Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which of these?

    a. DCL, Zaha, Phillips
    b. DCL, El Ghazi, Digne

    1. OLD Rafiki
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    4. Philosopher's Stones
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Hearing J. Rod has been ruled out, so it might impact DCL. But out of those two options, I'd go for 1.

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah, does worry me. May just do the -4 with Zaha and Digne

    5. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      b

  2. No Salah
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Zota to zaha for -4

    Yes or no?

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

  3. MoSalalalalalalalalah
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Repost

    I have 2 FTs. Pulisic to Zaha, or a different transfer? Thanks

    0.0 ITB

    Martinez
    TAA | Rudiger | Castagne
    Salah | Greenwood | Maddison | Pulisic
    Cavani | Kane | Iheanacho

    GK: Forster | Lingard | Veltman | Dallas

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think that looks sensible given your team. Loses one of your GW36 blanks and leaves you with 2FT to address that problem next week.

      Don't like Cavani as a pick - think his minutes will be managed, but you've got him so good luck!

      1. MoSalalalalalalalalah
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah, I think I agree. Thanks. Hopefully Cavani can provide and I'll perhaps shift him put next week

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes i would

  4. WVA
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Double game week fever kicking in, people asking whether to play Kane or Holding haha

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      TGW + Friday deadline is causing all kinds of madness

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Think I’m holding Kane

    3. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I've happily made the ultimate DGW fever move. It makes me giggle so much that I frankly don't care how it turns out.

      It's the precursor to a probable City triple up next week 🙂

  5. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Start 1 from
    A Leno
    B Forster

    And 1 from
    A Holding
    B Fofana
    C Lingard

    1. Shteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B, B

  6. FPL ElasticO
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which of these transfers worth doing?

    A. Davis / Son / Lingard >> DCL / Greenwood / El Ghazi (for -4)
    B. Davis / Son >> Watkins / Greenwood (for free)

    1. Boly Would
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

  7. Cool Hand Lucas
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Hi all - first time posting. Looking for advice on starting a defender: Mitchell, Coufal, or Veltman?

    Rest of the team is:

    Martinez
    Rudiger TAA xxxx
    Jota Bruno Zaha Salah
    Watkins Iheanacho Vardy

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Coufal for rest of the season

      1. Cool Hand Lucas
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks for the reply!

    2. OLD Rafiki
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Why do you have vardy instead of DCL?

      1. Cool Hand Lucas
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I've had Vardy for three weeks now and I'm not sure it's worth the transfer out this week.

        1. Volley127
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Agreed!

          Also would say Coufal based on future fixtures.

    3. sneif4
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If it's just this week I'd say Mitchell

  8. Babit1967
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Conflicted between Greenwood and Pogba, Greenwood is of course the more favourable in teams just now but with freehit and a terrible rank anyway, fancy a wee punty player

    1. Salan
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Believe in yourself. It's time to follow your own mind. So do I.

      1. Babit1967
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah true mate, think I’ll go Pogba as my third Utd player

  9. Footieboot
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    On FH considering team below

    Guaita
    TAA - Castagne - AWB
    Salah - Bruno - Rashford - El Ghazi
    DCL - Vardy - Nacho

    Thoughts?

    1. Babit1967
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Looks good, dunno about el ghazi tho, can u stretch funds to Zaha?

      1. Footieboot
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Not really and not really fancying Zaha. Thinking of whether going Watkins + Jota instead of DCL + El Ghazi

    2. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I have similar team but I have zaha instead of el Ghazi

  10. Ninjaa
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Brought James Rodriguez in on my wildcard for the double. Is he going to play??

    1. Bury94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Doesn't look like it

    2. bodgejob
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No, at least not the 1st game

    3. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Defo not first game, possibly neither

    4. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      He's injured isn't he ?

    5. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not for the first game for sure.

    6. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Carlo Ancelotti: "For this weekend we have back Doucoure. He trained with the team, he's available. James [Rodriguez] not, because he didn't train - he's starting his proper rehab, he's going to train at the start of the next week."

      1. DannyDrinkVodka
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        This is good news for Digne owners

    7. Ninjaa
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks all

  11. DannyDrinkVodka
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Son to Rashford for a hit? Would leave me with only 8 starters for GW36

    1. Utopsis
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nope - man for man defending against someone like Son, he could run riot

      1. DannyDrinkVodka
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers, it does feel like a Son special

    2. Salan
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I would. It's potential 3 vs 1 games. Why not?

  12. bodgejob
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Michael Keane worth a hit for those who can't afford Digne? Avoids taking a hit for final playing defender for next week

    1. WHUFCSmith23
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Top much of a question mark, will he play both?

  13. matiakez
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bruno and Digne or Shaw and DCl?

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B&D

    2. bodgejob
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Bruno and Digne

  14. Torres76
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any changes needed? Thinking of BB with this team for -8

    Martinez*
    Phillips*, Rudiger* Castagne*
    Bruno*, Salah*, Jota*, Greenwood*
    Kane, Nacho*, DCL*

    Forster*, Son, Dallas, McGuire*

    Thanks
    Torres

    1. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Zaha instead of greenwood

  15. dark91
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any input would be appreciated:

    1) Reguilon+Kane+Mount->
    Digne+Watkins+Salah (-4)
    and bench boost

    Schmeichel Martinez
    Shaw Alonso Coady Digne Holding
    Lingard Salah Bruno Son Jota
    Nacho Watkins DCL

    2) Son+Lingard-> Lookman+Salah

    and TC Bruno/Salah?

    1. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      1

  16. Bad Kompany
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any update on zaha in the presser?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No - which is probably positive

    2. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Never mentioned zaha. I take that as good news

  17. Boss Hogg
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Watkins or DCL?

    1. Bad Kompany
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      DCL

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Dcl

    3. OLD Rafiki
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Watkins

  18. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    For -4...

    A) Holding to Holgate
    B) Dias to Maguire

  19. WibblesTeam
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    For GW35 only, not beyond

    A: Dunk & Cavani
    or
    B: Maguire and Bamford

    1. linkafu
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  20. linkafu
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is Rudiger to Digne for -4 a good idea as Digne has better DGW fixtures and play in GW36

    1. bodgejob
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes, Rudiger will probably only play 1 too

  21. Punty McPuntface
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who scores more this gw?

    A Mane
    B Greenwood

    1. G Banger
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood IMO

  22. ButterB
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Re-post
    Martinez* Pickford*
    Holding* Shaw* Veltman Trent* Dallas

    Bale Lingard Salah* Trossard Jota*

    Kane Watkins* Nacho*

    Advice appreciated. One free transfer and on a BB this week. What's left of the team from a WC a few weeks ago. Looking at Kane Trossard and Lingard > doublers* DCL, Bruno and James Ward-P...(-8) , will swap out Bruno for 36 to have 11 playing.

    Captain Salah or Bruno this week (looking at Salah at the moment)

  23. TopCorner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Ward-Prowse or Greenwood this week?

    1. Boss Hogg
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood

  24. GOATMEAT
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best defender from Crystal Palace? Has to be nailed so Mitchell doesn't count... and Aanholt too expensive

    1. G Banger
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I went for Ward

      1. GOATMEAT
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Utopsis
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Cahill

      1. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        What makes you say Cahill?

        1. Utopsis
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          He's their best defender - when he's fit he plays imo

      2. pingissimus
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cahill isn't a bad call at all

        Very good chance he gets in ahead of Dann and could well hold his place.

    3. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      There are no nailed defenders at Palace, be amazed if any get two

    4. Boss Hogg
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think Mitchell will play both. But if you don't fancy him, then Ward.

      1. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Clyne will rotate with Ward apparently

      2. GOATMEAT
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Sounds tempting... Might enable other options too

  25. G Banger
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Made my bed, any changes before I lie in it? (0FT, 0.0ITB)

    Mendy
    TAA Shaw Ward
    Salah Bruno Lingard Jota
    Nacho Kane Watkins

    (Forster / Rudiger / Dias / Martinelli)

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Very nice, i'm bench boosting with the below.

      Henderson
      TAA Castagne Shaw Ward
      Salah Bruno Jota
      Vardy DCL Nacho
      Lloris Lingard Pereira Coufal

      1. Luton_Fan
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Nice. my bb is

        Mendy, forster
        Taa, cast, mag, shaw, digne
        Salah, jota, madds, lingard, bruno
        Watkins, dcl, nacho

  26. Boss Hogg
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    AWB or Maguire?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      AWB

  27. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Heeeeelp Plzzzz
    Who would get more pts this GW
    A- Ward -4
    B- Dunk
    Who would would get pts This Gw
    1- Areola
    2- Gauita -4

  28. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Gtg? Gives me 2FT for GW36. Or Bam > Watkins?

    Martinez
    TAA, Digne, Castagne
    Jota, Bruno, Greenwood, Lingard, Son
    Kane, Iheanacho(c)

    Fabri, Bamford, Dunk, Struijk

  29. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Is Coleman nailed at the moment?

  30. Boss Hogg
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Robertson or Digne or Castagne?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Digne