Pro Pundit Teams

How to use teams’ specific weaknesses to pick the right FPL assets

Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

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avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

2,522 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gun gun
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 1 day ago

    If i think my opponent have kdb and shld be captaining him, but no bruno.
    Should i capt kdb also or just go straight to capt bruno

    1. Warbling Wendy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      Captain who you think is the better option, why worry about your opponents?

    2. Ginola14
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      Cpt Bruno

    3. baggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      captain who gets the most points

  2. Slitherene
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 1 day ago

    Bennch 1?
    A. Watkins
    B. Wilson
    C. Soucek

    Start 1?
    1. Lascelles
    2. Ayling
    3. Taylor

    Help needed!

    1. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 1 day ago

      Probably bench Soucek, as others have higher ceiling. And I’d start Ayling as he probably has highest clean sheet potential.

      1. Bushwhacker
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Leeds don’t keep clean sheets ; but none of them have high chance of attacking return so probably Taylor as least likely to be booked and may get a cross in.

        1. Scratch
          • 11 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Lol. Leeds have had 4 clean sheets. Only 5 teams have more than them (all of them have one more with 5 clean sheets)

    2. baggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      C
      2

  3. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 1 day ago

    Who best to start...Bedranek or Cooper? Thanks

    1. Dthinger
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      Bed

  4. MessiGOAT
    • 8 Years
    4 months, 1 day ago

    Quick one Captain?:
    A/ Bruno
    B/ Sterling
    C/Kdb
    ???
    Thanks

    1. Ginola14
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      A

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 1 day ago

      C

  5. Ginola14
    • 9 Years
    4 months, 1 day ago

    Thoughts on greenwood as a punt?

    1. Christina.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      nah, Bruno or no one

      1. Ginola14
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Wanted to go differential as a jota replacement maybe stick to zaha/bowen?

        1. baggs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          zaha/bowen

    2. Baron Saturday
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      It's very punty. Too punty for me.

    3. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 1 day ago

      Have seen it mentioned by others as a punt. Could be worth it for a week or two and then always come back off if it doesn’t work. Depends if you’re chasing or holding a liras tbh.

  6. Warbling Wendy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 1 day ago

    Bottomed out

    Martinez Mccarthy
    Chilwell, Lamptey, Targett, KWP, Lewis
    Salah, KDB, Fernandes, Son, Bissouma
    DCL, Wilson, Bamford

    2FT, no idea what to do with them, 0.0m in the bank

    Wouldn't normally ask blindly for help, but the only thing I can think to do is downgrade one of the goalkeepers to the 4m understudy of the goalkeeper I keep, so I have those funds in the bank for a move I might want to make the week after. Anything jump out as a obvious weakness or a move to make?

    1. Christina.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      Nice team. Weird I look at your team and think you mist be top 100k, then I see my rank is half of yours. Tough game this....

      1. Warbling Wendy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Unfortunately no Kane has hurt me this year. Fpl is an unbalanced game imo, getting the heavy hitters wrong and not captaining them at the right times often makes a whole team of correct decisions regarding your smaller hitters irrelevant.

        1. baggs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          over the longer term your planning will work out just keep faith. dont make a change just because youve got a transfer to burn

    2. Ginola14
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      Makes sense what you suggest, then it gives you a little leeway to change def if needed

    3. Tango74
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Same as my team nearly

        Lewis and targett on 4 YC. Maybe swap one?

    4. HurriKane
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 1 day ago

      Kept overthinking about Adams vs Watkins to fund in KDB

      Had a nap only to miss deadline and KDB rose. Now decision has been made for me as im priced out of Watkins 😀

      Fair result?

      1. Christina.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        I had 6.5m to spend on fwd to fund Bruno(0.1m short of DWilson). Once I got Maupay/Wood out of my mind it was between Watkins and Adams...

        I also opted for Adams.

        1. Ginola14
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Adams been ticking over with steady points, seems the better choice even tho you've been forced into it

        2. HurriKane
          • 8 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Yeah i just feel like Barkley is a big miss for villa. Plus Adams has been more consistent with returns in 7 out of his 12 matches

          Watkins less so with returns in only 3 out of his 10 matches

          Not to forget soton has been fixture proof by scoring 7
          against che tot and mu

          1. Christina.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Yeah plus Ollie now off penalties...

            1. Amey
              • 2 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Yeah.
              He'll score good though still. Villa are very decent at creating chances. Once Barkley is back Watkins & Grealish should be back amongst top scorers

              1. Christina.
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                yep, I have money to swap adams to Ollie if required. Now happy with my lot after 2 x (-4) in a row.

              2. Dthinger
                • 4 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                So I shouldn’t bench Watkins this week then?

        3. Scratch
          • 11 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Wouldn't fret over losing out on Watkins. Not particularly happy with having him myself

    5. BaleKaneSon
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Sounds like a lot of people are choosing lookman instead of raphinha why would this be?

        1. Chelsea91
          • 2 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          I have Raphinha, not sure whether to start him or Kane. Think liverpool will hold spurs in Anfield.

          1. Warbling Wendy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            You have to start Kane, surely?

          2. El Fenomeno R9
            • 5 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Salah,Kane + Son bench 🙂

        2. Plant Based Footballer
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Fulham kinda turning a corner. Reid looks good at forward too. Looked tired last match tho.

      • RogDog_jimmy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 months, 1 day ago

        on a WC.

        Martinez + 4.0
        James, Dias, Cresswell, KWP, Balbuena
        KDB, Bruno, Grealish, Soucek, & ???
        DCL, Bamford, Adams

        Have exactly enough for Salah as the 5th mid, but kind of not sure of committing so much to him.
        Could move Grealish to Son and still have enough for Mahrez/Rashford.

        Or could do Son and keep 2.7 itb for flexibility....can always shift to Salah for the West Brom match.

        1. baggs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          get salah for sure you can always downgrade

      • Flair
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 months, 1 day ago

        When making comparisons on which defense is worse, it's worth considering that when both sides actually faced each other very recently, the xG for both sides ended SHU 3.37 - 1.72 WBA.

        1. Chelsea91
          • 2 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          SHU is worst.

      • fcsaltyballs
        • 5 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Martinez
        Robertson Chilwell Cancelo
        Salah Son KDB Grealish Foden
        DCL Bamford

        Forster Dallas Brewster Ferguson

        1 FT, 0.3 itb

        1. Salah >> Fernandes (for GW13/14 then back to Salah for GW15)
        2. Save FT

        Cheers guys

        1. Sz21
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          I'd lean towards saving.

        2. baggs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          save

      • Sz21
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        1. Save FT this GW.
        2. Lamptey- Robbo or Trent (exact cash atm).
        3. Lamptey-> Stones or somebody cheaper. (Taylor, Coufal).
        Leaning towards No.3. Stones seems nailed for the time being and those fixtures are hard to ignore.

        McCarthy.
        Dallas, James, Chilwell.
        KDB, Salah, Mahrez, Fernandes, Lookman.
        Bamford, DCL.
        Forster, Lamptey, Brewster, Ferguson.
        1ft, 2.4m ITB.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          1

          1. Sz21
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Cheers TM. Not sure I can trust Dallas/Lamptey much for a clean sheet but they do have decent fixtures this week at least.

            Another GW gives more info so there is that too in holding the ft.
            Will consider more.

        2. WE GO FOR IT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Save

      • Emp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        If you could punt on any mid for 2 weeks only that isnt bruno or kdb who would ir be ? Cheers

        1. Flair
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Sterling

          1. Sz21
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Sterling seems a good call.

            1. Flair
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              4 months, 1 day ago

              I'll add the disclaimer that I have no idea if he starts. But Raheem Sterling vs West Brom and Southampton is an extremely appealing prospect.

        2. WE GO FOR IT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Grealish

          1. Emp
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            I have grealish ye between sterling and rashford for me but worried cos they both have tough cup ties next midweek.

      • PocketZola
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Gtg?

        Martinez
        Lamptey chill rob
        Salah kdb(c) bowen grealish
        Dcl bam vardy

        Subs, dallas,biss

      • afsr
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Start Bowen or Raphinia?

        1. Dthinger
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Bowen

      • egan
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Ward Prowse - Son - Salah - Grealish - Bruno
          Bamford - Kane - Adams

          I should bench one of them, who should I leave?

          1. PastaConcerto
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Points projections would suggest bench Adams and JWP before the others....but suspensions for Xhaka and Bellerin in this match might give them a higher chance for points with the defense the Gunners can field.

        • Baron Saturday
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          With the Christmas schedule looming, I'm thinking about rotation. Do you have any budget (less than 6) mids or forwards on your watchlist?

          For mids I'm considering Dendonker at the low end and Eze at the top end, with Soucek, Podence, Neto and Klich inbetween.

          Up front I'm weighing up Welbeck and Reid.

          Thoughts?

          1. lugs
            • 3 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            for sure a good bench is going to be needed with the games coming every few days, you can't really go wrong with any of the names you mentioned as long as they play, i have gone for Lookman and Welbeck as a rotation pair, with Lamptey and whoever i sell Bellerin for later today making up the numbers

            1. Baron Saturday
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Nice choices actually. I can't decide between Reid and Welbeck upfront. Welbeck has slightly better fixtures, but perhaps more competition and less minutes...either way, both are good value.

              Lookman is interesting. I'll check his stats.

              Cheers for sharing

          2. Dthinger
            • 4 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Decordova-Reid maybe?

            Nketiah if Arteta ever gets his head out of his rear.

            1. Baron Saturday
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Yeah, Nketiah could be one to watch

        • TheDragon
          • 3 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Which is best? 1FT 0.1 ITB

          Martinez
          Chilwell, Lamptey, Robertson
          Salah, KDB, Son, Grealish
          Wilson, DCL, Bamford
          4.5 | KWP, Bissouma, Mitchell

          A) Save FT
          B) Robertson -> James
          C) Robertson & Son -> James & Fernandes (-4)

          1. Flair
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            4 months, 1 day ago

            A

            1. Flair
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Although C and Bruno's fixtures/form are very appealing.

              I pick C b/c Penandes.

          2. stu92
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            4 months, 1 day ago

            I think you’ll regret holding Robbo all this time and selling now within a week or two. I’d roll the FT, team looks good otherwise.

        • stu92
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          4 months, 1 day ago

          2FT but not much to be done without coming off Vardy. G2G or further change needed? Options B & C would only be for a few weeks until I use Vardy cash for Grealish/Zaha, but would prevent me losing any value on him should he drop.

          Is my bench order right?

          Martinez
          Robbo Zouma Lamptey
          Bruno(c) KDB Son Soucek
          Vardy DCL Adams
          (Forster Targett Barkley Kilman)

          A) G2G
          B) Barkley to Raphina, bench Soucek
          C) Barkley to Lookman, bench Soucek
          D) Other

        • pakornk
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          I have 3 captain-able players

          1. KDB
          2. Bruno
          3. Vardy

          who should I go for?

          1. Jindaljain
            • 6 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Vardy

          2. Cruyff Turn
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Bruno

        • Cruyff Turn
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Play Soucek against Crystal Palace OR Justin against Everton?

          1. RichRover
            • 8 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Soucek

        • igbins09
            4 months, 1 day ago

            mcccarthy
            james, chillwell, vestegard
            son, kdb, bruno, mahrez, graelish, jota
            vardy, DCL, wilson

            pls A, B or C

            A. Jota/Mahrez ---> KDB/Soucek
            B. Jota/Vardy -----> KDB/Welbeck
            c. any better options are welcome

            1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
              • 3 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              6 mids?

              1. igbins09
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  oh, my bad... kdb isnt there yet

              2. igbins09
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  dont have kdb yet..it was an error

              3. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
                • 3 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Captain KDB or Bruno and why? Currently on Kevin but looking at stats Bruno seems like a better goal threat. Would like a captain later on the game not the first day and then face red arrows in wednesday and thursday.

                1. Gobigorgohome
                  • 9 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  yes for that reason I went with Bruno

                  1. Flair
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    That's a terrible reason mate

                    1. Gobigorgohome
                      • 9 Years
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      just dont like that feeling

                      last week rose to 80K but end of GW back to 200K sue to Vardy

                    2. sunzip14
                      • 4 Years
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      I can understand the temptation to captain a player playing later in the gw and/or from the game that suits our time zone, to be able to watch the match. However, as Flair said, it's a terrible reason in terms of FPL points. Have fallen victim of this myself but we should captain someone who we think scores the most, no other reason tops this one.

                      1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
                        • 3 Years
                        4 months, 1 day ago

                        Who would you captain in my position

                2. Cruyff Turn
                  • 9 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  I own KDB for the good fixtures, but for this gw I'd cap Bruno because of his away form.

                3. Cruyff Turn
                  • 9 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Tbh it's a close enough decision to not overthink, I expect both to haul.

                4. 007 [RoboKlopp]
                  • 4 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Bruno, away form

                5. De Gea is GOAT
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  KDB for me. With some fans allowed back in it could work in SHU's favour.

                  1. TorresMagic™
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 11 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Don't think they are allowed to have fans.

                    1. De Gea is GOAT
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 4 Years
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      oops. That changes everything haha. I'd still go Kevin though

              4. MessiGOAT
                • 8 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Gents Captain Sterling or play it safe?
                Kdb or Bruno what you think?
                Rank:1milli
                •••••
                Meslier
                Rjames Balbuena Ayling
                Salah KDB Bruno Grealesh Sterling
                Bamford Watkins
                •••••
                //)•Benteke Nekowilliams Mitchel 0.3 itb

                1. Holmes
                  • 7 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Play safe

              5. igbins09
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  mcccarthy
                  james, chillwell, vestegard
                  son, bruno, mahrez, graelish, jota
                  vardy, DCL, wilson

                  pls A, B or C

                  A. Jota/Mahrez ---> KDB/Soucek
                  B. Jota/Vardy -----> KDB/Welbeck
                  c. any better options are welcome

                • sunzip14
                  • 4 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Sold Vardy to get Bruno, using 2 FTs. Don't feel good about it now, specially with KDB and Mahrez both in my team who belong to Pep's team!

                  1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
                    • 3 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Who will you captain?

                    1. sunzip14
                      • 4 Years
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      KDB. Bruno (VC), as of now.

                • Dr. Ante Pavlovic
                  • 3 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Who will concede more goals?

                  A) SHU vs Utd
                  B) WBA vs City

                  1. Holmes
                    • 7 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    same for both, 2 goals

                    1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
                      • 3 Years
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      Who are you captaining?

                      1. Holmes
                        • 7 Years
                        4 months, 1 day ago

                        Kevin

                  2. Goodricke
                    • 5 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Sheffield must get a beak at some point. The Yorkshire - Wankashire element may come into play.

                    Sheffield have never started Brewster, so there is an element of a twist in that story, whereas West Brom have pretty much have little left in the playbook. I think City at Home may swing it, but i don't expect cricket scores in either.

                    Although there is no champion's league matches, there is Christmas coming up, so rotations for the big teams and desperation for the smaller teams may mean There could be some shock results.

                  3. sunzip14
                    • 4 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    No matter how you frame the question, the answer will not be clear, as you are probably looking for answer on whether to captain Bruno or KDB from the answers 🙂 City will most likely score more with or without KDB. I think it entirely depends on whether you are a risk taker or risk averse.

                • Goodricke
                  • 5 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Salah to KDB or Bruno for -4
                  Salah and Son to KDB and Bruno for -8

                  Shake my head for nothing?

                • Holmes
                  • 7 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Man Utd will play Sheffield on 18 and then Leeds on 20 😮

                  1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
                    • 3 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    That's nice I love Christmas season

                  2. Flair
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Bruno will probably start and haul in both

                  3. Party time
                    • 2 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Bruno & Kdb won’t play 90 mins midweek. Usually managers sub important players off during midweek games. They both played 90 during the weekend so it is up to them to beat time & haul whereas Salah is nailed on for 90 mins at home to Spurs.

                    Tbh, I think Salah is a good captain pick this gw. All those Mourinho bus rubbish talk would be put to bed when Salah hauls

                    1. Party time
                      • 2 Years
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      Also you can bookmark this. I am not trying to sound like I know it all but it is the realistic thing likely to happen

                  4. Party time
                    • 2 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Dude get your facts right. You just made me write a whole lot thinking you got the dates correct.

                    Utd play on 17th & 20th. You muppet

                • akhilrajau
                  • 2 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Walker will start ? Or dias is good option