Spot the Differential

Barkley’s goal threat makes him a value alternative to Grealish in Villa midfield

Gameweek 22 is almost upon us after a quick turnaround, so let’s have a quick look at some more differential options for the midweek fixtures and beyond.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Aston Villa, Leeds United and Chelsea, all of whom found the back of the net last weekend.

As always, to qualify, the player must have a Fantasy Premier League ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Ross Barkley

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: WHU | ARS | bha | LEI | lee 

Ross Barkley (£5.9m) returned to Aston Villa’s starting XI last month, having missed seven league games through injury.

Despite initially looking a bit off the pace, he is now back to full fitness and announced his return to form with a goal in Saturday’s 1-0 win at Southampton.

The 27-year-old got his Villa Park career off to a flyer when he scored in his first couple of games, but hobbled off just seconds into Gameweek 9 with a hamstring injury. In his absence, manager Dean Smith moved talisman Jack Grealish (£7.7m) into more of a central role, with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.6m) and Bertrand Traoré (£5.9m) on the flanks. Villa lost just two games during that period, and the wide players impressed, but Barkley was reinstated as soon as he returned to fitness, highlighting his importance to the team.

Since making his debut, Barkley has created 2.24 chances per 90 minutes, which ranks 12th amongst all midfielders who have played for over 500 minutes. That is some way behind Grealish’s league-leading total of 3.36, but he is shooting more often than his colleague, taking 2.81 shots per 90 minutes, compared to his captain’s 2.21.

Villa now sit ninth in the table with games in hand over most teams above them. The fixtures are appealing too, especially their away schedule, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Leeds United, Newcastle United and Sheffield United before the end of March. That’s important, given that only Manchester United and Leicester City have taken more points on the road so far this season.

Grealish remains the headline pick in Villa’s midfield, but if funds are tighter, Barkley is a viable alternative and could offer real value in the coming weeks.

Jack Harrison

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: EVE | CRY | ars | wol | AVL

Jack Harrison (£5.4m) has been in fine form of late, with three goals in his last five league appearances.

Following his strike at Leicester City, he has now been directly involved in nine goals this season, and the numbers suggest it won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

The 24-year-old, who is on loan from Manchester City, has already created 36 chances for his team-mates this term. Amongst midfielders, only Grealish, Bruno Fernandes (£11.4m), Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m), Mason Mount (£6.8m) and Pedro Neto (£5.8m) have managed more. His goal threat is on the up too, having registered more goal attempts, shots in the box and big chances than colleague Raphinha (£5.4m) over the last six matches.

His positioning sees him supply Leeds’ width on the left, but after Leicester switched to a 3-4-3 in the second-half on Sunday, Marcelo Bielsa responded by moving Harrison into the forward press. That in turn meant he found himself in more central areas than usual, which is something to keep an eye on going forward. It’s also worth noting that he is a firm favourite of Bielsa and is rarely omitted from the starting XI. In fact, he’s now played the full 90 minutes in seven of his last eight league appearances.

Harrison is one of the Whites’ most important players and now, in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for Gameweek 22 and beyond.

Marcos Alonso

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: tot | shu | NEW | sou | MUN

Marcos Alonso (£5.6m) returned to Chelsea’s starting XI under new manager Thomas Tuchel on Sunday, and took full advantage of the opportunity with a goal and 14 FPL points.

Making his first league start since September, the 30-year-old operated as a left-sided wing-back in a 3-4-3 shape, a role he has previously excelled in for the Blues. He finished the match with two shots in the box, six penalty area touches and three crosses, while amongst team-mates, only Mount had more touches in the final third. It’s also worth noting he took two of Chelsea’s four corners during the game.

As we pointed out last week when tipping up Antonio Rüdiger (£4.5m), change is inevitable under a new manager, especially with Tuchel’s reputation for tactical flexibility, but if they are to continue using a similar shape in the coming weeks, it raises the appeal of their wing-backs, who will naturally get into more advanced positions in the box. 

A move for Alonso this week does carry risk, knowing that Ben Chilwell (£6.1m) is also pushing for a start, but there is a lot of upside too, given the Spaniard’s potential for big hauls. Will he now become first-choice? It’s impossible to say, but if Tuchel does opt to regularly use a back-three system, he’s certainly put forward a strong case.

804 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Vazza
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on this team please guys

    ———--—Areola—————
    —Robbo Cancelo Dias Stones—
    Son Mane Salah Bruno Grealish
    ————-Watkins————-
    Forster, Mitchell, Brewster, Fodder

    Assuming Mane is fit to play

    1. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Decent team.

    2. agj89
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Six players for the upcoming LIV vs. MCA fixture? You will be annihilated

  2. Trippier Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all, thinking of saving transfer, any moves needed and bench correct? Thank you for any help you can give.

    Martinez
    Cancelo Stones Justin
    Son Salah Gundo Fernandes
    DCL Antonio Watkins

    Saka Coufal Taylor

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      yep, save

    2. McSlu
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Save. Very nice looking team. Maybe Taylor before Coufal?

      1. h3nh3n
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Taylor against CITY?! Coufal everyday

      2. JELLYFISH
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Is Taylor fit?

  3. The Final Boss
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    GGMU

  4. circusmonkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Chelsea defence pure poison, can we continue to get burned by Mr. Tickle's tinkering?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Whoever gets the nails will score very nicely though. I got burned by going too early with Chilwell and James, but I'm happy to evolve into Rutiger and Tilva, Azpi, whoever gets the gigs.

    2. The Son-dance Kid
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would love for Alonso to become a viable pick for nostalgic reasons.
      I was hoping for the same with Ivanovic but that one always seemed highly unlikely

    3. Mr Bird
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Probably bringing in Rudiger at 4.5m. Tuchel wanted to sign him recently before moving to Chelsea. He and Thiago look like a solid partnership. If Zouma doesn’t play Thursday I think it’s safe to assume they’re the two first choice nailed guys with rotating wingbacks.

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah. I expect my next GW transfer to be RJames to Rutiger, and the week after Chilwell to one of the others.

  5. MoSalalalalalalalalah
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning fellas, I'm stuck at to where I should make a transfer. Any recommendations would be great. Thanks.

    2.2 ITB
    1FT

    Martinez
    Cancelo | Digne | Chilwell
    Sterling | Soucek | Gundogan | Bruno | Son
    DCL | Watkins |

    GK: Steer | Bamford | Mee | Cresswell

    1. Trippier Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Id put Cresswell over Mee on bench, probably play him over Digne...

    2. jomikijiq
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd do Chilwell, Soucek -> Rudiger, Grealish

      and play Bamford

    3. plt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd leave your team as it is and save the transfer - looks good already

  6. Nespinha
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Best goalkeeper alternatives to Martinez?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Pope, Leno, Mendy

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Leno

      1. Nespinha
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Actually thinking Leno as my leader has Martinez

    3. jomikijiq
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Mendy

    4. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      ederson,no fraudulence,saves on the misery of a def benching

  7. Salan
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    My front 8:
    Salah Bruno Son Gundo ESR
    DCL Antonio Bamford

    My target players are Grealish or Zaha, obviously replacing ESR if do. Then there may be a benching problem in this gameweek.

    If save a FT and rollover, I would simply bench ESR and see what happen after Thursday.

    Still not decided yet. Hope having some luck.

    1. McSlu
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Bench ESR this week and benching problem solved. No need to get yourself problems when there's nothing that needs to be fixed 🙂

      1. Salan
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yes, it's my current thinking.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If you think Zaha outscores your front 3 then you have a solution with back up on the bench.
      Play 3-5-2

      1. Salan
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Fingercross

  8. DagheMunegu
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    1ft don't know how to use or

    Werner to Antonio/Bamford ?

    Martinez
    Cancelo Dias Digne
    Salah Bruno Son Gundogan
    Werner DCL Watkins

    1. h3nh3n
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I think that you should maybe give one more game for Werner; Tuchel has had a proper impact

  9. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    G2G?

    Leno
    Justin, Shaw, Stones
    Salah, Son, Grealish, Bruno, Gundo
    Bamford, Antonio

    Martinez, DCL, Coufal, Mitchell

    4.1ITB, 0FT's

    Is my bench correct or should I play DCL and bench Antonio or Bamford?

    Cheers

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      any replies lads / ladies?

    2. Monkeyslut96
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Decent team to be fair

      I would be tempted to find a way into the team for DCL given how shaky Leeds defence is

  10. fplfansss
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?
    McCarthy
    Dias, Cancelo, Targett
    Gundo, Son, Bruno, Salah, Grealish
    DCL, Bamford

    Subs: Button, Antonio, Justin, Mitchell

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd play Justin instead of Targett personally.

      1. Abra Dubravka
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        this

    2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Gtg, 9 players same with me except Targett and GK. Also benched Antonio. GL.

  11. 1471
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez
    Coufal Digne Stones Cancelo
    Barnes Salah Fernandes Son Foden
    Bamford
    (Forster Mitchel Kane Brewster)

    Looking for a bit of advice, 2FT. Going Kane to Antonio and probably Brewster to Vardy next week, just not sure what to do with the other:

    A) Foden to Sterling
    B) Foden to Grealish
    C) Mitchel to Holding/Dalas
    D) Roll FT
    E) Something else?

    1. plt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Probably c, to give yourself more protection from the bench against rotation, injury or covid.

  12. Rassi
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Johnstone (McCarthy)
    Maguire - Cancelo - Robertson (Dallas - Coufal)
    Raphinha - Salah - Bruno - Gundog - Sterling
    Bam - Antonio (Wood)

    0.0 itb, 2 FT

    Bit of a positive problem here, no pressing needs. Would do Wood --> Watkins but 0.1 short and using both transfers to do that seems like a waste. Wouldn't want to burn an FT but seriously that might happen.

    Basically my options are

    A) burn FT
    B) Wood --> Watkins, Johnstone --> Forster
    C) Johnstone --> Forster, bank 0.5 m, save 1 FT
    D) ???

    All advice and insights are appreciated.

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd be tempted by both this week, to cover you in case Villa do well at home to West Ham.
      Would be reluctant to do just C, as means you'd have to play McCarthy this week, when Johnstone has the slight better fixture.

  13. MoSalalalalalalalalah
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Drop Bruno, Son or Sterling for Salah? Or hold on Salah?

    1. Rassi
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Don't drop Bruno. Maybe I would do Son --> Salah.

      1. jomikijiq
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        why Son when he is by far the best C in GW23?

        1. Rassi
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Still I would rather have all the other premiums. Spurs look awful atm.

    2. Abra Dubravka
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      if I could only have 3, I would want Salah, Bruno, Sterling - in that order.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Son has returned 27 in 6 game weeks I think and Bruno 25 in the last 6.

        But the lack of love is all on Son.

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          27 in 6 games was with Kane.

          1. AC/DC AFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            His xG over 3 years of data are slightly higher without Kane.

            xA drops obviously.

            1. The Ilfordian
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              I bought him last week and playing him so hoping he'll come good. To be honest, based on the past few weeks, I'm happy if any of my front line get a return - form of Bruno is worrying too (and god knows why I've been hanging onto Martial). Lot of people have ignored the golden rule - always have at least one fodder in your front 8 - lot of tears at the end of the GW for wrong benchings

  14. as33
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Hi to all, do i need any changes, i’ve got 1ft and 3.3m itb:
    Martinez
    Stones, Cancelo, Holding
    Son, Bruno, Sterling(c), Grealish
    Laca, DCL, Bamford
    Could do Son>Salah or Stone>Robbo

    1. plt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      You haven't put your bench on here, so hard to tell

  15. Abra Dubravka
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    GTG? Benching headache.

    Martinez
    Dias, Stones, Robbo
    Salah, Bruno, Grealish, Gundo
    Antonio, Bamford, DCL

    Bench: Soucek, Digne, Coufal

    1. Rassi
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      gtg

  16. gstegnar
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez
    Cancelo, Stones, Shaw
    Salah, Bruno, Pogba., Barnes , Gundo
    Antonio, Watkins

    Bench:Kane, Targett, mitchell

    2 FT. What to we do with Harry? Wait???

  17. markus808
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Best defender? All City slots are full. Money obv no issue at that point. Also have Coufal already, so double West Ham maybe not a good idea.

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Trent? If money is truly no problem.

    2. jomikijiq
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Maguire

    3. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Whoever emerges intact from Tuchel-tinkering.

  18. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Is anyone with Dias considering downgrading to Stones to free up some funds?

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      no. Far less worried about benchings with Dias

    2. jomikijiq
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      no, Dias will play more

    3. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Not me. Laporte is more likely to impinge on Stones' time than Dias'.

    4. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers lads

  19. Patson Dabaka
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Which one to bench?

    A) Cresswell
    B) Dallas

    1. Abra Dubravka
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A, just. Dallas playing in midfield

  20. kobewan
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on this team

    Martinez
    Dias, Stones, Chillwell, Cresswell
    Salah, Bruno, Gundogan, Barnes
    Watkins, Bamford

    Bench: McCarthy, Soucek, McGoldrick, Mitchell

    who should be offloading priority?

  21. DonBenzema
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Who scores the most points in the next few gameweeks between Wilson and Watkins?

    1. jomikijiq
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Watkins

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Watkins - better team and games in hand over Newcastle.

  22. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Martinez
    Dias Stones Robertson Maguire
    Salah(c) Bruno Barnes Grealish
    Antonio DCL

    Forster Watkins Cresswell Raphinha

    Benching headache! Correct subs and order?

    1. jomikijiq
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'd have Watkins ahead of Maguire

    2. FPL_Shantz
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      You've got that absolutely spot on

  23. FPL_Shantz
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    -------------------------Martinez----------------------
    Cancelo Stones Dallas
    Son Bruno Salah(C) Grealish(VC) Soucek
    Antonio---DCL
    Button Coufal Brewster Douglas

    -----[ 5.6mil ITB]-----

    (A) Son to Sterling??
    (B) Brewster to Bamford??

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  24. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Which will score higher in GW22?

    Planning to buy Grealish and Richarlison (due to DGW24) in the coming 2 weeks

    A) Richarlison + Saka (or Soucek 1st sub)
    B) Grealish + Saka (Cresswell 1st sub)
    C) Grealish + Soucek

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  25. Sickboy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one of:-

    A - Gundogan
    B - Antonio
    C - DCL

    Thanks all.

    1. veedub1989
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      None of those. What's the rest of your team?

      1. Sickboy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I’ve got the likes of Maddison, Son, Bamford, Salah & Bruno in the attacking areas so it’s a massive headache!

        1. veedub1989
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          If you forced my hand out of those I'd say A. Gundogan but only as he's most likely to start from the bench.

          (I have Gundo and will be playing him. My bench: Raphinha, Coufal, Bednarek)

  26. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning....who to start...

    A...Johnstone at sheffield

    B...martinez v West ham

    I have Antonio. Should that have any bearing. So I just play martinez??

    Thanks

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      The stats would probably say play Johnstone but if I had that choice, I'd be sticking with Martinez. Sheffield are starting to get a few sighters on goal and what with WBA's poor defence and their need to press forward, I'd think Johnstone is likely to let goals in.

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks.....think its better to go with martinez prob

    2. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Martinez for the form- He may get a few save points. Both will prob concede though imo (Johnstone owner, don’t have Martinez)

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  27. MoSalalalalalalalalah
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Do I drop Sterling or Bruno to force Salah back in? Thought I had enough to drop Son but I was wrong

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I wouldn't go there, but gun to head, I'd keep Sterling over Bruno. City will stay top and Bruno looks tired.

      1. MoSalalalalalalalalah
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Hold off the Salah move for a bit longer?

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          I'd bring Salah in

  28. MoSalalalalalalalalah
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start Bamford or Soucek?

    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Bamford

  29. ronpateluk
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    gtg?

    Martinez (Steer)
    Shaw Cancelo Stones Cresswell (Targett)
    Salah (C) Bruno Sterling (Raphinha Soucek)
    DCL Cavani Bamford

    1. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Yep

  30. Je suis le chat
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start Dallas or Cresswell? Ta.

    1. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Dallas

      1. Je suis le chat
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks, Is Dallas playing in an advanced roll?

        1. rubberdignerapids
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Yes he’s CM

          1. Je suis le chat
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            Might run with him so, cheers

            1. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
              • 10 Years
              3 years, 2 months ago

              Although Cresswell is practically LWB. 8 assists so far

              1. Je suis le chat
                • 10 Years
                3 years, 2 months ago

                A toughie, Cresswell the better player and some diversity as I'll play Bamford.

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Dallas