Spot the Differential

Odegaard’s creativity can help provide FPL value in BGW29 and beyond

Blank Gameweek 29 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Fulham and Brighton and Hove Albion, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Martin Ødegaard

Can Martin Ødegaard live up to his potential and become a top FPL asset?
  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: whu | LIV | shu | FUL | EVE

Martin Ødegaard (£6.0m) has made a real impact at Arsenal since joining from Real Madrid on loan in January.

The Norwegian international has now started seven of the Gunners’ last nine matches in all competitions, predominantly as a number 10, and has repaid his manager’s faith with important goals against Olympiacos and Tottenham Hotspur.

His displays have seen him become the focal point of the side, which is reflected in his numbers.

Since making his first league start last month, Ødegaard ranks first amongst team-mates for successful passes in the final-third and joint-top for chances created, while his total of four shots over the last two matches highlights his increasing goal threat. His ability to make himself free on the edge of the box is a really nice part of his game, and having taken a few corners too, there is lots to like.

Sunday’s 2-1 victory over Spurs in the north London derby leaves Mikel Arteta’s side 10 points adrift of the top four. However, a win against West Ham United this weekend would allow them to close the gap, and they have momentum. In fact, since Boxing Day, they sit fourth in the Premier League form table, having collected 27 points from their last 14 matches.

In a relatively short space of time, Ødegaard has become an integral part of this Arsenal side, and could be a useful budget differential for the run-in.

Tosin Adarabioyo

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: LEE | avl | WOL | ars | –

Fulham defender Tosin Adarabioyo (£4.5m) has been a crucial part of Fulham’s defensive improvement this season.

Before his arrival in October, the Cottagers had shipped 11 goals in their opening four matches of the campaign. However, they have gradually improved since, and have now conceded just five in their last eight outings. 

During that time, the 23-year-olds partnership with Dane Joachim Andersen (£4.5m) has helped Scott Parker’s side register five clean sheets, and with Alphonse Areola (£4.6m) excelling in goal, bringing in a Fulham defender this week could be a shrewd move.

Their opponents in Gameweek 29, Leeds United, have failed to score in four of their last five matches, while Adarabioyo’s threat from set-pieces could be another route to points, too. The centre-back has produced 15 headed attempts from set-plays this term, a team-leading total, which is particularly relevant given that defending dead-ball situations has been an achilles heel throughout Marcelo Bielsa’s time at Elland Road. 

It’s another huge game for Fulham, who currently sit in the relegation zone but can move up to 17th with a win. Beyond that, there are winnable matches against Aston Villa, Wolverhampton Wanderers, Burnley, Southampton and Newcastle United before the end of the season, so there is potential to hold their assets long-term.

Adarabioyo has established himself as a key player for Fulham this season, and with an FPL ownership of just 0.9%, could be a useful differential.

Danny Welbeck

Welbeck ready to profit from Brighton's appealing run of fixtures
  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: NEW | mun | EVE | che | shu

Following the inclusion of Joël Veltman (£4.4m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Danny Welbeck (£5.5m).

After several substitute appearances, the 30-year-old returned to Brighton and Hove Albion’s starting XI last weekend and was central to their win, providing the assist for Leandro Trossard’s (£5.8m) second-half strike.

The former Manchester United and Arsenal forward has now been directly involved in five goals this term, despite being limited to just 15 appearances and eight starts. That suggests he can make a notable impact when on the pitch, and with Newcastle United up next, he could be worth a look.

The Magpies have been poor on the road this season, and have won just three of their 14 Premier League away games. During that time, only Leeds United have a worse expected goals conceded (xGC) total, while they also rank in the bottom three for attempts in the box and shots on target conceded.

While Brighton have often flattered to deceive under Graham Potter, the return of Adam Lallana (£6.2m) can help them kick on. Against Southampton, he was pulling the strings in a slightly deeper role, and if he can stay fit for the remainder of the season, then Albion’s survival chances will receive a massive boost.

Welbeck has a big role to play too, and could be a nice under the radar option in Blank Gameweek 29.

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942 Comments Post a Comment
  1. linkafu
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 3 days ago

    Sorry still asking but drives me crazy:

    A Lingard
    B Bale

    Please someone gives me the good argue

    1. Dirty Harry
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 3 days ago

      Flip a coin.

      Have you got WC?

      1. linkafu
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Yes plan is use it in 31

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 3 days ago

      It depends a bit on your team. I think Lingard edges it for this week.

      1. linkafu
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Have Kane and Antonio so it's Double Spurs or West Ham

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 3 days ago

      B

    4. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 3 days ago

      Well, Spurs conceded 3 after Bale was introduced so not sure he’s a great pick right now. Not with Aurier behind him at least.

  2. BrutalLogiC
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 3 days ago

    hopefully playing this lot:

    Martinez
    Dunk Konsa
    Son Raph
    Watkins Bamford Kane

    Got 1 FT, who shall I bring in for one of the below? Got 0.6

    Shaw / Rudiger / Stones
    KDB / Bruno / Gundo / Son

    1. linkafu
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 3 days ago

      Stones to Cresswell maybe

      1. linkafu
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Aw Sorry didn't see the budget

        1. linkafu
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 3 days ago

          Stones to Dallas

    2. Tango74
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Why play 2 spurs v 2 villa defenders?

        Conflict ?

        Especially if Kane capt

    3. Jönny
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 3 days ago

      Rate My Slightly Punty Free Hit Team...

      Sanchez
      Dallas, Veltman, Cresswell
      Odegaard, Bale, Raphina, Tyler Roberts
      Lacazette, Maupay (c), Kane

      Bench: Martinez, Ndombele, Tierney, Targett

      1. Brehmeren
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Bamford likely to play.

        1. Jönny
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          He is, but I think Tyler will play behind him in Rodrigo's place...

      2. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Wow that’s ballsy! Not a massive fan of Maupay but if he’s going to score big it’s vs Newcastle. Roberts has not been great but there’s no reason you won’t get a good score with that team.

    4. Rhodes your boat
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 3 days ago

      Play Martinez or areola? Also have targett

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Martinez

      2. linkafu
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 2 days ago

        Aerola

    5. Max City
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 3 days ago

      which 2 would you bring in:

      A) Bale
      B)Tierney
      C) Dunk
      D) Lingard

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 3 days ago

        AD

      2. son of city
          3 months, 3 days ago

          bale, dunk simple.

        • Nolberto Solano
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          CD

        • Bubbles1985
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          CD

        • Max City
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          ok then:

          Bale (2)
          Dunk (3)
          Lingard (3)
          Tierney (0)

        • Gandalf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 2 days ago

          Bale Dunk. May be wrong, but can't see Lingard doing much against Arsenal

      3. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Digne to Cresswell worth -4?

        1. Dirty Harry
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          Digne GW30 is nice. I'm holding Digne

          1. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Cheers! Doing DCL to Bamford for free.
            Could also do Stones to Cresswell for -4, also have Dias

      4. Dirty Harry
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Gundo > Trossard -4 worth the hit?

        Gives me 9 players if so.

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          No

      5. XabiAlonso
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 3 days ago

        Help please I have 5 fit players this week. 1 ft. Is it worth using wildcard for this week

        1. Andy_Social
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          Depends if you want a squad full of Brighton, Fulham, Newcastle going forward.

          1. XabiAlonso
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Lol probably not

        2. son of city
            3 months, 3 days ago

            wild card is a no go zone this week.

          • Pukki Party
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            I'm seriously considering. Have you made a draft?

            1. Pukki Party
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              I made this earlier in the week:

              Ederson Sanchez*
              Cresswell* Dallas* Cancelo Robbo Rudiger
              Raphina* Bruno Gundo Neto Jota
              Kane* Antonio* Watkins*

          • The Ilfordian
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            I think if you’re going to WC you will want some Arsenal for their long term good fixtures and a couple of Leeds to cover next week. Few West Ham and Spurs with some City, Chelsea and /or Everton on the bench and it might be skewed towards certain clubs but it should pick up the good fixtures

        3. Bubbles1985
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          RMFH please? 3.3m left itb with this:

          Sanchez
          Dunk Dallas Reguillon
          Lingz(vc) Auba Raph Bale
          Kane(c) Antonio Bamford

          Martinez Lookman Veltman Cresswell

          Still have WC and TC left to play...

          1. Konstaapeli
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Solid. I'd pick Tierney and Trossard in for Reguilon and Lingz.

            1. Bubbles1985
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Thanks.

              I actually had those 2 in my previous draft but fancy West Ham to beat Arsenal.

              Hence Cresswell and Lingard as vc!

        4. Original - Wolves Ay We
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          Local derby for Man U in the Europa Quarter Final draw. Will be playing the old defunct TV company based in the city.

          1. 2's Kompany 3's M…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            I don't know if everyone will get that but it made me laugh. 10/10

        5. Top Lad Dakes. - all chips …
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          Son can stay. Can replace DCL and or Cancelo/Stones with Bamford/Antonio and Dunk.

          1 FT so both moves would be -4. Who ya taking? 3.5m ITB

          Martinez
          Cresswell Dallas Johnson
          Bale Raphinha Son**
          Kane(c) Watkins
          (3.9 Cancelo Stones Bruno Gundogan DCL)

        6. Hryszko
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          Honestly the first time i've been properly stumped, what the hell do I do here? 2FT and 5.8m in the bank..

          Martinez
          Dier - Coufal - Dias
          Raphina - Soucek - Gundo - Son
          DCL - Kane - Bamford

          Bench: Areola - Shaw - Salah - Stones

          1. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Dcl to Antonio?
            Stones to Cresswell?
            Salah to Auba?

          2. Konstaapeli
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Salah to Auba and save other?

          3. 2's Kompany 3's M…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 2 days ago

            Use one FT to shift Salah as you can always get him back next week.

        7. DanLFC1
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 3 days ago

          -12 is really a -6 with WC at the ready right? 😀

          1. Original - Wolves Ay We
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Yes, as long as all three players play at least 60 minutes and don't get any cards.

          2. Pukki Party
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Yes and if you captain the player it's only a -4

          3. pingissimus
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            With Bale it could be a minus 7 or minus 8 🙂

            Just depends which side of the 60 the substitution falls this week and next.

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Could also be A +10

              1. pingissimus
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                For sure -7 +17 adds up

                1. RamaJama
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  3 months, 3 days ago

                  Sorry, misread it 🙂

                  1. Finding Timo
                      3 months, 3 days ago

                      -4 to get bale may get a 1 point return provided he plays 60 mins / gets assist ?

          4. kennethrhcp
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            will we know the travelling squad for Leeds before the deadline?

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              No

              1. kennethrhcp
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                balls

          5. Pukki Party
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Those not using FH this week, what players are you taking a hit for this gw? Or no hits?

            1. pingissimus
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Took a hit for Kane and Bale in 27 and 28. None this time.

            2. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Considering Stones or Digne to Cresswell

              1. Pukki Party
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                I can see Cresswell being worth a hit tbh

                1. RamaJama
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  3 months, 3 days ago

                  Cheers!

                2. pingissimus
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  3 months, 3 days ago

                  No WC either and I'd say so.

                  He was my FT this week. Lost Digne. One of those transfers where you just think long term, ignore immediate fixtures over the next two and the DGW of course.

            3. Jimmy Boy
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              I've managed to get ten players out (if Bamford and Burn play) with free transfers, don't think there's anyone missing from this team that would justify bringing in for Gundo or KDB for a -4:

              Areola
              Konsa - Burn - Dawson
              Bale - Lingard - Raphinha
              Kane - Bamford - Maja

              1. Pukki Party
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                That's a good squad for this week

                1. Jimmy Boy
                  • 4 Years
                  3 months, 3 days ago

                  Cheers, chasing in all my mls after an abysmal season so hopefully will be a good week for making up ground on those who have already free hitted

          6. Flynny
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Hi all....taken a hit for this team. Wildcard in 31. Want to keep dcl and mount for gw 30

            Is there anything else worth a hit, or good to go? Thanks

            Thanks

            Martinez
            Dallas coufal dunk (dias cancelo)
            Son bale Lingard raphinha (mount)
            Kane watkins (dcl)

            1. Fulchester's New Centr…
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              That'll do Jim, that'll do

          7. arkom
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Dallas / Requilon (Dias / Cancelo / Digne)
            Rapinha / Lingard / Son (Bruno / Gundogan)
            Kane / Watkins (DCL)

            2 FT
            1,5£ ITB

            A) Dias & Cancelo --> Cresswell & Dunk
            B) Son, Cancelo & Digne --> Bale, Cresswell & Dunk (-4)
            C) Bruno/Son, Cancelo & DCL --> Auba. Cresswell & Antonio (-4)
            D) Son, Bruno, Cancelo, Dias --> Auba, Bale, Cresswell, Dunk (-8)
            E) Other?

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              B

              1. arkom
                • 4 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                TY!

          8. Mind över Mata
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            XXX
            Dunk, Dallas, Konsa, Coufal
            Bale (vc), Raphinha
            Bamford, Watkins, Kane (c)

            Play Areola or double-up with Fabianski (and Konsa)?

          9. Please Answer Me
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            who has better xGI Bale or Lingard?

          10. HD7
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            2FT:

            Mates, which two players would you get for 29?

            Already have:
            Martinez, Regulion, Son*, Kane, Bamford* + Bissouma, Strujik

            Wildcarding in 30,31

            1. jonnybhoy
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Raphina and Dunk

          11. Winston.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Best two picks of these for this GW?

            Bale, Lingard, Odegaard, Auba

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Bale, Auba

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                Will Aubameyang play?

                I'd say Lingard.

          12. Shark Team
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Can I have some Auba and Bale point predictions ?

            1. Stupendous
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              1 , 5

              1. Stupendous
                • 8 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                And I own Auba

            2. Jimmy Boy
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Auba 2. Bale 5. I'm still bitter from an Auba 2-pointer when I captained him in this fixture two years ago though.

            3. Jambot
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              2 and 2 and I have both

          13. el polako
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            How abysmal were Spurs last night ?
            Is going without them on FH viable tactic ?

            1. Jon Walter's Hatty
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Just Kane for me as anyone could be benched

              1. el polako
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                Yeah might be safe pick to cover EO.

            2. AC/DC AFC
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              It's possible but it's about how they react that counts in the league.

              1. Twisted Saltergater
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                They lost to Arsenal last weekend then followed it up with last night’s performance.

                Big test for them this weekend.

            3. Brehmeren
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              There are not a lot of alternatives

              1. Twisted Saltergater
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                3 months, 3 days ago

                this

                1. Andy_Social
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  3 months, 3 days ago

                  It's a real concern. Not only were they terrible, but Kane played 120 mins. Gotta captain him anyway as I have no one else but I'm expacting a captaincy blank.

            4. el polako
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Yeah really baffled here, might just go Kane.

          14. Stupendous
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Dunk or Raph captain? Going big!

            1. pingissimus
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Stay where you are

              Fulham have a defence.

            2. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              I'd say Dunk viable, but then I captained Cancelo in his DGW for one point doubled 🙁

          15. AC/DC AFC
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            A) Antonio
            B) Lacazette
            C) Welbeck

            1 week punt on FH.

            1. Stupendous
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              A safe

            2. Traction Engine Foot
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              A

            3. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              A

          16. Traction Engine Foot
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Anything worth a hit here? Got 9.4m in the bank!

            Sanchez
            Dallas White Cresswell Targett
            Raphinha Lingard ESR Son
            Kane

            Ederson Gundogan Digne Richarlison DCL

            1. 2's Kompany 3's M…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              Might be tempted to lose Richarlison for (believe it or not) Lacazette

          17. Enes_Sahini1
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Only got 5 players playing this week, good time to use the wildcard?

            1. Traction Engine Foot
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              No, just take a hit if you have to

            2. pingissimus
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              IB if nothing else says no.

          18. Reeker
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Son + Cancelo to Auba and Dunk?

            Have Rudiger, Dias, Dallas, and AWB already in defence

            1. 2's Kompany 3's M…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              sounds good

          19. dunas_dog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            DCL to Bamford- yes or no?

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              3 months, 3 days ago

              Yes

            2. 2's Kompany 3's M…
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              3 months, 2 days ago

              Same issue for me about DCL (but already have Bam). I want to keep DCL for the next couple of games before WC

          20. Cookie Kid
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 3 days ago

            Bale in on a -4 (for Salah)?

            One eye on Newcastle away in 30, with Salah at Arsenal.