Spot the Differential

Fit-again Pereira can return to 2019/20 form in Castagne’s absence

Gameweek 23 is almost upon us after another quick turnaround, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leicester City, Burnley and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Ricardo Pereira

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: wol | LIV | avl | ARS | bha

Ricardo Pereira (£5.9m) is showing signs that he is almost back to full-fitness, as he completed his first 90 minutes of the season against Fulham on Wednesday night.

Benefitting from Timothy Castagne’s (£5.7m) injury, which is set to keep him out for a ‘short period of time’, the 27-year-old started at Craven Cottage and even had a goal ruled out in the second half for offside.

The numbers caught the eye, too.

Pereira finished the match with 23 final-third touches. Amongst team-mates, only James Maddison (£7.3m) had more, and for context, his colleague on the opposite flank, James Justin (£5.1m), had nine. He also racked up more penalty area-touches, take-ons and crosses than the English full-back during the match, which is encouraging. 

The return of several injured players, including Çaglar Söyüncü (£5.3m) and of course Pereira, has given the Foxes a boost ahead of a testing run of fixtures, which sees them take on Wolverhampton Wanderers, Liverpool, Aston Villa and Arsenal before the end of the month. However, it’s worth pointing out that two of the next three are on the road, where Leicester have won 26 points so far, their second highest total in a Premier League campaign after their 2015-16 title win.

Now almost up to speed, Pereira is surely a must-start for Brendan Rodgers side, and with his ability to bomb forward like a winger, could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

“He’s one of the top full-backs in the Premier League. We lost him in a game in which he was outstanding. We’ve gained in two ways because it allowed James Justin to come in and grow. Now, to have Ricky back with all of his qualities. He’s not there yet but he’s getting up to speed. We’re really strong in that area of the field.” – Brendan Rodgers

Ben Mee

  • FPL ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: BHA | cry + FUL | WBA | tot | ARS

English centre-back Ben Mee (£4.9m) has become one of the Premier League’s most consistent defenders in recent seasons, and could be a solid differential given Burnley’s schedule which now includes a Double Gameweek.

The Clarets started the season slowly going seven games without a win, but saw their performances improve once Mee returned to the starting XI following a thigh injury. Since then, the solidity Sean Dyche’s side are renowned for has returned, and resulted in seven clean sheets in their last 17 attempts in all competitions.

Despite just two of those shut-outs arriving this year, it’s worth pointing out that their recent schedule has been tough, with each of their last six league opponents all in the top 10. However, they now have a run of winnable matches against teams in the bottom half, which includes an appealing Double Gameweek 24 against Crystal Palace and Fulham. 

Encouragingly, they have already kept clean sheets against their next four opponents earlier in the season, too.

Captain Mee also carries a bit of goal threat from set-pieces, which has already seen him score against Sheffield United and Aston Villa this term. That could be important too, given that Brighton and Palace often look vulnerable defending crosses into the box, and while clean sheets remain the most likely source of points, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he were again to take advantage from a dead-ball situation in the coming weeks.

Ryan Fraser

Sterling's away form and low ownership can do real FPL damage
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: SOU | che | mun | WOL | wba

Despite a stop-start season at Newcastle United, largely due to injury, Ryan Fraser (£5.6m) has impressed in recent matches.

That upturn in form has coincided with Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-4-2 diamond formation, which has seen the Magpies take more shots than any other side since Gameweek 20.

Operating in a more advanced role alongside Callum Wilson (£6.8m), the more ambitious approach is getting the best out of Fraser, who ranks joint-top for chances created among all Premier League players over the last three matches. He’s also created three big chances, a total only Bruno Fernandes (£11.4m) can match, and whipped in a massive 36 crosses.

The 26-year-old’s appeal is further boosted by this weekend’s opponents Southampton, who following their heavy midweek defeat at Old Trafford have now conceded 15 goals in their last four league matches. It’s also worth noting that they’ve given up 21 chances from their right flank during that time, only Burnley have allowed more, which is relevant with Fraser often drifting into those areas, where he can cut inside onto his stronger right foot.

Fraser has had a testing start to his time in the North East, but can provide a genuine threat for Newcastle when fully fit, and could be a nice pick-up for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential in Gameweek 23.

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858 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Nespinha
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    Dropping Robbo, place your votes for who:

    A) Shaw

    B) James / Azpi (have rudiger)

    C) Cresswell

    D) Digne

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      D

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Hold a week if you can then D

    3. Bennyboy1907
        2 months, 29 days ago

        A

      • Tonyawesome69 FH36
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Prob D with Everton's DGW24 in mind.

    4. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Afternoon all, anything worth doing here? 1FT 3.3 ITB

      Martinez
      Cancelo Stones Coufal
      Salah Bruno(c) Son Gundogan Soucek
      Wilson Antonio

      Areola DCL Digne Mitchell

      1. Bennyboy1907
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Roll

        • Tonyawesome69 FH36
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          I would play Digne over Stones.

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Digne attacking return more likely than a City clean sheet at Anfield?

            1. Tonyawesome69 FH36
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Yes I think both Liverpool and City will score. Stones ceiling is 6 points in this game. Digne has the higher ceiling with a potential attacking return. I can see both Digne and Rich given AWB a tough game

            2. Brehmeren
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Yes

      2. Bennyboy1907
          2 months, 29 days ago

          On 2 FT’s
          Can’t do Johnstone to Pope in 1 move:

          Would you:

          A) Do Chillwell to Mee and keep him as Burnley defensive cover and roll
          B) Chillwell to Shaw Johnstone to pope for free. However leaves me with only 1FT next week.

          1. Tonyawesome69 FH36
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            A - hopefully more news on doubles next week and can plan better with 2FTs

          2. Miguel Sanchez
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            A is probably the smarter play and just hope Pope doesn’t go save/BPS crazy

          3. dando89
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            I'm doing A

        • royals forever
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Play 1 from each group

          Stones
          Dias
          Dallas

          &

          Saka
          DCL

          Any ideas would be welcomed
          (2)

          1. Tonyawesome69 FH36
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Dallas and Saka

        • dogtanion
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Anyone know who's on pens for West Ham ?

          1. _Ninja_
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Noble, Antonio, Lanzini

            1. _Ninja_
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              and only 1 of them starts!

          2. Tonyawesome69 FH36
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            I think it is Antonio when Noble is not on the pitch

          3. Nimby
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            West Ham don't get penalties so I wouldn't worry about it.

          4. ARosell
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Hover over TEAM NEWS and then choose SET PIECES. Here you can see all the information about freekicks and penalties for every team 🙂

            • JONALDINHO
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Noble and if he’s not playing Antonio

            • hullcityfan
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Wouldn’t surprise me if Lingard is given them.

          5. BOATIES FC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Lose Robbo or TAA?

            Rest of defence is Dias Stones Ayling

            1. Tonyawesome69 FH36
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Both, TAA first

          6. Tonyawesome69 FH36
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Which one out of Bamford and Antonio would you pick for captaincy and why?

            1. RubeRx
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Hatrick Bamford

            2. _Ninja_
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Think Antonio, form and fixture.

              Palace beat Leeds 4-1 last time out.

              1. Tonyawesome69 FH36
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Palace missing a couple of key players in Zaha and Tomkins this time round

                1. _Ninja_
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  I'm playing Bamford and Dallas so i hope Leeds smash them.

          7. JONALDINHO
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            2FT 5.0 ITB. Thoughts?

            Martinez
            Cancelo • Coufal • Dallas
            Salah • Bruno • Son • Grealish • Gundo
            DCL • Antonio(C)
            (Steer / Stones / Mitchell / Brewster)

            A) Mitchell to Mee and play over Dallas
            B) Brewster to Bamford and play over DCL
            Will be getting the other next week anyways with Pope

            1. Tonyawesome69 FH36
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              I like the upside in Bamford vs Palace when compared to DCL and Mee

          8. Jersey Boy
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Bench boost yay or nay

            Pope McCarthy
            Cancelo Dias Coufal Dallas Shaw
            Salah Bruno Son Gundo Soucek
            DCL Bam Adams

            0FT

            1. Wild Rover
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Chickening out of making the decision to bench City players? 😉

              1. Jersey Boy
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Haha guilty...

          9. ZeleniMD
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Why is the season ticker not updated yet?

            1. _Ninja_
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Soon

            2. Wild Rover
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              They are all too busy on Twitter

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Who is arguing with who on Twitter #fpl today?

                Guess it's good because you can easily post your photo of teams etc but less thought and maybe more acrimony by design on that platform.

                1. Wild Rover
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  I don't go near it

          10. RubeRx
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Fraser really?

            1. wulfrunian
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Really good game vs Palace but tough fixtures coming up.

          11. Oggle22
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            G2G?
            Martinez
            Stones Cancelo Konsa
            Salah Son(c) Bruno Soucek
            Bamford DCL Antonio

            Steele Mahrez Holding Mitchell

            Cheers

          12. wulfrunian
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Best midfielder up to 10.0 for gw24 and after except Grealish,ManCity?

          13. Top Lad Dakes. - all chips …
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Would you, dare I say it, burn a FT this week? Hear me out... 2FT 4.8 ITB.

            Happy with Areola as DGW keeper. Going to do Coufal to Mee for the DGW instead of getting Pope, but with the Fulham fixture am inclined to keep the Hammers man this week. Don’t rly see any other moves worth it this week either?

            Martinez (Areola)
            Cancelo Dallas Coufal (Digne Stones)
            Salah Son Bruno(c) Gundogan Soucek
            Antonio Bamford (Watkins)

            Thanks 🙂

            1. BOATIES FC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              what about Coufal to Creswell instead of burning a transfer?

            2. AC/DC AFC
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Martinez to Pope or improve on Watkins if possible?

              1. Top Lad Dakes. - all chips …
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Happy with Martinez long term at the moment. Ditching Watkins was another thing I considered, but would only really go for DCL with his DGW (but crap fixture this week so not yet at least), Ings for his DGW (but Saints struggling) or downgrade to fodder

            3. DT42
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              If you are going to shift Coufal to Mee next week, maybe gamble on a Coufal upgrade this week rather than burn the FT. CHE have the best CS odds, Alonso could be fun!

              1. Top Lad Dakes. - all chips …
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Yeah that’s a fair point from you and Boaties there tbf.

                Would love to punt on Alonso for a week for old time’s sake - surely a chance Chilwell comes back in though? Tuchel trying to find his best XI?

                Would suck

                1. Baps hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  Yes. But burning FT if Alonso gauls will suck even more. Get R James then 😉

          14. Fernandito
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Raphinha good captain option this GW?

            1. Azathoth
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Do u trust Leeds?

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Trust them to play open for goals galore!!

            2. Tonyawesome69 FH36
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              I don't see why not. He is in good form and on most set pieces except pens. I would probably go with Bamford if picking a Leeds player

          15. Azathoth
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Can't decide...Who 2 to bench :
            Stones - Dias - Rudi - Cress - Konsa

            Thanx.

            1. Traction Engine Foot
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Probably Stones and Konsa

          16. enourouz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Who will score more points in gw23?

            DCL (mun)

            Or

            Soucek (ful)

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Likely B

            2. Threat Level Midnight
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Let me check my crystal ball

            3. _Ninja_
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Soucek..... if you bench him.

            4. Top Lad Dakes. - all chips …
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Hopefully the big Russian

              1. Lazaretti
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Youn mea Artom Dzyuba

              2. El Presidente
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Who's that?

          17. Top Lad Dakes. - all chips …
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Surely Liverpool are up for this game. Potential of Mane back too. Just can’t see a CS

          18. Arsenal97
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            So confused .who to start ? And what transfert should i do ?Jonstone to pope or Stones to (Rudiger or Alonso)?

            Martinez
            Dias Shaw Cresswell Justin
            Salah Fernandes Son
            Werner Bamford Antonio

            Johnstone Soucek Gundo Stones

            2FT £2.4m

          19. Joyce1998
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            which combo is best for long term

            A- Dallas, Maddy, Bamford
            B- Dallas. Maddy, Antonio
            C- Bamford, Lingard, Dias
            D- Stones, Barnes, Bamford

            Team
            Mcccarthy
            Robbo, Justin,,,,,
            Salah, Sterling, Bruno,,,,,
            Wilson, DCL,,,,,

            Steer, Rudiger, Burke , Dunne

            1. Azathoth
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              B

          20. mwa1t
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Big dilemma in terms of who to bench in defence. They all have good fixtures (except Dias, but sceptical to drop him).

              Martinez
              Dias (LIV), Bednarek (NEW), Mee (BHA), Dier (WBA), Coufal (FUL)
              Salah, Grealish, Maddison, Bruno, Son
              Watkins, DCL (Brewster)

              Alternatively I could drop a midfielder, but they all have OK fixtures (except maybe Salah but would be a big move to drop him)

              1. xHaTr
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                You know Bednarek is getting a 15 pointer this week after what happened the other day

            • xHaTr
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Best midfielder under 7 for next two games (before wildcard in 25)

              Would likely replace DCL this week and Son next week

              A: Saka

              B: Barnes

              C: Soucek

              D: Other?

              1. CoracAld2831
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                2 months, 29 days ago

                C.

              2. Lazaretti
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                JWP could be option

            • CoracAld2831
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              2 months, 29 days ago

              I'm thinking of saving FT (To prepare for GW24/25)?

              Areola
              Cresswell-Cancelo-Justin
              Salah-Fernandes-Soucek-Gundogan-Son
              Wilson-Antonio

              Johnstone-Stones-DCL-Mitchell

              1 FT, 2.0m

              A: G2G?
              B: Bench Son, DCL in
              C: Other

              1. Corona is not good 4 U
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  I think that this team is good to go.

                • Tonyawesome69 FH36
                  • 2 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  GTG

                • CoracAld2831
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  Thank you.

              2. Corona is not good 4 U
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  Which two I should bench?

                  A) Dias
                  B) Stones
                  C) Robertson
                  D) Mee
                  E) Digne?

                  Thank you!

                  1. xHaTr
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    BE

                  2. Tonyawesome69 FH36
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    Stones and Robbo

                  3. Lazaretti
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    BC

                  4. Chrisitis
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    DE

                  5. Corona is not good 4 U
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      Thank you all!

                    • CoracAld2831
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      B

                      Bit of a toss-up between C and E, but seeing Liverpool is struggling at home, maybe C is a better option.

                  6. Shatner's Bassoon
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    Bench which defender?
                    A. Cancelo (liv)
                    B. Dier (WBA)
                    C. Ayling (CRY)
                    D. Mee (BHA)

                    Bench which M/F?
                    E. Salah (mci)
                    F. DCL (mun)
                    G. Soucek (ful)

                    Currently at C and F

                    1. xHaTr
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 3 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      cf looks right

                      1. DT42
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 9 Years
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        CF for sure

                    2. Azathoth
                      • 6 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      BF

                    3. CoracAld2831
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      C and F.

                  7. El Presidente
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 1 Year
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    Play 2 of
                    Gundo
                    Soucek
                    Watkins

                    1. Corona is not good 4 U
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        I would bench Watkins.

                      • CoracAld2831
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        Gundogan
                        Soucek

                      • Hybrid.power
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 11 Years
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        Gundo and Soucek for me

                      • Shatner's Bassoon
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 10 Years
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        Gundo Soucek

                      • El Presidente
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 1 Year
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        Thanks fellas

                    2. Tmel
                      • 10 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      Best defensive option:

                      1) 4.8 or under
                      2) 6.8 or under (non-City)

                      1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
                        • 9 Years
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        chelsea asset?

                      2. DK_13
                        • 5 Years
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        For how long? Short term Burnley Shaw alonso look good

                    3. Pep Roulette
                      • 3 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      Probably benching DCL. Who to get and play?

                      A. Mitchell to Mee
                      B. Burke to Raphinha

                      Martinez (Areola)
                      Maguire Cancelo Coufal (Targett Mitchell)
                      Sterling Bruno Son Gundogan (Burke)
                      Bamford Antonio DCL

                      1. Lazaretti
                        • 3 Years
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        A

                      2. Tonyawesome69 FH36
                        • 2 Years
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        B

                      3. CoracAld2831
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        B

                    4. DK_13
                      • 5 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      Going to do dier to mee next week, should I do it this week itself for free?(incase dier gets dropped)

                    5. Alonso The Great Midfielder
                      • 9 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      Who is the best to bring in?
                      a) Saka
                      b) Hudson-odoi

                      1. Lazaretti
                        • 3 Years
                        2 months, 29 days ago

                        B