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Runde 29 Community Managers

Gameweek 29 is upon us and with Molde guaranteed to finish second, the two giants Valerenga and Rosenborg will battle it out to finish third. Both sides should win their games against IK Start and Sandefjord respectively, which means Valerenga pip their rivals to that final European spot. It will be interesting to see what happens to Åge Hareide as the Knight of Dannebrog and former Denmark manager only recently became Rosenborg manager at the start of September earlier this year. It would seem incredibly harsh to do anything other than give him at least another season, as he has managed a win rate of 56.25% and has amassed 60% of possible points from his 16 games in charge. Whatever happens, it will be a tense final day of the season next Tuesday.

Stromsgodset have, like Odd, two games left to play which gives them a huge advantage over Start in the relegation playoff battle. The odds are already stacked against Start pulling off a result against Valerenga as it is, and with Stromsgodset needing just three points to avoid possible relegation from two games (Odd away and Stabaek at home) it would seem as though they will do just enough to stay in the division.

Bodo/Glimt have been smashing every single record possible this year. To make it easier to understand just how good they’ve been, I’ll bullet point some milestones they’ve reached:

• Most points in a season (since 1987): 78 – was 71

• Highest number of points per game (since 1987): 2.69 – was 2.42

• Most wins in a season (since 1963): 25 – was 22

• Highest win percentage in a season (since 1963): 86.2% – was 77.8%

• Most goals scored in a season (since 1963): 100 [3.44 goals per game] – was 87 [3.34 goals per game – 26 game season]

• Most home wins in a season (since 1963): 14 [won every single home game this season] – was 14

• Player to have most goals and assists combined (since 2005): Zinckernagel 37 in 27 games – was 33.

The team have been a revelation and will hopefully signal a change for the better for Norwegian football, with other teams looking to them for inspiration to improve the quality of their own style of play. There will be question marks over Philip Zinckernagel’s (9.6m) future along with captain Ulrik Saltnes (8.2m), Patrick Berg (4.5m) and forward Kasper Junker (9.9m). Many high-profile names have already left the Eliteserien for pastures new and it wouldn’t surprise if at least one or two Glimt players are not plying their trade in Norway next year. 

For me, Runde 28 did not play out the way I intended it to but I am at peace with my decisions to opt for more high-risk players rather than follow suit with everyone else in order to consolidate my ~700 OR. For me, I was always going to look at how I could move up rather than making sure I didn’t drop down too much. It’s been an underwhelming season but despite my shortcomings this season the lessons are there to be learnt from and 2021 is brand new opportunity to apply fresh thinking and start again.

However, this isn’t just about me. It’s been interesting to see how well the faithful readership have been doing so I’d like to give an overview of the FFS managers’ performances and where they might end up after the final week of the season:

• HotdogsForTea: 1913pts, 899OR – GW29: 155pts

• Eytexi: 2062pts, 13OR – GW29: 134pts

• Gertjan: 1981pts, 159OR – GW29: 162pts

• TheUnits: 1861pts, 2200OR – GW29: 149pts

• WhitbyTDuck: 1967pts, 250OR – GW29: 149pts

• Fresco: 2074pts, 8OR – GW29: 169pts

• Kinghenkka: 1974pts, 201OR – GW29: 169pts

• Nightrain: 2015pts, 62OR – GW29: 162pts

• Troux: 1901pts, 1116OR – GW29: 168pts

• Ramboros: 2089pts, 6OR – GW29: 175pts

• Dupuytrens: 1807pts, 4180OR – GW29: 102pts

• Niemi: 2046pts, 30OR – GW29: 140pts

There are some absolutely cracking scores here and it’s worth noting that everyone mentioned scored over 100pts in GW29 which is lovely to see. With number one in the world currently sitting on 2127pts, it seems a Sisyphean task for any of our managers to catch him, with the most likely being Ramboros who in 6th place is 38 points behind. That seems like a bridge too far, but stranger things have happened. He is just 6 points behind 3rd, so an incredible top 3 finish is certainly on the cards. He waited until GW29 to play Rich Uncle which almost resulted in 200pts, and is still yet to play his second Wildcard. Second place ‘Guldberglia Gutters’ still have their Spissrush to play so it could be all change at the top of the pile as no other manager in the top 6 has any chips remaining.

Sitting a further 15 points behind Ramboros, Fresco will look to cement a top 10 finish despite not having any chips left. A couple of teams behind him still have one chip to play which could present some issues but with respectable finishes of 682 in 2017 and 861 in 2019, top 10 looks like a real possibility and would be a remarkable achievement.

A little bit further down is frequent poster Eytexi on 2062pts. With just 16pts separating him and Niemi (30th) and himself being only 12pts behind Fresco, it’s so close I’m feeling claustrophobic writing this. All four managers could genuinely finish in the top 10 which makes this final gameweek so difficult to judge for those players. How much risk can they mitigate against their position? How much will they invest in a potential rank climb which could either provide huge gains or catastrophic losses?

With 2015pts, Nightrain finds himself a mere 12pts behind 50th place. To finish 3694th last season and now be in a position to rank in the top 50 is a huge, huge feat of perseverance. Hats off to him. 

Gertjan has also had a much improved season after three consecutive seasons finishing outside the top 1300. To be 159th and 16pts off the top 150 is sensational and even though he – like most other managers – has used all his chips, finds his team in good shape for the final gameweek with a real chance to move up. 

Even outside of the top 50,100,150, it is so close. Kinghenkka may be 42 places behind Gertjan but that equates to seven points. In fact he’s only 23pts off the top 100. WhitbyTDuck is another manager who will be feeling the pressure. 250th overall but again, only just behind everyone else. Everyone mentioned so far will be racking their brains as to what to do for GW30 and with the league as unpredictable as it is, it’s anyone’s guess who ends up where.

HotdogsForTea will be biting his nails in his bid to finish in the top 1000 even though he is 111 places ahead, it’s actually a miniscule 5pts difference. TheUnits and myself find ourselves in a similar position, having failed to build on momentum in recent weeks. As it’s his first season playing and not knowing much about the league I think he’s in line for a good finish and should look ahead to build on that rank next season. Having a yo-yo season to rival Odds in the league, Dupuytrens is a bit further down in 4180 but with a bit of luck could break into the top 3000 which is 30pts away. Having hit triple figures three times this season I hope he can take solace in the fact he’s managed to have some good gameweeks even if the consistency wasn’t there.

I’m not going to providing any stats or any ‘advice’ (if I’m even in a position to be able to do such a thing!) as we enter the final gameweek. With so much at stake and the potential for so many things to go wrong, it seems like the absolute wrong time to suggest any players whatsoever. I simply wish everyone good luck and hope come Tuesday you’re all rewarded with green arrows for your efforts.

At the end of the season, I will hopefully be able to provide more articles looking back on the season and am interested to collate all Fantasy points scored by every single player in the league. As I am not too sure how long all the information stays up on the website, this is something I intend to do ASAP. If anyone might be interested in helping me collect this data I would very much appreciate a comment below and I will look into making the Excel document live so that members of the community can contribute to this effort. I aim to be able to analyse this information to go into the next season armed with more useful information in order to start off with as good a team as possible.

ReindeerHotdog ESF: https://en.fantasy.eliteserien.no/entry/12433/event/17 Follow me on Twitter: @ReindeerHotdog”

23 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Rotation's Alter Ego
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 10 Years
    11 months, 16 days ago

    Cheers for all the work this season RH, looking forward to seeing what else you have planned! Been a pleasure reading through these, even if I'm not playing.

    Best of luck to the community for the last week, hoping to hear some great success stories!

  2. Eytexi
    • 3 Years
    11 months, 16 days ago

    Fantastic article, yet again. Thank you for all your hard work this season getting these articles out, the consistency in the quality of your community articles has been outstanding.

    Had a bit of a mare last week but hard to complain given that it can be put down to nothing more than a few poor decisions. And, that said, this has been a great season and whoever wins absolutely deserves it. Congratulations whoever it may be.

    Top 9 OR & holding #1 in England are my hopes, single figure rank just so satisfying 😉

    Good luck all, I'll be back for the title next season.

    1. ReindeerHotdog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 15 days ago

      Great season for you mate and #1OR in England would be well-deserved if completely astonishing.

      Interested to see where you end up on Tuesday!

  3. Onz
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 16 days ago

    A very tough competition this year and I did not give it the attention it deserved but still enjoyable.
    My final faux pas for the season was to transfer out Ohi for a double GW player. Bakenga had better score 20 plus in the last game against Brann 🙂

    Congratulations to those that competed and achieved their target OR.
    If I come back next year it will be a semi set and forget team with changes only to play the chips and cover players sold outside the league. Thanks again for articles and banter all the best from New Zealand 🙂

  4. ReindeerHotdog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 16 days ago

    Cheers for the kind words. It's appreciated! I am aware the article should be Runde 30 not 29... only realised after it was put up hah.

    I completely forgot about the deadline. When I submitted my article I even emailed Ted to apologise for submitting it so late as I thought the games were on Sunday not Saturday...

    And for that reason I'm playing Gregersen and Brynhildsen and Bakenga this week! Awesome!

    Would have played Sormo for Gregrsen and I had planned to bring in Salvesen and Maigaard for Brynhildsen and Bakenga. Overall wouldn't have made a difference but it was a tad frustrating!

    Think I'll squeeze in a shout out to Geoff who is sneaking up the leaderboard and could end on a high. Will be interesting to see everyone's final placings.

  5. Hotdogs for Tea
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    11 months, 16 days ago

    nice write up, much appreciated all season ... aiming for top 500 now 😉

  6. Whitby T Duck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    11 months, 15 days ago

    Great work through the season RH, really enjoyed your analysis and thoughts. Living in NZ, and with zero knowledge of Norwegian football, your articles (and the comments from other knowledgeable souls) have helped me massively in making decisions on transfers (mostly positively!)

    Wishing all a Merry Christmas!

  7. troux
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Yes, thank you Reindeerhotdog for the Eliteserien articles over the course of the season!

    In my pursuit of the top 1,000 I decided to take a -12 for this final GW. I took out Kjartansson, Saltnes, Brynhildsen and Vidar Ari Jónsson, for Salvesen, Dønnum, Pellegrino and Betten Hansen. I Kaptained Junker, as I thought he'd be hungry for the Golden Boot. Started the GW at 1,116 OR, now currently 1,033 OR, so really hoping I've done enough to get me over the line.

    What moves did everyone else make this GW?

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      Brought in Bjørnbak for Reginiussen & Björtuft for Gregersen -4

      Paid off already as both my outgoing players were non starters

  8. KAPTAIN KANE
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    Patience in Barnes pays dividends!

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 14 days ago

      GW30 is a lot of patience

  9. FFS Ultras are for Kinnear
    • 8 Years
    11 months, 14 days ago

    I'm still confused on what to do about GW18/19

  10. Ramboros
    • 10 Years
    11 months, 13 days ago

    Congratulations to FC 78 with the FFS league win. Pretty average last GW for me.

  11. Hotdogs for Tea
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    11 months, 13 days ago

    that was a roller coaster of a season 🙂

  12. ffs casual
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 13 days ago

    It was fun. Until next season. Many thanks Reindeerhotdog for all the articles, hopefuly we will see the same next season. Congratulations to the winner of the FFS and Ramboros as runner up.

  13. Eytexi
    • 3 Years
    11 months, 13 days ago

    Ended up 21st overall. Hard not to be disappointed after being 4th a few weeks ago, but equally hard to complain. I'll be back up there next season, I can guarentee you that. Thank you all for being a part of this great season & good luck with FPL for the time being. And congrats to those who prevailed, of course.

  14. FPLnashville
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 13 days ago

    Thank you RH for all the hard work that has gone in to the articles this season, I've really enjoyed reading them and got a lot out of it!

    I finished just outside the top 1k last year but went much better this year finishing 71st and Wales number 1

  15. Fresco
    • 11 Years
    11 months, 13 days ago

    Similarly to Eytexi, I narrowly lost my spot in the top 10 with some unfortunate outcomes in the last gameweek for my squad. I cannot complain having 9 consecutive green arrows priorhand. Congrats to FC78 and everyone else mentioned doing a tremendous job this season!

    Having stopped playing FPL after a top 500 season a couple of years ago, I'm calling it quits on season long fantasy football. I don't have much time to dig deep on stats and video these days and I'm a bit burned out. It's been a great time in this community for more than a decade. Best of luck to everyone and thanks for your input, all contributors.

    What have been your season highlights or regrets? I'll write a longer post on this later. First thing that comes to mind is missing out on Hauge for a long time due to the imminent transfer to Cercle Brugge speculation early on.

  16. ReindeerHotdog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 12 days ago

    Cheers for the kind words and congrats on everyone who finished strong.

    Next season is a new challenge and the biggest piece of advice I can give is to look at where you went wrong this season and try to apply a different methodology next year.

    For me it was being far too happy to make more transfers than necessary and feeling like I missed the boat when actually I could have still got on board if I wanted to.

    Saving chips seems to be a decent way to approach the season as there will undoubtedly be some uncertainty next year so we should hold on to as many get out of jail free cards as possible.

    I intend to carry on writing as many articles as Geoff and Ted let me/want me to so if you're interested in season reviews, team analysis and player overviews make sure you keep coming back over the next few months. I'll also keep everyone updated regarding transfer news on monthly basis at least so hopefully nothing comes as a surprise before next season.

    Have a good Christmas and New Years everyone.

  17. Hotdogs for Tea
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    11 months, 12 days ago

    ciao x

  18. ReindeerHotdog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 4 days ago

    Just going over some stats and I've noticed that Islamovic wasn't credited his goal in R26 versus Bodo/Glimt where Rosenborg lost 5-1.

    On WhoScored.com and Sofascore, he's accredited with the goal and Rosenborg's own Twitter feed agrees.

    Anyone know why ESF didn't give the goal to him? Says he has 11 goals for the season but officially as far as I'm aware he's scored 12.

    ESF have it as an own goal for Hoibraten with the ESF assist going to Adegbenro but officially it's marked as Konate assist and Islamovic goal. Very strange - thought ESF would go on what the official record is rather than make that kind of decision for themselves.

    Frustrating as I have to 'agree' with the figure of 11 when using the Fantasy information in further analysis. Odd.

  19. ReindeerHotdog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 4 days ago

    Some really interesting transfer rumours, especially regarding a lot of Glimt players. Will be putting together something in the coming days regarding this.

    Zinckernagel has secured a 4 and a half year deal with Watford - imagine seeing the guy running around in the Premier League.

    What a team Glimt have. Bjorkan being linked with Premier League teams and Junker possibly on his way to the Championship too.

    How Patrick Berg hasn't been snapped up yet is beyond me. I think he's a better player or at least as good as Sander Berge - would get quality development if he was thrown in at the deep end in the Premier League. Flip side of this is Glimt could have their historical team torn apart and actually not make much money from losing their best players. At least they got a pay day for Hauge but hopefully they are able to compete with Valerenga and Molde next season.

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 13 days ago

      yes just noticed Zinckernagel at Watford ... will be interesting to see how he plays as a small fish in a bigger pond