Pro Pundit Teams

The value Man City options on offer for Blank Gameweek 18 and beyond

Planning anything in this crazy Fantasy Premier League season is proving rather difficult. Even as I’m writing this, the Blank Gameweek 18 schedule has changed once again. 

Aston Villa’s meeting with Tottenham Hotspur has now been officially called off, and in its place, Spurs’ home game with Fulham has been added.

I keep telling myself to ‘embrace the chaos’, but it does make planning kind of hard! However, as Fantasy managers, we need to adapt quickly, so in this, my latest column, I’m going to talk Blank Gameweek 18, with a heavy focus on Manchester City and their opponents, Brighton and Hove Albion. 

I will also touch upon some of the other teams involved this week, and highlight a few standout statistics relating to them. 

BRIGHTON’S DEFENCE

City’s opponents in Blank Gameweek 18, Brighton, shipped another three goals against Wolverhampton Wanderers last time out, which takes them to a total of 28 this season. Only West Bromwich Albion (39), Leeds United (33), Crystal Palace and Sheffield United (29) have conceded more.

However, the defensive statistics suggest they’ve been a bit unlucky. Based on expected goals (xG), they should have conceded just 18.66. They’ve also conceded the third fewest shots.

When analysing the goals they’ve let in, we can see six have been from penalties and seven from set-pieces. That suggests a lack of concentration, or discipline. Whatever you want to call it, it’s worrying, and to highlight it, you just need to watch Dan Burn’s (£4.2m) performance against Wolves in Gameweek 17. 

The fact they tend to switch-off could also stem from the keeper. Before he was dropped, Matt Ryan (£4.3m) was obviously struggling, and I have doubts that Robert Sánchez (£4.4m) is the long-term solution. To be fair to him, he has made some good saves, but he’s still young and will make mistakes.

So, knowing Brighton are susceptible to conceding from set-plays, finding a place in your squad for one of City’s biggest aerial threats, Rúben Dias (£5.8m) or John Stones (£5.0m), makes a lot of sense to me. Dias is due a goal too, having racked up an xG of 0.76 without scoring. It goes without saying that Kevin De Bruyne (£11.7m) is a good option too, but his set-pieces could be really important this week, which gives him the edge over team-mate Raheem Sterling (£11.4m).

MAN CITY’S DEFENCE, AND THE IMPACT OF DIAS AND STONES

Sky Fantasy Football: Sticks and Stones? Who to bring in before the Overhaul? 2

City have conceded 13 goals in 15 Premier League games this season, and just three in their last 12 in all competitions. Dias has played a huge part in that, and has probably been their best player this term, but Stones has offered real balance alongside him. As a partnership, they’ve given up just one goal in eight starts together!

Pep Guardiola’s side are clearly the best defensive play this week, and when you look at their schedule to follow (see below), a defensive double-up is really appealing.

CANCELO’S POSITIONING

João Cancelo (£5.8m) has looked really sharp this season, standing in at left-back most of the time.

However, with Kyle Walker (£6.1m) out of action, he’s moved to the right, and has often found himself pushing ahead of the holding midfielder when in possession, and occupying spaces on the edge of the oppositions box.

To highlight this, here’s his combined touch heatmap from the recent games against Newcastle United and Chelsea:

In Blank Gameweek 18, City will have a lot of possession in Brighton’s half, and will surely turn to the likes of Cancelo to unlock their defence. I know I say this a lot, but attacking returns look imminent here!

GUNDOGAN’S NEW ROLE

Another player whose role has changed in recent weeks is Ilkay Gündogan (£5.4m), who has been taking up a more advanced position. That’s coincided with goals against West Bromwich Albion, Newcastle and Chelsea.

Rather than playing as a second player in a double-pivot, he’s now more of a number eight and taking up some smart positions in the box, something he touched upon in a recent interview:

“… even though I like to be included in rotating the ball, when I am playing as a number eight and more offensive position, I try to put myself in the spaces where I think something could happen or I feel like the space is not occupied by a player of ours or the opponent. Both goals I scored in the last games were similar in the way they were from the right side and Raheem assisted me both goals and I tried to be in a space where I am free and able to get the ball and finish with one touch. It worked out quite well and as long as I am playing in that position I try to continue like that.” – Ilkay Gündogan

His seven shots in the box and four big chances in their last four matches are more than any team-mate, and his five shots on target are joint-top with De Bruyne. Here you can see where he’s been shooting from over that period, with his attempts on target in green:

If Gündogan continues in this role, I think he’s a viable option, and if you’re not comfortable with a defensive double-up, pairing the German international with De Bruyne could be a nice play.

So, moving away from City, here’s a few standout statistics and observations relating to some of the other teams involved this week:

  • Manchester United have scored 21 goals in their seven Premier League away matches this season, averaging three per game – not bad, is it? It’s also worth noting Marcus Rashford (£9.6m) is yet to blank on his travels, registering six goals and four assists in seven appearances. Yes, Burnley are a decent defensive team, but can be exposed by better sides, and a midfield double-up involving Rashford and Bruno Fernandes (£11.3m) looks sound this week.
  • Since Boxing Day, Arsenal have scored eight goals. They’ve also taken more shots and had more attempts in the box than any other side during that time. This week, I see the wide players being key, so Bukayo Saka (£5.3m) is near the top of my Watchlist. Since moving to the right-flank, no midfielder has taken more shots in the box, and he’s also been on corner duties too. However, if you’re working with a smaller budget, Emile Smith Rowe (£4.4m) is another nice option.
  • Though there have been signs of improvement at Arsenal recently, Wilfried Zaha (£7.4m) can cause them problems. Let’s not forget, the Gunners have failed to keep a clean sheet at home this season. I also think they look vulnerable against quick players who like to run at them, which should suit Zaha. If you can fit him in, he should do well.
  • Over the course of the season, only two teams have given up more big chances than Sheffield United. Bearing in mind Callum Wilson (£6.6m) has been directly involved in five of Newcastle’s eight away goals in the Premier League this season, plugging him into one of your forward positions makes a lot of sense this week. The Blades are also on a club record 20 league matches without a win, and are yet to keep a clean sheet.
  • In this climate, filling your Free Hit benches with Sheffield United and Newcastle players looks wise, seeing as they kick off shortly after deadline. The likes of Ethan Ampadu (£4.3m), Jayden Bogle (£4.3m), Rhian Brewster (£4.5m) and DeAndre Yedlin (£4.3m) are all cheap and should get some minutes, and at least contribute a few points from the bench in case of any disruption to Wednesday or Thursday night’s fixtures.

So, best of luck in Blank Gameweek 18 everyone, and thanks for reading!

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1,530 Comments Post a Comment
  1. sthelenslad92
    • 6 Years
    6 months, 23 days ago

    4-4-2 with AWB or 3-4-3 with Wilson?

    Lloris
    Cancelo - Stones - Tierney - _____
    KDB - Fernandes - Son - Saka
    Kane - Laca - _____

    1. More Cowbell
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      I like the 3-4-3

    2. ChelseaGuy
      • 4 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      Wilson

    3. Taegugk Warrior
      • 3 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      343 with wilson

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      AWB

    5. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      3-4-3. Wilson has a higher ceiling and can get a haul from one or two touches at any moment. AWB needs the United defence to be solid for 90 minutes.

  2. More Cowbell
    • 11 Years
    6 months, 23 days ago

    Please RMFHT
    0.3m ITB

    Ramsdale
    Stones, Dier, Tierney. Yedlin
    KDB(c), Bruno, Son, Saka
    Kane(vc), Lacazette

    Vernips, Mitchell, Brewster, Anguissa

  3. Andy_Social
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 months, 23 days ago

    I've tried out a million permutations on my FH and I seem to have settled on my optimum line-up. It's a 4-5-1.

    1. LLoris
      • 2 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      same

    2. Sean
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      This is what I'm on at the moment too

      1. LLoris
        • 2 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        Im thinking if I should turn Cancelo into Wilson or not

        1. leonickroberts
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Considering the same. Also for Tierney.

    3. Tshelby
      • 6 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      Yep

    4. leonickroberts
      • 4 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      Me too.

    5. Dark Side Of The Loon!
      • 5 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      Not on FH but I have seen the teams here. Most of them on 3 4 3 or 3 5 2 or 4 4 2 look liked adjustments. 4 5 1 is the way to go.

    6. More Cowbell
      • 11 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      I like it. Would have done similar if budget allowed as lots of good midfield options.

    7. waltzingmatildas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      I was but now considering Kane and Laca up front

      1. Andy_Social
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        I had that but decided to have both Rashford and Son in midfield.

        1. _Ninja_
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Kane Laca Son and Rashford here.

        2. umerlfc
          • 5 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          And if you can have this with a high TV, then 3-5-2 is the way to go right?

          Darlow
          Cancelo Tierney Stones
          KDB Bruno Son Rash Saka
          Kane Laca

    8. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 months, 23 days ago

      Same

      1. Amans94
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Lloris
          Tierney Dias Cancelo Shaw
          Saka Bruno KDB Rashford Son
          Kane

          4.0 Brewster Davis Douglas

          Looks good to me!

      2. Xna
        • 5 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        I did the same, actually value Rashford more than Lacca or Wilson at the moment.
        Ended up with

        Darlow (Dubravka) (had the funds, no risk option)
        Cancelo - Stones - Aurier - Tierney
        Saka- KDB - Bruno - Rash - Son
        Kane

        Bench: Mitchell (if playing) fodder fodder

        Still tinkering, but the Lacca sacrifice allowed massive upgrades in mid and back, will wait for Pep conf though, as I am tempted by Sterling a lot. If he plays, I might consider bringing him in for Rash, Stones -> holding , Tierney -> Yedlin and DDG on goal.

        Any eye-openers are welcome 😀

    9. Fantasy123456
        6 months, 23 days ago

        Need help A or B

        A
        Lloris (4.0)
        Cancelo AWB Dier (Mitchell, Douglas)
        KDB Sterling Saka Fernandez Neto
        Kane Wilson (Brewster)

        Or B
        Lloris (4.0)
        Cancelo AWB Dier (Clark, Douglas)
        KDB Gundogan Neto Fernandez (Burke)
        Kane Wilson Lacazette

        Which one guys?.

        1. waltzingmatildas
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          B

        2. More Cowbell
          • 11 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Better balance in A. Midfield too weak in B IMO

      • ChelseaGuy
        • 4 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        RP, On FH

        Dias Holding to Tierney Stones
        Yay or Nay?

        1. waltzingmatildas
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Y

      • waltzingmatildas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        FH team
        A) Gundogan and Kane
        B) Son and Wilson

        1. ChelseaGuy
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          A

      • Tmel
        • 10 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        AWB or Maguire a better pick on FH?

        1. Big Al Stankovic
          • 9 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          50/50.
          Maguire for the odd chance for goals. Awb for assist and baps potential.
          I’d say Maguire is due a goal, so would probably go for him.

      • OneDennisBergkamp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        no love for Zaha?

        1. ChelseaGuy
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Got a feeling he'll get attaching returns

          1. ChelseaGuy
            • 4 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            *attacking

            1. OneDennisBergkamp
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              me too, Bellerin is terrible

              1. ChelseaGuy
                • 4 Years
                6 months, 23 days ago

                It's just that it's hard to fit him in

        2. Andy_Social
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          No room. Midfield is 4 big ones and Saka.

        3. Sloopy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Good option. Only don't wanna taken another -4.....

      • Jafooli
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        Would you get Wilson over Saka if it means Mitchell is your only playing sub?

        1. boombaba
          • 8 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          yes

          1. Jafooli
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Cheers Boom

        2. ChelseaGuy
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Yepp

        3. Sloopy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          I would.

      • Big Al Stankovic
        • 9 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        Would you say cancelo is worth a -4 over Stones?

        1. boombaba
          • 8 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          no

        2. Dark Side Of The Loon!
          • 5 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          That's not just a -4 that's also a 0.8 that can be used well elsewhere.

          1. Big Al Stankovic
            • 9 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Cheers. That’s obviously the point. The 0,8 will cost me an -4 in the next two gw.

        3. ChelseaGuy
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Yepp

          1. ChelseaGuy
            • 4 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Sorry, wrong post

        4. Sloopy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          no

        5. Big Al Stankovic
          • 9 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Cheers all. Given Laporte still not fit for fight, Stones will definetly play as well.

      • southernrocker1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        A or B, help appreciated.

        A
        Ramsdale
        Fernandez
        Rashford

        B
        Lloris
        Dias
        Saka

        1. southernrocker1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          it's basically Saka v Rashford left for me to decide.

          1. Sloopy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Rashford could be captain material, Saka isn't imo.

      • Tshelby
        • 6 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        Will Aurier play? Might put him in instead of Davies

        1. Alisson WondHaaland
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          Much more likely to play than Davies imo

      • Totti
        • 4 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        who do u rather guys?

        A) lloris tierney smith-rowe

        B) leno holding saka

        1. boombaba
          • 8 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          A

        2. Hart-ake
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          A for sure.

      • Hullesian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 months, 23 days ago

        a) Gondogan
        b) Foden

        1. Taegugk Warrior
          • 3 Years
          6 months, 23 days ago

          A

        2. SilentLemonMan
            6 months, 23 days ago

            A

        3. makisss99
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Last thoughts on fh team:
            A 3-4-3
            Lloris,Cancelo,Tierney,AWB
            KDB,Bruno,Son,Saka
            Kane,Laca,Wilson

            B 4-4-2
            Lloris,Cancelo,Dias,Tierney,AWB
            KDB,Bruno,Son,Saka
            Kane,Laca

            So the question is Dias or Wilson?

          • TNB
            • 1 Year
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Pick one:

            1. Lloris + AWB
            2. DDG + Reguillon

            1. In a Rush
              • 4 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              I’m on 2 at the moment a little concerned with regs game time but rested in the cup and see him more likely for attacking returns.

            2. Big Al Stankovic
              • 9 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Ddg and reg are both rotation risks. Unlikely, but still enough to create uncertainty.

          • Hart-ake
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Which one for the next few weeks? Don't need the extra cash from the upgrade to Laca.

            a) Wilson
            b) Lacazette

          • Alisson WondHaaland
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            (C)ancelo anyone? Surely he's due a haul 🙂

            1. boombaba
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              I dont trust pep to even play him

              1. In a Rush
                • 4 Years
                6 months, 23 days ago

                This unfortunately

          • 'Broadsword Calling Da…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Hi, I have taken -4 hit to field this team of 9 players. Can I leave as is, or should I take use the Free Hit (I have all my chips in place FYI)? Thanks

            Leno
            Stones, Cancelo
            KDB(c), Bruno, Son, Zaha
            Williams, Brewster

            1. Hart-ake
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Don't bother free hitting, but another hit would tempt me considering one of your starters is Brewster.

              1. 'Broadsword Calling Da…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                6 months, 23 days ago

                Hi mate, yeah, was thinking similar too, cheers n g'luck.

          • Silecro
            • 3 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Anyone (besides me) having Smith Rowe in their starting 11?

            1. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              In a power-midfield it's got to be Saka as my 5th.

            2. Nomar
              • 11 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              I have him too.

              Think he’s an absolute steal at £4.4m.

            3. Sloopy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Yep!

            4. boombaba
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              I am

              1. boombaba
                • 8 Years
                6 months, 23 days ago

                Starting 11

                DDG
                Dier Dias Holding
                KDB Son Smith-Rowe Bruno Rashford
                Laca Kane

                Fodder

            5. Rotation's Alter Ego
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 10 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Yep. Don't think any of Gundo / Saka and co are much better (or even if they are better at all) and saves a bit of cash.

              Lets me make my other 6 attackers premium or borderline premium.

              1. Silecro
                • 3 Years
                6 months, 23 days ago

                True. And watching some of the highlights, i really like his Kevin-esque position on the field, included in everything

            6. FourLokoLeipzig
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Been thinking about it. Basically I can have Maguire and Smith Rowe or Holding and Saka. Leaning towards the latter

          • Nomar
            • 11 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Cap Son or KdB?

            1. Sloopy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              KdB. Feel Fulham could make it difficult for spurs to score (more then one). Imo MCY could score more against BHA.

          • JamieC180
            • 3 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Current FH team:

            Leno
            Cancelo, Stones, Tuanzebe
            Son, Rashford, Bruno, Saka, KDB
            Wilson, Kane
            (Forster, Mitchell, 3.8, 4.3)

            OK? I'm happy to punt on Tuanzebe - good form, both Bailly and Lindelof serious injury doubts, and enables me in other areas.

          • Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 7 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Watkins should.be fine next gw right ?

          • Tshelby
            • 6 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            No love for Mahrez, Kun or Jesus? Surely City will score 5 goals

            1. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Kun is out. Others are too risky.

            2. boombaba
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              pep rotation headache central

          • Taegugk Warrior
            • 3 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Mids template this week is likely

            KDB Bruno Son Saka

            If i go for Gundogan instead of Saka, is it a risk...?

            1. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Perfectly fine differential. Mant have 3 Citizens already.

            2. boombaba
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              a risk would be going for Ashley Westwood

          • tabby98
            • 5 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Can someone help me out please?
            Which team is better?
            A)
            Lloris (£4.0m)
            Cancelo, Stones, Shaw (Mitchell, £3.8m)
            KDB, Bruno, Son, Saka (Smith-rowe)
            Kane, Lacazette, Wilson

            B)
            Leno (£4.0m)
            Cancelo, Stones, Dier, Maguire (Mitchell)
            Bruno, Son, KDB, Rashford, Saka
            Kane (£4.3m x2)

          • The 12th Man
            • 7 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            FH comes down to Rashford ,Wilson v Lacazette,Gundogan.

            It’s tough.

            1. JamieC180
              • 3 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              The prior are several furlongs better imo

          • Tsparkes10
            • 2 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            KDB capt and gtg?

            Lloris
            Tierney Stones Cancelo
            KDB Son Bruno Saka
            Wilson Kane Laca
            (4.0, Burke, Kilman, Mitchell)

            1. lindeg
              • 2 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Any rotation and/or covid postponement and your bench is garbage

              1. Tsparkes10
                • 2 Years
                6 months, 23 days ago

                Decent enough. An extra mil to get a good bench which is stupid

            2. The 12th Man
              • 7 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Yep. Looks good.

            3. The Count of Monte Cristo
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              Looks good, TS. Bench is fine given Burke scored in FA Cup, Mitchell has been playing recently and Kilman may get something.

              I am similar to you but with ESR over Saka due to money

              1. The Count of Monte Cristo
                • 8 Years
                6 months, 23 days ago

                Actually I am 0.1m short of this team but not sure where to find 0.1m from!

                DDG
                Tierney -- Cancelo -- Stones
                KDB (c) -- Bruno -- Son -- Saka
                Wilson -- Laca -- Kane

                1. Tsparkes10
                  • 2 Years
                  6 months, 23 days ago

                  Hmmmm, Stones to Lindelof or Shaw?

          • Oldie99
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            I realize this is close/boring but:

            A. Cancelo & Darlow
            B. Dias & Leno

            have Stones either way, have no other ARS/NEW defense

          • lindeg
            • 2 Years
            6 months, 23 days ago

            Calm down now, i'm taking a chance and going without kane and bruno on FH.

            1. boombaba
              • 8 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              My hero

            2. Oldie99
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              6 months, 23 days ago

              where else you spending the money? Sterling, Zaha?

              1. lindeg
                • 2 Years
                6 months, 23 days ago

                laca and rash, mainly - low team value