Spot the Differential

Exciting Saint-Maximin can star in Newcastle’s last two fixtures of 2020/21

With the season so close to an end, Fantasy Premier League differentials have never been more important.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Newcastle United, Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Allan Saint-Maximin

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SHU | ful

Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.2m) has been one of Newcastle United’s best players since joining the club from French outfit Nice back in 2019.

And despite enduring a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injuries, his return to fitness in the second half of the season has seen Steve Bruce’s side comfortably avoid relegation from the Premier League.

The 24-year-old, who is fast becoming his side’s talisman, was instrumental in a run of eight points from four games in April which saved the Magpies’ season. He was the match winner against Burnley, coming off the bench to score and provide an assist, and was pivotal against both West Ham United and Liverpool, too.

That upturn in form has coincided with Bruce’s decision to switch to a 3-5-2 / 5-3-2 shape in Gameweek 30. Since then, Newcastle have played some of their best football of the season, with three wins and two draws in their last seven matches, despite a testing schedule which has included games against title winners Manchester City, Leicester City and Liverpool. In fact, during that period, no team has scored more than the Magpies. Granted, it’s a small sample size to draw conclusions from, but it is encouraging ahead of back-to-back matches against relegated Sheffield United and Fulham.

In the new system, the Frenchman has been deployed as a second-striker, and has thrived in a more central role. Interestingly, he even referred to himself ‘playing as a no.10’ in a recent interview.

Saint-Maximin has always had the ability but has often frustrated due to his erratic decision-making. However, his end product is improving, and he could be a useful budget differential for the remainder of the season, especially when you consider his last two matches are against two obliging defences.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £7.4m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: AVL | lei

Despite being frozen out under José Mourinho earlier this season, Dele Alli (£7.1m) has come back into favour in recent weeks under interim head coach Ryan Mason.

The 25-year-old played a key role in Son Heung-min’s (£9.7m) goal in Gameweek 35, and was unlucky not to score against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday, as he struck the post in the second-half.

Despite blanking, it was his best performance of the season so far, as he ended the match with four goal attempts, one big chance and six penalty box touches. His coach later hailed his display as an “excellent no. 10 performance”, and now, after three consecutive league starts, has the potential to finish the season strongly.

Interestingly, since Alli’s return to the starting XI in Gameweek 34, he has actually outperformed Son for shots, efforts in the box and expected goals (xG).

It’s also worth noting that Tottenham Hotspur had 24 shots against Wolves, 13 of which were on target. Both of those totals exceed any amount they had in a single Premier League match under Mourinho, which highlights the potential of their new, more attacking, setup.

Spurs are now into the top six, with their win last weekend ensuring their hopes of qualifying for the Europa League is in their own hands, with Aston Villa at home and Leicester at the King Power Stadium their remaining games. Encouragingly for Spurs’ attacking assets, Villa conceded a whopping 23 shots in their recent trip to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 36, and will again be without the services of Matt Cash (£5.0m) in defence.

Alli is enjoying a decent run of form under Mason, and for those in search of a real midfield differential, could be worth a look.

Rodrigo

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: sou | WBA

After a frustrating season with injuries and suffering from coronavirus, Rodrigo (£5.2m) has impressed in his last two matches, and surely done enough to earn Fantasy interest for a Gameweek 37 trip to Southampton.

The Spanish striker can operate as a centre forward or attacking midfielder, but replaced Patrick Bamford (£6.5m) in the number nine role at Burnley, and took his chance with a quickfire double. He could have had more too, as he ended the game with three goal attempts, two big chances and six penalty box touches, despite being afforded just 32 minutes off the bench.

His last two matches have proven he does not need to even feature in the starting line-up to perform well. During that period he has appeared as a second-half substitute on both occasions but still produced three goals and a total of five bonus points.

The 30-year-old arrived from Valencia last summer with a big reputation having played in the Champions League, but has only managed 12 starts in the Premier League this season. 

However, when on the pitch, his numbers are encouraging. 

Among all forwards per 90 minutes with substantial game-time to their name, he ranks fifth for goal attempts and top for chances created, highlighting his all-round ability.

Following Saturday’s win at Burnley, Leeds United have a four-point cushion over 11th-placed Aston Villa, which means they are closing in on a top-half finish.

It’s been an excellent season back in the Premier League for Marcelo Bielsa’s side, who have now suffered just one defeat in their last nine games. They have the potential to finish strongly, too, with matches against Southampton and relegated West Bromwich Albion up next.

Rodrigo has been superb of late, and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a budget forward.

Pro Pundits 21

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1,935 Comments Post a Comment
  1. nozza
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Play Lingard or Watkins?

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Lingardinho

    2. Super Saints
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      I'd trust Watkins more

  2. Bonus magnet
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    a. watkins -> antonio
    b. richarlison -> joelington
    c. richarlison+watkins -> antonio+joelington (-4)
    d. trossard+richarlison ->ASM+ antonio (-4)

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      A

    2. The Knights Template
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      A

    3. Egg noodle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Unpopular opinion but I expect B to do well

  3. RyanMK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Is El Ghazi to Raphinha worth a -4?

    1. Egg noodle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Sure, if you're not defending a lead then it's a good shout

  4. SIDHU_MOOSE_WALA
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Son & Aguero --> Mane & Lacazette (will laca play?)
      or:
      Son & Aguero --> Fernandes (could go auba) & Firmino

      Son needs to go either way due to chasing and both having him

      1. Shteve
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I'd hold Son, with Cash not playing he could easily haul. Understand your reason though

    • Egg noodle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Stick to Martinez or get any other GK for a hit? Who?

      1. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Stick

        1. Egg noodle
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Cheers bud, I was leaning towards sticking too

      2. BeWater
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        No keeper is going to be worth a hit.

        1. Egg noodle
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Newcastle have a decent shout for 2 clean sheets. Although they've only kept 4 clean sheets all season!

          1. BeWater
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Every Sheffield United goal in the last few weeks has ruined my clean sheet. They'll probably score. Martinez will probably have 3 saves by half time.

        2. mynameisq
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Existing keeper 2, 3 = 5

          New keeper 6, 6-4 = 8

    • Balance
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Bench one of

      1. Dallas (sou)
      2. N Philips (bur)
      3. Rudiger (LEI)

      Thanks for the help!

      1. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        3

    • FPL Doctor
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Currently 1k OR. Missing 2/3 highly owned captains but could bring in either Bruno or Kane for a bit and would protect this rank a bit more but also could take a risk and go elsewhere. Thoughts?

      Schmeichel
      TAA Digne Holding
      Salah Son Mahrez Jota*
      DCL Bamford Richarlison

      A) Mahrez —> Bruno (free)
      B) Jota —> Greenwood (free)
      C) Mahrez + Rich —> Greenwood + Kane (-4)
      D) Jota + Rich —> Bale + Antonio (-4)

      1. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        C

      2. Egg noodle
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        C looks really good. I'd trust Greenwood to get the most minutes so he should be a good enough pick

        1. Super Saints
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Why do you trust Greenwood to get the most minutes?

      3. Steiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I'd do C

      4. HashAttack
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        GL with Scmeichel - CS in the cup final and 16 points in the two reverse fixtures gives us hope 🙂

    • Dirty_Harry
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Worth holding Siggy or bring in Raph (and bench Lingard)?

      1. Shteve
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I did Siggy to Raph, no regrets, Siggy has done nothing recently and not guaranteed to start

      2. BeWater
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Hold Siggy and bring Raph next week.

      3. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Siggity siggity goo!

    • Magic Hamster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Which 2 to bench, Currently on D and E..

      A. TAA
      B. Digne
      C. Shaw
      D. Lindelof
      E. Ayling

      1. BeWater
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Definitely D and E for me.

        1. Egg noodle
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Yep

      2. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Yep

    • Redranger
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      GTG?

      Mendy
      TAA Shaw Digne
      Salah Raph Greenwood Son Lingard
      Kane(C) Bamford

    • DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Kane deserves to be benched tomorrow night. Doesn't want to play for spurs anymore.
      Should play son up top and give him pens and all free kicks.
      I don't have Kane, I have son.
      My judgement is in no way clouded.

      1. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Agree entirely

      2. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Refreshing to see such balanced argument devoid of any bias, bravo.

        1. DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Lol

      3. Shteve
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Incoming Kane hatty after Spurs indirectly saying he should be concentrating on football me thinks.. Definitely motivation there!

      4. Super Saints
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I have Kane but would still want this as only one with Son in my ML

    • HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      How's the bench order looking?
      Did Lingard to Greenwood

      Mendy
      Trent Shaw Dallas
      Salah Bale Greenwood Harrison
      Kane DCL Ings
      Forster Keane El Ghazi Holding

      1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Yep

      2. Super Saints
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Glorious team on paper!

        1. HMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Cheers let’s hope the paper team returns well this week

    • CrouchDown
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      (A) Jota > Raphinha
      (B) Jota > Lingard
      (C) Save FT and play JWP

      Martinez

      TAA Coleman Holding

      Salah Son JWP Greenwood

      Kane Watkins DCL

      Subs: Forster, Rudiger Dawson Jota

      1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Save and have three next week IMO

      2. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        C

      3. Steiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        A and bench Watkins

    • Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Martinez (Steer)
      TAA Coleman Shaw (Holding Coufal)
      Salah (c) JWP Bruno Greenwood (Lingard)
      Kane DCL Antonio

      GTG? Or any of these worth a minus 4?
      A Lingard to Willock
      B DCL to Nacho
      C anything else?

    • Jdpz
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Best midfielder under 8.4m? (and not Zaha, Mahrez, Lingard)

      1. BeWater
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Greenwood.

    • Jdpz
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Willock or ASM?

      1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Willock

        1. Jdpz
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 18 days ago

          why?

    • PogBruno
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Vardy to Firmino/Antonio for a hit

      Yes or No ?

      1. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        No

      2. Eewraks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 18 days ago

        That's what I did. Vardy -> Firmino

      3. HashAttack
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I'm tempted by Firmino - like a goal against Burnley and scored 2 against CRY

        Toying with a -8 to get Firmino and 5.7m forward for Nacho and Watkins

    • Hazz
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Ah, so Pope is "touch-and-go".

      Salah (C).

      1. mynameisq
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Yup locked in

    • No Kane No Gain
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Play pope or Martinez?!

    • mynameisq
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Rashford or Greenwood?

      1. BeWater
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Greenwood.

    • Chief Break-Everything
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Play Gundogan or Bamford?

      Martinez
      TAA Dallas Godfrey
      Salah Son Raphinha Bruno Gundogan
      Kane Antonio Bamford

      Fabri **** Coufal Mitchell

    • Jdpz
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Schmeichel
      TAA, Reguilon, Digne, Shaw (C)
      Lingard, Zaha, Bale, Mahrez
      Kane, Bamford
      subs: Forster, Iheanacho, Fofana, JOTA*

      1ft., 1.5m itb.
      who to buy? And maybe I should play Iheanacho?

    • DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Captain Bruno or Salah ? Any particular reason.

      1. mynameisq
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Salah, no nick pope potentially

      2. dark91
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Salah as he has more to play for (CL spot and golden boot)

    • dark91
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Fellow TC owners, are you playing it in GW37 or 38 and on who?
      Kane, Salah, Bruno, or someone else?

    • Nay08
        2 months, 18 days ago

        1) thoughts on Mane captain instead of Salah?
        I'm chasing 40 pts and my rival also has Salah

        2) my list to transfer out right now are Iheanacho, Castagne, and Keane(next week bad fixture vs MCI). any suggestion on what to do?
        already use this week's FT so only one FT for next week. I'm chasing 40 pts but willing to take one -4 next week depending on the situation.

        team right now:
        Leno/Foster
        Dallas, Keane, Coufal, Castagne, Philips
        Salah, Mane, Son, Lingard, Raphinha
        Kane, Bamford, Iheanacho

        1. mynameisq
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Do it, you have to start taking risks

      • Better Call Raul
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Ederson to start surely?

        1. Super Saints
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Yep confirmed

        2. Big Hands Barry
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Yes

      • firas zaihan
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        MENDY (SANCHEZ)
        SHAW DALLAS KONSA SAISS TAA
        SALAH B.FERNANDES LINGARD
        ZAHA JWP
        INGS BAMFORD WATKINS

        ANY SURGGEST TO TRANFERS
        ON BB...
        PLEASE.....

      • esho17
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        A) Harrison
        B) Raphina
        C) Pereira
        or any other midfielder under 5.5m

        TIA

      • Catastrophe
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Anything worth a hit chaps? 0FT, 2.4 ITB. Was planning Llorente -> Dallas or Digne out in GW38.

        Meslier
        TAA, Digne, Shaw
        Salah, Son, Greenwood, Lingard, Raphinha
        Kane, DCL

        (Sanchez, Phillips, Watkins, Llorente)

        Cheers

        1. Super Saints
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Captain?

          1. Catastrophe
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Kane for me

      • Jdpz
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I need differential captain
        Who is the best?
        a) Shaw
        b) Greenwood
        c) TAA
        d) Digne
        e) Mahrez
        f) Bale

        1. the dom 1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Bale

        2. SIDHU_MOOSE_WALA
            2 months, 18 days ago

            I'd prefer Mahrez or Greenwood