Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

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2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Marcon
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Play one:

    A) Lingard
    B) Mitchell

    1. Akeem
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Lingard

    2. Utopsis
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      I have both and have gone Mitchell

    3. Levi's 501
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A.

    4. linkafu
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

    5. Super Saints
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

    6. Utopsis
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      After reading up on Hodgsons presser, A

  2. Akeem
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Help please:

    A)Digne
    B)Shaw

    1)Sigurdsson
    2)JWP

    ?

    1. scholesy91
        2 months, 28 days ago

        That's a tough one. A1 I say

      • son of city
          2 months, 28 days ago

          B2

        • RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          A2

        • sulldaddy
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          2 for sure
          A maybe, but tough call

      • Boss Hogg
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Any changes needed to this FH team?
        Considering bringing in Robbo and doubling up on Pool defenders.

        Guaita
        TAA, Digne, Maguire
        Salah, Zaha, Bruno (c), Greenwood
        Vardy, Nacho, DCL
        (Forster, JWP, Castagne, Mitchell)

        GTG?

        1. brixtonBob
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          I'm not so keen on Zaha

      • Super Saints
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Need Ward or Mitchell to play one of the games in the double and 36!?

      • son of city
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Jota to zaha for -8?

          1. OptimusBlack
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            Noooo

          2. Akeem
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            No

          3. Il Capitano
              2 months, 28 days ago

              Never

            • scholesy91
                2 months, 28 days ago

                no

              • RamaJama
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                2 months, 28 days ago

                No

              • Winston.
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 28 days ago

                Whatt

              • sulldaddy
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 28 days ago

                Nope

            • Gaffa914
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 28 days ago

              thoughts on PVA as a differential?

              1. Reece’s Pieces
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  Unreliable starter - avoid

                • Akeem
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  Mitchell is a threat to his minutes

                • Utopsis
                  • 1 Year
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  No

                • popey
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  No way worth it given the defensive options available with doubles (and triples)

              2. WibblesTeam
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 28 days ago

                For GW35 only, not beyond

                A: Dunk & Cavani
                or
                B: Maguire and Bamford.

                1. Akeem
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  A

              3. COK3Y5MURF
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 28 days ago

                Reason why Greenwood is widely preferred over Cavani? Both gonna be rotated, right?

                1. son of city
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Yeah

                  • pingissimus
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Cavani struggles with 2 games in a week and gets rests for that reason. 3 would break him in half.

                    1. pingissimus
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 2 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Note that this is 4 games in 8 days and Cavani already has one under his belt.

                      1. Super Saints
                        • 4 Years
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        Pingi, which palace defender would you go for? Happy if they only play one in the double but bgw36 also important

                        1. pingissimus
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 2 Years
                          2 months, 28 days ago

                          Just saw someone mention Cahill - he's defo an option and I'd assume he'd displace Dann but Ward is the safer pick as the man in possession - always been a bit of a Roy fave too.

                          Reality is anyone could miss out in the next three.

                          Ward would be where I'd go.

                          1. Super Saints
                            • 4 Years
                            2 months, 28 days ago

                            Thank you very much mate much appreciated.

                2. Atimis
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  GTG ?

                  Mendy
                  TAA/Castagne/Shaw
                  Salah/Bruno(c)/Zaha/Siggy
                  Kane/Nacho/Watkins

                  Forster/Lingard/Holding/Rudiger

                  1. Traction Engine Foot
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Yep

                3. MoSalalalalalalalalah
                  • 3 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  Salah or Nacho for captain?

                  1. RamaJama
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Salah

                  2. Traction Engine Foot
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Salah

                4. JasonG123
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  Bottomed. Which move?
                  (A) Son and Holding to Rashford and Nat Phillips
                  (B) Kane and Holding to DCL and Robertson

                  1. RamaJama
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    A

                5. RamaJama
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  Rashford over Zaha on FH, even though I also have Bruno and Greenwood?

                  1. Traction Engine Foot
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    I prefer Rashford in isolation, depends on your plans for 36

                    1. RamaJama
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 8 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      FH this week

                      1. Traction Engine Foot
                        • 3 Years
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        Oh sorry, then yeah

                  2. Akeem
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 5 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    I feel Zaha won't play 180 minutes whereas Rash will at a minimum...Rash

                6. Atletico Junior
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  Best under 4.2M defender besides Holding?

                  1. RamaJama
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Phillips or Mitchell

                    1. Utopsis
                      • 1 Year
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      This

                  2. popey
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    i went Mitchell, only need him as 11th player in 36 so may aswell go cheap. If i didnt already have 3 Pool then prob Philips

                7. Slitherene
                  • 3 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  Can this BB team cover not having United attack?

                  Sanchez | Areola
                  TAA Shaw Digne
                  Salah Son Saka Lingard
                  Kane Vardy Iheanacho
                  ¦ Vestergaard Phillips Pereira

                  1. son of city
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Dude... United have TGW what are you trying to do? Am curious

                      1. xuwei
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        TGW feels like such a trap. I wish I could ignore it.

                  2. Traction Engine Foot
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Any of these -8s worth it? Or good to go?

                    A Azpi to Digne
                    B Lingard to Greenwood
                    C Raphinha to El Ghazi (bench Lingard)

                    Henderson
                    Azpi TAA Targett Castagne
                    Salah(C) Jota Lingard
                    Kane Vardy Nacho

                    Sanchez Pereira Dallas Raphinha

                    1. brixtonBob
                      • 7 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      I'd hold

                  3. BENOIT
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 5 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Joel Ward or Nat Phillips?

                    1. linkafu
                      • 1 Year
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Nat

                    2. RamaJama
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 8 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Nat

                  4. Bobby Digital
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Zaha news?

                    1. RamaJama
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 8 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      No

                      1. Bobby Digital
                        • 3 Years
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        Think I'm going Siggy then...

                  5. Sam (Team Sam)
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 12 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Final decision...

                    A) Jota?

                    B) Zaha?

                    1. RamaJama
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 8 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      A

                      1. RamaJama
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        Sorry, meant B

                    2. Keeptrying
                      • 7 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      A

                  6. MadeinIreland
                    • 12 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Who gets most points?

                    Saka, Keane or Lingard

                    Thanks...

                    1. Bob_the_builder
                      • 4 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Lingard

                  7. doncapo
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 4 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Any viable Chelsea midfield options for an FT team?

                    Leaning towards 3-5-2 formation and thinking of Havertz or Mount. Is it likely they have one start and one off the bench?

                  8. Bob_the_builder
                    • 4 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    I have a feeling that Bruno is going to make those non-captaining owners pay.

                  9. linkafu
                    • 1 Year
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Does Digne worth a hit? (Rudiger out)

                    1. Bob_the_builder
                      • 4 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Not for rudiger.

                    2. RamaJama
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 8 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Yes

                  10. Tsparkes10
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    First to 3 🙂

                    A) Digne
                    B) Maguire

                    1. sulldaddy
                      • 11 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Digne

                    2. Gudjohnsen
                      • 4 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      A

                    3. pingissimus
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 2 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Digne

                    4. Levi's 501
                      • 1 Year
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      A.

                  11. THEKID_88
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Start -

                    Konsa
                    or
                    Rudiger

                  12. Lignja
                    • 4 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Mendy, Forster
                    Shaw, Holding, Coleman, Philips, Coady
                    Salah, Jota, Son, Bruno, Saka
                    Dcl, Ihenacho, Kane

                    2ft 0.5m itb, Will BB.

                    A. Coady to Lindelof (roll other ft)
                    B. Coady, Forster to Henderson, Mitchell

                  13. ArseneAllTheWay
                    • 7 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    TC:

                    A) Bruno
                    B) Greenwood
                    C) Iheanacho
                    D) Salah
                    E) Other?

                  14. Taff
                    • 12 Years
                    2 months, 28 days ago

                    Is Mitchell nailed now?

                    1. Utopsis
                      • 1 Year
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      No

                    2. pingissimus
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 2 Years
                      2 months, 28 days ago

                      Nope

                      RH noted that he has a tendency to pick up injuries and also mentioned that he'd need to rotate.

                    3. Il Capitano
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        From Roy's comments it seems PvA will play v shu

                        1. Utopsis
                          • 1 Year
                          2 months, 28 days ago

                          Really? What did he say?

                          1. Il Capitano
                              2 months, 28 days ago

                              "We're going to have to be bolder in an attacking sense, maybe that compact shape isn't going to be as good as it's been as we are going to need to take more risks going forward. We're aware it's a delicate balance but we'll take the game to Sheffield United."

                              "Tyrick Mitchell's performance at the weekend was particularly good. The big thing for him going forward is to make certain he stays fit and it's not a case of getting quite excited only to lose him to injury and have to rehabilitate him."

                              "[Having such a strong squad is] very important. This is the start of a two-week spell where we play five matches – we need everyone available. It gives me the opportunity to rest players and avoid the situation we had at end of Project Restart."

                              Seems to point towards PvA starting imo.

                              1. Utopsis
                                • 1 Year
                                2 months, 28 days ago

                                Legend thanks mate. Tend to agree and changes my plans, will be moving him to the bench

                      • WHUFCSmith23
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        With Solskjaers comments, do we interpret that they will be playing a reserve side against Leicester? Surely he won't put out a second string against Liverpool?

                        1. Gudjohnsen
                          • 4 Years
                          2 months, 28 days ago

                          I think he rotates heavily against Leicester imo

                        2. Shteve
                          • 12 Years
                          2 months, 28 days ago

                          No, I think some players will play some games, others will play other games.

                      • as33
                        • 5 Years
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        Last call Rashi or Salah for (C)

                        1. Neves say Neves
                          • 3 Years
                          2 months, 28 days ago

                          mo

                      • Neves say Neves
                        • 3 Years
                        2 months, 28 days ago

                        For just this week:
                        A) Son (1x) + Shaw (3x)
                        B) Greenwood (3x) + Holding (2x)