Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Betting odds on the weekend’s Premier League action


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We are again turning to the odds provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365, to wager a bet on the forthcoming Premier League action.

As ever, we urge you to gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

The Fantasy Flutter: Betting odds on the weekend’s Premier League action 2

GAMEWEEK 23 MATCH ODDS



ANFIELD TITLE WRAP?

The stand-out clash of the weekend unquestionably comes at Anfield, where Manchester City are aiming to win for the first time since 2003.

A victory for Pep Guardiola’s side would send them ten points clear of the reigning champions with a game in hand still to play, all but ensuring that the Reds would not be mounting a successful defence of their title.

Tight-looking games such as these can leave Fantasy managers casting around for assets elsewhere, especially when it comes to the captaincy situation.

But the match will be a captivating spectacle all the same – and there are some interesting odds being offered up by bet365, whatever your allegiance.

If you’re in the red corner, when else can you remember Liverpool being 12/5 to win on their own turf?

And if you’re on team blue: it’s not often that City, who let’s remember have kept 11 shut-outs in their last 13 Premier League outings, have been priced at 12/5 just to keep a clean sheet.

As usual, bet365 offer an array of markets for those who love their underlying stats.

Ruben Dias is 4/9 just to make more than 0.5 tackles which, given how much Liverpool need to win this game (and ergo be on the front foot), seems very plausible indeed.

Punters can also bet on things like shot counts (see below), which is where our Premium Members Area can come in handy.

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer

Get your single bets paid out if the team you back goes 2 goals ahead – for multiple bets the selection will be marked as a winner.

Applies to pre-match bets on the standard Full Time Result market for selected competitions. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

IS THE POPE CAPTAIN?

This week’s announcement that four Premier League clubs will have a Double Gameweek 24 has sent us in a spin.

Among that quartet is Burnley, who enjoy an appealing double-header against the less-than-prolific attacks of Crystal Palace and Fulham.

Before that is a meeting with Brighton at Turf Moor, and Nick Pope is, unsurprisingly, the most-bought goalkeeper of Gameweek 23 as a result.

While Burnley and Pope are celebrated for their defensive fortitude, particularly against the ‘also-rans’ of the division, the Seagulls themselves are in great shape at the back.

Robert Sanchez has kept four clean sheets on the bounce and Albion will head to Lancashire knowing that their opponents have not only scored the least amount of goals in the division this season but also that they could again be without their two main strikers.

We’re all over the 0-0 at 6/1, then, but if you wanted to live a bit more dangerously and actually bet on a Clarets 1-0 at 9/1, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back Offer will get you your money back if the game does result in a stalemate.

Bore Draw Money Back

Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365.

Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

RYAN FILLIP

Cast your minds back a season to Southampton’s last 9-0 defeat, when the Saints prepared to face Manchester City in their very next league game.

A lot of us lumped on City assets in the hope of a similar rout but, such is football, Ralph Hasenhuttl’s troops produced a much more resilient display and only just succumbed to a late 2-1 defeat.

There’ll no doubt be another reaction from the Saints, then, when they head north to Tyneside this weekend.

That said, it’s a bit of a surprise to see Newcastle listed as second-favourites at 9/4 with bet365 (actually drifting from the original 2/1) for their home game against the south-coast club.

With the same bookies’ enhanced odds offer, a full-time Magpies win is available at 3.35.

Newcastle have looked a team transformed over the last two and a half Gameweeks, ever since their rousing second-half display against Leeds.

Steve Bruce’s side have had more shots than any other team over the last three Gameweeks and were a tad unlucky to lose to Crystal Palace in midweek, with their new 4-4-2 diamond system producing some attacking football.

Ryan Fraser has been deployed ‘out of position’ alongside Callum Wilson in that set-up and, while traditionally more of an assist merchant, he is available at an appealing 12/1 to open the scoring this weekend.

Fraser had two presentable openings against Palace, being denied by Vicente Guaita on both occasions.

Incidentally, bet365’s Each Way First Goalscorer offer effectively means that Fraser will be 4/1 to score at any time – the full details of which are below.



Each Way First Goalscorers

Place an Each Way First Goalscorer bet on any Soccer match.

If your player scores at any time during the game in 90 minutes play, we will pay you out at 1/3 odds for unlimited places.



For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 

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1,192 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sid1891
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 5 days ago

    Start
    Justin or Lowton

    Have Pope in goal

    Cheers

    1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Justin all day long

      1. Sid1891
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Cheers
        Just had this weird feeling of no returns form him

    2. FPL_WILDCARD
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Start Justin if you have Pope

      1. Sid1891
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Cheers
        Too risky putting bet on double Burnley then
        Justin is then

    3. Mweene
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Justin. Not even worth thinking about.

  2. Mr Chelski
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 5 days ago

    Adams out for Antonio, good move despite Southamptons upcoming DGW?

    1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Yes..antonio nice fixtures..

      1. Mr Chelski
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Cheers bro

  3. tabby98
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 5 days ago

    Start Soucek or DCL?

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Soucek

  4. SHOWSTOPPERRR
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 5 days ago

    Guys have 2 ft..

    Bissou and kwp to rashford and mee and bench dcl and digne?

  5. FPL_WILDCARD
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 5 days ago

    G2G?

    Pope
    Dias, Stones, Coufal
    Bruno(c), Rashford, Son, Salah, Gundogan
    DCL, Antonio

    Subs: Alioski, Kilman, Davis

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Gtg

    2. Tango74
        2 months, 5 days ago

        The question is

        Antonio or Bruno captain ??

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Going to fly for 121 mins
      ...

      Good luck gals and guys.

      See ya later.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        101... Can't even count!

      2. Slitherene
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        What are you gonna be on?

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          Son

          Or Bruno.

          It's a toss the coin kind of day.

          WBA defense may edge it but 12 noon, Sunday kick off makes me nervous.

      3. The 12th Man
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Do your arms ache when you fly?

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          Nah, i use my wings.

    4. Slitherene
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Best 4.4 defender to get in?

      A) Lowton
      B) White

      1. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        A

      2. St Pauli Walnuts
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Easily A, guaranteed double next week and highly likely to get one in 26 too.

    5. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      One person a day (at least) commits suicide every day in the UK as a result of gambling...

      https://www.gamblingwithlives.org/

      1. ebb2sparky
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        It's a mugs game. Worst thing is this responsible gambling bull****. The gambling companies really dont care. Their only concern is that you dont go bankrupt or commit suicide since then you cant gamble.

    6. Mweene
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      I'm sure this has been done to death so I apologise.

      I really can't decide whether to play Martinez or McCarthy.

      I'm currently 11k so I'm guessing Martinez is the safe option? If I don't play him and he hauls it'll be much more damaging than if McCarthy does.

      Arsenal fan too which makes the decision even harder.

      1. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Martinez

      2. DK_13
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        McCarthy. If Martinez hauls he hauls. The stats (arsenal attack and villa defence, both last few matches) don't favour him.
        Moreover another way to look at it is, McCarthy with the chance of higher returns can you push you into the top 10k

        1. DK_13
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          Sorry man

      3. Steerpike
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Same dilemma. Absence of Vestergaard may swing it.

    7. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Who to cap?

      Son
      Bamford
      Bruno
      Antonio

      1. shady4revr
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Beta in hindi.

        1. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          Eh?

          1. The Count of Monte Cristo
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 5 days ago

            Bheta is the Hindi word for “son”

      2. St Pauli Walnuts
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Mikey Ants

    8. shady4revr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Bench one
      Sterling
      Gundo
      Dias

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        *** in Hindi 😉

        1. shady4revr
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

        2. shady4revr
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          lol =D

    9. swanseag55
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      I’ve gone for Bamford Captain. Just on fire at the moment. Most people say captain Antonio who I have also got and could do well. Stick to my guns?

      1. Pegboy
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Go with your gut. No clear cut choice this week.

    10. Pickle juice
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Which one :

      A. Son to salah
      B.gundo to lingard (punt)
      C.dcl to antonio
      D.save FT

      Thanks

      1. Pegboy
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        D

    11. LT10
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Who would you bench from this lot?
      a) Salah (CITY)
      b) Gundogan (liv)
      c) DCL (mun)
      d) Watkins (ARS)

      Already starting these in my front 8:
      Fernandes
      Bamford
      Raphina
      Son

      1. Pegboy
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        DCL, I think.

      2. manu4life99
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        C

    12. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Cancelo v Trent
      Walker(will play for pace) v Robertson
      Is going to be so crucial in this game

    13. Pegboy
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Got to bench one from:

      DCL
      Cancelo
      Pieters (have Mee)
      Coufal

      Currently on Cancelo.

      1. LT10
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Pieters, if you already have Mee starting.

        1. Pegboy
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          Cheers. Probably sensible but BHA fixtures feels worthy of gambling on.

      2. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Never bench Cancelo
        Are you insane??

        1. HuttonDressedasLahm
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          Coufal has much less “risk”

      3. St Pauli Walnuts
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Defo play Cancelo

    14. manu4life99
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Start AWB or Dias?

      Martinez
      Shaw Coufal XXX
      Salah Bruno Son Gundo
      DCL Bamford Antonio

      1. Pegboy
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Probably AWB, but a little risky with Shaw as well.

        1. HuttonDressedasLahm
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          Dias

    15. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      I've decided to bring in Lingard as my 5th midfielder and bench DCL.

      Also made 2 transfers:
      Bednarek > Rudiger
      Pogba > Lingard

      We'll see what happens.

      McCarthy (Martinez)
      Wan-Bissaka Dias Rudiger
      Salah Fernandes Maddison Gundogan Lingard
      Antonio(C) Bamford

      Subs: DCL Lowton Coufal

      Wish me luck.

      1. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Good luck

    16. ebb2sparky
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      What are the chances C.Taylor is back for the double?

      1. Pegboy
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Very possible. I've got Pieters so tried researching, and it looks like he's back soon.

    17. mr_jones
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Pope
      Azpi - Coufal - Dallas
      Salah - Bruno (C) - Maddison - Gundo
      Watkins - Bamford - Wilson

      Subs: McCarthy, Bowen, Cancelo, Robbo

      good?

    18. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Right, changed my mind
      Benched Coufal over Robertson

      Gtg?

      Pope
      Stones Robertson Dallas
      Sterling Salah Bruno(c) Gundogan Soucek
      Bamford(vc) Watkins

      Sanchez Richarlison Coufal Konsa

      1. DandyDon
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Hoping for 0-0 but you have three midfielders to. Maybe bench stones and hope for pool goal?

    19. soup natsi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Sell one for Pope
      A. McCarthy - CHE, lee in gw25 but Pope has WBA
      B. Johnstone - BHA, NEW vs Pope’s tot, ARS but plays for WBA

      1. Cojones of Destiny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        b

      2. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        B
        I just did the same
        Ignore fixtures, they are awful

    20. Cojones of Destiny
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      play :
      a. DCL
      b. Dallas

      1. soup natsi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        B

    21. Steager
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Start
      DCL or MEE?

      Or You. Joking.

      1. soup natsi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        Mee

    22. Pickle juice
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Son or antonio and would you capt them over bruno or bamford

    23. LT10
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      In my opinion, this is the most interesting GW of the whole season, so far.

      No obvious captain choice.
      Loads of managers with all sorts of tough choices regarding benches.
      We've also got the upcoming doubles to consider when we are making transfers.

      Love it.

    24. Goooo Rickie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 5 days ago

      Bench Stones or Watkins?

      HELP!

    25. gooberman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 5 days ago

      So many people are starting Soucek over better options this week. Soucek's percentage odds of a return according to the betting markets are much lower than players people are benching. I feel that this decision to start Soucek is more down to previous scars than logic which can't be the right approach.

      1. claretparrot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 5 days ago

        I don't know which better options you're talking about, so can't disagree with you.

        However, trust me when I say that taking the betting market odds as your primary data source is not the best way to play FPL.

        1. gooberman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          Would have to disagree. The market odds reflect the probability of an event occuring.

          Obviously there will be occasions when the less likely outcome will occur like favourites losing etc but over time the more likely outcomes will occur more often the not. So I have started to base my starting 11's, bench order and captain picks based on market odds.

        2. gooberman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 5 days ago

          By the way, the market data I'm using is actually based on FPL returns. Its bookie odds FPL returns percentage probability.

          This data has Soucek at a 31% chance of an FPL return which is lower than players I'm seeing managers bench favouring Soucek instead. Players such as DCL (42%), Gundog (39%) and Stones and Dias (36%) amongst others I'm seeing on people's benches with Soucek starting.

          Even the scout picks have Soucek starting and Raphina (46%) benched. Doesn't make statistical sense.

          Every week, regardless of who West Ham are playing, Soucek always has a low chance of scoring in terms of the market odds (normally a 1 in 4-5 chance) so it just isn't statistically possible to keep scoring goals at the frequency he has been. He has to regress at some point to bring his returns more in line with what probability says he should be getting.

          I'm a big believer in stats, probability and odds, not necessarily in the short term or in terms of individual events but over the long term.