Pro Pundits - Lateriser

Which FPL forward should we choose to replace Harry Kane?

It’s been a while since I did the Burning Question format so I thought it would be a good time to revisit it. I asked the community to send me some questions and I’ll be answering a few here. Let’s get stuck right in.

Q1) What is the ideal front three if no budget constraints? @pras_fpl

Hi Pras, thank you so much for the question. Hope you are doing well. The injury to Harry Kane (£11.3m) and the lack of form of Patrick Bamford (£6.7m) has opened up the striker positions. Just a small note on Patrick Bamford, in the last four matches, he sits outside the top 30 players in the league for expected goals (xG). It’s easy to forget that he is still fairly cheap and offers value but he has a mixed bag of fixtures in the next five Gameweeks and doesn’t make my list for the ideal front three. So who does make my list?

Calvert-Lewin and Bamford the Fantasy focus as Everton host Leeds

First up, it’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.6m). Yes he has had four blanks in a row but it is worth mentioning that his merry men are back and as noted by Tom Freeman in his excellent article, Everton are a different beast when all their main players are playing together. Here is what Tom cited:

“Everton are a different proposition when they can get Lucas Digne (£6.0m), James Rodríguez (£7.7m), Richarlison (£7.8m) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin all on the pitch at the same time. In fact, in the six league games they’ve started together this season, the Toffees have scored a massive 17 goals.”

Tom Freeman

That is an average of 2.83 goals per game. In the next four Gameweeks, Everton face Newcastle (home), Leeds (away), Manchester United (away) and Fulham (home). Three of those teams are in the bottom six of the league for expected goals conceded (xGC) in the last six matches. Fixtures and the calibre of opposition when they have all their main attackers fit are the reasons why DCL is top of my list of strikers at the moment.

The next two forwards who make up the ideal strikeforce for me are Michail Antonio (£6.4m) and Ollie Watkins (£6.2m). Antonio just makes West Ham better as an attacking outfit and owners were extremely unlucky to come away with just an assist against Crystal Palace.

He should have had a lot more from the game but he looks very sharp on the eye-test, has good underlying numbers, and has a fairly decent fixture run as well. Also worth noting that in the last four matches, West Ham are in the top five in the league for Big Chance Threat (BCT) and for attempts in the box which further justifies the presence of Antonio making the Hammers a much better attacking unit.

The same can be said about Aston Villa who also find themselves in the top five in the league for big chances and shots in the box in the last four matches. They also look like an excellent outfit in attack and are capable of scoring goals against any opposition. Watkins has great underlying numbers as well. He is second among all strikers for BCT in the last four matches and sits third in the league for shots in the box in the same period.

Q2) If someone wanted to take a punt on Chelsea now, with good fixtures and a possible manager bounce, which two or three Chelsea assets would you suggest? (@PierreM80702057)

Hi Pierre. My fellow Pro-Pundit and co-host Zophar always says it is better to be late to the party rather than arriving early and realising it is a dud. As you already know, I’ve been guilty of this crime quite a few times this season and it’s one of the big reasons I’m having a poor campaign.

When it comes to Tuchel’s Chelsea, simply put we just don’t know anything about them right now. I would suggest keenly monitoring them for the next two-to-three games before jumping in because the manager is just getting to know his players right now. Let me quote from this excellent piece on Tuchel on FFScout:

“Whatever system and style Tuchel chooses to deploy at Chelsea, he always tailors it to the players he has at his disposal.”

“My role is that of a service provider, I’m here to help and support the players.”

Thomas Tuchel

It’s very early to tell who is going to benefit from having Tuchel as a manager but I’ll just say that the first game against Wolves looked really encouraging for Kai Havertz (£8.2m) who played a lot closer to goal than under Frank Lampard. That said it is very early to draw any conclusions and I’d urge FPL managers to keenly observe for some time before jumping in.

Q3) Is Man City double defence a risk now with Laporte back and raring to go? (@fpl_saffer)

Hi Kevin, thank you so much for the question and first up huge congratulations for the season you’re having. I know you’re currently in the top 50 Overall Ranking at the moment so you definitely don’t need to be taking any advice from me.

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?

With regards to the Manchester City centre-backs, I see no reason for Pep to change the partnership he has at his disposal right now which is why both remain good picks. I think he’ll persist with the same two in defence and you’ll probably only see a little bit of rotation due to fixture congestion and that’s about it. I wouldn’t worry about them until Pep actually makes some changes.

Q4) Who are the second best premium defensive assets (with some attacking output) behind the City boys? Liverpool, Leicester, United, Chelsea, Spurs? Or just go budget? (@FPLAlternative)

If you’re looking for a defender to pick outside of the Manchester City names, the one I’d like to recommend is Lucas Digne.

Returning Digne can help Everton's attacking assets return to form in Gameweek 20

Like I mentioned earlier in the article, Everton have a great bunch of fixtures coming up. It is worth noting he was played as a left-winger in the previous game which makes him a very enticing option and even if he isn’t out-of-position (OOP), his numbers this season have been really good.

He’s top of the league for assists per 90 (0.49 assists per 90mins) and especially with James Rodriguez back in the team and in form, I think it increases his points potential a lot. Ben Godfrey’s (£5.0m) form also means that he could potentially still be OOP for a while. Only two teams have conceded fewer goals and big chances than Everton in the last six matches so that is very promising as well.

That’s it from me for this week and I hope you enjoyed this article. Our latest episode of The FPL Wire has some more detailed information as well which you can view below in case you fancy it.

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99. A FREE trial is now available during December.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

3,541 Comments Post a Comment
  1. FPL ElasticO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Saints are without KWP, so What do you guys think of the prospect of Targett in this match? He should have lots of joy on that side as we saw against BUR against Pieters.
    So, should you start him for Soucek this week?

    1. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Yes

  2. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Captain Salah or Gundogan?

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      G

    2. BERGKOP
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      G

    3. AK_FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      G

  3. ZAWAd25
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Captain Sterling or Salah?

    1. AK_FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Sterling

    2. BERGKOP
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Sterling

  4. AK_FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 11 days ago

    Start one:

    A) Soucek
    B) Dallas

    1. BERGKOP
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      A

    2. Mile Plankton
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      You got to go A.

    3. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      A

    4. Bad Kompany
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      A

  5. BurnMyBread
      3 months, 11 days ago

      A) Rashford -> Rodríguez (Wood benched)
      B) Rashford -> Barnes and Wood -> DCL (-4) (Either Lookman or Bamford benched)

      1. GuenDoozy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Hold Rashford till 25

    • Bad Kompany
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Cancelo likely to play the next 2? 4 matches in 13 days with the last being Liverpool. Walker back and pep praised zinchenko

      1. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Cant really predict, having a bench cover is an easy solution.

        They need his creativity I guess, less chance of benching.

        1. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Cheers! If I didn’t already have 3 city I’d definitely get him. More thinking if whether or not Dias to him is worth it and maybe even captaining

          His creativity has helped city but they should be able to win without him so he can be rested for Liverpool

      2. ...al
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        3/4

    • Sanchit
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Bamford Dallas to DCL Digne?

      1. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Yes

      2. TopCorner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Hell yes

    • dark91
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Start
      A) Wilson
      B) Soucek

      Already starting Antonio

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Probably A

        1. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Just need a pen or Pickford blunder. Liverpool has still been fairly good defensively and soucek won’t be able to get into the box as much

          1. dark91
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Fair enough. Thanks

      2. ...al
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        B

      3. Weeb Kakashi
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        A. Striker and on pens.

        1. Eh, just one more thing ...
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          A

      4. dark91
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Thanks all

    • Weeb Kakashi
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Going by Ancelotti's comments is he set to revert to his original formation? It would mean Digne no longer oop.

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Link?

        1. Weeb Kakashi
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Team news and tweet section.

    • vincentwsho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Repost:

      Anything worth a hit for this lot? Did the popular Kane to DCL transfer this week.

      DDG
      Stones Dias Dallas
      Saka Salah Bruno Soucek Gundo (C)
      DCL (VC) Bamford

      4.0 Cresswell Coufal Brewster

      A) GTG
      B) Dallas/Coufal to Digne -4
      C) Dallas/Coufal to Chilwell -4
      D) Soucek to Son -4
      E) Soucek to Barnes -4
      F) other?

      1. Weeb Kakashi
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Cresswell ahead of Dallas and GTG

        1. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          I’d start dallas. No vardy and very attacking

    • TheDragon
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Help please 🙂

      Martinez
      Dias, Robertson, Cancelo
      Salah, Fernandes, Grealish, Gundogan
      Adams*, Bamford, Antonio
      Johnstone | Mitchell, Coufal, Bissouma

      A) Good to go
      B) Bench Adams play Mitchell
      C) Adams -> DCL (-4)

      1. Bad Kompany
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        C

    • Flair
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 11 days ago

      Which Arsenal defender will partner Holding against United?

      1. ...al
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Is Luiz fit?

      2. Echoes
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Think it'll be Luiz. Started the last 3 and has looked pretty solid.

      3. ...al
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Play Holding it Chilwel for -4?

        1. ...al
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Or*

        2. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Other defenders? Depends on if it would also be helpful for future gws

          1. ...al
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Likely long term Cancelo Stones Robertson other defs

            Kane starts but he prob won’t play

            1. Bad Kompany
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              It’s a tough call. That’s a lot of money in defense if only playing 3 atb most gws so probably not although Chilwell does have great fixtures coming up

              1. ...al
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Yep prob not worth the hit but Kane ain’t playing, cancelo will miss one and Robertson ain’t keeping a cs

                Lots of angles

                1. Bad Kompany
                  • 3 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Some good points. I’m now starting to be convinced it is worth it. The extra money isn’t a problem now but it could be down the road

      4. Disco Stu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 11 days ago

        Pick one to play

        A. Bamford

        B. Soucek

        C. Targett

        1. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          A

        2. ...al
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          B

        3. COVID-CASUAL
            3 months, 11 days ago

            A

        4. GuenDoozy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Captain:
          A) Mane
          B) Gundogan

          1. Holmes
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Gundogan

        5. Holmes
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Cresswell or Kilman as 1st sub?

          Would you do Dier to Digne or hold Dier till WBA game atleast?

          1. Weeb Kakashi
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Dier has to go. For Chilwell or Digne. If keeping Dier i'd start Cresswell.

            1. Holmes
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Cheers, I do have cash for Dier to Digne. Just not sure whether dropping before Brighton and West Brom game is a good idea.

              1. Weeb Kakashi
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Id do it. No attacking threat whatsoever. 6 pointer if anything.

          2. Disturbed
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Cresswell first sub. Hold dier.

          3. C_Manan
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Probably we have the same defense. I've done Dier to Cancelo

        6. Eh, just one more thing ...
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Gundo captain. Really... we're all doing this? Tells us so much about this crazy season ... fear of missing out by not captaining a 5.5m mid ... brilliant stuff ... I'm looking at my team and thinking WTF ... C Gundo it is.

        7. ...al
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Dier gone asap after last week

          1. ...al
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Re: Holmes

          2. Holmes
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            why? poor defending?

            1. ...al
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              Very

              Plus their star Defender Kane isn’t there

        8. AppleDunk
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Start Wood or Bamford?

          1. ...al
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            B

          2. Bad Kompany
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Bam

        9. SomeoneKnows
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Start one:

          A) Dallas
          B) Bednarek

          1. ...al
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            A

        10. Freshy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Gundog captain
          Switch it to DCL?????????????????????????????

          1. Weeb Kakashi
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            No!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

          2. Holmes
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            aaniyaaaaaaa

          3. Pukki Blinders
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Yessss

        11. Weeb Kakashi
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Chilwell or Digne?

          Leaning towards Chilwell.

          1. C_Manan
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Tuchel may prefer Alonso in WB role

        12. Pep Roulette
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Cap

          A. Gundo
          B. Sterling

          1. Weeb Kakashi
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Raz

        13. tyron
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 11 days ago

          Gundo (c)
          Sterling (vc)
          Or the other way around?

          1. Somnus
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            You have it right (Cancelo better shout than Sterling if you have him)

        14. Echoes
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Start one:

            A: Holding
            B: Coufal

          • WE GO FOR IT
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            McCarthy | Forster
            Cancelo | Dias | Coufal | Alioski | Ferguson
            Salah | Sterling | Bruno | Son | Soucek
            Bamford | Antonio | Brewster

            1ft and 1.9 itb.

            Pick one:
            A. Soucek to Barnes
            B. Ferguson to Mitchell
            C. Alioksi to Targett/Digne
            D: Bamford to DCL

            1. Tambling5
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              C

              1. Tambling5
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Sorry Digne. Improves side for next few weeks, not just this one.

                1. WE GO FOR IT
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Cheers. Yeah I'm mostly between Digne and DCL.

              2. WE GO FOR IT
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Cheers! 🙂

          • Tambling5
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 11 days ago

            Bench one of these
            a) Justin ( Leeds H)
            b) Antonio (Liv H)
            C) Ings (Villa H)
            Thanks

            1. TopCorner
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              3 months, 11 days ago

              C

            2. Echoes
                3 months, 11 days ago

                A

            3. Somnus
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 11 days ago

              A) Kane to Watkins
              B) Kane to DCL

              1) play Mitchell
              2) Bissouma to Grealish (-4)
              3) Bissouma to JRod (-4)
              4) Bissouma to Barnes (-4)

              1. Echoes
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  B4

              2. Pukki Blinders
                • 1 Year
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Captain Salah or DCL?

                1. Somnus
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Salah is 1.91 to score anytime, and DCL is 1.83. the extra point for Salah for a goal and potential clean sheet is a factor. Both out of form - it's a tough one to call. Salah looked better than DCL in the last game for me

              3. TopCorner
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                3 months, 11 days ago

                Rashford to who this week?

                Have 3 City, so no city options. Money not an issue.

                Have Salah, Soucek, Gundo, Bruno

                1. WE GO FOR IT
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Barnes/Maddison or James

                2. C_Manan
                  • 1 Year
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Zaha

                3. Tambling5
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  3 months, 11 days ago

                  Barnes Maddison Grealish Saka are the 'obvious picks'
                  If you want a punt tho, Tuchel loves Pulisic, who wasn't 100% fit to start on Wednesday, looked good when he came on, and they have decent upcoming fixtures.

                  1. TopCorner
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    3 months, 11 days ago

                    Yeah the usual suspects, was leaning Barnes/Maddison, just cus of their fixture for the next 2 GW's, but chelsea could be a good option/deferential.