Scout Notes

Question marks over Chelsea defenders after heavy West Brom loss

CHELSEA 2-5 WEST BROM

  • Goals: Christian Pulisic (£8.2m), Mason Mount (£7.1m) | Matheus Pereira x2 (£5.3m), Callum Robinson x2 (£5.2m), Mbaye Diagne (£6.0m)
  • Assists: Marcos Alonso (£5.7m), Timo Werner (£9.2m) | Sam Johnstone (£4.5m), Diagne, Darnell Furlong (£4.5m), Pereira x2
  • Red cards: Thiago Silva (£5.6m)
  • Bonus points: Pereira x3, Robinson x2, Diagne x1

TUCHEL’S DEFENSIVE LOTTERY

Large numbers of Fantasy Premier League managers were left gobsmacked as their shrewd decision to invest in Chelsea’s defence completely backfired in a 5-2 defeat to West Bromwich Albion.

Thomas Tuchel’s back-line came into Gameweek 30 as the league’s strongest defence over his first 10 matches in charge, offering the lowest expected goals conceded (xGC) and fewest shots conceded since Gameweek 20. 

They had the chance to register a club-record eighth successive shut-out at Stamford Bridge, which would have made them only the second English team to go unbeaten between the sticks in a new manager’s first six home matches.

But Matheus Pereira (£5.3m) had other ideas. Aided by a 28th-minute sending off for Thiago Silva (£5.6m), the budget midfielder scored twice, added two assists and secured maximum bonus for a whopping 21-point haul.

And, much like September’s reverse fixture, which finished 3-3, Callum Robinson (£5.2m) added another brace, ensuring Chelsea’s supposedly impenetrable defence was breached five times by relegation battlers.

In first half stoppage time, Pereira latched onto a long pass from goalkeeper Sam Johnstone (£4.5m) before lobbing over Edouard Mendy (£5.2m). It was only the third goal conceded in Tuchel’s 15 matches and, with Silva sent off minutes later, they let in four more.

“We’ve just demolished Chelsea. Demolished them. The quality of our football and the quality of our finishing today deserves a huge amount of credit. I don’t want any talk of the fact they went down to ten men rubbish. Demolishing Chelsea’s ten men today was still a massive task.” – Sam Allardyce

Such a result has naturally caused questions to hang over investing in Chelsea’s defenders, especially as the supposedly reliable Antonio Rüdiger (£4.7m) has now been benched twice in the last three matches.

Could this result be an indicator that West Bromwich Albion are nothing more than a bogey team for Chelsea this season? The eight goals they have conceded to the Baggies in 2020/21 are the most the Blues have ever conceded to a single team in a Premier League campaign.

Meanwhile, the Stamford Bridge side still have a promising run of fixtures against Crystal Palace (away), Brighton and Hove Albion (home), West Ham United (away) and Fulham (home) before a potential Double Gameweek, although the latter is far from certain. 

That said, those planning to use their Wildcard chip will be disappointed at the uncertainties presented by such a large, deep squad.

Cesar Azpilicueta (£5.9m) and Mendy seem the most nailed-on defensive starters, despite the latter being rested against Newcastle in Gameweek 24. This 5-2 shock will emphasise to Tuchel that there’s a battle to secure Champions League football and they cannot afford to take any opponent lightly.

The return of Silva from a thigh injury means the two remaining centre back spots are shared between himself, Rüdiger, Kurt Zouma (£5.3m) and Andreas Christensen (£4.7m). But the Brazilian let his team down by collecting two yellow cards, forcing the attacking Hakim Ziyech (£7.9m) to be replaced by Christensen and giving confidence to the visitors that was emphatically rewarded.

“After the red card we could not adapt to the situations. We gave away two very easy goals before half-time, but even in the second half. What could go wrong went wrong after the red card, and we have to accept a big loss today. So maybe, hopefully, it is a big wake-up call for all of us, me included.” – Thomas Tuchel

WEST BROM NEED MIRACLES

For the final nine games of the season, Sam Allardyce’s side realistically needed to double their 18 points from 29. This was a great start, following on from 1-1 December draws at Liverpool and Manchester City. In truth, their free-flowing second half football was just as visible in the game’s opening stages, mostly the better side when both had 11 men.

The fantastic Pereira is now on seven goals and six assists, following up his equaliser by scoring even deeper into stoppage time. It was a hectic few minutes which also saw Matthew Phillips (£5.1m) hit the crossbar, the winger then acting as a blocker so that Pereira could land a dummy, cut inside and shoot low past Mendy.

After almost securing a hat-trick in the 61st minute, the majestic Pereira settled for simply setting up Mbaye Diagne (£6.0m) and then the fifth goal, as Robinson calmly dinked over Mendy to become the first player in Premier League history to score twice in both matches against Chelsea. Out-of-favour under Allardyce, this was only a cameo appearance from Robinson after coming on for the injured Branislav Ivanovic (£4.4m) in the 37 minute, himself a replacement for Dara O’Shea (£4.2m) 13 minutes previously.

BAGGIES’ IMPROVED DEFENCE

It was mixed feelings for the beloved former Chelsea man, who missed out on returning to a packed Stamford Bridge, picked up an injury but went away with the win. Owners of Johnstone will be encouraged by three clean sheets from their last six matches, although it’s perhaps wise not to expect assists on a regular basis. By setting up West Brom’s first goal, Johnstone became the second goalkeeper to assist this season, following Ederson in Gameweek 24.

Entering this match, West Brom had the eighth best xGC and fifth best shots conceded tallies of the previous five gameweeks, meeting Southampton (home), Leicester City (away), Aston Villa (away), Wolverhampton Wanderers (home) and Arsenal (away) in upcoming weeks. Full-back Darnell Furlong gets forward often and could be a maverick pick for FPL managers, assisting their third goal by overlapping, then pulling back a cross for Robinson to volley home.

Chelsea did threaten often, though. Zouma had three goal attempts from corners, whereas the threatening Marcos Alonso rewarded his new owners by assisting Christian Pulisic’s (£8.2m) opener. After early shots on goal that often saw him be furthest forward of all Chelsea players, Alonso’s free kick hit the post and the American pounced upon the rebound. He struck the woodwork again in the second half, scrambling a right-footed shot that hit Semi Ajayi (£4.8m) on its way.

WERNER AND MOUNT COMBINE

Timo Werner’s (£9.2m) barren spell in front of goal continued here, now with one league goal in 1,440 minutes. Tuchel started him as a show of faith after his horrific miss for Germany against North Macedonia and the striker at least managed to assist the consolation goal of Mason Mount (£7.1m). 

4-1 down, Alonso’s cross found Werner very close to goal and, perhaps low on confidence, he chose to unselfishly square the ball for a Mount tap-in. It was the fourth goal in eight matches for Mount, also benched by Tuchel after playing 225 minutes during the international break.

His price has risen three times in recent weeks and is a known favourite of Tuchel. After such an astonishing defeat here, Mount will now be relied upon by both his real-life and Fantasy managers.

Chelsea XI (3-4-3): Mendy; Azpilicueta, Thiago Silva, Zouma; James, Jorginho (Havertz 72’), Kovacic, Alonso; Ziyech (Christensen 33’), Pulisic (Mount 46’), Werner

West Bromwich Albion XI (5-4-1): Johnstone; Furlong, Ajayi, O’Shea (Ivanovic 24’ (Robinson 37’)), Bartley, Townsend; Phillips (Livermore 89’), Yokuslu, Maitland-Niles, Pereira; Diagne

Elsewhere in Gameweek 30

Leeds beat Sheffield United as expected on Saturday afternoon although it was largely a result that left Fantasy managers wondering what might have been.

Patrick Bamford (£6.7m) registered a blank while Raphinha (£5.7m) was subjected to another outing characterised by his colleagues missing key chances.

In the end, the Brazilian got one assist, was denied a goal by Phil Jagielka‘s (£3.9m) intervention on Jack Harrison‘s (£5.4m) cross, who was the only Leeds player involved in both goals at Elland Road.

Meanwhile, Stuart Dallas (£5.1m) was arguably one of the best players on the pitch but managed only two points in the end.

Not only did he miss two decent chances created by Raphinha, he also missed out on a clean sheet as Sheffield United scored a rare goal.

Ben Osborn‘s (£4.7m) first-half effort was the Blades’ seventh on the road this season.

Pep Guardiola was arguably the key man in Manchester City’s 2-0 win over Leicester as he rang the changes.

Ilkay Gündogan (£6.1m), John Stones (£5.3m) and João Cancelo (£6.1m) were all benched for Gameweek 30 and, thankfully for their owners, none of them took to the pitch for one-point cameos.

Raheem Sterling (£11.4m) emerged to get a second-half assist while Phil Foden (£6.1m) replaced Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) in the 88th minute and was unable to involve himself in the goals.

Ruben Dias (£6.1m) kept up his run of starts, making his eighth in a row and capitalising on Manchester City’s 17th clean sheet of the campaign.

Benjamin Mendy (£5.9m) got his second goal of the season while Gabriel Jesus (£9.2m) now has four in his last four starts.

Meanwhile, this match was also notable for the return of James Maddison (£7.1m) coming on as a 72nd-minute substitute for Marc Albrighton (£5.2m).

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613 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DangerFC
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Alright lads. Could you just say gtg or not going for going forward. Thanks

    Martinez/sanchez
    Targett, dallas, stones, white, shaw
    Kdb, jota, son, bruno, lingard
    Dcl, kane, watkins.

    Plans over next gameweeks to
    White to rudiger and watkins to iheanacho(form depending)

    Gtg?

    1. Mile Plankton
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Are you certain Rudiger and nacho are nailed on?

      1. fn.jota
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        rudiger is nailed i think he was resting from 3 90 minutes in national team

  2. Buck The Trent
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Who is out for Jota?

    A Lookman 5.0
    B Raphinha 5.6

    Still got BB if that helps

    1. DangerFC
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      I'd say raphinha as fulham are fighting for their lives and lookman is a main man for them

      1. Buck The Trent
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        Thanks mate, the 0.6 price difference helps too

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Leeds fixtures are great after the next couple, Raph is involved in everything. I think he'll outscore Lookman comfortably from now until the end of the season; things to play for or not, Fulham offer very little in attack.

    3. fn.jota
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      for me keep raphinha, look at leeds fixtures after 34

    4. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Keep Raph for sure

  3. Vazza
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Bale to Jota?

    A. Yes
    B. No

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Yes just done myself as first move on WC

    2. fn.jota
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      A

  4. Bartowski
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Why is De Bruyne going up in price? Hasn't been scoring highly.

    1. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Madness imo

    2. KUN+10
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Always a threat. Was unlucky not to return today. Nailed imo

    3. gonzalocampos
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      + he wont play vs. Leeds.

  5. fn.jota
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Pick one defender to kick out of team to upgrade 5th mid to jota:

    A - Cancelo
    B - Ricardo Pereira
    C - Shaw

    1. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      B or C

  6. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Will Bruno rise twice before deadline? Dont want him on WC but could have him temporarily...

    1. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      He won’t rise twice unless he gets a massive score tomorrow

  7. Vazza
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    How is Robertson an alternative to TAA

    I’m really struggling to find the extra 0.2m

  8. Vazza
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Bale to Jota?

    A. Yes
    B. No.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Not sure 20 minutes changes things.

      1. Vazza
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        And your point is?

    2. yanky
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      hell yes

    3. Alcapaul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Yea

  9. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Last Man Standing Update (258 teams)

    Current safety score = 11
    Top score = 32
    LMS average = 14.89 (-0.39) = 14.5
    Captains played = 15.5%

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      How many out this week?

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        25% so minimum 65.

  10. jia you
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Havertz + Azpi to Jota + Trent
    I love a good rage transfer!

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Yikes

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        raging with myself that I became a sheep getting Chelsea assets this week... they have a terrible run in!

        1. jia you
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 13 days ago

          FOMO became a thing in my life haha

          1. Qaiss
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 13 days ago

            The Jota move, fair enough. Getting rid of Azpi is a bit of a rage transfer aye.

            1. jia you
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 13 days ago

              just reversing my error or bringing in Chelsea assets, don't see many clean sheets going forward tbh and want to punt on Trent for their run in of cracking looking fixtures

              1. Qaiss
                • 8 Years
                3 years, 13 days ago

                But why do you not see many clean sheets going forward for Chelsea? You’ve decided that because Thiago Silva got sent off and they lost 1 match?

                1. jia you
                  • 7 Years
                  3 years, 13 days ago

                  they've done brilliantly under TT defensively during the honeymoon period...but just don't see too many more cleanies during the run in tbh and can't trust who plays (fine to hold Azpi but I just think Trent has way more potential from here on)

  11. yanky
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    WC activated, oh helloooo Jota!!

  12. Salah’s Sonnet
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Very early doors but this is how i'm set up for next GW:

    Martinez
    Shaw - Dias - Cresswell
    Jota - Lingard - Gundogan - Son - Bruno
    Antonio - Kane
    __________________________________
    Fabri: Dallas: Stones: Davis

    1FT, 7.8 ITB

    Have already done Rapha > Jota

    If you were to get rid of Gundogan, would you go for KDB? Or Partner up Jota with Salah?

    Thanks mychly gents 🙂

    1. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Good team

      I would do Gundo to Salah for sure

      Doesn’t Jota having two games against Real Madrid concern you on his mins in the PL?

      1. FPL Theorist
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        Why should it? Liverpool need to finish top 4. Their chances of top 4 are much better than qualifying for CL by winning this year's CL.

      2. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        Cheers man, feel i've been lucky to get this team after WC'ing quite a bit ago and people WC'ing to similar especially in the midfield.

        Salah does make more sense, city have a hectic schedule and it'd be nice to have a lesser headache in Salah.

        It is a slight concern i guess with mins & Jota, but like MLS says below, they need top 4

  13. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Any reason to keep Auba for the WC?

    1. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Self harm

    2. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      There is non, and I’m an Arsenal fan, who would want Arsenal players at any opportunity. He is not worth his price at all this season. Him and Lacazette can’t play in the same team, so if Auba is guaranteed to start up front then he’s good to own, otherwise nah.

    3. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      If you’re trying to create a funny team

    4. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Money laundering?

  14. KUN+10
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    That feeling when you had Jota
    for 4 gameweeks...time to sell

  15. Dirty Harry
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Is DCL a hold on WC?

    1. Pukki Blinders
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      as a long time DCL owner, no

    2. DycheDycheBaby
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Yes with a DGW to come?

  16. Vazza
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    How is Robertson as an alternative to TAA?

    I’m really struggling to find the extra 0.2m

  17. Vazza
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    My likely moves this week

    Bale, Ayling =>> Jota, Robertson

    Good moves?

    A. Yes
    B. No

  18. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Do you think Bale will play both matches in the DGW 32?

    1. Vazza
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      The answer is in your question. Sell him mate, he’s a liability worth 9.5m

    2. Pukki Blinders
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Wouldn’t be surprised to see him play 0

  19. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    All wildcard users this week will hype up the importance of the chip, but ultimately it is still 11 v 11 against non-wildcards who mostly have good teams. That is why chips are best used collaboratively as some profited from WC 25, BB 26 instead of following the crowd.

    1. Pukki Blinders
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Mostly have good teams? How many have triple Pool, and how many have Triple Leeds that need to be dumped? How many are prepared for Spurs DGW?

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Depends how you use it. A good wildcard will put your team in good shape for that gameweek and a good base team for a few gameweeks ahead of it.

    3. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      The wildcard isn’t just for one week. And it’s very easy to get a Man City captain against Leeds. Potential huge point swing.

    4. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      I mean BB 26 was pretty bad for most iirc...

  20. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Time to hit the WC button? 1ft, 6m itb. BB also available

    Martinez
    Azpi Digne stones
    Bruno son gundo lingard
    Kane bamford Antonio

    Forster raphina coufal Dallas

  21. Pukki Blinders
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    is TAA worth 3.3m more than Nat Phillips?

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      It’s where you’re planning to spend that money not the comparison of the two players...

      1. Pukki Blinders
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        Salah is where the money is going...

        1. FPL_Crisis
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 13 days ago

          Jota still providing much better value.
          Might go back to Salah when spurs blank

    2. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      No. Liverpool still aren’t that good defensively. Arsenal made it so easy for them.

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        one doesn't buy Trent for his defending 😉

        1. Qaiss
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 13 days ago

          I know but he will not have the freedom he had today against the teams coming up bar Newcastle. They haven’t won at home since mid December.

  22. Boomerang V
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Who is Saints first keeper atm?
    McCarthy or Forster?

    1. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Good question. Probably Forster.

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Hopefully Forster. I've him on a bench boost tomorrow.

  23. SomeoneKnows
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Is Holding nailed with David Luiz injured and set for a surgery? Who is his competition?

    1. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Chambers is maybe the only one. Not sure Arteta would play 2 left footed centre backs in Mari and Gabriel together. He’s a very, very decent option.

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Dunno, but he'll still be in an Arsenal defence not keeping many cleansheets and less chance of doing that without Tierney, regardless of fixtures. For 4.2m Lascelles might at least et you a goal off the bench.

      1. Qaiss
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 13 days ago

        Lascelles?! Come on, we are bad but not Newcastle level bad lol

        1. GreennRed
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 13 days ago

          Not at all. Should be doing better at the back. But I think for 4.2m Lascelles in a team fighting relegation will get you more than Holding the way Arsenal defence are doing.

  24. Phil's Stamps
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    I know we very rarely get lucky these days, but who do you think are the most likely double-risers this week who we may choose to go without on a WC?

    The prime candidates for me:

    Jota (although I'll probably keep him)
    Dias (currently on 98.5%, after their benchings people might funnel Stones and Cancello into him)
    Phillips (currently on 85% with triple blue arrows, miniscule ownership)

  25. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Wildcard active. Let the tinkering begin!

  26. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Would you lose martinez for Mendy ? Thanks

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Probably not.

    2. Boomerang V
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      I was going to do it until today’s match when I started having second thoughts

      Villa’s fixtures are so bad thought

    3. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Yes. Prob will by deadline. Martinez is a better keeper than Mendy, but despite West Brom trouncing, Chelsea will keep more cleansheets than Villa.

  27. waldo666
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Raphinha to Jota with an aim to bring Raph back in GW34?

  28. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    I have only just realised spurs have a dgw 32. Very annoying with them blanking next gw...

    1. jia you
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Kane(c) is plenty Spurs for the double I reckon

    2. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      Just carry Son through and forget the rest.

  29. DycheDycheBaby
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Bamford to:
    a) Iheanacho
    b) Lacazette

    1. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      a

  30. HD7
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 13 days ago

    Isnt it a little too quick to jump on the Liverpool triple train?

    Reason is because they still dont have the width. One match vs poor Arsenal changes everything?

    Even If they dont rotate, how many matches will Salah, Jota or TAA play on their best level before it takes its toll?

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      I do agree. Next game they will be carp again

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 13 days ago

      I sold Salah for Jota on WC tonight. Triple is too much probably but they look more like their former selves tonight, hungry and after poor first half in front of goal they looked good second half. Fabinho in midfield is massive. Will be interesting to see how defence copes when they are more tested.