Pro Pundits - Simon

Hindsight bias and how not to look back in anger in FPL

The 2014/15 Fantasy Premier League champion Simon March provides his final thoughts of the season as we head into Gameweek 38 of the campaign.


There was a discussion in the FPL community this week about hindsight bias, what it is and what it means for FPL managers. Looking back, it’s obviously an interesting topic, I don’t know why I didn’t write an article on it before… Oh well, better late than never.

Hindsight, which is to gain an understanding of a situation or event only after it has occurred, is problematic for FPL managers in a number of ways but, perhaps most significantly, in the way it confuses our decision-making and how it influences our enjoyment of the game. This article will consider why our tendency towards hindsight occurs and what we might be able to do to control its negative effects.

Hindsight bias is the tendency among humans to perceive past events or outcomes as having been more predictable than they, in fact, actually were. While some might consider this bias about as useful as the ‘remember me’ button in the Fantasy Football Scout Premium Member’s Area, it does in fact serve a purpose. Like most cognitive biases, hindsight as a phenomenon is born out of our evolution and the limitations of the human mind to cope with everything that our environments throw at it.

Because we are regularly bombarded with far more information than we can realistically process, our brains prioritise certain elements of it. Thus, we tend to recall more easily and attribute more importance to more recent events than ones further in the past. As a result, we find ourselves judging decisions in terms of their outcomes because this information is more easily accessible. Consequently, we tend to retrospectively consider this outcome information as being obvious all along, especially compared to whatever basis we were using to make our decision before the event took place.

Recency is not the only driver of hindsight bias however, surprise is also a trigger. When we are surprised by something, our life may depend on our brain quickly making sense of it, so it goes ahead and tries to do that. One unfortunate side-effect of this process is that it effectively neutralizes the ‘surprising’ element of the event in our subconscious, again making it seem like it was obvious all along and creating the somewhat perverse circumstance where, the more surprising an event is, the more we are likely to overestimate our chances of having foreseen it.

So, for example, when Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins (£6.5m) bangs in a hat-trick against Liverpool, our first response might be one of surprise, but this will be followed very quickly by our second response, which is to think of reasons why it might actually have been foreseeable.

The final driver of hindsight for this discussion is negativity. We are more likely to apply hindsight to negative outcomes than positive ones. This might partially be due to the emotional, mind-clouding influence that bad news can have on us, but it is also a hardwired survival mechanism. Whereas when something goes well for us, like our captain scoring a hat-trick, we can simply bask in the glory of our own FPL genius, when something goes wrong for us, our mind wants to make sense of it immediately so we can avoid it happening again. Of course, the easiest way to do that is to accept that what you now know was actually quite predictable.

Is all this a problem? Potentially, yes. If we start judging our decisions and the likelihood of events based on their outcomes, we risk polluting our decision-making process with less evidence-based or logical criteria. Instead of accepting that an unpredictable event was, indeed, unpredictable, we start to rely on unreliable factors, believing that they will help us foresee the unforeseeable. We don’t learn anything from this experience, or nothing of value at least, and we potentially become worse FPL managers as a result.

It can also be a problem with respect to our enjoyment of the game. There will, for example, have been plenty of people choosing between, say, Man City’s Riyad Mahrez (£8.1m) and Ferran Torres (£7.0m) ahead of their match against Newcastle in Gameweek 36. The logical decision based on current form, amount of rest and likelihood of starting was almost certainly Mahrez. The correct decision based on outcome was Torres, who outscored Mahrez by 20 points to zero.

So, while out of 100 decisions, the process that might have led to picking Mahrez will likely outperform the decision process that led to picking Torres, anyone who went for Mahrez will feel frustrated, rueful and negative about their ability as an FPL manager because they believe they should have known all along that Torres would start and score a hat-trick and Mahrez would blank entirely. Anyone who went for Torres, meanwhile, will feel like an FPL genius. Yet, based on this decision alone, neither would be entirely true. This event is an aberration which benefited some and not others.

Now, before anybody says anything, I am not saying that there was no skill involved in picking Torres or that his owners just got lucky. We are all, at this point, familiar with the art of ‘upside-chasing’. It is simply to say that one event was, objectively, more likely than the other and the fact that the outcome contradicted this assessment doesn’t, of itself, change that.

What can we do about hindsight bias?

Hat-trick hero Torres making late-season claim as powerful FPL differential

The key to overcoming hindsight bias is learning to evaluate decisions based on their logic rather than their outcome. Rationally-speaking, the outcome should be irrelevant if the logic used in the decision-making process was sound. 

Obviously, this is much easier said than done but one thing that makes it easier is to establish a criteria for making FPL decisions that you stick to and only change when necessary. Not only does this help ensure logic and consistency in decision-making, it allows you to evaluate and refine your process for making those decisions, something which will, over time, actually make you a better FPL manager.

This process may also help FPL managers overcome the negative feelings associated with hindsight bias but, if not, it can also help to consider how you might have come to the decision you didn’t make. 

Using the example from above; to have chosen Torres over Mahrez, a manager would have had to have anticipated the following; Torres would start ahead of Mahrez despite having played City’s previous match (which was a loss in which Torres blanked) rather than Mahrez who was rested for that game entirely, that Torres would play more minutes than Mahrez, despite Mahrez having played around 600 minutes more than Torres this season and, finally, that Torres would outscore Mahrez, something which, by any measure, would have appeared unlikely prior to the match against Newcastle.

Engaging in this process can help you flip your brain back into evaluation mode and, while it might not stop you questioning other aspects of your game, such as your willingness to take bigger risks, it should at least help you avoid your hindsight bias convincing you that your decision was wrong based purely on the outcome.

Pro Pundits 22

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397 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Milkman Bruno
      2 months, 7 days ago

      I have 10 points to make up here for my ML! Shaw to Coufal for free would’ve leave me with this lot.

      Mendy
      Taa, Dallas, Coufal
      Salah, Torres, Raphina, Lingard
      Kane, Wood, Antonio

      Martinez, Bruno, Struijk, Mitchell 0ft .4itb

      Is Bruno to Manè worth a hit and if so who would I bench?

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 7 days ago

        The hit could pay off in 1 with surprise benchings elsewhere.

        It's a lottery so stick to Liverpool, Leicester, Chelsea, West Ham etc where you can.

        1. Milkman Bruno
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Who do I sit then, Lingard?

        2. Big Al Stankovic
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Just Bruno to mane would be my preference.

          1. Milkman Bruno
              2 months, 7 days ago

              I can’t afford that move by itself and it leaves me with Mitchell or Struijk if Shaw is benched

        3. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Good evening all!!! Out of interest Greenwood owners..... what your plans????

          A- Starting
          B- Selling
          C- Benching

          Cheers everyone!!!

          1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            A

          2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Probably B

          3. AleksaMaster
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Sold for Raphina, so I can bring Mane for Bruno. Low chance of Bruno and Greenwood starting because of EL.

          4. Toughie
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            It's between A & B but undecided

          5. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            C

          6. tbs91
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Starting at the moment, but I'm still undecided about my transfer plan

          7. AC/DC AFC
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            B or C.

            1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Cheers for you input everyone!! Appreciate it, a mixed bunch there and that completely explains my current thoughts too, could be A B Or C at the moment!!!

          8. Major League Shocker
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 7 days ago

            A

        4. Hy liverpool
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Team of the season?

          For me

          Martinez
          Cancelo Stones Dias Shaw
          Tielmens Mount
          Grealish
          Salah Kane Son

          1. Hy liverpool
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Doesn't feel good leaving KDB Bruno Gundogan tbf.

            1. YoungPretender
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              These players you have left out would be my midfield.

              Martinez
              Coufal Dias Stones Shaw
              Gundogan KDB Bruno
              Salah Kane Foden/Son

              Undecided on Foden or Son

          2. Chandler Bing
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Bruno? Would also have Dallas over Mount

            1. Hy liverpool
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Bruno may be but dallas over mount is madness imo.

        5. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Gundogan & Greenwood ->
          Raphinha & Mount (-4) ?

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            not convinced by Mount

            1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Me neither mate. Punt worthy tho.

          2. Big Al Stankovic
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Keep greenwood. Will probably start. Gundo to raph seems good.

            1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Why would he start? Thinking he could use a rest before the EL final.

        6. Scots Gooner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          I'd say Jota and Siggy are your two priorities there.

          Maybe to Raphina or Harrison if you don't already have Leeds? Torres if you think he'll play?

          1. Scots Gooner
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Reply fail to Kun Tozser.

        7. Chandler Bing
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Chasing 23 points. Which duo to get?

          A. Auba and Rodrigo
          B. Pepe and Timo

          1. Hy liverpool
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Neither

          2. Big Al Stankovic
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            I’d find other differentials.

          3. George Agdgdgwngo
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            A

        8. Football creep
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Dallas or Tierney?

          1. Chandler Bing
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Tierney if chasing. Dallas if trying to hold.

            1. Football creep
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Cheers mate I wouldn't mind both. Ur right with dallas to hold thats all I need

        9. Babit1967
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Second by 32 points , leader will captain Salah, I’ll captain Mane and have BB, I doubt I’ll catch him but Mane to our score Salah is a must

        10. Big Al Stankovic
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Some thoughts on my final day struggles. Which option to go for?

          1. Bruno —> Mane
          2. Digne —> Robbo
          3. Bruno & Davies —> Aguero & Harrison (-4)
          4. Bruno & Davies —> Bamford & Lingard (-4)

          1. FOMFF
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            3. For fun. Surely a hatty is in the stars for Aguero.
            1. If its a close race in your ML.

        11. diesel001
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          For the person who takes FPL fairly seriously, captaincy is a massive part of the game. If you are choosing poor captains then that is the first part of your FPL game to focus on IMO.

          A good benchmark for captaincy choice is to double the points of the highest scoring player in the game. At the moment that is Fernandes on 244 pts. So if your captains have scored fewer than 500 pts over the season (244 pts x 2, but rounded up) then you need to look at how you could improve in the captaincy choice.

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            And how is that to improve?

            1. AC/DC AFC
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Besides your TC you'd struggle to do better than double the points of the top scorer without getting lucky on the captain pick most weeks...

            2. diesel001
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Develop a process for picking (c) and stick to it. Review that process and see how you can improve it periodically (say every 19 GWs).

              Some people are good at picking (c) with their instinct, but most aren't. And if you aren't recording how you choose your (c), how can you determine how to do it better?

              Personally, I like using a stats approach (xA, xG etc.), but there are other methods.

              1. Magic Zico
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 7 days ago

                Theoretically that works, I recall Mark in early episode of Black Boxx made that commitment with targeting the opponent defence performance. David and Joe do this xA xG xGi stuffs every week on FFS captain selection. I get that, but it's not really straightforward. That's the beauty of football, something like trading on stock market but with more limited timeframe of data to analyse early in the season.

                1. diesel001
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 7 days ago

                  It's not about being perfect (although that would be nice), but to take the thinking / subjective opinion out of choosing a (c) and more importantly keeping records so you learn from your errors.

                  The issue with subjective opinion is how do you apply it consistently? One week you may place more emphasis on the fact that a team lost 5-0 last week and so are good to target this GW. But will you place the same emphasis in 5 weeks time when another team loses 5-0? It is very hard to measure. Measurability is generally your friend in improving decision making.

                  1. Magic Zico
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    Got it, think that's what the Black Boxx early episode key learning or so ... how much improvement from those efforts have materialised? Curious to know myself.

                    1. diesel001
                      • 4 Years
                      2 months, 7 days ago

                      Personally I am close to 600 pts from (c) this season. I have no doubt that recording my (c) options, the justification and why I ended up choosing a (c) has helped me. And I now have the data for each of my possible (c) choices each GW (e.g. opponent's xGC, form, whether someone was suspended) to help me review and improve next season.

                      1. Magic Zico
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 2 Years
                        2 months, 7 days ago

                        I'm sure if you keep doing it, it will improve until it is plateau-ing at some point ... it's a good process if you really enjoy it

                  2. Magic Zico
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    Just checked that I scored 572 pts from [C] with 12/37 blanks, don't know whether it's good or not 😛

                    1. AC/DC AFC
                      • 5 Years
                      2 months, 7 days ago

                      It's 28 short of the process outlined above... So you're doing well....

                      But are you both recoding the total captain points or the net additional?

                      I guess the former.

          2. AC/DC AFC
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            I follow the first bit...

            but the second part surely means you just captained Bruno all season (not knowing who would be the top scorer then?).

            1. diesel001
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Yes. Remember this is for review and improvement purposes. Bruno is not the highest scorer every GW, which means there are other viable options each GW. Bruno gives you a benchmark because if you are good at picking (c) you should be able to choose a good option better than having Bruno(c).

              1. AC/DC AFC
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 7 days ago

                So basically pick Bruno on his good weeks but get a higher scoring option on the weeks he doesn't deliver.

                Sound advice, what's the method to do that consistently?

                1. Magic Zico
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  2 months, 7 days ago

                  Exactly my question

                2. diesel001
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 7 days ago

                  That is for you to work out. If the answer is simple and known then everyone would do it. But it is very hard to know how to improve if you don't record what you did before.

                  1. diesel001
                    • 4 Years
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    The point being - you have all the season data available. Will you download it, review it, consider why you made those choices and then look at what you could have done better? And then start next season with a notebook or spreadsheet or whatever and commit to record everything and justify your decisions?

                    1. Magic Zico
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 2 Years
                      2 months, 7 days ago

                      That make sense but I won't do it. I'm not an FPL geek 😛

                  2. AC/DC AFC
                    • 5 Years
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    It does not exist, there's luck, judgement and patients involved on players form and fixtures.

                    It's like saying captain the highest scoring player each week to rank well.

                    Yep...

          3. AC/DC AFC
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Just checked...

            I've made this with top many 4 pointers between KDB, Salah and even Bruno in a tough season so not sure you're on to anything especially here.

        12. AlpoShearer
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Chasing
          Bruno and Philips to Mane (C) and Tuanzebe -4
          Y/N?
          Own Salah and TAA

          1. Big Al Stankovic
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Could be a good move. Pool and Leeds players a must for this gw.

        13. George Agdgdgwngo
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          7 point ML lead. I need some advice

          My team
          Martinez
          Robbo, taa*, Dallas*, Rudi*, shaw
          Salah*, Lingard*, son, jwp, Greenwood
          DCL, Kane*, bamford
          (* are co owned)

          Opponents differentials
          Ederson, digne, Raphina, Antonio

          Do I

          A. Block him with DCL & Greenwood > Antonio/nacho > Raphina
          B. Attack with Robbo & Greenwood > 3.8 def & mane

          1. tbs91
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            I don't think Digne & Ederson will outscore Robbo & Martinez by more than 7, so option A seems like a good option. Although captaincy could easily have a 7pt swing

          2. FOMFF
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Block him. Squeeze him out!

        14. Aaa
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Martinez
          TAA/Phillips//*Shaw
          Salah(c)/Bale/Lingard/Harrison
          Kane/DCL/Bamford
          (Johnstone/Greenwood/Digne/Velt)

          Best differential to replace Shaw? Max 5.7m

          1. YoungPretender
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Cresswell?

          2. Little Red Lacazette
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Dallas

        15. YoungPretender
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Son & Greenwood > Raph & Mane (-4)?

          1. George Agdgdgwngo
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Yes

        16. Jimmy Boy
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Thoughts on this potential final GW team?

          Areola
          Azpi - Castagne - Dawson
          Salah (c) - Mane - Pereira - Foden - Lingard
          Kane - Wood

          Martinez - Reguilon - Vydra - Burn

          Currently set on doing Bruno, Watkins to Mane, Wood with my 2FT. Was considering changes at the back but doubt there will be many clean sheets (let alone the ones you'd expect) kept on Sunday based on the history of the last gameweek, not to mention fans back in the grounds.

          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Not sure about foden

        17. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 7 days ago

          Need help guys.

          Martinez (areola)
          Taa Phillips Dallas ( coady lowton)
          Salah Bruno greenwood lingard raphinha
          Kane nacho (Watkins)

          .7 itb 2 ft

          A Bruno and greenwood to auba and Harrison
          B Bruno and greenwood to auba and perreira
          C Bruno and greenwood to Auba and
          Maddison
          Thanks and gl

          1. artvandelay316
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Out of those, A. But personally I'd keep at least one of them.

          2. LewanGOALski
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Bruno ➡ Mane for (-4) ? 😉

            1. Ajax Hamsterdam
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Not sure for a hit.

            2. Powers106
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              I don't think Bruno will start, maybe a cameo, but Mane will start for sure.

          3. tbs91
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            Evening all. Looking for some transfer advice. Current lineup and shortlisted transfers:

            Martinez
            TAA, Dallas, Coufal
            Salah, Bruno, Greenwood, Harrison, Lingard
            Kane, Antonio

            Forster, Vydra, Digne, Holding

            1FT & 1.8m ITB

            1) Vydra to Bamford. Bench either Greenwood or Lingard
            2) Digne to Robertson. Bench Coufal
            3) Any other ideas?

            Cheers

          4. Original - Wolves Ay We
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 7 days ago

            What are your biggest regrets this season?

            Mine is taking 45 hits.

            1. Magic Zico
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Hockey cokey big hitters at some point in the season, did not work!

            2. Major League Shocker
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Chasing Tuchel new manager bounce

              1. Major League Shocker
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 7 days ago

                Also getting in players on WC prior to DGW26 just because they looked good for the DGW, and then getting stuck with them for the long haul.

            3. tbs91
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Werner and Pulisic

            4. duledj
                2 months, 6 days ago

                Kane & Son (45 pts) to Bruno & Martial (4 pts) for -8 in GW2. I think those are literally worst transfer decisions ever.

            5. SomeoneKnows
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Tied at 1st with 2 other people in cash mini league

              Martinez
              TAA, Dallas, Shaw, XXX, XXX
              Salah, Greenwood, Lingard, XXX, XXX
              XXX, XXX, XXX

              My differentials: Coleman, Coufal, Son, Jota, Kane, Wood, DCL
              Rival A: Digne, Targett, Son, Fernandes, Bamford, Antonio, Benteke
              Rival B: Digne, Philips, Raphinha, Fernandes, Kane, Antonio, DCL

              What's my best move?
              Currently on Jota > Raphinha and playing 3-5-2

              1. George Agdgdgwngo
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 7 days ago

                That’s tough

            6. artvandelay316
                2 months, 7 days ago

                Who's better as first bench for midfield? Pepe or Torres? I have Bruno and Greenwood as possible no shows.

                Cheers.

              • Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 7 days ago

                Bale/Traore >

                A. Raphinna.
                B. Willock

                1. artvandelay316
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    A

                  • tbs91
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    A

                2. Dynamic Duos
                  • 8 Years
                  2 months, 7 days ago

                  Harrison or Raphina?

                  1. Sharkytect
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    Raphinha

                3. Disco Stu
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  2 months, 7 days ago

                  If you find yourself with no playing Keeper(Thanks Bielsa), would you bother taking a hit to bring one in? My two are currently, Meslier and McCarthy, and most people seem to think Forster gets the start this week

                  1. dabber7
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    You can't take a hit for a keeper for one week only and besides, there's been no indication from Hasenhüttl who will play in the final game week yet.

                4. Aster
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    Should I sell Dias?

                    1. artvandelay316
                        2 months, 7 days ago

                        City can't seem to keep a clean sheet these days and Dias isn't known for scoring, so I'd say yes, if you have someone more likely to do these.

                    2. Daniel Jebbison
                      • 12 Years
                      2 months, 7 days ago

                      Thoughts on team plan?

                      Henderson (Martinez)

                      TAA Dallas Rudiger

                      Salah (c) Raphinha Son

                      Kane DCL Watkins Lingard

                      bench: DCL, Jota, Weltman

                      The plan is DCL and Watkins to Antonio and Bamford.

                      Thoughts? Is it good? Am I missing something? I won't have bench

                      1. artvandelay316
                          2 months, 7 days ago

                          You listed DCL twice, once on bench. And Lingard listed as forward?

                        • Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
                          • 9 Years
                          2 months, 7 days ago

                          I want an OOP lingard

                      2. LB9
                        • 3 Years
                        2 months, 7 days ago

                        Cash mini-league is all wrapped up (leading by 76 pts) so It's great that I don't have to sweat this final week like many are. I remember losing our cash mini-league a few years back by 1 pt. Good luck to those setting up their teams for that final push.

                      3. Sharkytect
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 7 Years
                        2 months, 7 days ago

                        Has everyone here convinced each other that man utd players definitely won't be starting/playing? It appears to be standard practice that everyone is using their free transfer, or even take hits, to remove fernandes, greenwood or Shaw. Has there been anything said by Ole? Some inside knowledge?

                        Or do we all think we know what they will do, and have reinforced that view by checking posts in here?

                        1. The Ilfordian
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 3 Years
                          2 months, 7 days ago

                          I’ve not seen anything but assumptions so far. Manchester Evening News seems to think they’ll not risk anyone but I’m hanging onto Bruno until the last minute in case

                      4. Powers106
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 6 Years
                        2 months, 7 days ago

                        Seems the biggest questions I have are:

                        1) Nacho or Antonio
                        2) Lingard --> Pereira (only if going with Antonio - or ditch benched Cresswell and keep Lingard)
                        3) Is selling Son a good idea for final gw?

                        Ederson (Carson)
                        TAA - Dallas - Chilwell - (Cresswell - Dias)
                        Salah - Mane - Raphinha - Lingard (Willock)
                        Kane - Nacho - Bamford

                        0.2 itb

                      5. FPL_Motty
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        2 months, 7 days ago

                        This is provided we get some info that bruno doesn't start. Would you rather?

                        Option 1.
                        Bruno > Mane for free. Play digne.

                        Option 2.
                        Digne to philips & Brewster to Bamford for -4. (Bruno on the bench)

                        So torn about these 2 options

                        1. artvandelay316
                            2 months, 7 days ago

                            Option 2