Pro Pundits - Lateriser

Which FPL forward should we choose to replace Harry Kane?

It’s been a while since I did the Burning Question format so I thought it would be a good time to revisit it. I asked the community to send me some questions and I’ll be answering a few here. Let’s get stuck right in.

Q1) What is the ideal front three if no budget constraints? @pras_fpl

Hi Pras, thank you so much for the question. Hope you are doing well. The injury to Harry Kane (£11.3m) and the lack of form of Patrick Bamford (£6.7m) has opened up the striker positions. Just a small note on Patrick Bamford, in the last four matches, he sits outside the top 30 players in the league for expected goals (xG). It’s easy to forget that he is still fairly cheap and offers value but he has a mixed bag of fixtures in the next five Gameweeks and doesn’t make my list for the ideal front three. So who does make my list?

Calvert-Lewin and Bamford the Fantasy focus as Everton host Leeds

First up, it’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.6m). Yes he has had four blanks in a row but it is worth mentioning that his merry men are back and as noted by Tom Freeman in his excellent article, Everton are a different beast when all their main players are playing together. Here is what Tom cited:

“Everton are a different proposition when they can get Lucas Digne (£6.0m), James Rodríguez (£7.7m), Richarlison (£7.8m) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin all on the pitch at the same time. In fact, in the six league games they’ve started together this season, the Toffees have scored a massive 17 goals.”

Tom Freeman

That is an average of 2.83 goals per game. In the next four Gameweeks, Everton face Newcastle (home), Leeds (away), Manchester United (away) and Fulham (home). Three of those teams are in the bottom six of the league for expected goals conceded (xGC) in the last six matches. Fixtures and the calibre of opposition when they have all their main attackers fit are the reasons why DCL is top of my list of strikers at the moment.

The next two forwards who make up the ideal strikeforce for me are Michail Antonio (£6.4m) and Ollie Watkins (£6.2m). Antonio just makes West Ham better as an attacking outfit and owners were extremely unlucky to come away with just an assist against Crystal Palace.

He should have had a lot more from the game but he looks very sharp on the eye-test, has good underlying numbers, and has a fairly decent fixture run as well. Also worth noting that in the last four matches, West Ham are in the top five in the league for Big Chance Threat (BCT) and for attempts in the box which further justifies the presence of Antonio making the Hammers a much better attacking unit.

The same can be said about Aston Villa who also find themselves in the top five in the league for big chances and shots in the box in the last four matches. They also look like an excellent outfit in attack and are capable of scoring goals against any opposition. Watkins has great underlying numbers as well. He is second among all strikers for BCT in the last four matches and sits third in the league for shots in the box in the same period.

Q2) If someone wanted to take a punt on Chelsea now, with good fixtures and a possible manager bounce, which two or three Chelsea assets would you suggest? (@PierreM80702057)

Hi Pierre. My fellow Pro-Pundit and co-host Zophar always says it is better to be late to the party rather than arriving early and realising it is a dud. As you already know, I’ve been guilty of this crime quite a few times this season and it’s one of the big reasons I’m having a poor campaign.

When it comes to Tuchel’s Chelsea, simply put we just don’t know anything about them right now. I would suggest keenly monitoring them for the next two-to-three games before jumping in because the manager is just getting to know his players right now. Let me quote from this excellent piece on Tuchel on FFScout:

“Whatever system and style Tuchel chooses to deploy at Chelsea, he always tailors it to the players he has at his disposal.”

“My role is that of a service provider, I’m here to help and support the players.”

Thomas Tuchel

It’s very early to tell who is going to benefit from having Tuchel as a manager but I’ll just say that the first game against Wolves looked really encouraging for Kai Havertz (£8.2m) who played a lot closer to goal than under Frank Lampard. That said it is very early to draw any conclusions and I’d urge FPL managers to keenly observe for some time before jumping in.

Q3) Is Man City double defence a risk now with Laporte back and raring to go? (@fpl_saffer)

Hi Kevin, thank you so much for the question and first up huge congratulations for the season you’re having. I know you’re currently in the top 50 Overall Ranking at the moment so you definitely don’t need to be taking any advice from me.

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?

With regards to the Manchester City centre-backs, I see no reason for Pep to change the partnership he has at his disposal right now which is why both remain good picks. I think he’ll persist with the same two in defence and you’ll probably only see a little bit of rotation due to fixture congestion and that’s about it. I wouldn’t worry about them until Pep actually makes some changes.

Q4) Who are the second best premium defensive assets (with some attacking output) behind the City boys? Liverpool, Leicester, United, Chelsea, Spurs? Or just go budget? (@FPLAlternative)

If you’re looking for a defender to pick outside of the Manchester City names, the one I’d like to recommend is Lucas Digne.

Returning Digne can help Everton's attacking assets return to form in Gameweek 20

Like I mentioned earlier in the article, Everton have a great bunch of fixtures coming up. It is worth noting he was played as a left-winger in the previous game which makes him a very enticing option and even if he isn’t out-of-position (OOP), his numbers this season have been really good.

He’s top of the league for assists per 90 (0.49 assists per 90mins) and especially with James Rodriguez back in the team and in form, I think it increases his points potential a lot. Ben Godfrey’s (£5.0m) form also means that he could potentially still be OOP for a while. Only two teams have conceded fewer goals and big chances than Everton in the last six matches so that is very promising as well.

That’s it from me for this week and I hope you enjoyed this article. Our latest episode of The FPL Wire has some more detailed information as well which you can view below in case you fancy it.

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3,541 Comments Post a Comment
  1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Best option here folks???
    A- Saka to Rodríguez
    Or
    B- Holding to Digne(would mean putting Dier on the bench)

    1. Garth Marenghi
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      b

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Cheers mate!!

    2. Deulofail
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      B

  2. The King
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    What time are the price changes please

    1. FPL.team
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      5 mins ago

    2. Siva Mohan
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      exactly at 1:30am GMT / 7am IST

    3. Uncle Gamst
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      The old ones are the best 😉

  3. Siva Mohan
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    (-4)

    Martinez
    Robbo | Dias | Bednarek
    Sterling(c) | Soucek | Gund | Bruno | Salah(vc)
    DCL | Bamford
    Forster | Dallas | Coufal | Brewster

    2.9 ITB

    Good to go?

  4. sthelenslad92
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Salah & Tielemans or Mane & Barnes?

  5. MikeLowrey
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Current GW lineup:

    Martinez
    Robbo Dias Mitchell
    Salah Bruno Son Grealish Gundo
    Werner Bamford

    (Forster Coufal Brewster KWP*)

    A) No change - play Mitchell
    B) KWP to Stones (-4)

  6. Must.Go.Faster.
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Start:

      1. Coufal
      2. Soucek

      I’m 100% leaning towards Coufal, hehehe

      1. Siva Mohan
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        2

        2 points are better than 1 or 0

      2. Garth Marenghi
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        b

      3. Uncle Gamst
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        I would say Soucek

      4. Freshy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Both will have alot of defensive responsibilities

      5. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Just sold Coufal because have Cresswell as well and also Soucek. Playing Soucek benching Cresswell fwiw

      6. Hart-ake
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Surely Soucek.

      7. leeboy104
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Soucek no question.

      8. Uncle Gamst
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Which 2 to bench?

        Thanks...bottomed on last page

        a) Wilson (eve)
        b) Bamford (lei)
        c) Soucek (LIV)
        d) Mitchell (WOL)

        1. Siva Mohan
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          A C

          1. Uncle Gamst
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Thanks
            It would be painful to see Wilson bag one or Soucek head a goal but Newcastle are poor and Liverpool should keep Hammers busy in defence

        2. Werner Bros
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          D and tough to call the other one.

        3. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          B and D

      9. Werner Bros
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Narrowed down the transfer options to these 3. Would love some votes and reasons to help me decide which one to go for.

        A: Bamford > Antonio
        B: Kane > Antonio
        C: Kane > DCL

        Martinez
        Cancelo Chilwell Dallas
        Salah Bruno Son Barnes
        Kane Bamford Watkins

        Forster Coufal Riedewald Neco

        1FT 0.2ITB

        1. MikeLowrey
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          C for me

        2. Alisson WondHaaland
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Id do A and C or Kane to DCL

        3. Siva Mohan
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          C

        4. ballsy_b
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Go with C..
          Everton - favourable fixtures.
          Everton are at full strength.

          Do replace bamford soon enough for Antonio

        5. Werner Bros
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Thanks guys I was leaning towards C this week and A next so I'l go with that!

          1. Hart-ake
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Sensible..

        6. Uncle Gamst
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          C
          Antonio playing Liverpool and Villa next 2
          Kane is out
          DCL has potential to explode now his buddies are back and Newcastle are abysmal

      10. ballsy_b
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Just realised I have a bit of decision to make:
        Who to start:
        A) Martinez
        B) Johnstone

        Current team:

        Martinez
        Cancelo - Stones - Justin
        Salah (c) Bruno - Barnes - Grealish - Gundo
        Watkins - DCL

        Johnstone - Antonio - Dallas - Coufal

      11. Blue Gaffer
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Soucek.to Son worth it-yes or no?

        1. Hart-ake
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Maybe. Are you playing Soucek otherwise?

      12. highsguy
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Areola
          Dias Cancelo Justin
          Salah Bruno Son Raphinha
          Kane* Antonio Watkins
          Bench: Johnstone Soucek Dallas Coufal

          Did Bamford to Watkins
          Don't know what to do with Kane (10.8 value)?

          A) Kane to DCL(c) -4
          B) Hold Kane and play Soucek

        • Muscout
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 11 days ago

          McCarthy
          Chilwell Cancelo Dallas
          Salah Son Bruno Barnes Gundo (c)
          DCL Antonio

          Steer Coufal Lewis Brew

          4.9 itb g2g?

          Can’t believe I’m (C) Gundo but they’re playing Sheffield and scoring a lot of goals

        • Hart-ake
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Which one to play:

          a) Mitchell (WOL)
          b) Dier (bri)
          c) Coufal (LIV)

          1. waldo666
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            b

            1. Uncle Gamst
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              b

        • Rahul
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Lookman or Grealish?

          1. Party time
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Lookman

          2. Hart-ake
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Grealish, easy.

          3. Muscout
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Easy mate Grealish

        • Woy_is_back
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Captain Salah?

          I feel its time

          1. thepuntmaster
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            I feel this too. Stats say otherwise but just feel he’s had a haul coming

          2. Uncle Gamst
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Just brought him in and torn between him and Gundo

          3. jamesjoseph2770
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            I think this is the week Salah explodes..

          4. Baps hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            So do I. One difference I noticed in last match was that Salah and Mane acted as team mates again and passed to each other. Or at least Salah passed to Mane. After not either of them scoring for so long that had to happen. Cancelo would be tempting C option, but don't want to sell Dias for him for a hit just now.

        • Corona is not good 4 U
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Which transfer is better:

            A) Dallas -> Digne
            B) Raphinha -> Son

            Thank you!

            1. Rahul
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              A

          • Totti
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Who to play?

            Choose 2

            A) bednarek
            B) holding
            C) coufal
            D) taylor

          • Woy_is_back
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Soucek -> Maddison /Barnes for a hit?

            1. Hart-ake
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              I just did it. Hoping it pays off over the next two weeks.

              1. Woy_is_back
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Maddy or Barnes?
                Barnes feels more explosive

                1. thepuntmaster
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  I’d go Barnes, think he’ll be more dangerous with no Vardy

          • fcsaltyballs
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Best option:

            1. Raphinha / Soucek >> Son
            2. Vardy >> DCL
            3. Both the above (-4)

            Thanks all

            1. Siva Mohan
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              3

            2. Hart-ake
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              3,

          • Siva Mohan
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            play Soucek or Dallas?

            1. Woy_is_back
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Soucek

              1. Siva Mohan
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                cheers WOY

            2. Uncle Gamst
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Soucek...you know what he's capable of when benched

          • Alisson WondHaaland
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Bench 1:

            A) Antonio vs LIV(H)
            B) Watkins vs SOU(A)
            C) Robbo vs WHU(A)

            1. sthelenslad92
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              A

            2. Dannyb
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              A

            3. Baps hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              C

          • sthelenslad92
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Which would you go for?

            A) Salah & Soucek
            B) Salah & Tielemans
            C) Mane & Barnes

            1. Dannyb
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              C

            2. Twisted Saltergater
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              B I’d you have the extra mil over A

            3. UNDERWORLD7
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              A

            4. Party time
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              C

          • Stupendous
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Start Soucek or Bamford?

            1. Siva Mohan
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Bam

            2. Dannyb
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Bam

            3. Twisted Saltergater
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Soucek maybe

              1. Twisted Saltergater
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Liverpool are quite a short team without Van Dijk and Matip

            4. Party time
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Bamford

            5. Stupendous
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Bamford it is then!

              Unless I sell..

          • Kane Lane
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Abraham or Werner worth a punt for minus 4 Kane replacement?

            1. Siva Mohan
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              serious considered Werner but went with crowd fav DCL

              TT need Werner against Burnley and I feel he will start as per recent presser

          • Dannyb
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Soucek to Barnes and bench Antonio?

            1. Siva Mohan
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              I would start Antonio .. look at LIV CBs

          • Gabbiadini
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Soucek to Mane/Salah for a -4 worth doing?

            1. Siva Mohan
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              S to M

              1. Gabbiadini
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Why Mane over Salah...?

                1. Baps hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Mane looked better in last match (after having looked very poor many times before that...).

          • storr84
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Start -

            A, Raphina
            B, Bamford

            1. Siva Mohan
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              A

            2. Werner Bros
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              A

              1. storr84
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Thanks, lads.

          • Werner Bros
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Who to captain

            A: Cancelo
            B: Son
            C: DCL

            1. Siva Mohan
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              A risky but exciting

              1. Werner Bros
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                That's what I'm currently on. Attacking returns in consecutive games is a big ask for a defender though!

          • ballsy_b
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Whose everyone captaining?

            I have some of the popular picks in
            my team for the Armband: Gundo, Barnes, Bruno, Cancelo, DCL.
            But... it’s time for another Salah haul.

            1. storr84
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Gundo, then DCL (vice)

            2. Corona is not good 4 U
                3 months, 11 days ago

                I would captain Gündogan. Salah has problems with the witch doctor from Zambia. Maybe the next Salah haul will come next season.

                1. leeboy104
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    Witch doctor spell is over, so if Salah performs badly it's on him now!

              • Corona is not good 4 U
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  How many points will get

                  A) Digne
                  B) Son
                  C) Foden and
                  D) Gündogan

                  this week?

                  Thank you!