Spot the Differential

Barkley’s goal threat makes him a value alternative to Grealish in Villa midfield

Gameweek 22 is almost upon us after a quick turnaround, so let’s have a quick look at some more differential options for the midweek fixtures and beyond.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Aston Villa, Leeds United and Chelsea, all of whom found the back of the net last weekend.

As always, to qualify, the player must have a Fantasy Premier League ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Ross Barkley

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: WHU | ARS | bha | LEI | lee 

Ross Barkley (£5.9m) returned to Aston Villa’s starting XI last month, having missed seven league games through injury.

Despite initially looking a bit off the pace, he is now back to full fitness and announced his return to form with a goal in Saturday’s 1-0 win at Southampton.

The 27-year-old got his Villa Park career off to a flyer when he scored in his first couple of games, but hobbled off just seconds into Gameweek 9 with a hamstring injury. In his absence, manager Dean Smith moved talisman Jack Grealish (£7.7m) into more of a central role, with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.6m) and Bertrand Traoré (£5.9m) on the flanks. Villa lost just two games during that period, and the wide players impressed, but Barkley was reinstated as soon as he returned to fitness, highlighting his importance to the team.

Since making his debut, Barkley has created 2.24 chances per 90 minutes, which ranks 12th amongst all midfielders who have played for over 500 minutes. That is some way behind Grealish’s league-leading total of 3.36, but he is shooting more often than his colleague, taking 2.81 shots per 90 minutes, compared to his captain’s 2.21.

Villa now sit ninth in the table with games in hand over most teams above them. The fixtures are appealing too, especially their away schedule, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Leeds United, Newcastle United and Sheffield United before the end of March. That’s important, given that only Manchester United and Leicester City have taken more points on the road so far this season.

Grealish remains the headline pick in Villa’s midfield, but if funds are tighter, Barkley is a viable alternative and could offer real value in the coming weeks.

Jack Harrison

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: EVE | CRY | ars | wol | AVL

Jack Harrison (£5.4m) has been in fine form of late, with three goals in his last five league appearances.

Following his strike at Leicester City, he has now been directly involved in nine goals this season, and the numbers suggest it won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

The 24-year-old, who is on loan from Manchester City, has already created 36 chances for his team-mates this term. Amongst midfielders, only Grealish, Bruno Fernandes (£11.4m), Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m), Mason Mount (£6.8m) and Pedro Neto (£5.8m) have managed more. His goal threat is on the up too, having registered more goal attempts, shots in the box and big chances than colleague Raphinha (£5.4m) over the last six matches.

His positioning sees him supply Leeds’ width on the left, but after Leicester switched to a 3-4-3 in the second-half on Sunday, Marcelo Bielsa responded by moving Harrison into the forward press. That in turn meant he found himself in more central areas than usual, which is something to keep an eye on going forward. It’s also worth noting that he is a firm favourite of Bielsa and is rarely omitted from the starting XI. In fact, he’s now played the full 90 minutes in seven of his last eight league appearances.

Harrison is one of the Whites’ most important players and now, in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for Gameweek 22 and beyond.

Marcos Alonso

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: tot | shu | NEW | sou | MUN

Marcos Alonso (£5.6m) returned to Chelsea’s starting XI under new manager Thomas Tuchel on Sunday, and took full advantage of the opportunity with a goal and 14 FPL points.

Making his first league start since September, the 30-year-old operated as a left-sided wing-back in a 3-4-3 shape, a role he has previously excelled in for the Blues. He finished the match with two shots in the box, six penalty area touches and three crosses, while amongst team-mates, only Mount had more touches in the final third. It’s also worth noting he took two of Chelsea’s four corners during the game.

As we pointed out last week when tipping up Antonio Rüdiger (£4.5m), change is inevitable under a new manager, especially with Tuchel’s reputation for tactical flexibility, but if they are to continue using a similar shape in the coming weeks, it raises the appeal of their wing-backs, who will naturally get into more advanced positions in the box. 

A move for Alonso this week does carry risk, knowing that Ben Chilwell (£6.1m) is also pushing for a start, but there is a lot of upside too, given the Spaniard’s potential for big hauls. Will he now become first-choice? It’s impossible to say, but if Tuchel does opt to regularly use a back-three system, he’s certainly put forward a strong case.

804 Comments Post a Comment
  1. CRO KLOPP
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Ricardo Pereira for next 3 anyone? Below 1 pct ownership, Castagne injured.

    1. Machine_Gunnerz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      why not. But safe bet would be justin.

  2. Do I Not Like Orange
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Would you make a defensive transfer this GW, or just roll one? Looking at TAA, Rudiger, Holding or Stones if I do it today, or a Burnley CB if I wait til the weekend.

    Cancelo Chilwell Dallas Mitchell Coufal is who I have currently.

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I'm confused what you mean.
      If you start Cancelo, Dallas and Coufal it would be fine.
      If you have the first line up TAA and Stones face each other next match.

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      If you have 2ft and nothing else you want to do then yes. Otherwise roll.

  3. Jordan.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    incredible website folks,fpl gameweek,brilliant..

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      which website

      1. Jordan.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        fpl gameweek

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers, looks cool. Is it all free? Some sites lure you in then expect money. I don't like that.

      1. Jordan.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        yes,updates live ,its great for in play information..

        1. Andy_Social
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Is it yours? I'll keep it open tonight or tomorrow to test-run it.

    3. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Hub?

      1. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah, like that one.

  4. tibollom
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    sorry for the repose, what to do here guys? Got 1 FT and 11.5 ITB

    Plan is to get Salah for Saka perhaps? any other transfer worth a hit to upgrade with the cash left over?

    Lloris Button
    AWB Dias Mitchel Ferguson CTaylor
    Raphina Son Bruno SAKA Gundo
    Bam DCL Watkins

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Hold this week

  5. chrislt4
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Benching headache after a knee jerk WC last week... who to bench?

    Martinez
    Stones cancelo cresswell
    Gundo Barnes salah(c) Son Bruno
    Watkins Antonio

    Bench: Steer DCL Digne Mitchell

    Considering Mitchell > Dallas and then just hitting the BB

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Might be unpopular here. But bench Antonio.

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        RMT again?

      2. chrislt4
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks, Antonio first sub or digne?

    2. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Antonio

  6. acidicleo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Any updates on Bamford injury..
    He is still flagged on FPL 🙁
    Bench isnt great..

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Should be gtg

    2. Green O' The South
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Just dead leg reportedly - shouldn’t be a problem.

  7. Boly Would
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all.
    Which 2 would you want for the next 3 GW's?
    A) Saka
    B) Soucek
    C) Gundogan

  8. FPL Doctor
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Start 1:

    A) Foden
    B) Antonio

    ??

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. acidicleo
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B due to risk of pep roulette..

  9. fplfansss
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench?
    A. Son
    B. Gundo
    C. Antonio
    D. DCL

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Malkmus
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I have the same problem. With spurs so bad without Kane I'm currently benching Son, but not sure.

    3. JollyGoodYellows
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      D

    4. acidicleo
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A as spurs looked poor vs BHA and Chelsea looks to have improved under TT..
      Chelsea spurs could be 0-0 stalemate..

    5. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      What a headache, toss a few coins?

    6. Green O' The South
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Wouldn’t lose too much sleep over it - Such an unpredictable season. Just take comfort you’re covered for surprise omissions.

    7. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C. Villa fairly tight at the back lately

  10. JollyGoodYellows
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Gtg? 1FT and 2.6itb

    Martinez
    Digne Dias Stones
    Bruno Son Salah (C) Gundo
    DCL Bamford Antonio

    Martin Wan-Bissaka Soucek Dallas

  11. Pompel
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Not entirely happy with team as missing important players like Grealish and Antonio:

    Martinez
    Cancelo Stones Wan-B Coufal
    Salah Bruno Gundo Soucek
    Bamford DCL

    bench: Aerola Holding Smith-Rowe Deco-Reid
    1FT, £10.1 itb

    Unsure if anything worth doing this gw:

    A) Smith Rowe -> Grealish
    B) Deco-Reid -> Watkins or Antonio
    C) Save FT

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    2. Machine_Gunnerz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      wow, 10mil itb. I'll consider A.

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        think that's what I'll do if anything. But if just Grealish keeps quiet this gw, rolling 2FT's will be so valuable going forward (wc already wasted)

  12. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    I'm still stuck on benching someone. Bench 1:

    A) Son
    B) Gundogan
    C) DCL
    D) Antonio
    E) Bamford

    I'm currently on Bamford.

    1. Rinseboy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      A or B

    2. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

    3. Malkmus
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Same here, see above - currently A

    4. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    5. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Tough but looks like it has to be A

    6. Heisenberg W. W.
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      So was I but you reckon Gundogan is due a rest? it's fine as long as he does't come on in the last 10min

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Yes. I do think he's due a rest. And if he is, Pep hasn't been using his subs this year. So it might make the decision easy.

    7. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    8. Captain_Shirokov
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      C

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I should've taken DCL off the options. There's no way I'm benching him. Leeds are awful in the air and DCL is dominant.

        1. Captain_Shirokov
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          I would take D and E off this list.

    9. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

    10. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      D or E, I think.

      1. avfc82
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Such a tough call tho, which the replies reflect.

  13. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Robbo Justin Stones Cresswell
    Sterling Bruno Son Soucek
    Bamford Watkins
    Bench: Vardy Dallas Anguissa

    I have 1 transfers but I want to do so many things what do you lads think I should do ?
    A) Vardy out for Antonio
    B) Vardy Son out for Antonio and Moh
    C) Save the transfer

    1. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      any coins??

  14. drughi
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Son punish the sellers

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      eh that Brighton game was awful

      1. drughi
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        yeah I hope it was just one of those bad nights, chelsea look solid so not expecting much but west brom at home is best armband option

        1. LLoris
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          true wouldnt captain without Kane personally

  15. Eleven Hag
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Cancelo anyone?

    1. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Vice, Wilson is the one for me

  16. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    start Johnstone or Martinez?

    I see most are predicting west ham goal!

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Johnstone

    2. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Defo Martinez for me. I’ve tried Johnstone a few times now and it never seems to work out. Missed out on 8 points last week

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        This

  17. damiang2233
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What do people make of Foden? Keep or replace for who?

    1. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Prone to Pep Roulette- replace for one of Grealish, Bruno, Salah, Barnes or even Sterling (esp for this gw)

      1. damiang2233
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        Have Grealish, Bruno & Barnes already. Was thinking of updating Son to Salah given their poor form. Dont should i do a -4 to get rid of Foden too though?

        1. rubberdignerapids
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 2 months ago

          Son to Salah and captain could pay that -4 off immediately

          1. damiang2233
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 2 months ago

            On the other hand, need to get rid of saiss too. So could keep foden this week and update Saiss at the back? 5.8m defender?

    2. Jordan.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      sold a long time ago,but im a fan,now getting a few games but is a waste of time on the left wing ,he played c/m in the fa cup and was terrific,if pep played him there id never get rid,

    3. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      He's a really frustrating pick. I held him for way longer than I care to admit at the start as always had bigger fires. I now find myself in the same position again.
      As Jordan. says above, even though he's getting decent minutes his output is hampered by being made to hug the left touchline literally all game.

  18. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    DDG
    Cancelo Stones AWB
    Salah Bruno Gundo Barnes
    Antonio DCL Bamford

    Johnstone Chilwell ESR Coufal

    1 FT and 4.3 in the bank

    1. ESR to Zaha/Grealish
    2. Chilwel to PVA/Ricardo Pereira
    3. Save

    1. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Save

  19. rubberdignerapids
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone considering Wilson for captaincy this week- feel like Salah will have an overwhelming EO

    I know it’s Newcastle, but they looked great last game, so perhaps could be a turn of form, ASM is back, Palace are terrible at defending set pieces and given that Wilson offers aerial threat, is nailed, in form and on pens...great differential option this week?

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I would if I had him yes

    2. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Nope. One game doesn't make a season. I'm starting Guaita; if I don't captain Salah it will be a City defender.

  20. PompeyUpNorth!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    G2G and roll transfer yes? 1.0 ITB
    A. Yay
    B. Nay and why?
    Martinez (Johnstone)

    Cresswell stones Cancelo (Lewis Alioski)

    SALAH Sterling Bruno Grealish (Soucek)

    Bamford DCL Antonio

    Cheers!

  21. _Gunner
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    G2G or use the FT? 1FT. 4.5 itb

    Martinez
    Justin Stones Dallas
    Son Grealish Bruno Salah (c)
    Antonio Bamford DCL

    subs: Steer Gundogan Coufal Mitchell

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Similar to mine. I say roll

  22. Hitthewall
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    2FTs and 0.0 ITB.
    What to do here?

    McCarthy - Forster
    Cancelo - Stones - Targett - Dallas - Coufal
    Salah - Sterling - Bruno - Son - Grealish
    Antonio - Bamford - Brewster

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Tough one tbh. Squad looks decent .. I cant offer you any advice apart from saying it’s a decent squad sorry..

  23. Plagued by indecision
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    How's this? Haven't pulled the trigger on Taylor > TAA yet, but that is the plan

    Martinez
    Cancelo / Stones / TAA
    Salah(c) / Grealish / Bruno / Gundogan
    Bamford / Antonio / DCL

    Subs: Button / Saka* / Justin / Bednarek

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Very nice. Go for it..

  24. VaVaVoom14
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    What’s the most pressing transfer:

    A) Dier to Trent
    B) Soucek to Grealish
    C) McCarthy to Martinez/Leno

    1. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      B

  25. dando89
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Plenty of bench headache this week. Current team:

    Martinez
    Chillwell Cancelo Dallas
    Sterling(C) Salah Grealish Bruno Soucek
    Bam Antonio

    (Johnstone Watkins Justin Coufal)

    Have I benched the right players here? I can't decide!

    1. rubberdignerapids
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      I’d play Watkins ahead of Soucek

  26. dylano21
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Any news on mane ?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      not yet

  27. rubberdignerapids
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone thinking about Mendy as an even
    better option than Martinez in the midterm?

    Nailed on in a defensively solid new Chelsea backline

    Might even consider a double up with Rudiger just to catch the value after this fixture

    1. Andy_Social
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Could well be. But remember when he joined he kept 4 CS in his first 5 then went off the boil.

      1. rubberdignerapids
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I brought him in for that one and didn’t get a single CS...I remember it well...perhaps the variance will even out if I bring him back LOL

    2. Captain_Shirokov
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      could be but that's definitely a luxury transfer, Martinez is doing fine atm

      1. rubberdignerapids
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I don’t have Martinez, so strongly weighing up Mendy next gw if I have no other fires to put out

      2. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        That's how I see it. If Marty goes off the boil, I'd be interested in Mendy, but right now Marty stays and I'll bring in another Chelsea defender or two.

  28. Rotation's Alter Ego
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    New Community Article

    Latest from Greyhead on the last two Gameweeks for the Great and the Good - two now sit within the top 10k, some stupidly good finishes on the cards yet again!

    https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2021/02/02/learning-from-the-great-and-the-good-20-21-gameweek-20-and-21/

  29. Ibra
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one:

    A) DCL (LEE, A)
    B) Bamford (EVE, H) - might be injures?
    C) Wilson (CRY, H)
    D) Gundogan (BUR, A) - might be rested?

    1. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson

      1. rubberdignerapids
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 2 months ago

        I’m captaining Wilson, I’d bench DCL from that lot and have him first sub- DCL and Everton looked terrible

  30. ALegendJ
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 2 months ago

    Feels terrible benching Justin (ful)

    Johnstone
    Stones Cancelo Robbo
    Salah Son Gundo Bruno
    Antonio DCL Watkins

    Fabianski Justin Souček Dallas

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 2 months ago

      Right decision.
      Many of us have hard choices this week, see mine below.