Spot the Differential

Taylor can provide value route into Burnley’s appealing fixtures

After a slow start for last week’s trio of differentials, we’re back again ahead of Gameweek 14 on the hunt for the next low-owned bandwagon.

There’s no shortage of candidates to consider either.

This time, we’re focusing on differentials from Burnley, Chelsea and Everton, who we like the look of for Gameweek 14 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Charlie Taylor

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: WOL | lee | SHU | FUL | — | whu + liv

With four clean sheets in his last six appearances and an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Charlie Taylor (£4.4m) could be a solid under the radar pick.

Burnley have seen an upturn in their defensive performances of late, which has coincided with dressing room leaders Nick Pope (£5.4m), James Tarkowski (£5.3m) and Ben Mee (£4.9m) all being available. In fact, in the five league fixtures which they’ve all started together this term, the Clarets have kept four clean sheets and conceded just one goal. 

Last season, investing in one of Sean Dyche’s backline was one of the easier decisions FPL managers had to make, given their record of 15 clean sheets was second only to Manchester City, and the current campaign seems to be following a similar path with only Aston Villa recording more shut outs to date. Encouragingly, their numbers suggest that further defensive improvements could be on the way too, with 18 goals conceded from an expected goal (xG) total of 16.13. 

With Taylor, attacking returns are unlikely (he’s assisted just once in each of the Clarets’ last two campaigns), but his relationship with Dwight McNeil (£5.7m) down Burnley’s left is one of their key attacking weapons, with a large percentage of their play focused down that side. Amongst team-mates, only McNeil and Ashley Westwood (£5.3m) have delivered more crosses than Taylor this season, so an assist, while unlikely, is not completely out of the question.

However, the real appeal lies in Burnley’s clean sheet potential, and with home games against Wolves, Sheffield United and Fulham in the next four, further shut outs could be on the way. It is also worth noting that they have a Double Gameweek in January, so signing him now can help you be one player better off for that.

Christian Pulisic

Werner on Chelsea's left as Pulisic misses out on trip to Everton
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £8.2m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: WHM | ars | AVL | MCI | — | ful + lei

Christian Pulisic (£8.2m) has endured a frustrating start to the season due to injury, but returned to the Blues’ starting XI against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Tuesday night.

Making his first Premier League start since October, the former Dortmund winger played the full 90 minutes and was the most dangerous player on the pitch until shifted to the right-flank, where he struggled to make as much of an impact. However, until that switch, Pulisic showed his class, constantly running at opposition defenders with pace and trickery.

The 22-year-old’s hamstring issues have restricted him to just five Chelsea starts and nine appearances in all competitions this season, which has prevented him from finding any kind of rhythm. Despite this, he has still found the back of the net against Krasnodar and Leeds United, and fortunately, it doesn’t seem to take him long before he gets back into his stride after injury.

The Blues’ were on a good run of form going 17 games unbeaten before Everton and Wolves both managed to win by a single goal in the last two matches, but they do have an opportunity to get back on track with consecutive games to come against London rivals West Ham United and Arsenal. Interestingly, both sides have conceded most of their chances from their right-flank this season, which further heightens Pulisic’s appeal if he is to operate from that side. 

Some rotation is to be expected amid a hectic Christmas schedule, but with Hakim Ziyech (£8.1m) and Callum Hudson-Odoi (£5.7m) injured, Frank Lampard’s options are reduced in the wide areas, and encouragingly, they will have had a generous six recovery days by the time their Gameweek 14 fixture comes around.

Pulisic tends to deliver when he starts, and although this move does come with risk, he could be a huge differential for those willing to invest early. 

Michael Keane

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW14-19 fixtures: ARS | shu | MCI | WHU | wol | avl

Michael Keane (£5.1m) has played an integral role in helping Everton keep two clean sheets in their last two games.

With James Rodríguez (£7.7m) and Lucas Digne (£6.1m) absent, the Toffees have gone back to basics, fielding a back four of central-halves marshalled by Keane. That has meant their full-backs, Mason Holgate (£4.8m) and Ben Godfrey (£5.0m), have been less adventurous going forward, but as a result, they have restricted their opponents Chelsea and Leicester City to just nine shots in the box between them, with only five on target.

Against teams like Sheffield United, the onus might be on Everton to be more expansive, and in turn demand more from their full-backs in the final-third. However, this more pragmatic, well-drilled system is likely to stick for the visits of Arsenal and Manchester City, which bodes well for further defensive shut outs. 

Keane is the only player to have started all 16 games in the league and EFL Cup for Everton this season, and has been consistently good in recent weeks. Against Leicester, he made more blocks and clearances than any colleague, and won all of his aerial duels. His threat from set-pieces is also worth noting ahead of their next two fixtures. Arsenal have improved defending dead-ball situations, but will be without the influential Gabriel (£5.0m), while only West Bromwich Albion have conceded more headed attempts than Sheffield United this term.

With two headed goals already from corners, and clean sheet potential too, Keane could be set to profit.

908 Comments Post a Comment
  1. JP\'s
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A or B?

    A) Son and Wilson
    B) Kane and Podence

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      probably need both Son and Kane if youre prepping for 18

  2. Neo-Viper
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Pulisic for Mahrez if you just have Cancelo from City? or Cancelo to Dier. Have two freebies.

    McCarthy Button
    Chilwel Cancelo Justin Coufal Mitchel
    Salah Grealish Bruno Pulisic Souchek
    DCL Kane Bamford

    1. Neo-Viper
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      It's Mahrez for Pulisic btw

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Id do Cancelo to Dier and bank the FT

      1. Neo-Viper
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers mate!

  3. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    What to do with 2FTs here, 0.0 ITB? Nothing I really want to do... Lamptey potential benching is worrying

    Martinez
    Chilwell - Lamptey - Alioski
    Salah - Son - Bruno - KDB - Grealish
    DCL - Bamford
    Button - Mitchell - Coufal - Brewster

    Chilwell + Mitchell --> James/Dier + Taylor?
    Bruno/KDB + Brewster --> Burke + Kane?

    1. Neo-Viper
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I like Dier +CTaylor

  4. Don Kloppeone
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Almost ready to go. Two questions:

    1. Who to start?
    A) Coufal (che)
    B) KWP (MCI)

    2. Who to captain?
    A) Salah
    B) Bruno
    C) Son
    D) KDB

    0FT 0.1itb
    Martinez
    Robbo, Chilwell, Coufal
    Salah, KDB, Bruno, Son
    Bamford, Adams, Wilson
    (Forster) (KWP, Stephens, Branthwaite)

    Cheers and GL!

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Coufal
      Son (i also have all 4)

      Whats your thinking for 18/19??

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Planning to FH for 18 and BB for 19. Should have 15 players worth doing it for by then!

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      1: A

      2: Tough one. I've got the same four as you and really don't know what to do. Bruno my bus team captain but that could change.

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks mate. Bruno was also my bus captain but I now have Son in the mix so torn between the two!

    3. Neo-Viper
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Coufal and Salah

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers. Salah usually a reliable cap choice tbh!

  5. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I see Lamptey has had his weekly flag added

  6. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Put a little time aside to get my head around the blank and double gameweek in 18/19.

    Looking at my squad and having used my wildcard, think I'll FH18 and use FTs to build for 19. Big question then is triple captain or bench boost.

    My initial thought is BB19 because I'm in a half-decent position to build to it with FTs and I'm not sure how easy it might be later in the season.

    It might be that doubles are more spread out later in the season? Even then, I would think there would be good TC options later in the season.

    Having said that, though, i do understand those thinking of TC19. Salah, Bruno etc good options.

    Food for thought!

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      What are your thoughts about FH18? Seems like its the popular way to go but it seems like it will be a really low scoring week... seems low value for such a strong chip

      1. Zimo
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Will it be low scoring? I like it. Look at the team i can get.
        Lloris
        PVA Dias Lewis
        KDB Sterling Zaha Son
        Kane DCL Wilson

        1. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          That's a good point too. I'd only have three of those players. Makes the FH even more appealing.

      2. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Good question.

        My team as it is now has 5 players starting GW18 and 10 for DGW18.

        I think going from 5 to 11 would justify a FH, particularly if I'm using my FTs until then potentially adding/improving my DGW players.

        That's not set in stone but how I'm thinking right now. You?

    2. BremerHB
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Im edging toward FH 18 and TC 19.

      Later on in the season I'll have a bit more team value to play with for a bench boost and also be in a better position to wildcard out of it. Would like to hold on to the 2nd WC as long as possible and not use it directly after GW19.

      If I do it now, I run the risk of having lots of expensive bench players and having to use weeks of FTs to take them back out.

      I'll be using FTs to build up a mix of SGW players and DGW players in a strong 11 and probably TC Salah.

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        That's a good point.

        I think I'll keep some good single gameweek players in 19 (KdB, Son etc) to lessen the need to wildcard out of DGW19.

        GW20 looks decent for the team I have in mind now, but I'll look beyond those fixtures too.

        Interesting discussion!

    3. Salarrivederci
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      My initial thought was also FH18 and BB19, but my problem with this is how your squad looks after GW19. It won't be a bad squad, but your money would be spread too much out on 15 players. You'll probably have at least 2x Leeds, 2x West Ham, 2x Southampton (maybe 3 from each side). Could work, but could also give you some huge problems if you don't WC in GW20.

      To me the best thing about TC in GW19 is, that you could have a squad like this (and would not need to WC in GW20):

      Fabianski
      Robertson - Chilwell - Coufal - Alioski
      Salah - KDB - Bruno - Son - JWP
      Bamford

      (Farrell, Welbeck, Lamptey, Brewster)

      1. Zimo
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yes thankyou that's my thinking too. FH18 and TC19 on Salah with this squad for thedouble for me.
        Fabianski
        Chilwell James Coufal
        Salah KDB Son Bruno Rashford
        Adams Bamford

        1. Zimo
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          I think i can finally jump big ranks with this team and TC

        2. Scholes Out For Summer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          I have almost this team, but its impossible to have Rashford and double Chelsea defence with a premium 4 of Salah KDB Son Bruno

          1. Zimo
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            I mean i have it.

            1. Zimo
              • 5 Years
              3 years, 4 months ago

              Well don't have fabianski and Coufal yet but will in 19. Just did grealish and ings to rashford and adams cuz Grealish was annoying me

              1. Salarrivederci
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 4 months ago

                We all approach it slightly different.
                Personally I'm losing Grealish for JWP to free up money for Mitchell -> Coufal and Martínez -> Fabianski.
                But that won't be before Grealish has played West Bromwich and Crystal Palace 😉

                I've been burned on Rash so many times, and I think that Liverpool game in the DGW puts me a bit off.

                1. Zimo
                  • 5 Years
                  3 years, 4 months ago

                  Yeah I've taken an emotional decision. I will probably regret it. But my season hasn't been going well anyways so lets take the risk 😛

        3. Scholes Out For Summer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          A realistic team is this for TC

          Fabianski/McCarthy
          Chilwell Coufal Alioski
          Salah KDB Son Bruno Bowen/JWP
          Ings Bamford

          1. Zimo
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            But the team i gave is my team ._.

      2. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Yes, has to be a big consideration. Thanks

        At the moment, because I have two playing keepers and a bad bench that needs improving anyway, I think the ball is already rolling for a BB19 for me. And GW20 looks OK too - just need to map out the longer-term fixtures too.

        TC does look appealing when you put it like that.

        And you raise a good point about wildcard. Every transfer I make from now I'll be keeping the WC in mind and how best to hold it back.

        Used my first WC way too early - and badly!

      3. BremerHB
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        I'm aiming for something similar, albeit my bench isn't as good:

        Fabianski
        Robertson - James - Coufal - Dallas
        Salah - KDB - Bruno - Son
        Bamford - DCL

        Anguissa - Brewster - Douglas

        Fabianski could be Martinez and could get a playing defender like Taylor/Lewis on my bench.

  7. Fodderx4
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    a) Chilwell and KDB
    b) Robbo and Son + 1m

    strategy is to FH 18 and build for 19 with possible BB

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B, just. Fixtures swing it.

      1. Fodderx4
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers
        With b i could do kilman to James for a -4 or for free next week although James may rose i guess.
        Would you do it?

        1. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          If James is going to start for you, maybe.

  8. Wayne Enterprises
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Start Grealish or Gross?

    Martinez

    Taylor Lamptey James

    Bruno Rashford Son ___

    Kane (C) DCL Bamford

    Steer Bednarek Balbuena

  9. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Sorry if it's been covered but no Moyes presser today?

  10. Captain_Shirokov
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    KWP to Coufal worth it as a long term move? Plan on benching either this week anyway.

    1. MattysFantasyFooty
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I think so

  11. MattysFantasyFooty
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Who to start Coufal (che a) or Lewis (FUL H)?

    1. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      lewis

    2. Marcin the Pole
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Lewis

  12. Plagued by indecision
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Any issues here? Keen to save the FT but if anyone thinks there's something worth doing, I'd certainly consider it! 1 FT, 0.3 ITB

    Martinez
    Bednarek / Justin / Lewis
    KDB / Salah / Grealish / Fernandes / Lookman
    Kane / Bamford

    Subs: Button / Brewster / Balbuena / 3.8

    1. Killitzer
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Can’t you upgrade Brewster to anyone that plays a full game ?

      1. Plagued by indecision
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        What playing striker can you get for 4.8?

  13. Killitzer
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    I’m toying with-

    1. Mahrez + Chilwell ➡️ Salah + Taylor (-4)
    2. KDB ➡️ Salah (and hope Mahrez plays!)

  14. Marcin the Pole
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Start two of these three:

    Coufal (che)
    KWP (MCI)
    Justin (tot)

    1. BremerHB
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Coufal & KWP

    2. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No thanks. Surely better options or Ft?

      1. Marcin the Pole
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Nope afraid Chilwell and Mitchell other defs. And don't want any of them out before the week after so happy to ride it out.

    3. Rassi
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Coufal and Justin

  15. Rhodes your boat
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    When is moyes’s press conference?

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Already done

  16. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Sorry Reposted
    Pick the best
    A- Grealish + Vardy
    B- Neto / Podence + Kane
    C- Son + DCL
    D- Rashford + DCL

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      🙁 🙁 🙁

  17. R.C
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Are all the pressers donw?

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      done*

  18. teneighty
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    With 2 FT and neither the time nor the energy to start planning for blanks and doubles, is Vardy to Kane a reasonable transfer?

  19. No Professionals
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    FPL scout experts' captaincy picks
    Fernandes 6
    Kane 1
    Grealish 1

  20. cigan
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Would you rather lose McCarthy (get Martinez) or Adams (get Bamford) for the next 2 games?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Probably McCarthy but I prefer to have both Adams and Bamford

      1. cigan
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks - looking at this now

        gw14: Chilwell & McCarthy > James & Martinez
        gw15: Wilson > Bamford
        gw16: wildcard

        Still have the Walker problem

        1. cigan
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Still have the Walker problem but he'll surely play this weekend

  21. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Which 3 for the Double Game week 19

    A) KDB, Adams, Taylor
    B) Soucek, Robertson, Vardy

    If B would you keep them for subsequent weeks or find a way to get KDB back from GW 20

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B - 3DGW players which can bring in good points

  22. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    McCarthy
    Robertson Creswell Justin James Mitchell
    Salah Bruno Grealish Soucek Jota
    Jesus DCL Adams

    1 FT 1.9 ITB.

    Jota > Mahrez - good for this week?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I think he will play but not sure if he will haul against SOU.

  23. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A. Cancelo and Justin to Robbo and bench fodder
    B. Justin to James

    WC16
    2FT 1.3itb
    Martinez
    Chilwell Cancelo Taylor
    Salah KDB Bruno Grealish
    DCL Bamford Watkins
    (Peacock Ayling Justin Bissouma)

  24. BremerHB
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez
    James - Lamptey - Coufal
    Salah - Fernandes - Son - KDB - Grealish
    DCL - Bamford

    Steer - KWP - Brewster - Mitchell

    2 FT 0.2 ITB

    Which one?

    A) Mitchell -> Douglas (bring in some extra cash)
    B) Lamptey -> Dallas (with an eye on DGW19 and Lampteys "knock")

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B

  25. Herman Toothrot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Start Lewis or Coufal

    1. Pukkipartyy
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Lewis

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Coufal

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I think Lewis gets dropped after that horror show. Coufal

  26. Pukkipartyy
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Cresswell -> Coufal to free up funds?
    Worth of transfer?

    1. Herman Toothrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Not for me

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Depends how you plan to use the funds

      1. Pukkipartyy
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Start building BB team for gw19

    3. linkafu
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Nope

  27. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    1FT & 1.9m itb.

    Justin >> Reguilon or save FT.
    Will WC in 16 anyways.

    McCarthy
    James, Chilwell, Cresswell
    KDB, Bruno, Salah, Grealish, Cavaleiro
    Bamford, DCL
    (4.0, Justin, Mitchell, Davis*)

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Or any defender expect TAA and Robbo

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Save

  28. L S P
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    2 FTs, .2 ITB

    Hate burning a FT but nothing really to do is there?

    McC
    Robbo-James-Dias-Targett
    Salah-KNB-Bruno-Grealish-Gros
    Bamford

    Forster-Adams-Brewster-Dallas

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Maybe change forster to Brighton 4.0 GK

  29. FPL Maldini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    If I decide to use my 2FT's going into GW18 (then decide to FH) will I still have those two players in 19?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No. Reverts back to your GW17 team

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No

      1. FPL Maldini
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        ah that is frustrating

  30. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Neco Williams to Charlie Taylor with FT?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yes