Spot the Differential

Set-piece duties and three assists in last four warrant DGW32 punt on Moura

Gameweek 32 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspur who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Lucas Moura

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £6.6m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: eve + SOU | – | SHU | lee | WOL

Tottenham Hotspur are the only team who play twice in Double Gameweek 32, as they travel to Goodison Park to take on Everton tomorrow night, before playing Southampton at home on Wednesday.

Loading up on their assets is a no brainer, but if your budget won’t stretch to Son Heung-min (£9.4) or Harry Kane (£11.7m), or if you fancy complementing them with a differential, FPL bosses could do a lot worse than look at Lucas Moura (£6.6m).

Until last month, it felt like another patchy season for the Brazilian, as he struggled to establish himself in the starting XI. However, the 28-year-old has now started nine of the last ten league matches, providing two goals, four assists and 47 FPL points during that time. Interestingly, that’s five more than Son over the same period, and you could argue that along with Kane, he is one of Spurs’ in-form players right now.

Moura’s numbers over the last six Gameweeks are also encouraging. Among team-mates, he ranks second for chances created and joint-third for shots in the box, while no player has touched the ball more often in the final-third. Crucially, he has been taking some corners too, which could yield returns against Everton, who rank third-worst for set-piece attempts conceded over their last six home matches.

Son and Kane remain the stand-out picks in Double Gameweek 32, but Moura continues to be overlooked and could offer real value at just £6.6m.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 2.3% 
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: new | CHE | bur | EVE | bha

With Michail Antonio (£6.6m) side-lined with a hamstring injury which could see him miss the remainder of the season, Jarrod Bowen (£5.9m) is impressing in his absence.

The 24-year-old has now scored three goals in as many games, and also provided an assist against Leicester City last time out. 

In his new role as a striker, Bowen has shown he is capable of leading the line by using his pace to make clever runs in behind the opposition’s backline. His partnership with Jesse Lingard (£6.5m) is thriving, and the duo’s movement in recent matches suggests Newcastle’s defenders could be in for a long afternoon on Saturday. It’s also worth noting that the Magpies’ have conceded more goals from counter-attacks than any other side this season, and have kept just one Premier League clean sheet at St James’ Park.

West Ham continued their charge towards Champions League football with a win in Gameweek 31 and most of their remaining matches are against teams currently in the bottom-half. In fact, the home game against Chelsea in Gameweek 33 looks to be the only fixture to be truly wary of.

Though Lingard has stolen the show since arriving in east London, Bowen is stepping up right when the Hammers need him most, and could be an effective differential for the run-in.

Mason Greenwood

How Spurs' FPL assets fared in their final match before Double Gameweek 32
  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: BUR | lee | LIV | avl | LEI

After a difficult start to the season, Mason Greenwood (£7.0m) has now scored three goals in his last four appearances.

The 19-year-old played a decisive role in Manchester United’s 3-1 win at Tottenham Hotspur last weekend, as he came off the bench and provided a goal and assist.

Tactically, it was an interesting setup, with Paul Pogba (£7.6m) starting as the left-sided player in a 4-2-3-1 formation. However, as the game went on, he and Marcus Rashford (£9.5m), who Greenwood later replaced, took up narrower positions and effectively swung the clash in Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s side’s favour.

If Pogba is to continue in a similar, more advanced role, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play, United’s right-sided forward stands to benefit most.

Rotation at clubs still involved in Europe is always a concern at this stage of the season, but Greenwood has now started eight of the last ten matches in all competitions, and with Anthony Martial (£8.6m) out injured, more opportunities should come his way.

The number 11’s push for a place in Gareth Southgate’s England squad for the European Championships this summer could be an important factor, too, as he will need to showcase his undoubted talent during the run-in. Encouragingly, the fixtures offer him an opportunity to do exactly that, as the Red Devils now face Burnley, Leeds United and Aston Villa between Gameweek 32 and 35.

Greenwood is one of the Premier League’s brightest young stars, and with an ownership of just 2.1%, is a tempting midfield differential.

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships and monthly subscriptions are now available.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/818/history”

1,023 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Boss Hogg
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Play Holding or Rudiger?

    1. ididnt
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      holding

    2. JohnnyRev7
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Rüdiger. The one with the umlauts.

  2. pjomara
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    How nailed-on is Holding for rest of season?

  3. Glokollur nr.1
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Help!
    Bench one:
    A: Dallas
    B: Shaw
    C: Stones
    D: Digne

    1. Utopsis
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 12 days ago

      D - but don't think Stones will play

  4. Tshelby
    • 6 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    coufal to?
    a)Alonso
    b)Castagne
    c)Reguilion

    Or bamford and vardy to nacho and laca (-4)?

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Provided you can bench him next week c.

      1. Tshelby
        • 6 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        Might use my wc next week so no problem

  5. Weeb Kakashi
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Is Maddison a risk on WC as he has to play the FA semis before Brom? Maybe he misses a game over the run in?

    1. Scholes Out Forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      I am on this dilemma as well! Very tempting. I think the fact that he is nailed is huge but would be gutted if he got injured in the cup

  6. Scholes Out Forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Raphinha --> Maddison/Greenwood

    or

    Bamford --> Cavani

    Leaning towards keeping Bam and getting Greenwood. Should be fairly rotation free for the next two right? MAddison very tempting as well as he should be nailed as Rodgers cant afford dropped points anymore

  7. ididnt
    • 10 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    bench one of:

    a. Holding
    b. Jota
    c. Azpi

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      A from those

  8. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Play one?

    A. Gundog
    B. Holding
    C. Rudiger

    1. Utopsis
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 12 days ago

      A

    2. ididnt
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      B

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      B

    4. JohnnyRev7
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Rüdiger. The one with the umlauts.

  9. Better Call Raul
    • 2 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Would you bench boost the following ?

    Forster (tot) , Holding (FUL) , Rudiger (BHA) , Vydra (mun)

    Doesn't seem amazing but not sure if I get a better chance before the end of the season

    1. ididnt
      • 10 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      worth the punt..yes

    2. Boss Hogg
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Not for me.
      What's the best you are getting there? Maybe 3, 6, 7, 2? 18 points?
      I'd sit on it.

      1. Would Ed Woodward
        • 2 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        I'd love 18 points from a SGW BB.

  10. smix
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Good for BB this week ? Or hold on for a another GW?

    Mendy Forster
    Bellerin Dias Coady Coufal Rudiger
    Salah Jota Son Moura Lingard
    Kane (c) Laca Iheanacho

  11. Punty McPuntface
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Which spurs def are nailed for both gw??

  12. duststorm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Gk is Mendy.
    To bench which 2 defenders?
    TAA, Shaw, Holding, Dias, Rudiger

  13. DavidSilva
    • 12 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    3 choices

    A) Sterling for Son
    B) Sterling for Bruno
    C) Sterling, Neto for Bruno, Lucas - 4

    Have Reg and Kane

    1. duststorm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      A

    2. Utopsis
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 12 days ago

      A

    3. DavidSilva
      • 12 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Thought so, regret sterling punt on last week's WC

      1. Utopsis
        • 1 Year
        5 months, 12 days ago

        There's lots of us in that boat mate

  14. Weeb Kakashi
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Thoughts on this WC Lot

    Mendy Forster
    Pereira Shaw Semedo Masuaku Philips
    Salah Son Maddison Jota ESR
    Kane Laca Cavani

    1. cheeky moses
      • 6 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Nice front line. I'd swap pereira, semedo and philips for TAA, Rudiger, Holding is you have funds.

      1. Weeb Kakashi
        • 5 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        Possible mate. But not keep on Liverpool's cs prospects.

    2. Utopsis
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Not enough cash in midfield for me, don't like no Bruno.

      I'd do Madders - - > Bruno and Cavani - - > Nacho. If you're short, downgrade defence eg semedo to coady/Saiss, Pereira to fofana / Holding

    3. Pukki Party
      • 4 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      I'd change Maddison Cavani and Laca to Bruno, Iheanacho and a cheap forward maybe Bamford/Watkins

    4. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      You can't post a team like that here 😀

      1. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
        • 6 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        Template Template
        Template template template template template
        Template template template template non-template
        Template template template

        Everyone on FFS's advice: get rid of non-template and replace with template.

        1. Weeb Kakashi
          • 5 Years
          5 months, 12 days ago

          So much this.

        2. JohnnyRev7
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          5 months, 12 days ago

          Lose template #3 defender, get Rüdiger with umlauts, and you're GTG.

      2. Weeb Kakashi
        • 5 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        Its that bad Sherlock? Its not template definitely.

        1. Holmes
          • 7 Years
          5 months, 12 days ago

          Not bad at all.

          It's just against template, so always going to get ripped off here since not many like to differentiate.

          1. Weeb Kakashi
            • 5 Years
            5 months, 12 days ago

            Cant help it.
            Might be tempted to change a bit.

    5. The 12th Man
      • 8 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Love it.

    6. The 12th Man
      • 8 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Ignore the others. You don’t want your team looking like everyone else’s.

      1. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        This get differentials to leap forwards.
        Spotting early is the clue, Lingz 9 wks ago, Nacho 3 wks ago, Cavani, Greenwood & Laca look ripe to be the next.

        1. Weeb Kakashi
          • 5 Years
          5 months, 12 days ago

          You think Laca could miss out some games though? In the next 4 maybe he could miss one?

          Cavani is a 2 week punt at best. So not worried there. Should start both.

      2. Weeb Kakashi
        • 5 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        Exactly man. Tried my best there. Not sure if its too different. It has some semi-nailed players though.

        1. The 12th Man
          • 8 Years
          5 months, 12 days ago

          You have Salah and Kane for captaincy.
          The rest can fit around that. I like the Cavani and Lacazette picks.

  15. Pukki Party
    • 4 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Thoughts here? 2ft and not sure either of DCL or Raphina is worth transfering out. 2ft 0.3itb

    Martinez
    TAA Alonso Shaw
    SonC Bruno Gubdogan Jota
    Kane DCL* Iheanacho

    Forster Rudiger Raphina* Phillips

    A) DCL to Cavani
    B) DCL, Raphina to Lingard, Watkins
    C) Raphina, Alonso to Lingard, Dier

    Thanks

    1. JohnnyRev7
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Gündogan to Lingard as transfer #1. Then see what £££ you're left with to remove DCL as transfer #2.

  16. JJO
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Is Aguero to any forward worth hit?
    (Not Kane ofcourse)

    1. Stejson
      • 2 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Brewster?

    2. DA Minnion (Legendary manag…
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Lacazette

      1. In a Rush
        • 4 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        Laca or cavani for me gone with laca and Greenwood on wild card

    3. JJO
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Thanks guys

  17. Bleh
    • 4 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Who to make way for TAA?

    A. Dias
    B. Digne
    C. Cresswell
    D. Targett

    1. Thomas Magnum
      • 6 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      C if injured B if not

      1. Bleh
        • 4 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        Cheers, what I’m thinking too. Will need to make a late call on Cresswell.

  18. Boss Hogg
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Lots of people asking the same questions here, so...
    Who's best? Kenny, Jenny, Benny or Lenny?

    1. Original - Wolves Ay We
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Penny

  19. flippetyflop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    A, B or C please guys.
    Mendy (Fabri)
    Azpi Holding TAA Fofana Coady
    Lingard Salah Son (raphina) (neto)
    Kane Iheanacho (DCL)

    A - Save so I can make a more informed decision next week
    B - Neto to Pereira (would play him over Coady
    C - Something Else?

  20. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 11 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Longy, Brady, Barnsey, and Popey.

    😆 at Dychey

    1. SweepaKeepa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Surprised it’s not Brady-y.

    2. DA Minnion (Legendary manag…
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      And dwighty.

    3. Boss Hogg
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Don't forget Mee.

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 11 Years
        5 months, 12 days ago

        Mee’ey?

  21. LABILLETHEGOAT
    • 8 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    guys which one would you bench?
    A. Fofana
    B. Holding
    C. Rudiger

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Fofaney
      Holdy
      Rudigy

  22. Taegugk Warrior
    • 3 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    TC Kane or Son...?

    1. Thomas Magnum
      • 6 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Son if chasing, Kane if protecting

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Kane if leading
      Son if chasing

      Probably

    3. SweepaKeepa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Kane for points. Son for tales of what might have been.

    4. Corgzzzz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Kaney

  23. Slitherene
    • 3 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Should I BB?
    Right 11 & bench order?

    Areola ¦ Sanchez
    Dias Alonso Shaw Coady
    Bruno Salah Lingard
    Kane Iheanacho Vardy
    | Pereira Saka Phillips

  24. Reggie Nainggolan
    • 4 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Anyone with TC chip available?

    Are you TC Kane or are there other potential dgw with better candidates?

    1. Thomas Magnum
      • 6 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Don’t think there’ll necessarily be a better DGW but I’m probably saving it for a single GW because with basically everyone captaining Kane I don’t think I gain as much from it

      1. Utopsis
        • 1 Year
        5 months, 12 days ago

        I don't understand this point - shouldn't you be looking to gain the maximum number of points from your TC? This GW provides a better chance for doing that over a single GW.

        Surely absolute points are better than relative points?

        1. Thomas Magnum
          • 6 Years
          5 months, 12 days ago

          Salah in his DGW was considered absolute points and he blanked both games.
          Kane could get 4 points or 24 points over the two games and the only points I’d actually gain is the points he makes themselves. I think there’s players that could outscore him down the track who I’ll gain more points from

          1. Utopsis
            • 1 Year
            5 months, 12 days ago

            Well anyone can blank at any given time - a DGW TC can blank just as easily as a SGW TC, albeit with a slightly lower chance.

            It was specifically your point that you'd be better off using it in a SGW for a (possibly) greater relative gain that confused me.

            1. Thomas Magnum
              • 6 Years
              5 months, 12 days ago

              Sorry, I should’ve clarified that more. I mean it in the sense that as so many will captain Kane this week the only points I stand to gain (if I’m not mistaken) are those he points gains (say he scores 10 points, if I TC him I’ll only gain 10 more points than captainers) as opposed to say I TC someone in a single gameweek that relatively few people captains I’ll gain more (presuming he out scores what Kane scores) it could go either way but also just don’t feel like following the crowd

              1. Utopsis
                • 1 Year
                5 months, 12 days ago

                OK I see what you mean - basically you'd rather pick a less obvious (but still good) captain in another GW.

                The key thing is though, as you say, will this future captain outscore Kane this week? That's the question!

                1. Thomas Magnum
                  • 6 Years
                  5 months, 12 days ago

                  Exactly right!
                  Also looking at it from the perspective I have more to gain in holding it than I do to lose in not using it. I’ll have Kane captain so will get some points regardless.
                  Whether the player I TC can outscore Kane is the question but we’ll have to wait and see, some decent fixtures coming up for some good players though!

                  1. Utopsis
                    • 1 Year
                    5 months, 12 days ago

                    It's a bold and well considered move - good luck mate!

                    1. Thomas Magnum
                      • 6 Years
                      5 months, 12 days ago

                      Appreciate it! it’s still a game at the end of the day so have to try have some fun (yet hopefully calculated) punts
                      Good luck to you too!

    2. Utopsis
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 12 days ago

      I'm doing it now I think - the man is fit and I don't there will be better candidates in future giving me 180mins

    3. Pukki Party
      • 4 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Son TC

  25. XABI 15
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Already done KDB to Fernandes for free. Is it worth doing:

    Gundo to Jota/Greewood (-4) as have Raphinha first sub.

    Or play Gundo or Raphinha

    1. In a Rush
      • 4 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      I would do the gundogen move take your pick

  26. In a Rush
    • 4 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Afternoon all am I good to go with my wild card squad?
    2.8itb for potential upgrades down the line
    Cheers all and good luck

    Patricio
    Taa holding shaw
    Salah son(v) lingard greenwood
    Nacho kane(c) laca

    Forster /wba pereira/ Dallas/veltman

  27. AC Yew
    • 2 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Team and bench ok?

    Martinez
    Coufal AWB Stones Azpi
    Lingard Bruno Son Gundo
    Kane Iheanacho

    McCarthy Bamford ESR Konsa

  28. xuwei
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Start Saka (Ful) or Pereira (Lei)? Worried Saka won't start.

  29. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    Who scores more this week?

    A. Bruno

    B. Moura

    C. Greenwood

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      C

    2. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      C or Cavani/Laca

  30. FantasyHero
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 months, 12 days ago

    My team is a mess and have no WC:
    Thoughts on this:
    Cresswell, ward-prowse, rich -> holding, son, ihenacho -8 (play Martinez in goal)
    Team:
    Martinez (Forster)
    Azpi cresswell stones (andersen konsa)
    Bruno gundo salah lingard ward-prowse
    Rich kane (Antonio)

    1. JohnnyRev7
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 months, 12 days ago

      Looks good.