashers
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Fixtures are certainly there

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Cuty defense only when is a ft and a heavy bench. Not sure Christmas is the right time for it

      1. Rashers
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        My thoughts too. Dias, Laporte, Stones, Ake and Garcia for two spots. Dias seems the most nailed but will surely get rested. The likes of Cresswell plus his stats and 0.4 cheaper seems a better shout

  7. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Bruno = stays
    Kane = stays
    Son = stays
    KDB and Salah are rotated based on fixtures, form and captaincy, since they are the most expensive.

    There, cracked the code.

    When fixtures warranty will have them both, especially till GW 16 when KDB goes.

    Salah goes after GW 19 or on GW19.

    KDB comes back GW18 if possible or GW if not.

    23rd might risk it with neither and so on

    The Pep FPL Style

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      *or GW 19 if not (for KDB)

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Top 25 on the way.

        1. FPL Daniel
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Juhuuuu 😉

          P.S. winning against you would be a great headstart 😉

    2. Zilla
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      It may sound like a good plan but missed hauls is written all over this.

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Hauls doesn't matter that much against 40EO%. 100EO% + is the biggest worry when you don't have a heavy hitter

    3. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      It's all fine until 1/2 of your other players gets injured/suspended or out of form and ypu have to take hits to replace those.

      I just feel rotating between premiums every 1/2 weeks makes no sense. Premiums will do good in most weeks. Just have the 3/4 which you believe in and keep them for the long term until they go out of form/injured/suspended.

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        It is every 4 or 5 fixtures.

        Let me ask you this

        Which will bring me more points? Chasing captains and fixtures for heavy hitters or upgrading Mitchel to Lewis or so? Swapping Soucek to Cabalero based on fixtures maybe?

        I fell into that trap in the past when I hated to see red flags in my team and sold them for a hit.

        Now I dont care about my third or second sub being meh. I had Antonio who was injured on my bench for 5 GWs and have 8 green arrows in a row.

        Every fpl strategy has to take into account the value of a free transfer. You get only 34 through the year

        1. FPL Daniel
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Let me please recount the number of free transfers.

          GW 1, FH, 2WC, that is 34 max right?

    4. Rashers
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I am going Salah, Kane, Bruno and KDB as my four and just leaving them. Penalty takers too.

      I tried the swapping in and out but have got it wrong too much.

  8. DagheMunegu
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Any help please ? Would love Bruno but not sure what to do. 1 ft 0.6 itb

    Martinez
    Robbo Lamptey Zouma
    Salah Son KDB Raphina
    Kane DCL Bamford

    Button Kwp Riedewald Branthwaite

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Salah to Bruno

  9. Maddamotha
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Which one would you do ?

    McCarthy
    Chilwell, Lamptey, Coufal
    Salah, Bruno, Son, Mahrez, Soucek
    Vardy, DCL

    Steer, Kilman, Brewster, Struijk

    A) Save
    B) Salah > KDB
    C) DCL > Bamford
    D) Mahrez > Grealish

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A or sort bench defenders.

  10. The Alli Way
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Worth doubling up on City defence with Dias and Stones incase one of them gets rested? Surely the other starts in that case?

    1. The Alli Way
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I could get Coufal or Dallas instead, but City's defensive numbers are crazy and the double up could prove amazing if they both keep starting

    2. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I don't think it would be.

    3. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      What if Ake and Laporte start?
      Double City defense is just a nightmare. Wouldn't go anywhere near that.

  11. Arteta
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    What do you guys think about Greenwood punt?

    1. OleBall
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Could pay off but nothing as yet to suggest he's going to hit his form from the end of last season

    2. BeWater
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      If I knew for sure he was starting against Sheffield United I would probably pick him over Grealish.

  12. Origal73
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    2ft. 1m itb.
    Vardy and Bissouma -> Bruno and Brewster.
    Basically getting Bruno for Vardy. Captain will be KDB or Bruno

    Team is

    Ryan
    Chilwell Coufal Target (KWP, Ayling)
    KDB Salah Son Bowen (Bissouma)
    Vardy DCL Wilson

  13. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A-Jota and Mitchell -> Stones and Benhrama +.1 ( great for my bench)
    B-Jota and Fofana -> Greenwood and Stones (punt)

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

  14. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez
    Chilwell Cresswell Lamptey Robbo
    Salah KDB Bruno
    DCL Bamford Watkins

    Steer Anguissa Mitchell Jota

    With this team would you rather have...
    A Robertson & Bowen
    B 4.7 def & Son

  15. dmcnam12
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    When do next price rises happen?

    1. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      In 2 hours I think.

  16. Bojaninho
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Mahrez and Cancelo play or no play ?

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I think no

    2. Reckoner
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I have Cancelo, but I'm quite sure Mendy plays tomorrow :/

  17. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Im doing Salah and Jota to KdB and Cavailero for -4. This is my team. GtG lads?

    McCarthy
    Ayling-Chilwell-Targett
    Bruno-Grealish-KdB(C)-Cavailero
    Vardy-Adams-Jesus

    Steer-Justin-Bissouma-Mitchell

    I have WC so i will get back Mo in GW 15 probably.

    Thoughts? Or i can play Justin and bench Jota. Thoughts lads??

    Cheers.

    1. estheblessed
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I thought about Salah to KDB for -4 but not convinced. Even if KDB gets 12... Minus the 4 and what ever Salah gets (2-8) there's not much in it. Unless KDB gets 18+ the I will be gutted.

      1. Niho992
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I already did Salah to KdB for free.

        Now thinking should i play Justin or sell Jota for -4

        1. Warby84
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Play Justin

          1. Niho992
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers !

  18. Mr. Chimes
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Keep or sell Reguilon? Mourinho subbed him for Davies in the 85th on Sunday so it’s hard to tell whether or not he’ll get a rest widweek.

    1. Niho992
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah. He will get rest vs best team in the league. Surely

      1. Mr. Chimes
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Hey. Did you see the lineups? Clown.

  19. Vjm6891
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I have Werner but starting to lose patience. Worth keeping to swapping?

    Have 1.2 in the bank as well. Already have Kane, DCL, KDB

    1. Saka Punch
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'd consider it if a makeweight for an upgrade in midfield. Ings also a good option, but not great fixtures (though I'd back him to score against arsenal)

      1. Vjm6891
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thinking of trading for Watkins this week, then upgrading my low midfielder to a decent one so I have 5 midfielders and 3 strikers who actually play.

  20. estheblessed
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    G2G

    Martinez
    Chillwell, Dier, Vestergaard
    Son, Bruno(c), Grealish, Salah
    Vardy, DCL, Bamford

  21. bitars
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) Salah and Reece James

    or

    B) De Bruyne and Chilwell

    1. Cookie Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

  22. _Ninja_
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Correct to start Dallas over Lamptey? Doubt either will keep a cleanie.

    Martinez
    Chilwell Zouma Dallas
    Salah Bruno KDB Son Grealish
    DCL Bamford

    Forster Lamptey Brewster Mitchell

  23. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Thinking of saving FT this week. Anything worth changing?

    0.4ITB
    Fabianski
    Robbo Chilwell James
    (c) KDB Salah Bruno Grealish Soucek
    DCL Bamford

    Forster Dallas Brewster Mitchell

  24. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) Werner, Podence to ST under 7.9, Torres
    B) Salah to KDB
    C) Werner to Jesus
    D) Ignore City

    Will WC v soon

    1. OleBall
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I've a feeling Aguero plays tomorrow

  25. Cookie Kid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Is this worth a -4?

    Son and Robbo > KDB and Coufal

    If I don’t make the move then Bruno (C)

    1. estheblessed
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I am doing the latter.

    2. Reckoner
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'm keeping Robbo, so do B) and cap Bruno

      1. Cookie Kid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        2-0 to no KDB then. Better find that sofa that I watched KDB vs BUR and FUL then 🙂

  26. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    If you have KDB in your team, is there anyone captaining someone different??

    1. estheblessed
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      You would be foolish to do so if u did

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bruno over KDB for me

    3. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bruno

  27. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Was Bumford close to a rise yesterday?

  28. Mackans
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Salah & Son or Mahrez & Vardy?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Former

  29. nimbin_headers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Sterling?
    Cancelo?

  30. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    McCarthy
    Robbo Chilwell Coufal
    KDB Bruno Grealish Jota
    Kane Dcl Bamford

    4.0 Dallas Lamptey Bissouma

    2FT and 0.8itb . Any ideas? Thinking just Jota out right now