Spot the Differential

Fit-again Pereira can return to 2019/20 form in Castagne’s absence

Gameweek 23 is almost upon us after another quick turnaround, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leicester City, Burnley and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Ricardo Pereira

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: wol | LIV | avl | ARS | bha

Ricardo Pereira (£5.9m) is showing signs that he is almost back to full-fitness, as he completed his first 90 minutes of the season against Fulham on Wednesday night.

Benefitting from Timothy Castagne’s (£5.7m) injury, which is set to keep him out for a ‘short period of time’, the 27-year-old started at Craven Cottage and even had a goal ruled out in the second half for offside.

The numbers caught the eye, too.

Pereira finished the match with 23 final-third touches. Amongst team-mates, only James Maddison (£7.3m) had more, and for context, his colleague on the opposite flank, James Justin (£5.1m), had nine. He also racked up more penalty area-touches, take-ons and crosses than the English full-back during the match, which is encouraging. 

The return of several injured players, including Çaglar Söyüncü (£5.3m) and of course Pereira, has given the Foxes a boost ahead of a testing run of fixtures, which sees them take on Wolverhampton Wanderers, Liverpool, Aston Villa and Arsenal before the end of the month. However, it’s worth pointing out that two of the next three are on the road, where Leicester have won 26 points so far, their second highest total in a Premier League campaign after their 2015-16 title win.

Now almost up to speed, Pereira is surely a must-start for Brendan Rodgers side, and with his ability to bomb forward like a winger, could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

“He’s one of the top full-backs in the Premier League. We lost him in a game in which he was outstanding. We’ve gained in two ways because it allowed James Justin to come in and grow. Now, to have Ricky back with all of his qualities. He’s not there yet but he’s getting up to speed. We’re really strong in that area of the field.” – Brendan Rodgers

Ben Mee

  • FPL ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: BHA | cry + FUL | WBA | tot | ARS

English centre-back Ben Mee (£4.9m) has become one of the Premier League’s most consistent defenders in recent seasons, and could be a solid differential given Burnley’s schedule which now includes a Double Gameweek.

The Clarets started the season slowly going seven games without a win, but saw their performances improve once Mee returned to the starting XI following a thigh injury. Since then, the solidity Sean Dyche’s side are renowned for has returned, and resulted in seven clean sheets in their last 17 attempts in all competitions.

Despite just two of those shut-outs arriving this year, it’s worth pointing out that their recent schedule has been tough, with each of their last six league opponents all in the top 10. However, they now have a run of winnable matches against teams in the bottom half, which includes an appealing Double Gameweek 24 against Crystal Palace and Fulham. 

Encouragingly, they have already kept clean sheets against their next four opponents earlier in the season, too.

Captain Mee also carries a bit of goal threat from set-pieces, which has already seen him score against Sheffield United and Aston Villa this term. That could be important too, given that Brighton and Palace often look vulnerable defending crosses into the box, and while clean sheets remain the most likely source of points, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he were again to take advantage from a dead-ball situation in the coming weeks.

Ryan Fraser

Sterling's away form and low ownership can do real FPL damage
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: SOU | che | mun | WOL | wba

Despite a stop-start season at Newcastle United, largely due to injury, Ryan Fraser (£5.6m) has impressed in recent matches.

That upturn in form has coincided with Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-4-2 diamond formation, which has seen the Magpies take more shots than any other side since Gameweek 20.

Operating in a more advanced role alongside Callum Wilson (£6.8m), the more ambitious approach is getting the best out of Fraser, who ranks joint-top for chances created among all Premier League players over the last three matches. He’s also created three big chances, a total only Bruno Fernandes (£11.4m) can match, and whipped in a massive 36 crosses.

The 26-year-old’s appeal is further boosted by this weekend’s opponents Southampton, who following their heavy midweek defeat at Old Trafford have now conceded 15 goals in their last four league matches. It’s also worth noting that they’ve given up 21 chances from their right flank during that time, only Burnley have allowed more, which is relevant with Fraser often drifting into those areas, where he can cut inside onto his stronger right foot.

Fraser has had a testing start to his time in the North East, but can provide a genuine threat for Newcastle when fully fit, and could be a nice pick-up for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential in Gameweek 23.

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858 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Top Lad Dakes. - WC/TC left
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 10 days ago

    Any Chelsea ITK on here / Twitter / anywhere else (fan forums)? Trying to see if Alonso is likely starting this week

    1. Daniel - When to BB?
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 10 days ago

      We need goals

      1. Top Lad Dakes. - WC/TC left
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 10 days ago

        Think he does then?

        You usually right, Dan? 😉

        1. Daniel - When to BB?
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          75% chance

          1. seanie3
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Tuchel seems to like him, probably sticks with him with wing backs setup, but like with lamps once he makes a glaring mistake to lead to a goal or two he will get dropped.. with that said Tuchel played chilwell LWB and wasn't impressed and took him off and not played since...

    2. Tonyawesome69 FHXX
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 10 days ago

      If Chelsea stick with wingbacks then Alonso is nailed. If going with fullbacks, I think Alonso is more vulnerable on the defensive side and Tuchel would favour Chilwell.

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 10 days ago

      I wouldn’t risk him

    4. EVILFUK
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 10 days ago

      Alonso's place to lose IMO

    5. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 10 days ago

      I think the 2 day turnaround makes it a riskier move that it would be otherwise. I wouldn’t chance it personally unless you get any ITK info

    6. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 10 days ago

      Reliable: https://twitter.com/MaccaSport?s=09

      Sometimes: https://twitter.com/TheSecretScout_?s=09

      We don't get too much out of the club though.

      1. seanie3
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 10 days ago

        Not sure about "upto date" info 🙂
        A post 2 hours ago on there says we are not interested in Rice anymore!!! well no @!HD sherlock 🙂

  2. Phlajo
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 10 days ago

    Ideas of a move here?

    Got 2FT and 0.6 itb

    Martinez Forster
    Dias Digne Dallas Coufal Douglas
    Salah Bruno Rashford Son Maddison
    Antonio DCL Brewster

    Thinking Douglas to Lowton to prepare for DGW24 and probably roll the other FT?

    Other ideas very, very welcome.. 🙂

  3. winchester
      2 months, 10 days ago

      Good day lads! Have 2ft and 0,3m itb Wildcard, bb, tc available. Kane back next gw? keep or sell? what would you lads do with this lot? cheers guys!

      martinez (martin)
      dias cancelo dallas coufal (taylor)
      salah bruno son soucek gundo
      bamford (adams kane)

      martin+kane -> pope+antonio/wilson/watkins/DCL ?
      y/n?

      1. Phlajo
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 10 days ago

        I'd keep Kane if you had him this long.. Mourinho said he should be ready for the City game, which means I guess he could play already this weekend?

        1. winchester
            2 months, 10 days ago

            cheers. hmm yeah.. I regret having him this long to be honest.. would it perhaps be worth transferring him out, when considering i could get pope and perhaps mee for the dgw? and also one of the potential strikers this and next gw

        2. Snooze ya lose
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Keep both imo

      2. Rondon9
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 10 days ago

        What would you do here?

        Martinez
        Dallas Cancelo Dias
        Gundo Grealish Son Bruno Salah
        Antonio DCL

        4m - TAA Mitchell Brewster

        1FT 3.6m IT

        A Brewster to Bamford (Bench DCL)
        B Martinez to Pope
        C TAA to Mee (Bench City def)
        D Save
        E Anything else?

        Cheers

        1. Rondon9
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          B should be Forster to Pope*

          1. Snooze ya lose
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            B

        2. Phlajo
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          I'd save without a doubt

        3. Karan14
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          A, B & C are all good moves imo.

      3. pingissimus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 10 days ago

        Okay locking and loading this. GL all

        Mendy
        Cancelo Justin Digne
        Barnes Mo Bruno Grealish Gundo
        Bamford (A)ntonio

        Steer DCL Dias Targett

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          I am tempted to cap Antonio too. GL.

          1. pingissimus
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Frustration play really having wimped out of Bruno and Barnes at last minute in the past 2 weeks

        2. Karan14
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Nice team. Good luck!

      4. Nespinha
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 10 days ago

        Dropping Robbo, place your votes for who:

        A) Shaw

        B) double chelsea (have rudiger)

        C) Cresswell

        D) Digne

        1. Top Lad Dakes. - WC/TC left
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          D for the DGW is tempting, though wouldn’t want much longer than that atm

        2. zon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Doing the same and between Cress (double up with Coufal) or Azpi. Leaning still to Cress so in your case, Cresswell

          1. Nespinha
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Currently on

            Digne (DGW) / Cress (easy fixtures) >>> Azpi / James (easy fixtures) >>> Shaw (rotation risk with WBA)

      5. Stupendous
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 10 days ago

        Gtg? 4.3m itb

        Pope
        Cancelo Dallas Chilwell
        Salah Son Grealish Soucek Gundogan
        Wilson Bamford(c)

        Martinez Stones Digne DCL

        1. PukkiBlinder
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Yes apart from Paddy captain. Though what do I know...

          1. Stupendous
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Maybe Soucek?

        2. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Backing Chilwell to start?

          1. Stupendous
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            I think so then I'll ship. Bench covers him anyway

      6. NateDogsCats
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Earlyish but who for GW24:

          A) Lacazette (H Leeds)
          B) Jesus (H Spurs, A Everton)

          Bare in mind I'd have to eventually take a -4 if I go for Jesus (plan is to bring in Ings and Bamford for GW25, if I keep Laca next week I'll hold the ft to avoid the hit)

        • Karan14
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Martinez
          Cancelo Cresswell Robbo
          Salah Bruno Son Grealish Gundo
          Antonio Brewster
          (Steer - Dias - DCL - Mitchell)

          Robbo & Brewster ➡️ Lowton & Bamford for free?

          Leaves enough cash for Steer ➡️ Pope next week.
          Could even BB next week if I do Steer & Mitchell ➡️ Mee & Areola for a hit.

          Will then decide in GW25 if I need to wildcard for BB26 or just get DGW25 & DGW26 players with my FTs and hits.

          Thoughts?

        • b91jh
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Current backline:
          Dias Cancelo Cresswell Dallas White

          How would u rate this 'play the fixture' plan? Both of it would likely be one of the 2ft move unless any other issues occur.

          GW24: Dallas to Mee
          GW25: Cresswell to Dallas

        • RedJive79
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Is this GTG? Correct bench?

          Pope
          Cancelo / Stones / Coufal
          Salah / Son / Soucek / Gundo / Bruno
          Antonio (c) / Bamford

          Martinez / DCL / Holding / Mitchell

        • Flynny
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Is this team set up correctly please? 1ft and 5m that I plan to carry over.

          Coufal covers Chilwell if he doesn't play

          Pope (martinez)
          Cancelo dallas chilwell (coufal dias)
          Salah bruno grealish gundog soucek
          Antonio (c) watkins (dcl)

          Thanks

          1. Karan14
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Yes looks good.

            1. Flynny
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Thanks mate. Good luck

        • Tinfoil Deathstar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Who to play out of Dias, Digne, and Taylor? Cancelo and Coufal are my other two defenders. A little concerned that Taylor might come off the bench for a 1 pointer, so seems to be between Dias/Digne really.

          1. matiakez
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            That's tricky is Taylor was more assured id say him. Possibly Digne given there's always the assist potential.

          2. Boly Would
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            I'd go Dias

        • matiakez
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Think pope is the only way to get Burnley in here;

          Martinez Johnstone
          Coufal Cancelo Dias Digne Dallas

          I'll look to lose Coufal probably prior to 26 but getting rid before Fulham and Sheffield United doesn't seem logical?

        • EVILFUK
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 10 days ago

          Anyone considering Vardy this weekend? Leicester predominantly better away from home.

          Kane also back next week, are you using your excess funds on Kane and Vardy?

          https://www.premierinjuries.com/injury-table.php

          1. Fit_to_drop
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Doing Kane to Vardy in GW27. Still own kane.

          2. Holmes
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Probably going to drop Salah and get both

          3. winchester
              2 months, 10 days ago

              i am considering transferring him out for antonio this gw. also to fund pope and elsewhere for dgw and so on.. not sure if it is wise tho...

          4. That Was Easy!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            What to do here, folks? Do I need Sonny?

            Martinez
            Cancelo Coufal James Shaw
            Sterling Bruno (C) Grealish
            Bamford Antonio Wilson

            Areola; Barnes, Stones, Zaha***..1FT, 3.4itb

            1) Zaha > Son (C)
            2) Zaha > Siggy and bench (but keep for double)

            Should I play Barnes over Shaw or James?

            1. That Was Easy!
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Zaha > anyone basically an option.

              1. MoSalad
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 10 days ago

                Son

                1. That Was Easy!
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 6 Years
                  2 months, 10 days ago

                  I suppose, although it is a transfer I'd like to use for the doubles, that it's going to have to be done.

          5. MoSalad
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Can I get a FFS check please on transfers?

            Areola, Johnstone
            Cancelo, Stones, Cressy, Coufal, AWB
            Zaha*, Salah, Sterling, Penandes, Barnes
            BamBam, Antonio, BobbyDR

            Thinking I will do the following:

            GW23 ----> Sterling & Zaha ---> Son & Gundo for free
            GW24 ---> Son & BobbyDR ----> J Rod (Eve) & DCL -4
            GW25 ----> J Rod & DCL ---> Raphina & Ings -4
            GW26 -----> -12 free for all punt on DGW players or FH.

          6. Corgzzzz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Afternoon. Who to bench..

            Maguire
            or
            DCL

            1. fplking14
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Do you think Everton will score? If you think they will start DCL, if not start Maguire

          7. Fit_to_drop
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 10 days ago

            Jorginho or Soucek for next 3-4 games until WC

          8. doher.ty
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Start
              A) Stones (would mean double City vs Pool)
              B) Digne

            • Disturbed
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Anything you would change here or g2g?

              Martinez
              Mee Dallas coufal
              Salah Sterling Bruno gundo saka
              Bamford Antonio

              Forster stones dcl digne

            • AppleDunk
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Is Ings(new) an option?

            • fplking14
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              G2G?

              Martinez (Button)
              Dias Tarkowski Coufal (Stones) (Douglas)
              Salah Grealish Bruno Son Gundogan
              Ings Antonio(C) (Davis)

            • Top Lad Dakes. - WC/TC left
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Fuchs it - FT to spare and I’ll have some fun. Alonso in for a week v Blades, then out for Mee for the DGW

            • Return of the FF
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              What to do with a FT here guys?

              Martinez, Mccarthy
              Cancelo, Stones, Coufal, Dallas, Bernado
              Salah, Bruno, Grealish, Soucek, Gundo
              Adams, DCL, Bamford

              1 FT and 6.3 itb.

              Adams is a problem, as is Coufal and Bernado although he can be 3rd sub.

              A. Roll
              B. Bernado to Burnley def
              C. Bernado to Justin (sick of not owning him)
              D. Salah out for... Son?? Maddison??

            • Carlton P
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Play
              Watkins or DCL
              Targett or Digne?

            • Shark Team
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              What to do with Charlie Taylor?
              A) Sell him
              B) Bench him and play him next gw
              C) Play him this and the next gw

              1. AppleDunk
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 10 days ago

                I'm keeping him and hoping he will play next week. So B or C.

              2. Carlton P
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 10 days ago

                Keep and hope

              3. Inazuma X1
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 10 days ago

                A

              4. Tinfoil Deathstar
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                2 months, 10 days ago

                Yeah, I have this issue too. Was looking to shift him for Shaw this week, before the news broke about the Burnley double so it's put me in a tight spot. Worried he might be on the bench and come on for a 1 pointer this week. Ben Dinnery indicated that no risks would be taken with him so that suggests (to me, at least) that he's unlikely to start.

            • Forza Papac
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Start Dallas or Mee? Will be starting Pope.

              1. Holmes
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 10 days ago

                Dallas

              2. Miguel Sanchez
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 10 days ago

                Dallas - higher ceiling

            • BOATIES FC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              play Meslier (CRY) or Martinez (ARS) ?

              I'm leaning Meslier

            • That Was Easy!
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 10 days ago

              Quite a benching headache this week..

              1) Do I start Barnes over Sterling or Wilson? Currently benching Barnes.
              2) Which 2 to start out of Cancelo, James and Shaw? Currently on Shaw and Cancelo.

              1. Snooze ya lose
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 10 days ago

                1. No
                2. S & C