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Eliteserien 2021 – Runde 1 Round-up

This season I’ll be providing reviews of all games played in each Runde on a weekly basis. I will make a point to try and watch at least one game a week and thus provide a more detailed analysis of that fixture.

As we’ve only had 4 games and I’ve watched Bodø/Glimt vs Tromsø and Vålerenga vs Rosenborg, it’s been feasible to write a slightly more detailed review than normally would be the case.

FK Bodø/Glimt 3 – 0 Tromsø IL

(2-0 HT)

Erik Botheim (10.0mNOK) rose high to meet a lovely, chipped ball into the box from Alfons Sampsted (5.5mNOK) to score on his competitive debut for the champions and Fantasy Favourite Ulrik Saltnes (10.5m) soon doubled the lead from close-range after being expertly fed through by Sondre Brunstad Fet (7.5mNOK).

Barely fit enough to start, Runar Espejord (7.5mNOK) was substituted on the half-hour mark – midfielder August Mikkelsen (4.5mNOK) coming on to replace him.

20-year-old Mikkelsen gave a good account of himself throughout – playing 60+ minutes – and his introduction to the game ahead of actual forward Tobias Hafstad (4.5mNOK) does not bode well for owners of the cut-price striker. Now perhaps we ask the question if Espejord misses out, is it Mikkelsen that will start ahead and not Hafstad?

Tromsø midfielder Daniel Berntsen (6.0mNOK) had a half-chance to pull a goal back but his direct free-kick was launched over the bar and into low-Earth orbit. He put in a spirited and tireless effort until he was taken off in the 73rd minute.

Fet had an opportunity to make it 3-0 at the end of the first half but failed to open up his body enough to get his shot away cleanly and it went straight into Jacob Karlstrøm’s (4.5mNOK) expectant hands. A strong first-half performance from Fet will have given his manager food to thought and he would hope to be in the starting XI again for their next match against Kristiansund.

Despite leading 2-0 at half time it was actually Tromsø who had most shots (8-3) but only one of those was on target, while all of Glimt’s found their way through. There is something to be said about only shooting when it’s worth it rather than going all gung-ho, losing possession of the ball and killing an attack dead.

Early in the second half Glimt broke with intent but the move came to a premature end after Ola Solbakken (10.0mNOK) drilled his low cross straight at the goalkeeper, much to his own frustration. Karlstrom then made a huge save to deny Solbakken again, adding further misery to the big man’s attempt to fill Jens Petter Hauge’s boots.

Fredrik André Bjørkan (6.0mNOK) was also involved in numerous attacks, most notably playing the ball across the outside of the area for it to ricochet off the heel of Fet and into the path of Saltnes whose shot was tipped round the post by Karlstrøm.

Tromsø looked to attack consistently down Glimt’s right flank winning multiple corners in the process but none of them came to much. Lasse Nilsen (5.0mNOK) – a defender playing OOP in midfield – and Eric Kitolano (7.5mNOK) were the liveliest of their midfielders, while substitute Mikkelsen put in a great performance and actually almost scored only for his low effort to find its way around the wrong side of the post, rippling the side-netting rather than the back of the net.

Hugo Vetlesen (7.5mNOK) came on for around 25 minutes and came close to scoring what would have been a great goal, holding off a defender in the area to turn into space and firing a shot low and wide resulting in nothing more than a succession of wasted corners.

In the final 15-20 minutes Glimt seemed happy to let Tromsø come at them and it has to be said they found it relatively easy to negate any attacks their Arctic Circle neighbours could create, Alfons Sampsted and Brede Moe (5.0mNOK) in particular putting in good performances.

Solbakken’s determination finally paid off as he dinked a beautifully weighted ball towards the onrushing Botheim at the far post, only for Lasse Nilsen to get there ahead of him, turning the ball into his own net to make it 3-0.

Despite his own goal, Nilsen was probably Tromsø’s best player (other than their goalkeeper), throwing his weight around to not only win 5/7 ground duels but also record a passing accuracy of 80%, creating 1 key pass and 1 big chance in the process. The own goal seemed quite unfortunate as if he left it Botheim was certain to score.

Sebastian Tounekti (7.0mNOK) was given a five-minute cameo and almost made an immediate impact, running the ball into the box before playing a smart pass for Vetlesen to side-foot into the bottom corner to be once again denied by the brilliant Karlstrøm as he was able to get his fingertips on it and push it behind the post for a corner.

Sondre Sørli (9.5mNOK) was largely anonymous throughout as most of the attacking play seemed to be aimed towards Solbakken via Saltnes and Fet.

FK Bodø/Glimt:

Khaykin; Sampsted, Moe (YC) [Kvile 86’], Høibråten, Bjorkan; Fet [Vetlesen 73’], Berg, Saltnes; Sørli [Lindahl 89’], Botheim [Hagen 85’], Solbakken [Tounekti 86’]

Tromsø:

Karlstrøm; Amundsen, Jenssen, Gundersen (YC) [Øyvann 87’]; Totland, Berntsen [Antonsen 73’], Y. Jenssen, Kitolano, Nilssen; Espejord [Mikkelsen 32’], Ebiye [Ingebrigsten 86’]

Player of the Match:

Sondre Brunstad Fet [7.5/10]

  • ·        1 Assist
  • ·        46 Touches
  • ·        2 Key Passes, 1 Big Chance Created
  • ·        25/30 Passes Completed (83%)
  • ·        6/11 Ground Duels Won
  • ·        1 Shot on Target
  • ·        1 Blocked Shot, 2 Interceptions, 4 Tackles
  • ·        Fouled twice

Molde FK 2 – 0 Kristiansund BK

(2-0 HT)

Ohi Omoijuanfo (11.5mNOK) started his season as poorly as possible, blazing over from the spot barely 13 minutes into the game. Fredrik Aursnes (6.0mNOK) however put in an incredible shift, providing two assists as he ran the show from midfield. Eirik Ulland Andersen (8.5mNOK) and winger Ola Brynhildsen (7.5mNOK) scored the only goals of the game.

For so long I have banged on about following the statistics and using them to our advantage and yet I was too happy to ignore the signs that pointed towards Aursnes. Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but the truth is he is one of the few players that was firmly on my radar, only to be overlooked for the shinier, more expensive Eirik Hestad (8.5mNOK). All things considered, it represents a 9 point swing which is hardly season-defining and I’m actually happy to see Aursnes start the season in such a fashion as he is a cheap way into the Molde midfield.

Perhaps this is a warning not to be blinded by the price tags of some players? (Ironic as I started Joe Bell (5.0mNOK) whom I rate highly and have no issue starting on a regular basis).

Molde dominated the first half, having 58% possession and 9 shots, 5 of which were on target. Come the final whistle they had played 485 passes, had 4 big chances and missed them all, twice the amount of corners as Kristiansund and 8/15 shots were on target.

David Datro Fofana (9.5mNOK) was given twenty minutes (replacing Ohi Omoijuanfo) and Björn Bergmann Sigurðarson (10.0mNOK) was also brought on in the closing stages for Brynhildsen.

Kristiansund’s standout players were everyone’s favourite 4.5mNOK midfielder – Andreas Hopmark – and captain Dan Peter Ulvestad (5.0mNOK). This was never a game Kristiansund were ever likely to get anything out of but Hopmark did make 1 key pass, misplaced just 3 passes overall and won every single duel he was in. Against the title favourites, I would say that is the definition of an encouraging performance.

Sean McDermott (5.0mNOK) threw his hat in the ring to be considered ahead of cheaper alternatives, making 6 saves in total with 3 of those coming from shots inside the area. 9 of his 15 attempted long balls found their target and both of his runs out were successful. If he carries this kind of form over into the upcoming gameweeks it might suggest that Kristiansund are capable of some very differential-looking clean sheets we could take advantage of.

Molde would have gone into this game expecting a clean sheet and even though Marcus Holmgren Pedersen (6.5mNOK) was left out of the starting XI, those of us who previously backed him were given enough time before the deadline to swap him out for another defender as to not miss out on the clean sheet points.

Molde FK:

Linde; Knudtzon, Bjørnbak, Gregersen, Risa; Aursnes, Hussain; Hestad, Andersen [Bolly 89’], Brynhildsen [Sigurðarson 77’]; Ohi [Fofana 69’]

Kristiansund BK:

McDermott; Sormo, Coly [P. Ulvestad 75’], D. Ulvestad, Sivertsen [Strand Nilsen 46’]; Diop, Hopmark, Kartum [Skarsem 62’]; Gjertsen [Pemi 62’], Kastrati [Willumsson 46’], Bye

Player of the Match:

Fredrik Aursnes (MOL) [8/10]

  • ·        2 Assists
  • ·        104 Touches
  • ·        4 Key Passes, 1 Big Chance Created – (Most combined KP & BCC)
  • ·        67/77 Passes Completed
  • ·        5/6 Long Balls Completed
  • ·        Attempted 9 Crosses
  • ·        44 Accurate Opposition 1/2 Passes & 27 Accurate Final 1/3 Passes (More than anyone else over the weekend)

Viking FK 3 – 1 SK Brann

(1-1 HT)

Differential midfield option Joe Bell played Samúel Kári Friðjónsson (6.5mNOK) in for Viking’s opener, with Brann mustering a response through forward Daouda Bamba (9.0mNOK) who connected with Petter Strand’s (7.0mNOK) cross from the right to make it 1-1.

The first 45 minutes were fairly even (51%-49%) but Viking were able to produce more shots (9-6) and had the better chances and would have considered themselves unlucky to go in level at the break.

The second half saw more action and it was none other than Veton Berisha (10.5mNOK) who put Viking in front, Kevin Kabran (8.5mNOK) the man getting the assist.

Ole Didrik Blomberg (5.0mNOK) sealed the win for Viking, scoring at the wrong end of the pitch to resign Brann to an expected loss in what will surely be considered the worst possible fashion. The own goal came in the 81st minute, effectively wiping any momentum Brann might have thought they still had.

Harald Nilsen Tangen (4.5mNOK) was given a 20-minute cameo, replacing goalscorer Friðjónsson shortly after the home side regained the lead. Herman Haugen (4.0mNOK) was also given a 15-minute run out and was relatively quiet involved for playing just a sixth of a game. These are cheap players in their respective positions so seeing them come on in the very first game of the season is encouraging and hopefully a sign of things to come.

Brann ended the game with two more shots than Viking (14-12) but fewer on target (3-4). When we look at big chances created we see part of the issue lies here as Brann had none while Viking created 2. And when we look at where these teams were shooting, we see that 75% of Viking’s shots were inside the area whereas 8/14 of Brann’s were outside the box, illustrating the big difference in application between the two teams.

The away side should take solace in the fact they pretty much matched their opponents for passes and shots and actually won more corners (10-6) and completed 4 times the number of dribbles. So yes, Viking may have got the 3 points, but it was by no means a walkover, and this was against a Brann side playing with two 33-year-old centre-halves, a 38-year-old goalkeeper and a right-back who will turn 21 in just over a month’s time.

David Møller Wolfe (5.0mNOK) and Filip Møller Delaveris (7.5mNOK) are also just 19 and 20 respectively and while they won’t have turned too many heads after this performance, Brann are showing they are happy to back not only their youth but their older, more experienced players too.

N.B. Wolfe has some OOP potential as he was utilised on the right wing

Viking FK:

Austbø; Bjørshol [Haugen 76’], Heggheim, Hove, Vevatne; Bell, Løkberg (YC), Friðjónsson [Tangen 70’]; Torsteinbø, Berisha, Kabran [Auklend 88’]

SK Brann:

Opdal; Blomberg, Kristiansen, Forren, Grogaard; Barmen, Strand; Wolfe [Rasmussen 82’], Taylor, Delaveris; Bamba

Player of the Match

Joe Bell (VIK) [7.7/10]

  • ·        1 Assist
  • ·        88 Touches
  • ·        48/58 Passes Completed
  • ·        1 Key Pass, 1 Big Chance Created
  • ·        Attempted 8 crosses and completed 4/9 Long Balls
  • ·        Won 4/8 Ground Duels
  • ·        1 Clearance, 1 Blocked Shot, 1 Interception, 4 Tackles

Vålerenga Fotball 1 – 1 Rosenborg BK

(HT 1-1)

The evening game saw Norway’s two biggest and most famous clubs battle it out. Vålerenga right-back Christian Dahle Borchgrevink (6.0mNOK) was heavily involved in the opening five minutes, taking a couple of corners as well as lofting a free-kick onto the head of Fredrik Oldrup Jensen (5.0mNOK) only for his shot to fall tamely into the hands of André Hansen (6.0mNOK).

Following a mazy run past a couple of defenders, the mercurial Osame Sahraoui (8.0mNOK) found Viðar Örn Kjartansson (11.5mNOK) onside in the area with an outrageous chipped ball. The forward didn’t connect well enough though, tamely flicking the ball into the outspread Hansen off whom it ricocheted back into Kjartansson’s path only for his return shot to crash into the post. The ball was quickly recycled back into action and left-back Samuel Adekugbe (5.5mNOK) stood up a neat pass for Amor Layouni (10.5mNOK) only for the returning Tunisian once of Glimt to head poorly into the stands much to his own chagrin.

In the first 15 minutes, Rosenborg hadn’t had a shot, compared to Vålerenga’s 5 efforts, 3 of which were on target. Possession statistics failed to paint a much better picture for Åge Hareide’s side as The Bohemians had over 65% of the ball for large parts of the opening exchange.

Stefano Vecchia (9.5mNOK) was tasked with taking free-kicks and he played a great ball into the area towards Dino Islamović (10.5mNOK) only for the forward to head the ball over the bar. It was a chance that he probably should have scored, and he looked gutted to have squandered yet another opportunity in the Rosenborg shirt.

Rosenborg continued to try and get something out of the game but time and time again they simply couldn’t break down Valerenga’s defence. A speculative Aron Dønnum (10.0mNOK) effort was deflected behind and from the resulting corner Borchgrevink whipped in a delightful ball which centre-half Even Hovland (6.0mNOK) unfortunately headed past Hansen and into his own goal.

Unbelievably that was the third own goal of the day!

Vebjørn Hoff (5.5mNOK) seems to have been given a creative license of some sort and came close to scoring himself with an effort from 25-yards bouncing the wrong side of Kristoffer Klaesson’s (5.5mNOK) post. On the stroke of half-time, he picked up the ball on Vålerenga’s right hand side and hit a brilliant, curling cross into the middle of the box and Zachariassen – seemingly unmarked and alone – rose high to meet it, rifling a strong header past Klaesson. The Vålerenga keeper seemed to be wildly out of position but neither Jonatan Tollås Nation (5.5mNOK) nor Ivan Näsberg (5.5mNOK) were close enough to the 27-year-old from Sortra and it was one of the simplest goals he’ll ever score.

Not even in a minute into the second and Zachariassen almost put his team in front, but his placed shot was easily stopped by the legs of Klaesson and routinely cleared out of danger. Rosenborg’s momentum didn’t let up as Adam Andersson (6.5mNOK) fizzed a ball across the 6-yard box only for an outstretched toe to knock it out of Islamović’s reach. Hoff was then played in down the left and had a good opportunity to deliver a cross into the middle, but his lofted pass was skied high and wide, putting an end to a good move.

Andersson was booked after throwing Bjørdal to the ground which gave Borchgrevink and Dønnum the perfect opportunity to combine on the edge of the area. The short pass allowed Dønnum to run into the box and attempt to feint his way into space but couldn’t do enough to generate any kind of clear-cut opening

Sahraoui continued to show exactly why he is one of the most talked about young players in the Eliteserien, perfectly weighting a through ball into the path of Adekugbe who effectively killed the attack as he pulled his cross back away from Dønnum who could only respond by tripping Hoff in the area.

Hansen made a great save to deny a certain goal, diving low to his left to keep out a tidy header from Kjartansson – it should have been a goal. And Dønnum should have scored later on as he connected with a good cross but headed wide with half the goal gaping.

Layouni was subbed off halfway through the second half and he was not happy, kicking multiple chairs as he stormed off to hide inside his Parka – it was certainly not the debut performance he would have had in mind that’s for sure.

For Valerenga everything was going down their right flank – Borchgrevink and Dønnum the most involved players by quite some way. The right-back was industrious, creative, tireless and enigmatic while Dønnum cut a frustrated and sometimes petulant figure, running into defenders and failing to trouble Hansen with his shots from distance.

There will surely be questions raised about his decision-making as there were multiple instances where he decided to shoot when surely the more sensible option would have been to play a teammate in.

Rosenborg were denied what definitely would have been given as a penalty in the Premier League as Vecchia’s close-range shot was stopped in its path by a stray hand though at first glance it would have seemed harsh for it to be given.

Dønnum continued to be a thorn in Rosenborg’s side and he would have got an assist if Kjartansson wasn’t doing his best impression of a player trying not to score, squandering yet another chance as he lost his footing and fell over swiping at thin air. I can’t remember how many free-kicks and corners Dønnum won but it was probably over a hundred – he was constantly fouled and blocked out of the game yet his effort was plain for everyone to see and he simply never stopped.

Vålerenga Fotball:

Klaesson; Borchgrevink, Nation, Näsberg, Adekugbe; Bjørdal, Jensen, Sahraoui; Dønnum, Kjartansson, Layouni [Christensen 66’]

Rosenborg BK:

Hansen; Dahl Reitan, Eyjólfsson, Hovland, Andersson (YC); Zachariassen (YC), Henriksen, Hoff (YC); Ceide [Holse 69’], Islamović, Vecchia

Player of the Match:

Vebjørn Hoff (RBK) [7.5/10]

  • ·        1 Assist
  • ·        42 Touches
  • ·        29/30 Passes Completed
  • ·        1 Key Pass, 1 Big Chance Created
  • ·        1/1 Crosses & 3/3 Long Balls Completed
  • ·        1 Shot Off Target, 1/1 Dribbles Completed
  • ·        Fouled 3 Times, 1 Interception, 1 Tackle

ReindeerHotdog ESF: https://en.fantasy.eliteserien.no/entry/12433/event/17 Follow me on Twitter: @ReindeerHotdog”

20 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Badluck Jonathan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 months, 9 days ago

    Thanks so much for this RH

    1. ReindeerHotdog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 9 days ago

      No problem.

      At least an entire singular person has found it useful!

      1. ffs casual
        • 1 Year
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Much appreciated RH. Apart from the own goal, what did you make of Nilsen playing OOP in midfield? I thought Tromso played will in places, but the screen was quite small so I couldn't make out individul players.

        1. ReindeerHotdog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          5 months, 8 days ago

          Cheers bud.

          Quick run down of his stats:

          1 BCC and 1 KP – best in team and only player to create a BC
          24/30 passes – only outfield player to attempt and complete more passes (other than defenders) was Ruben Jenssen – hardly surprising as he sits in the middle of the midfield, receiving the ball a lot from behind/either side of him
          About 75% of his completed passes were in the opposition half. Only Berntsen could beat this percentage (95%)
          Only Aasmundsen and Mikkelsen won more ground duels and he was fouled more than any other player on his team

          He was one of the Tromso players I mentioned in the My Picks section when looking into their pre-season (along with Karlstrom who was also superb) so I’m glad he put in a good performance.

          I don’t like taking things on face value – that own goal was unfortunate and shouldn’t be used against him. Context is a wonderful thing and it was so difficult for him to deal with that ball as Botheim was breathing down his neck and Solbakken really did whip it in with some venom.

          He’s a really good looking player and I can’t see him not being a regular fixture in midfield this season. It’s encouraging to see Totland on the other side too – hopefully they won’t be vying for the same position going forward.

          August Mikkelsen was brilliant. I really hope he gets more game time this year as he has real potential and that shot he took on was seriously audacious. He’s a good player - well worth keeping an eye on.

          Will be interesting to see how they approach the Molde game and who Nilsen will be up against. Does Holmgren Pedersen get the nod or will Knudtzon keep his place? I’d be surprised if Knudtzon starts as I’d think Pedersen would cause them far more trouble going forward and he seems better suited to deal with Nilsen though he is only 20 so perhaps his inexperience would allow the Tromso man to exploit that?

          1. ffs casual
            • 1 Year
            5 months, 7 days ago

            Thankyou. Some good stats given it was away to BG. I think I'll bring in Bell this week as I don't fancy fielding a defender against Molde. Will probably play him in GW3. I thought the own goal was unlucky. Not much he could do about it with Botheim sliding in with him.

  2. ReindeerHotdog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    5 months, 9 days ago

    Apparently both Atletico Madrid and Atalanta are interested in Fredrik Aursnes.

    What a player.

    1. Men in green tights
      • 3 Years
      5 months, 8 days ago

      Does that almost mean he will be moving in the summer or a couple of weeks before the new season starts.
      Cheers

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 months, 8 days ago

      So Hussain to Ausnes not the move to make this week?

      1. ReindeerHotdog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        5 months, 8 days ago

        Pretty sure the transfer window opens around the 9th June so got a few weeks yet. And if Aursnes is being prepped for a move like that I can only see him making sure he gets that step up sorted so for me he's a must up until he leaves.

      2. ReindeerHotdog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        5 months, 7 days ago

        I'm not too sure I'd swap out Hussain for Aursnes anyway.

        Here's some stats:

        Shots/Shots on (including Aursnes' disallowed G): EH 1/1 FA 1/1
        Tackles & Interceptions EH 1, 5 FA 0,2
        Passes/Accurate EH 70/58 (83%), FA 87/67 (77%)
        Acc Own 1/2, Opp 1/2 and Final 1/3 Passes: EH 21/39/27, FA 24/44/27
        Acc Crosses and Long Balls: EH 2/4 FA 1/5
        Dispossessed: EH 13, FA 31

        Biggest difference between the two was what they did with their passes:

        Key Passes and BCC: EH 0/0 FA 1/4

        Last Season:

        EH: 8G 1A(+ 3 Fantasy Assists) 2BCC 23KP = 114 FP (7 BFP)
        FA: 3G 4A(+ 1 Fantasy Assist) 7BCC 39KP = 102 FP (17 BFP)

        There's not too much between them and I know people will say "last season was a fluke for Hussain and he won't be getting forward as much this season etc..." but since 2017 he's got at least 4G and 3A, returning on average 90 FP in that time.

        Since 2017:

        EH: 21G, 15A (36 DGI), 45 BFP = 361FP (Average = 90 FP/Season)
        FA: 14G, 20A (34 DGI), 37 BFP = 390FP (Average = 98 FP/Season)

        Historically they are very similar Fantasy assets. Aursnes is a good player but if I had Hussain in my team I wouldn't swap him out for him due to them being priced very similarly. If it was to downgrade an asset you thought was overpriced, I'd go for it.

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          5 months, 7 days ago

          Cheers!

  3. Eytexi
    • 3 Years
    5 months, 8 days ago

    Cheers RH. An underwhelming GW1, but the watchlist is in full-swing: some similar to your standouts, some not.

    The Adekugbe transfer rumours don't look good for me - hopefully he can put in a peach of a performance vs. Brann before departing (if he must).

    1. ReindeerHotdog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 8 days ago

      The players I highlighted just performed well over numerous metrics and Fantasy returns.

      Obviously Saltnes was great but everyone sees that already. Berisha scored, Zachariassen did Zachariassen things. There's clearly some players doing well that will be on most people's wishlist.

      I watched the Glimt game and thought Fet was great. Same for Rosenborg and Hoff. But Sampsted was great as was Moe.

      Donnum never stopped and caused a lot of trouble for Anderssen especially. He definitely stood out for me. Hovland made something like 12 clearances but was unfortunate to score that own goal. Hansen and Karlstrom were brilliant, Klaesson not so much.

      If I'm telling myself I'm just picking one player per match, it's hard to deviate too much from an accumulation of stays. I'm actually really interested in Strand more than Taylor right now and Wolfe if he continues to play on the wing. Lasse Nilsen also a potential good OOP option for a good looking Tromsø side.

      If Aursnes does leave I'm hoping that means Breivik will replace him as he's 4.5m and already looks s very good player.

  4. Nick.P
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    5 months, 8 days ago

    Hi Reindeerhotdog

    Thanks for all the posts, switched from saltes to Sormo
    Captain based on pre season form.

    Quickly taken a -4 to switch back with Hussain downgraded to aurnes.

    Started with 11k rank so not too bad but wanted to move quickly before being priced out.

    Donnin for captain this week? What’s everyone thinking. Might go saltes or bohiem

  5. Ramboros
    • 10 Years
    5 months, 8 days ago

    Captaincy this week is very tricky. I think Molde looked a lot better than Glimt this week, despite Glimt winning with a bigger score. Glimt assets got as much out of that game as they possibly could. Molde in the other hand looked great against KBK, but their heavy hitters (Ohi, Ulland Andersen, Eikrem) have all struggled with injuries in the week leading to the start of the season. I can't reliably say that any of them will start this GW. With Glimt we know they don't rotate, and also we get the lineups in case any unexpected changes happen.

    Brann have hands down the worst defence out of the 8 teams this week. Dønnum had great underlying numbers against Rosenborg. Context matters though. Brann only conceded 20 goals at home last season, despite being terrible defensively. Vålerenga only scored 18 away goals last season. Brann also play on grass, making the home advantage very substantial. I don't see either of these teams as being particularly different from last season.

    Dønnum himself performed better in away games last season, scoring 5 goals and getting 2 assists away in contrast to his 3 goals and 3 assists at home. There's an argument to be made that Dønnum is more attractive this season due to his penalties, and penalties are typically given to the more attacking side or the home side. In Vålerenga's case 5 of their 8 penalties were won away from home last season. 2 of those penalties were given at Brann stadion.

    Rosenborg scored 34 goals at home last season, while Viking conceded 30 goals away from home. Viking have largely got the same defence as last season, and have been leaking goals in pre-season. Islamovic and Zachariassen both had 8 goals and 0 assists at home last season. This is statistically the game I'd target for captaincy, but I'm not sure if any Rosenborg player stand out enough to be worth captaining.

    Ultimately I went with Dønnum before the season to captain him in GW2, and I'm probably sticking with it.

  6. Nick.P
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    5 months, 8 days ago

    Great analysis, I think it’s a coin flip between saltes, donnum for me

    No idea which way to go 🙂

    1. ReindeerHotdog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 7 days ago

      Donnum seems to be the stand out captaincy option based not only on his performance versus Rosenborg (the eye test plus underlying statistics) but who he comes up against in the next game.

      Brann have a weird Frankenstein's monster of a team at the moment - a combination of both youth and old.
      Opdal is 38 and his xGC vs Viking was 1.67 - he conceded 3.
      Forren and Kristiansen are both 33 and while Kristiansen might have 'played well' in pre-season, his case for inclusion is beyond me. If they line up the same way they did against Viking, it'll be Donnum versus Grogaard on Brann's left and then when passes him and finds himself in the box he has to be favourite to come out on top in that situation.

      At the same time this could be a huge game for Layouni if he starts again. Blomberg didn't have a great game and while I do rate him, I'm not sure how he's going to fare against a player of his talents.

      I don't subscribe to the notion that Glimt were poor or lucky to beat Tromso or that the score-line flattered them:

      xG BG 1.49, TIL, 1.27
      Shots 9, 13
      Chances Created 10,11
      Big Chances 1,2
      Acc Passes 491, 379

      Paints a picture of Tromso doing quite well here, producing more with the ball (they had less of it than Glimt) and perhaps unlucky not to score right?

      Context:
      Shots on Target: Glimt 6/9, Tromso 2/13
      Shots in box-Shots outside: 8/1, 6/7
      xG 1st Half: 0.59, 1.05
      xG 2nd Half: 0.9, 0.21

      Glimt had a game - work the ball into the box and shoot. Tromso didn't do that. Admittedly they have 6 shots inside the box, but another 7 outside - that's not evidence of a game plan which screamed a logical, calm approach. It was more, trying to shoot whenever they could. And that's reflected in the fact that only 2 of those 13 shots were on target.

      Saltnes and Fet's stats were quite similar for that game but Fet created 1 BCC (Saltnes 0) and 2 KP to Saltnes 1. Their accurate passes in opposition 1/2 and final 1/3 are very similar too (Saltnes 17, 8 and Fet 14, 5). Fet also won more duels and lost the ball less. That's an encouraging performance and the main reason I bring it up is not to antagonise anyone, it's to highlight a good performance from a Fantasy asset who is 3m cheaper than his teammate. Saltnes is obviously one of the best players in the league but the whole point of any analysis is to try and identify any good options who have a higher PpM and PpM/Pp90 potential.

      Anyway. My top captaincy picks this week would be:

      1) Donnum
      2) Zachariassen
      3) Aursnes

      Could easily make a case for any Valerenga attacker - that Brann defence is by far the weakest in all the games and ignoring who did what last season or previous results, in the here and now they look like a team that will continue to leak goals if they persist which such a shoddy defensive approach.
      Zachariassen is Zachariassen and will be given space to operate in and Aursnes is Aursnes and will do Aursnes things regardless of opposition.
      I think Glimt are going to struggle far more in their game with Kristiansund than they did vs Tromso. KBK don't have many goals in them at the moment and could be without a few of their attacking players so it would be surprising if Glimt didn't win but I doubt I'll be captaining Botheim/Bjorkan/Sorli (I don't have Saltnes).

    2. FPLrookie2009
      • 1 Year
      5 months, 7 days ago

      How good is Berg. It’s my first season and i started with decent points last week (63 points).

  7. SUNFLOWER
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    5 months, 7 days ago

    Great write-up RH! Just catching up with the latest from runde 1. Not a bad start for my team, but having no Molde midfielder going into this runde is a concern for me. Berg to Aursnes is looking very tempting.

    Long-term I'm wondering if Zachariassen might be a better bet than Islamović but it's probably too early to say.

    Captaincy is an interesting one. I think I'll end up going with Dønnum.