Spot the Differential

Taylor can provide value route into Burnley’s appealing fixtures

After a slow start for last week’s trio of differentials, we’re back again ahead of Gameweek 14 on the hunt for the next low-owned bandwagon.

There’s no shortage of candidates to consider either.

This time, we’re focusing on differentials from Burnley, Chelsea and Everton, who we like the look of for Gameweek 14 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Charlie Taylor

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: WOL | lee | SHU | FUL | — | whu + liv

With four clean sheets in his last six appearances and an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Charlie Taylor (£4.4m) could be a solid under the radar pick.

Burnley have seen an upturn in their defensive performances of late, which has coincided with dressing room leaders Nick Pope (£5.4m), James Tarkowski (£5.3m) and Ben Mee (£4.9m) all being available. In fact, in the five league fixtures which they’ve all started together this term, the Clarets have kept four clean sheets and conceded just one goal. 

Last season, investing in one of Sean Dyche’s backline was one of the easier decisions FPL managers had to make, given their record of 15 clean sheets was second only to Manchester City, and the current campaign seems to be following a similar path with only Aston Villa recording more shut outs to date. Encouragingly, their numbers suggest that further defensive improvements could be on the way too, with 18 goals conceded from an expected goal (xG) total of 16.13. 

With Taylor, attacking returns are unlikely (he’s assisted just once in each of the Clarets’ last two campaigns), but his relationship with Dwight McNeil (£5.7m) down Burnley’s left is one of their key attacking weapons, with a large percentage of their play focused down that side. Amongst team-mates, only McNeil and Ashley Westwood (£5.3m) have delivered more crosses than Taylor this season, so an assist, while unlikely, is not completely out of the question.

However, the real appeal lies in Burnley’s clean sheet potential, and with home games against Wolves, Sheffield United and Fulham in the next four, further shut outs could be on the way. It is also worth noting that they have a Double Gameweek in January, so signing him now can help you be one player better off for that.

Christian Pulisic

Werner on Chelsea's left as Pulisic misses out on trip to Everton
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £8.2m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: WHM | ars | AVL | MCI | — | ful + lei

Christian Pulisic (£8.2m) has endured a frustrating start to the season due to injury, but returned to the Blues’ starting XI against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Tuesday night.

Making his first Premier League start since October, the former Dortmund winger played the full 90 minutes and was the most dangerous player on the pitch until shifted to the right-flank, where he struggled to make as much of an impact. However, until that switch, Pulisic showed his class, constantly running at opposition defenders with pace and trickery.

The 22-year-old’s hamstring issues have restricted him to just five Chelsea starts and nine appearances in all competitions this season, which has prevented him from finding any kind of rhythm. Despite this, he has still found the back of the net against Krasnodar and Leeds United, and fortunately, it doesn’t seem to take him long before he gets back into his stride after injury.

The Blues’ were on a good run of form going 17 games unbeaten before Everton and Wolves both managed to win by a single goal in the last two matches, but they do have an opportunity to get back on track with consecutive games to come against London rivals West Ham United and Arsenal. Interestingly, both sides have conceded most of their chances from their right-flank this season, which further heightens Pulisic’s appeal if he is to operate from that side. 

Some rotation is to be expected amid a hectic Christmas schedule, but with Hakim Ziyech (£8.1m) and Callum Hudson-Odoi (£5.7m) injured, Frank Lampard’s options are reduced in the wide areas, and encouragingly, they will have had a generous six recovery days by the time their Gameweek 14 fixture comes around.

Pulisic tends to deliver when he starts, and although this move does come with risk, he could be a huge differential for those willing to invest early. 

Michael Keane

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: ARS | shu | MCI | WHU | wol | avl

Michael Keane (£5.1m) has played an integral role in helping Everton keep two clean sheets in their last two games.

With James Rodríguez (£7.7m) and Lucas Digne (£6.1m) absent, the Toffees have gone back to basics, fielding a back four of central-halves marshalled by Keane. That has meant their full-backs, Mason Holgate (£4.8m) and Ben Godfrey (£5.0m), have been less adventurous going forward, but as a result, they have restricted their opponents Chelsea and Leicester City to just nine shots in the box between them, with only five on target.

Against teams like Sheffield United, the onus might be on Everton to be more expansive, and in turn demand more from their full-backs in the final-third. However, this more pragmatic, well-drilled system is likely to stick for the visits of Arsenal and Manchester City, which bodes well for further defensive shut outs. 

Keane is the only player to have started all 16 games in the league and EFL Cup for Everton this season, and has been consistently good in recent weeks. Against Leicester, he made more blocks and clearances than any colleague, and won all of his aerial duels. His threat from set-pieces is also worth noting ahead of their next two fixtures. Arsenal have improved defending dead-ball situations, but will be without the influential Gabriel (£5.0m), while only West Bromwich Albion have conceded more headed attempts than Sheffield United this term.

With two headed goals already from corners, and clean sheet potential too, Keane could be set to profit.

908 Comments Post a Comment
  1. antis0cial
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) Save
    B) Grealish DCL to Soucek Kane (-4)

    B was planned for later for free but looks like both rising meaning I will be priced out. I feel I need Kane by 16.

    Martínez
    Zouma Lamptey Coufal
    Salah KDB Bruno Son Grealish
    DCL Bamford

    Ayling Brewster Mitchell

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

  2. okan58
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    1FT:
    Money: 0.7

    Team.
    Mendy
    Coufal - Justin - Chilwell
    Mahrez - Salah - De Bruyne - Grealish - Son
    Calvert Levin - Bamford
    Subs: Nyland, Walker Peters, Davis and Douglas

    What can i change? 🙂

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Douglas to Taylor/Alioski?

      1. OneJuan
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Mahrez: Love to watch him but not consistent with fpl points. Only 1 of the last 10 GWs where he returned over 3 points. I would sell asap to free up cash for Son/Kane/Bruno

        KDB: I have him. Could be slumping but keeping for his explosive nature and potential to haul massively given good fixtures and team mood on the day.

        Can't really say the same about the other City guys.

  3. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Save or something obvious to do?

    Martínez (Forster)
    Chilwell, James, Lamptey (Coufal) (Mitchell)
    Grealish, De Bruyne, Salah, Son, Fernandes
    Wilson, Bamford (Brewster)

    1 FT, 0.5 in bank.

    Cheers.

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Easy Save. Who's your cap?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Salah or Fernandes, will check highlights from Man Utd game.

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Looks good for a save. Nice team.

    3. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Save, unless you want to get rid of Lamptey.

    4. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Save or Mitchell to Taylor

    5. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Looks good.

      Similar to my team.

      Who´s your captain?

    6. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers all.

    7. cruzex
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Great team.

      Captain?

      Ranking?

    8. DickFranDyke
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Defo Mitchell for Taylor

    9. PastaFasul
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Looks good...who is your cap?

  4. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    What are these stats for Kane v/s Leicester everyone is talking about?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Scores goals vs them.

    2. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      14 in 10

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Do you know Vardy's record v Spurs? Pondering Vardy > Kane here. Thx.

    3. COLLIN QUANER
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Great record

  5. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Lost at the bottom of the last page. Is Mitchell to Charlie Taylor for free a good move this week?

    I'll start Taylor ahead of Justin then.

    I'd like to do Struijk to Alioski/Dallas too (I know, exciting right?) but not worth it for -4 is it? Just play Coufal at Chelsea?

    1FT 1.0ITB
    Martinez
    Zouma Coufal Justin
    Salah KdB Bruno Son
    DCL Bamford Watkins

    Steer Reed Struijk Mitchell

    Thanks!

    1. Gizzachance
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      do the taylor move,need starting players

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks, yes. Had other issues to sort past few weeks but that bench is bad. McCarthy on the bench in goal actually, not Steer, but the others need sorting.

  6. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed.

    Best 2GWs punt MiD up to 9.0 ? I will WC in GW 16.

    Have KdB, Bruno, Grealish and Jota

    Pulisic, Mahrez? Anyone else?

  7. Gabbiadini
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Apologies my memory escapes me, can you wildcard and bench boost in the same week?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Don't think so, no.

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        interesting I thought these may be seperate.

    2. LSK
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No

    3. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Nope.

    4. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No unfortunately

    5. KAALI_DAAL
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Noppity nope.

  8. sully29
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    2fts, nothing in the bank.

    Martinez
    Dias, Targett, Lamptey
    Salah, KDB, Fernandes, Son, Grealish
    Bamford, Wilson

    Forster, Coufal, Brewster, Kilman

    Thinking Lamptey > a cheap defender who doesn't have a knock, unless anyone has a better idea?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I was going to say Kilman but then remembered you had nothing in the bank.

      So yeah, maybe move Lamptey on.

  9. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Ok to keep Mason for one more game ?

    Can start Stones ahead of him ? Don’t Acc think he starts

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      quite a fall from grace he's had since end of last season.

      i wouldn't bother keeping him, but wouldn't take hit to remove.

  10. KAALI_DAAL
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Which 2 to bench:

    Justin (tot)
    Dias (sou)
    Lookman (new)
    Lewis (FUL)
    Webster (SHU)

  11. ZakyJ
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    2FT and 0.9itb.

    Martinez
    James/Justin/Dallas
    KDB/Fernandes/Salah/Grealish/Son
    Watkins/DCL

    Bench Forster/Coufal/Brewster/Mitchell

    What should I do?

    Is Welbeck worth it. I could do Dallas & Brewster to Alioski & Welbeck.

    Could just go Mitchell to Lewis to improve my bench?

    1. cigan
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Welbeck is and has always been a terrible pick. Mitchell > Lewis is decent I think

  12. KAALI_DAAL
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    How many minutes until we get the scout picks?

  13. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Any news on Boly? Was he injured?

  14. Niho992
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Jota and Jesus to Watkins and Mahrez?

  15. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Long way to go but do you think Charlie Taylor vs WHU,Liverpool is better than Cancelo vs Palace in GW19? Who would you start if you had to choose 1

    Doesn't feel like Taylor is a DGW player with those fixtures haha

    1. cigan
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      depends on whether Cancelo starts tho

    2. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Cancelo might not even play.

      2 taylor appearances should be 3-4 points min as a base. and he's 4.4m with decent fixtures until then.

    3. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Taylor. Like they say, at least he plays.

  16. cigan
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    2 FT // 0 ITB // WC in gw16

    so just for the next 2 rounds?

    A) Chilwell + McCarthy > James + Martinez
    B) Walker + McCarthy > Lamptey + Martinez
    C) Walker + Adams > Mings/Targett + Bamford
    D) Walker > Mings/Targett (+ save)
    E) Chilwell > James (+ save)

    McCarthy
    Robbo Chilwell Walker
    Salah Bruno Son Grealish
    DCL Wilson Adams
    (Steer + Bissouma Coufal Lewis)

  17. Mighty Wings
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone without Spurs not getting one or two of them until GW 16?

    Have Grealish and KDB and would like to give them 2 more weeks...

    Sensible?

    1. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Both of them are failing to light it up for one reason or another. Mainly, the players around them not taking chances. For that reason, I think the Spurs duo will outscore those 2 players comfortably over next 2. See my post below.

      1. Mighty Wings
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        yes, but I bought them exactly for this fixture run, wouldn't be wise to let them go now I think.
        Fixtures create form and the players around them will start to click sooner or later...

  18. Fit_to_drop
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Everyone is expecting Villa & Grealish to do well against WBA but we all know that Sam will get 10 players behind the ball from the off the next day and play for a nil-all or one-all to signal his intent. Think Villa will be frustrated. Then they have a tough Palace fixture before the real fixture swing kicks in.

    Hence I am looking at Grealish out this GW.

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I see what you're saying, but Allardyce will have had very little time to work with them on the training pitch. All depends on Barkley's fitness for me... if he's ready, I think we'll have too much for them.

      1. No Professionals
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        don't listen to this guy, he ain't got a clue 😉

        who are you captaining tom?

  19. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    What chip route would you take if you split right down the middle with 6 bgw18 and 6 dgw19 players + 3 duds. See below

    Martinez — Forster
    Chilwell James Lamptey — Coufal Douglas
    Bruno Salah Kdb Son — Burke
    Dcl Bamford Watkins

    I will have 5Fts left so I can either
    A: get 11 players for bgw18 and FH19 with 11 dgw players or
    B: FH18 and BB gw19 with 11/12 players

  20. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    If you still have your wildcard and play it just before gw16, what would be your dream team? And would you really need a Free Hit chip in gw18 ?

    1. cigan
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'll be looking to get a team that can cover both, blank and double. Way too early to think about which players tho

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Depends on your GW19 plan.

  21. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    1FT. 0.6ITB

    Roll FT and GTG?

    Martinez
    Chilwell Lamptey Taylor
    KDB Bruno Salah(C) Son
    Bamford Adams DCL

    Steer Dallas Bissouma Coufal

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      GTG

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Cool. Was thinking Adams -> Wilson but bad fixtures after FUL.

  22. ratski
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Please help I just can't decide
    A. Salah and Wilson
    B. Grealish and kane

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. FER FUSCH AKE
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      That is tough. A for me.

    4. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B just

      1. ratski
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Currently have Kane and grealish which I feel ok with but worries me not having Salah.

  23. Traction Engine Foot
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best option please? 1ft and 2.5m itb

    A PVA to Taylor
    B PVA, DCL to Taylor, Kane -4
    C Grealish to Son
    D save

    McCarthy
    Chilwell, James, Cresswell
    Salah, Bruno, KDB, Grealish
    DCL, Welbeck, Bamford

    Martin, PVA, Burke, Kilman

    1. OneJuan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      C No hesitation. You need one of Son or Kane imho

  24. Rhodes your boat
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Would you rather

    A) Kane c.taylor
    B) dcl/ings chilwell

    1. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A)

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. OneJuan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      A

  25. Notorious
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Guys, is anyone considering building a team with FTs for the blank GW18 and then FH in DGW19?

    I can easily have 10 players for the blank, pick the best options for the DGW with the Free Hit and save my WC and BB in the process for future DGWs. Also for GW20 I would much rather have my Spurs and City players back for the long term.

    Another thing that is bothering me with the most popular strategy of FH GW18 and BB DGW19 is that I will have players like Anguissa and Charlie Taylor on the bench and I am not convinced by their fixtures, even with 180 potential minutes of play.

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      TC in GW19 then. Might be the better chip that week after all

      1. Notorious
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Sure, always a chance. I just love using the FH for a DGW, much more exciting than using it for blank GW imo.

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Looking at the teams involved in GW18 there is no way i want more than 7-8 of them at the outside. Remember, you own them again for GW20 onwards. So cant see this working.

    3. michaelington
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      That's my plan. Possibility of United and Burnley game moves to GW18 so would could put close to 11 out. Then FH with all the doubles in GW19.

  26. Oldie99
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Play Coufal or Raphinha?

    1. tyron
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      coufal

    2. Notorious
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Raphinha

  27. tyron
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    mcarthy
    chillwell targett cresswell
    salah son bruno torres
    vardy kane welbeck

    kilman riedweld mitchell

    a- roll transfer
    b- vardy to dcl/ings

    i will address torres next week if he benches again. no money itb. would need to sell vardy to get cash. what should i do guys??

    1. gellinmagellan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      a

  28. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    McCarthy
    Robertson Creswell Justin James Mitchell
    Salah Bruno Grealish Soucek Jota
    Jesus DCL Adams

    1 FT 1.9 ITB.

    Any suggestions? Jesus > Kane next week but not sure about what to do this week :/

  29. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Would you prefer Son or Kane?

    Have Kane currently, would need to take a -4 to do something like Soucek & Kane > Son & Adams?

    1. gellinmagellan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      If you have Kane already, stick

  30. seewhyaxe
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Mahrez + Bruno -> KDB + Son for free.

    Yay or nay?

    1. Fuddled FC
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yes but maybe next week

      1. seewhyaxe
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        oh any particular reason why next gw?

    2. Killitzer
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No. KDB hasn’t exactly been great. Man U at home to Leeds so can’t see why you would do that move this week.