Metrics

How Wildcarding top 10k FPL managers have prepared for Double Gameweek 19

A significant portion of Fantasy Premier League managers inside the top 10,000 overall rankings re-shaped their squads for Gameweek 16.

9.3% of those deployed the first Wildcard at the last chance of asking for the final Gameweek of 2020 – with Mohamed Salah (£12.6m) very much a key figure.

Thanks to the data on LiveFPL.net, we can analyse which other assets played a part in this squad shuffle, especially thinking of the upcoming Blank and Double Gameweeks.

Firstly, we can see that, as the Gameweek 16 deadline passed, 92.0% of top 10k managers had used the first Wildcard.

That means that just over 8.0% of those at this level proverbially ‘wasted’ it by leaving the chip unused.

Could that indicate a degree of inactivity even among the top 10k, or were there that many managers happy enough with their existing squad not to need it. Imaging that luxury is enough to make anyone envious.

As you can see from the bar chart above, we can see that, after 16 Gameweeks, 5.0% of the top 10k achieved their lofty rank without the use of even one chip.

64.6% have deployed one, almost certainly the Wildcard based on the rule of probability, while the relative lack of managers to have used more than that suggests we should see plenty Triple Captains, Free Hits and Bench Boosts when the Blank and Double Gameweeks come around.

As mentioned already, Salah was the key man on top 10k Wildcards, selected by 95.9% of these managers, the most of any asset.

He is marginally more popular than Bruno Fernandes (£11.1m) and Patrick Bamford (£6.5m), included in 95.8% and 94.6% of top 10k Wildcard squads respectively.

Despite blanking in five of the last nine Gameweeks, Son Heung-min (£9.7m) is not far behind the trio in terms of Wildcard support, chosen by 88.0% of these managers. 

Back-to-back home matches against newly-promoted opposition are sure to have influenced that decision, as well as a fixture in Blank Gameweek 18, taking Spurs to Villa Park.

Midfield is certainly an area where the top 10k have been as unanimous as possible in terms of selection, Tomáš Souček (£5.1m) selected by 70.2% of Wildcarders at this level ahead of a Double Gameweek line-up of Burnley (home) and West Bromwich Albion (home).

Apart from Bamford, the top 10k were less emphatic in the overall choices up-front. It is certainly noteworthy that Harry Kane (£11.0m) was considerably less popular in these Wildcard squads than Son with 55.7% inclusion.

Also interesting is the fact that Che Adams (£6.1m) has picked up the support of 41.7%, the value offered by a striker facing Leicester (away) and Leeds (away) in Double Gameweek 19.

Premium defenders struggled to get much of a look-in for top 10k Wildcarders, none of the top-five most-fashionable assets in this position costing more than £5.0m at the time of writing.

James Justin‘s (£5.0m) remarkable powers of recovery have helped him start and play 90 minutes in every match for Leicester this season, even between Gameweeks 15 and 16.

The top 10k have cottoned onto that, especially those Wildcarding, 62.0% choosing him ahead of a Double Gameweek 19 line-up of Southampton (home) and Chelsea (home).

Charlie Taylor (£4.5m) and Stuart Dallas (£4.7m) are in just shy of 60% of top 10k Wildcard squads, with Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Kyle Walker-Peters (£4.8m) also extensively included.

In terms of what these selections mean for future chip planning, the fact that so many popular Wildcard assets are Double Gameweekers indicates the Free Hit could receive extensive attention in Blank Gameweek 18.

In terms of how that compares with the template for the rest of the top 10k rank bracket, there are some notable exclusions.

Jack Grealish (£7.8m) is in 53.8% of squads at this level but did not feature in the Wildcard template.

The same goes for Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£8.0m), currently owned by 62.8% of the top 10k.

Meanwhile, it is clear that the Wildcarders at this level used the chip to bring their defence in line with the overall template, the same five players appearing in each matrix we have compared.

Finally, Salah is the most dangerous asset in the top 10k for Gameweek 16, backed by 54.3% for the captaincy.

That brings his effective ownership at this level to 142.8%, 46.1 percentage points higher than the second-placed in that category: Manchester United midfielder Fernandes.

It is also interesting to note how the stock of Spurs attackers has fallen, especially in the captaincy debate.

A home meeting with Fulham stood out to many as a key game for those in possession of Son and Kane – less so now.

Spurs’ own slump is likely a contributing factor as well as Fulham’s improved defensive displays.

As a result, Kane and Son were captained only by 19.8% and 13.5% of the top 10k respectively.

Statistics taken from LiveFPL.net.

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1,903 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Orion
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Giroud on 3 baps

  2. Right In The Stanchion
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Chelsea will always be a small club.

    1. Brehmeren
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      One more time?

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Prefer the no where to hide posts

    3. Seanigula
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Look down...that small?

  3. Canarinha
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Too much of a rotation risk... kinda like Jesus-Kun situation

    Tammy/Giroud rotating way too much

  4. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    No Palace
    No Leicester
    No Chelsea
    No Villa

    Had KDB & Cancelo to come tonight!

    Boo (... and Chelsea didn't even win!)

    1. diesel001
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Good results for you today then, other than perhaps a Chilwell assist.

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Yeah - low-key content.

    2. Christina.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      hang in there.

  5. Pukkipartyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    We ppl are so sure Newcastle vs Liverpool to be canceled? I tought they would play if they can field enough players. Ofc if there is bad outbrake, but thats at the City team no at NEW or LFC.

    1. Salarrivederci
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      I guess it's panic galore at the moment.

      Son benched, Kane benched, Liverpool off. It is all madness in here 😀

      1. Slouch87
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        It's a load of speculation based on no fact whatsoever.

    2. Brehmeren
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Nobody is sure of that.

    3. Canadian Football
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      They will play.

    4. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Liverpool have a lot of squad immunity anyway

      1. Pukkipartyy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        So do Newcastle?

        1. Brehmeren
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Yes?

    5. Bushwhacker
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 25 days ago

      There’s nothing to suggest it will be canceled

  6. zotter
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Sorry if this has been discussed at length....

    But with Covid on fire I seriously think the valid option is

    A. Use FH18
    B. Use BB19

    You will get plenty of pop up options to use TC where you don’t have time to plan

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Will you get to fully use the BB?

      1. Here's Tom with the We…
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Was planning to bb19, not sure I will now.

      2. Daniel - When to BB?
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        BB during Spring after the vaccine me thinks

  7. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Anyone on bb taking a punt on Johnson at West Ham? Most people I’m talking to think he’ll carry on starting

  8. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Good news

    LMS safety score currently 0

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

    1. Duke Silver ☑
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      😆

    2. Don Kloppeone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Not for me - I’m on -1 from 1!

    3. Jdpz
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 25 days ago

      What is lms?

    4. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Update : safety score is 1 after autosubs 🙂

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        You’re killing me 🙁

    5. Daniel - When to BB?
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      I am still in it

    6. WE GO FOR IT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Good. I have exactly that many. 1 pointer Brewster coming in as well. So, I'm accounted for auto subs as well

    7. Hotdogs for Tea
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      do you have a link to the GW LMS scores so I can check if I can join ?

    8. Basil1977
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      why wasn't that the score after gw 1 where i went out

    9. Sir Alex Telles.
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      On 1 point.

  9. ads7680
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 25 days ago

    Which looks best for free? Thanks.

    A. Grealish > Son
    B. Grealish > Raphina, bank the cash.
    C. DCL > Vardy

  10. Inazuma X1
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 25 days ago

    This is gonna be another one of those low scoring week eh

    1. Joey Tribbiani
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Yep that Martinez 3 pointer could be a huge haul

    2. Salarrivederci
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 25 days ago

      Cup starting next week right? 😀

      1. Don Kloppeone
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Ha if only

    3. Bielsa Murderball
        3 months, 25 days ago

        Where can I find my opponent for the Cup?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          It's qualifying this GW.

          1. Bielsa Murderball
              3 months, 25 days ago

              oh okay...first season here 🙂

          2. KnightSlayer
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Got to qualify first this week

        2. Whiskerz
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Who plays cb for Liverpool in place of matip during the dgw do we think?

          1. MSTRKRFTSMN
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Probabky matip - it’s a month away

            1. Whiskerz
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 25 days ago

              I read he's probably out for the season

          2. Canadian Football
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Williams?

          3. Old Man
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Hendo????

          4. Dr Van Nostrand
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Probably a new CB signing

          5. WE GO FOR IT
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            I would've said Vestergaard but he got injured. They will surely be looking for a new player.

        3. Pedersen
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          Who to get instead of grealish? Zaha, or El Ghazi? Got 7.8m to buy for

          1. james 101
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            Maddy?

          2. jdp219
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            2FTs, 0.3itb. Probably FH in gw18.
            1) Kilman > Taylor & roll the other?
            2) Kilman, KDB > Stones, Son
            3) Forster, KDB > Meslier, Son (bench McCarthy vs. Pool in 17)

            McCarthy, Forster
            Chilwell, Targett, KWP, Coufal, Kilman
            Salah, KDB, Bruno, Grealish, Soucek
            DCL, Bamford, Wilson

            1. jdp219
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 25 days ago

              Oh, wow. Big reply fail. Apologies.

        4. Don Kloppeone
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 25 days ago

          All 3 of my targets between now and GW19 BB (Johnstone, Soucek, Taylor) look to be rising tonight! What a pain - really would rather not be forced to take a -8 this early!

          1. Steve The Spud
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 25 days ago

            No way I’m making any early moves this week

            1. Don Kloppeone
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 25 days ago

              I really don’t want to either but my options will be severely limited if all rise

              1. Tango74
                  3 months, 25 days ago

                  But then u could a player who match gets postponed!

                  1. Don Kloppeone
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 3 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    Indeed. What a mess!

            2. Daniel - When to BB?
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 25 days ago

              They might not rise because of so many WC played

              1. Don Kloppeone
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 25 days ago

                Anyway to see difference between real transfers and WC on fpl stats etc?

            3. Podge
              • 10 Years
              3 months, 25 days ago

              Exact money?

              1. Don Kloppeone
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 25 days ago

                0.1 spare

          2. Sid07
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 25 days ago

            1) grealish to raphina
            2) grealish to son
            3) kdb to son

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 25 days ago

              None atm.

              1. Daniel - When to BB?
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 25 days ago

                Finally I agree with TM usual advice to do nothing

                1. Sid07
                  • 6 Years
                  3 months, 25 days ago

                  Lol
                  Grealish dropping tonight, so plan to move him out

                  1. Mweene
                    • 7 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    Doesn’t seem a good idea to make early transfers at the moment.

                    1. Sid07
                      • 6 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      Have 2fts
                      But I get your point, will hold for now

            2. Wizardh
                3 months, 25 days ago

                Grealish to Maddison

            3. camarozz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 25 days ago

              For free with dgw19(BB) in mind.

              Macey➡️McCarthy
              Mitchel➡️Balbuena?

              1. Bielsa Murderball
                  3 months, 25 days ago

                  yep, although not now

                  1. camarozz
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    I can wait, have exact cash but neither are rising/falling I think

              2. Zim0
                • 2 Years
                3 months, 25 days ago

                1 from 1. (Keinan Davis :P) Am i above average?

                1. Bielsa Murderball
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    I guess not ... I got 2 and a 50k red arrow

                2. KnightSlayer
                  • 9 Years
                  3 months, 25 days ago

                  Do you think man city players will be able to play Chelsea on the 1st

                  1. Wizardh
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      Doubt it

                    • Gudjohnsen
                      • 4 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      0,01% chance

                    • Hotdogs for Tea
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 5 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      nope

                  2. KnightSlayer
                    • 9 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    I mean the second

                    1. KnightSlayer
                      • 9 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      Sorry chelsea v man city on the 3rd

                    2. Jimmers
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      same answer

                  3. Salarrivederci
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    Saw some talk about a Man U fixture in the BGW.
                    When will we know more about that?

                    1. UNDERWORLD7
                      • 9 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      Would of happened by now I would of imagined if it were to be moved to 18

                      1. Salarrivederci
                        • 4 Years
                        3 months, 25 days ago

                        Ye I agree, but it is a strange season though? 🙂

                        Would just be perfect for my team if Man U played in 18.
                        Always planned to FH 18 and TC19, but If Man U have a match I would do a -8 between now and GW18 and then a -4 before 19 and save me FH for BGW29 😉

                    2. WE GO FOR IT
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 5 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      Should be this week if there's any news. Can't see them scheding it within a week if it goes to next week.

                  4. Lindelol
                    • 2 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    Should I move out Dias??

                  5. palace ash
                    • 11 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    8 per cent of the top 10k burned their first wildcard or are dead teams. Depressing!

                    1. KAPTAIN KANE
                      • 4 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      An early Wildcard really benefitted a lot this season, think of the early Kane/Son/Bruno hauls so wouldn’t call it burning.
                      Some of the dead teams probably just have really good XIs with Salah/Bruno perma captain

                      1. Lindelol
                        • 2 Years
                        3 months, 25 days ago

                        GW3 wildcarders like me were the real losers. 3 city and 2 wolves instead of kane and son 🙁

                      2. palace ash
                        • 11 Years
                        3 months, 25 days ago

                        Burning as in they didn't use it. GW16 passed and they have yet to Wildcard once.

                        1. Lindelol
                          • 2 Years
                          3 months, 25 days ago

                          ohh - most of them might be dead teams or may be over-thinkers - anyways its really weird

                        2. KAPTAIN KANE
                          • 4 Years
                          3 months, 25 days ago

                          Ahhh I see!

                  6. nkhoughton
                    • 5 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    Best cheap defensive teams for the dgw?

                    Torn between Leeds and WHU atm I already have Chelsea and Leicester defenders

                  7. CroatianHammer
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 5 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    Double Citeh blank = Klich and Lewis I imagine, unless it's Lamptey who recovers in time. Delighted with 3 from Martinez there, I know Mark wasn't sure of a CS but the save point was welcomed.

                  8. KAPTAIN KANE
                    • 4 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    Does the fplstats site show transfers in the price changes from prior to today’s deadline? Or has it reset for the new week?

                  9. Fred54
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 25 days ago

                    On Amazon they aren't even talking about Everton Citeh game, where's the build up?

                    1. WE GO FOR IT
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 5 Years
                      3 months, 25 days ago

                      Behind clsed doors. Points will be added when they show the match on TV after a few weeks.

                    2. Bielsa Murderball
                        3 months, 25 days ago

                        Its postponed due to Covid.

                      • Podge
                        • 10 Years
                        3 months, 25 days ago

                        No game to talk about

                    3. Tango74
                        3 months, 25 days ago

                        Why people doing WC or transfers?

                        High rate of games getting called off during to Covid

                        1. KAPTAIN KANE
                          • 4 Years
                          3 months, 25 days ago

                          Gives them something to do

                      • Flair
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        3 months, 25 days ago

                        Personally feeling ecstatic at that 2 pointer from Grealish, a massive haul in a GW like this

                      • Connor's Calling
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 11 Years
                        3 months, 25 days ago

                        Quick reminder please- am I right in thinking that carrying 2 transfers into a FH means you lose a transfer and only have 1 after the FH GW?

                        1. Fred54
                          • 6 Years
                          3 months, 25 days ago

                          Yes.

                        2. ClassiX
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 2 Years
                          3 months, 25 days ago

                          Yes, correct