Pro Pundit Teams

Three-time top 200 finisher Lateriser on City, captaincy and the Blanks and Doubles

The reigning FPL champion of India, Lateriser, shares his thoughts ahead of the Gameweek 16 deadline.


Things are moving incredibly fast in the Fantasy Premier League world and it’s important to stay on top of things and react. Traditionally, this is the period where the engaged FPL managers make ground on the casuals (who are getting not so casual, year on year).

For your information, I am writing this article on the morning after Saturday’s games so the piece will not contain relevant information from Sunday’s matches. Due to the current fifth-gear nature of FPL, this will be a freestyle ramble of all things I want to address.

First up, we need to talk about Manchester City. They are one of the prime culprits for my poor start to the season. In my Gameweek 3 Wildcard, I got in a triple City midfield and have had two City attackers for the most part of the season.

That explains my rank (1.7 million at the time of writing, which is a lot better than the 3.1 million it was in Gameweek 12). It has taken me so long to readjust my thinking in this case and I have definitely failed to adapt. Their fixtures from Gameweek 10 to 15 seduced me like prime Demi Moore (Burnley, Fulham, West Brom an Newcastle at home) and being a fixtures guy all my life, I jumped in.

I mean, we’re talking about Pep Guardiola and the most attacking team in the country for the past three years. But one of the signs of a good FPL manager is to adapt. I didn’t and my rank shows that. After watching Manchester City play Newcastle United last night, I was convinced that the play with the Citizens is their defence not their attack. I know I’m stating the obvious but we have three viable defender options from Guardiola’s side (I own two of them), all three of whom are under £6.0m.

For what they offer for their price, I personally think that taking the odd rest/rotation from them is fine because of the significant value they offer. City are playing a different brand of football (all audition games for the Champions League knockout stages) and we need to re-align our thinking with their attack.

One manager who did adapt is my pod-partner and fellow Pro Pundit, Zophar. He’s been sitting on double City defence since his Gameweek 9 Wildcard and reaping the rewards. That move reeks of low-key shrewdness that can go a long way in having a good season. He was sitting at 970k on his Gameweek 9 Wildcard and is currently at 119k.

What about Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m), though? Well, if we’re talking about the game yesterday, except for that one-on-one chance, he didn’t do much else.

Manchester City are eighth amongst all teams filtered by shots in the box over the last four matches. Yes, De Bruyne is shooting a lot and is playing further up the field, but I get the feeling that while he’s a clean striker of the ball, he takes a fair amount of time to get his shot off. As a result, a large chunk of his efforts just seem to get blocked.

Here’s some more data for you. These are the average expected per goals 90 minutes (xG/90) figures for Manchester City this year and the past three years:

SeasonxG/90
2020/211.6
2019/202.5
2018/192.2
2017/182.1

It just seems like us holding De Bruyne at the moment is for three reasons: ability, history and fear. Yes, he may explode and get a game with a penalty, an assist and a goal. But the more you actually watch Manchester City, the further away such a haul seems given that Pep Guardiola is channelling his inner Louis van Gaal these days.

I myself haven’t made the decision whether I’m holding or selling him but I will need to before Gameweek 16. To fund Harry Kane (£11.0m) into my team, I either need to downgrade Jack Grealish (£7.8m) to Raphinha (£5.4m) or move De Bruyne to Son Heung-min (£9.7M). It’s fair to say that I’ll be scouting some players tonight and Sadio Mane (£11.9m) is also someone I am monitoring closely.

A lot of you will be on a Wildcard while reading this article and I’d like to reiterate and say that don’t have a single-minded, tunnel-vision focus on just the Blank and Double Gameweeks. Every Gameweek counts and focusing on just Gameweek 18 and 19 isn’t going to help you. I urge again to look at the fixtures for players you are bringing in on your Wildcard before Gameweek 18 and after Gameweek 19.

At the moment, I’m looking at going chipless in Gameweek 18 and maybe using the Triple Captain chip in Gameweek 19. It is with this thought that I recruited both the Manchester City centre-backs before Gameweek 15 so as to play them in Gameweeks 18 and 19, and I particularly like their fixtures from Gameweek 20-22.

I’ll briefly talk about captaincy in Gameweeks 16 and 17. Scanning through the fixtures, Mohamed Salah (£12.6m) and the Spurs attacking duo stand out as captaincy options. The game against the Cottagers seems like a more Kane than Son game as I expect Fulham to sit deep, which means more chances closer to the box for the England international.

That said, Fulham are on a bit of a resurgence and are in the best five teams for expected goals conceded (xGC) in the last four matches. Spurs, on the other hand, are second only to West Brom for expected goals (xG), but we’ve seen that this does not seem to matter with them too much because if they score, it is very highly likely that their premium FPL duo will be involved.

I just happen to trust Salah and Liverpool a lot more than Spurs at the moment, which is why Salah will likely have my armband in Gameweek 16. Unlike Fulham, Newcastle are in the worst five defences in the league for expected goals conceded in the last five matches.

Gameweek 17, though, is where I’m looking to captain a Spurs attacker. A match against Leeds United should be considered as a prime fixture for captaincy and on paper, this just looks like a Son game to me, given the space Leeds United offer their opposition. The one good thing about this game is that we know that Bielsa is stubborn about his style of play and we can rely on him to offer the opposition tonnes of space to run behind. This captaincy call in Gameweek 18 might be what influences my transfer decision later tonight, depending on how the games pan out.

I hope you’ve enjoyed reading what is possibly my last article for the calendar year. Here’s hoping that 2021 is a much better year for all of us.

As a side note, I would like to thank Fantasy Football Scout for the opportunity to write for them and all of you for reading my articles, supporting me and always providing me with valuable feedback.

Given the year that we’ve had, I’d just like to add a small note on mental health. I haven’t had a good season from an FPL point of view (so far) but I’m slowly beginning to climb the table. That hasn’t affected my enjoyment of the game at all.

Firstly, those of you that are struggling should remember that at the end of the day, this is just a game and that is exactly how you should treat it. If you ask me personally, I’m really enjoying this challenge of a bad start and am simply focusing on making good decisions week on week.

One of the best things about this game is that it enables you to talk to likeminded strangers from all over the world and develop new friendships. That is the essence of the FPL community. That is the primary. The rank is secondary. A lot of you ask me about my rank goal and I personally feel it is too early to think about that. FPL is about assimilating information between Gameweeks and then making decisions. Focus on that and make good decisions and leave the rest to chance because the rest isn’t in your control.

Secondly, the ‘perceived’ bad luck appears greater than it is because of the slow-drip of games that we are witnessing. So if you do end up watching a lot of matches, you do end up seeing a lot of chances missed, which just leads to a greater tilt. Just know that on an average, it takes four to five chances for a player to score a goal and these single incidents become magnified in your head because in most cases, you are watching one game at a time. Expectation management during FPL is a thing so that you don’t drive yourself crazy.

 I repeat, it’s just a game.


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1,821 Comments Post a Comment
  1. tabby98
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 3 days ago

    What should I do here guys?

    Mccarthy (Nyland)
    Chilwell, Coufal, KWP, Justin (Mitchell)
    Salah, KDB, Bruno, Grealish (Stephens)
    DCL, Bamford, Wilson

    1FT £1.5m ITB

    KDB + Wilson ---> Son + Wilson (-4) ??

    Please help

    1. Houldsworth Hatter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      You want to take a hit to transfer Wilson to himself?? 😀

      1. tabby98
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Sorry I meant Vardy Lol

    2. tabby98
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      KDB + Wilson ---> Son + Vardy***

      1. Houldsworth Hatter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        In all seriousness, I would. Perhaps over 2GW in case Vardy gets rested?

        1. tabby98
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 3 days ago

          So KDB out for Son this Gw and vardy in next week?

    3. trinzoo
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      I would save and reassess next GW.

      1. tabby98
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Hmmm I was thinking this but the fixtures are tempting me to take a hit

    4. Raybigblue
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Had he same problem went dcl firmino this week wilson and KDB to Martial and Son

  2. Weeb Kakashi
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 3 days ago

    Play Wilson OR PVA??

    1. The Knights Template
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Wilson.

  3. trinzoo
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 3 days ago

    Would you start (Matip stays in my team):

    A) Coufal (sou)
    B) Holding (bha)

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      A

    2. The Knights Template
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      B

    3. Bleh
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      A

  4. juanmata8
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 3 days ago

    Mccarthy
    Dias Robertson Dallas Dias
    KDB Bruno Salah(c) Grealish
    Bamford Adams

    Steer DCL KWP Alzate

    1 FT 0.5 itb

    a) Save FT
    b) Grealish + DCL > Son + Rodrigo/Welbeck (-4)
    c) Grealish + DCL > Vardy + Soucek
    d) Grealish + DCL > Martial + Neto

    TIA!

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      A

    2. rowdog24
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Double Dias

      1. juanmata8
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Taylor

    3. Bleh
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Dias x2 - noice!

      A

    4. rowdog24
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Double D, da ba dye, da ba dee da ba dye

  5. drughi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 3 days ago

    Did forster >Johnstone in prep for gw 19bb, anything worth a hit here ? bench correct ?

    Mccarthy
    Ayling Robertson Dier
    Salah(C) Bruno Son Grealish
    Adams Vardy Bamford

    johnstone soucek coufal douglas.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Why on earth would you think anything worth a hit there?

      1. drughi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        grealish>rafinha or douglas>playing dgw defender

    2. Il Capitano
        2 months, 3 days ago

        No hits needed, bench order good

    3. TB303
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      On a free and will play chip in the blank.

      A) KDB -> Mane
      B) KDB -> Son
      C) Save

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        A

      2. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        A

      3. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        A. I did that move. Spurs just too defensive even with the next 2 fixtures.

      4. TB303
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        ok thanks all !

      5. Bleh
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        B

    4. The Duke
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      What do you reckon?

      a. Keep Wilson
      b. Wilson > Bamford
      c. Wilson > Watkins

      Cheers.

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        B

      2. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        B in a heartbeat.

      3. George Agdgdgwngo
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        B

      4. The Duke
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Cheers all.
        Tx done

    5. Sz21
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      McCarthy.
      Robbo, Stones, Dallas, Coufal.
      Salah, Son, KDB, Fernandes.
      Bamford, DCL.
      Forster, Lookman, Brewster, Ferguson.
      1ft, 0.6m ITB. FH 18, TC 19- Have 8 DGW'rs atm and hoping for 9/10.
      Stones, KDB + Son are my single weekers in 19 for now..

      KDB-> Mane or save the FT?

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        KDB > Mane looks good

    6. wattalowz
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Bench 1

      A) Grealish
      B) Soucek
      C) Watkins
      D) DCL

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        D

    7. TheDragon
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      What to do? Will FH GW18.

      Martinez
      Robertson, KWP, Dallas
      Salah, KDB, Fernandes, Grealish
      DCL, Bamford, Adams
      Johnstone | Bissouma, Lamptey, Mitchell

      A) KDB -> Son (Lamptey -> Coufal/ Taylor next week)
      B) Lamptey -> Coufal / Taylor
      C) A & B for a -4

      1. umerlfc
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        A

    8. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Any info on whether Vardy will start? Looking to bring him in... for a hit no less.

      1. drughi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        owner here and I think he is benched today, bring him in for newcastle

        1. sminkypinky
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 3 days ago

          Cheers

    9. Sharkytect
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      It IS just a game.

      Good stuff lateriser

    10. BENOIT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Talk of Chelsea changing formation...how else have they set up this year?

    11. umerlfc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Start one:

      A) Creswell - SOU(A)
      B) Coufal - SOU(A)
      C) Dallas - WBA(A)

      Have WHU defensive double up for BB19

    12. Old Gregg
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Mendy
      Robbo-Konza-Stones-Justin
      Salah-Bruno-Son-Grealish
      Bam-Adams

      Wilson-Burke-Mitchell

      Any hits required?
      Right bench order?. Wilson > Konza maybe?

    13. Pitch Perfect
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Chance of a Chelsea clean sheet v Villa?

      1. drughi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        dont see it

      2. Make United Great Again
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Slim

      3. Marty McFly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        38%

        1. Pitch Perfect
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 3 days ago

          I appreciate your precision.

    14. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Martinez - Forster
      Robbo - Zouma - Targett - Coufal - Kilman

      1. Who should I be looking at replacing Forster and Kilman with for BB GW19? Current thinking is Meslier and Bednarek.

      2. Coming out on GW20, I want to get Cancelo or Dias. Which teams have the best post-19 fixtures defensively, as I’d need to downgrade 2 from Targett, Coufal and Bednarek to afford one. Alternatively I could go straight to Stones, but feel that’s a risk.

      1. Pitch Perfect
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        For Kilman money you're only looking at Alioski, Taylor or Balbuena I'm guessing. Depends what's in the bank.

        1. stu92
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 3 days ago

          1.4ITB, so can go to a 5.5 defender. Cancelo and Dias are just out of reach.

      2. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        1. Good moves.
        2. Not sure - check ticker.

      3. iveseenitall
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Why not set up with a man city defender in gw19, they could quite easily get more points than a southampton defender that week. Then your also ready to go the week after.

        1. stu92
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 3 days ago

          I could go to Stones, but how long will he keep his place? If I had planned things a bit better I would’ve gone to Balbuena instead of Coufal a few weeks ago and that would’ve given me the extra cash needed. I may still do that for a hit in 19, and then am good to go in 20 like you said.

    15. LucasD
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Bottomed.

      Johnstone or Meslier
      Taylor / Coufal / Dallas
      Salah(TC) / Bruno / Son / KDB / Soucek
      Kane / Bamford

      Martinez / Brewster / Kilman / Dunne

      How's this looking for a TC team for DGW19?

      1 - 10?

    16. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Can't believe what I did! Last night was set on Mahrez+Wilson->Son+Wood(-4), had exact funds, fell asleep, prices changed and now I'm stuck with Mahrez one more week haha. Bought Wood tho

      1. LucasD
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Same thing happened to me. Had exact funds to do DCL to Kane, and I fell asleep. Luckily, DCL didn't go up

        1. Pitch Perfect
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 3 days ago

          Ahhh the old Freddie Kruger conundrum: afraid of falling asleep due to price rises! I also held off a hit hoping DCL wouldn't drop till today.

    17. pratul09
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      2FT 0.2ITB

      McCarthy
      Dier, Dias, Zouma
      Son, Salah, Grealish, Rashford
      Bamford, DCL, Kane

      Subs: Martinez, Bissouma, Mitchell, Dunne

      Need long term suggestions guys!!

      1. Van der Faart
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        I'd be looking at upgrading that bench for GW19 dependent on your strategy for 18/19

        1. pratul09
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 3 days ago

          Yeahh! I’ve been thinking of upgrading this shitty bench. Would probably have to downgrade DCL for that i guess?!

    18. Van der Faart
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Taken an 8 point hit. Captaining Kane over Salah and Bruno. Have to try and make up some of the 370k I've dropped in the last 2 weeks.

      1. Flair
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Do you believe that Kane will score more than Salah and Bruno?

        1. Van der Faart
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 3 days ago

          I believe he has the capability yes

          1. Flair
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            2 months, 3 days ago

            Good luck. I'm going for Salah but Fulham's defense still looks targetable, looking at xGA over the past few weeks.

            1. Van der Faart
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 3 days ago

              Thanks. Not been great to own over the last couple of weeks but need to try and make up ground

          2. Make United Great Again
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 3 days ago

            Mourinho has to release the shackles against Fulham surely!

        2. No Professionals
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 3 days ago

          He could. Problem is he is just a horrible watch as captain, you are waiting for that one opportunity, and when he misses it you feel like he might not get another.

          1. Flair
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            2 months, 3 days ago

            Only team in the forseeable future I can see myself captaining Kane against is Leeds in GW17. Though he's returned all three times I captained him for a total of 62 points so it's not all bad!

      2. Azathoth
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        May the Force be with you.

    19. No Professionals
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Would appreciate some feedback

      Johnstone
      Dias Dallas Taylor
      Salah KDB Fernandes Soucek
      Kane DCL Bamford

      Steer Coufal Alzate Mitchell
      1ft 0.8m

      A) KDB to mane
      B) KDB and Mitchell to pulisic and robertson

      Mane feels like a luxury for someone I’d never captain. But he is a nice place holder for another premium. B) starts to build bench boost, but mids below 9.5m are completely uninspiring?

    20. Azathoth
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Play Martinez or Meslier?

      1. Flair
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Meslier

      2. klopp2567
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Meslier

    21. klopp2567
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Tammy along with Vardy and Bamford for few Gws? makes sense?

      1. jomikijiq
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        no, high chance Giroud plays today imo

    22. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Who scores more this week?

      A KDB
      B Kane (-4)
      C Vardy (-4)

    23. KAPTAIN KANE
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Nice that DCL didn’t drop last night 🙂

    24. Totally J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      RMWCT please

      McCarthy Johnstone
      Robbo coufal balbuena Taylor lowton
      Salah fernandes son soucek raphina
      Bamford Kane rodrigo

      Kane and son to rashford and vardy ahead of GW19

    25. tibollom
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      anyone going with son and kane? want to do grealish and lamptey to son and taylor for a hit and already have kane; bruno and salah...

      1. Bleh
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 3 days ago

        Aye

    26. Fantasyfootballryan
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Thoughts on this WC team? Any changes needed? 0 ITB

      McCarthy
      Bellerin, Taylor, Chilwell
      Fernandes, Salah, Son, Soucek
      Kane, Watkins, Bamford

      Steer, Justin, Cancelo, Saka

    27. OptimusBlack
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 3 days ago

      Martinez, Forster
      Robbo, James,Dallas
      Burno , Salah , Mahrez,Grealish
      Kane , Bamford, Adams
      (Coufal , Bissouma ,Dunne)
      any other transfer for -4 and what about Bench ?