Scout Picks

Gameweek 38 Scout Picks built on Leeds and Liverpool triple-ups

Liverpool and Leeds are the two clubs with triple-ups in this week’s Scout Picks XI.

After David, Neale, Tom and Andy submitted their Scout Squad selections earlier this week, we have chosen our best players for Gameweek 38.

For the final team this season, we line up in the 3-4-3 formation and come in at £80.8m, £2.2m inside our budget of £83.0m.

Goalkeeper

Over the last six Premier League matches, no team has conceded fewer than the three goals let in by Chelsea. Knowing that a 1-0 win over Aston Villa will secure Champions League football next season, we are expecting Thomas Tuchel to keep things tight at Aston Villa, which is why we have included Edouard Mendy (£5.3m) in the Gameweek 38 Scout Picks.

Defenders

Who has the best and worst FPL fixtures for the Run-In?

Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.8m) has produced three assists in his last six, more than any other defender. That sort of attacking potential could very well continue against Crystal Palace considering over the same period, he is top of the whole Premier League for key passes (21) and joint-second for big chances created.

This season’s current top-scoring defender Stuart Dallas (£5.5m) faces the Premier League’s worst defence in Gameweek 38, the perfect time to include him in the Scout Picks. The Northern Ireland international has found the net eight times this season, three of those goals coming in the last eight matches. Furthermore, only one Leeds player has scored more Premier League goals at Elland Road than Dallas. And in the last six, only Everton (four) have more clean sheets than the Whites (three).

Vladimir Coufal (£4.8m) looks poised to benefit from Southampton’s problems when defending the left-hand side of the pitch. Over the last six matches, only Sheffield United have given up more chances down that side of the pitch as Saints (27). Not only is Coufal best-placed to benefit, but no West Ham player has also registered more assists at home this season than the right-back. Meanwhile, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s men have failed to find the net in seven of their last 11 away matches.

Midfielders

Ahead of facing a side he scored 16 points against earlier in the season, Mohamed Salah (£12.9m) is top among all midfielders for expected goal involvement (xGI) over the last four matches. Just two players have more shots in the box than him over the last six, suggesting he will be giving his all to win the Golden Boot race on Sunday.

Knowing that Liverpool have to win at Anfield to guarantee Champions League football next season, we are doubling up on their premium midfielders with Sadio Mané (£11.8m). Among Jurgen Klopp’s men, he is second only to Salah for shots in the box and xGI at Anfield this season and has attacking returns in three of his last four.

This season’s top-scoring Chelsea asset Mason Mount (£7.3m) looks set to be at the heart of their attacking capabilities as they travel to Aston Villa for a must-win game. Over the last six matches, no player in the Premier League can match Mount for big chances created.

Raphinha (£5.6m) should benefit from the party atmosphere as Leeds fans are finally able to watch a Premier League match at Elland Road. The Brazilian ranks second for minutes per xGI at home this season, scoring eight points the last time he faced West Brom.

Forwards

Can Jesse Lingard follow up on his West Ham debut FPL haul 10

Ahead of facing a Southampton side that has conceded at least twice in each of their last three away matches, Michail Antonio (£6.7m) has five attacking returns in his last six outings (three goals, two assists).

Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) is Leeds’ top goal-scorer at Elland Road in 2020/21 and comes into Gameweek 38 as top among all colleagues for minutes per xGI at home this season. Meanwhile, West Brom are the worst side in the league for conceding chances through the middle over their last six matches.

During that same period, no FPL forward has more attacking returns than Chris Wood (£6.5m). His total of five goals and one assist bodes well for a Gameweek 38 trip to Sheffield United, who have given up the third-most big chances over their last six. 

SUBSTITUTES

  • Alphonse Areola (£4.5m)
  • Federico Fernández (£4.7m)
  • Calum Chambers (£4.5m)
  • Joe Willock (£4.9m)

THE CAPTAIN

Who are the best captain options for FPL Gameweek 36+?

We choose the Scout Picks captain using a four-way vote between our Scout Squad pundits.

Because we use Fantasy Football Scout data so heavily in this process, the skipper we choose each Gameweek is known only to those with a valid Fantasy Football Scout subscription and revealed to the public only when the deadline has passed.

Here is how we voted for Gameweek 38:

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2,637 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    That Sterling price drop overnight means I have exact money for Kane & Son to Aguero & Sterling.

    Am chasing quite a deficit so differentials are important. Crazy to consider these moves?

    1. Nate01
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Aguero and sterling could wind you up a very generous 3 combined.

      1. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        3 or 30, that's the gamble!

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Could pay back big and think they'll play but Everton stronger on the road.

          Saying that Man City beat them recently...

        2. Nate01
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Would consider it in your position chasing. Kane and son very safe and boring I want to move son on tbh

          1. Burger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Kane & Son are incredibly boring, but could backfire spectacularly. True gamble taking these out.

    2. J ⚒ Salah & Vinagre
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Has aguero been passed fit?

      1. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        No, Pep said if he can get him on the pitch he will. Aguero will be chomping to play, the fans want to see him. He'll be wheeled in in a wheelchair if he's not playing.

  2. ebb2sparky
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Who would take a hit for Watkins to Bamford rather than start Greenwood (with Watkins as first sub)?

    1. OLLY G
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Not me

  3. Wigflex
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Leading ML by 36 points, 2nd doesn't have Kane

    Is kane and bruno to wood and mane a good move?

    1. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Yes, but I wouldn’t do it for hit.

  4. Mainswitch
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    3 points behind in my ML and 8 ahead of 3td place. Do I take a hit for DCL & ASM for Antonio &Raphina. Or I just get Willock for ASM. Already have 2 Leeds assets

  5. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Start Lloris or Sanchez?

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      sanchez

    2. #Swish41
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Sánchez

  6. mcsteely
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Play ESR or DCL?

    1. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      ESR

    2. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Dominic

    3. Cojones of Destiny
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      DCL

    4. Wigflex
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Dcl

  7. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Gd morning.

    I'm 21 pts behind third place in ML.

    Is a - 8 worth it to get this

    Salah(c)/Antonio/Bamford/Dallas

    Dont matter really who I'm getting rid of tbh. Just wanna enjoy last game and i think it will be far more enjoyable with those above.

    1. Azathoth
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Just Do It then...and GL.

    2. fr3d
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Don't worry so much about what others think. Have some fun and go for it

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Why are you asking if it doesn’t matter 😉

    4. mrelpea
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Yep,go for it. Easy to forget with this that it’s supposed to be fun

      1. #Swish41
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        This!

  8. Calum Undisputed
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Leno
      TAA Dallas Coufal
      Salah Wilock Raphinha bruno greenwood
      Bamford Watkins
      Martinez DCL Digne AWB

      Need advise. looking at getting
      jlingz antonio for -4
      v tempted to take another hit for mane or kane. my rival have jlingz n kane. chasing 9pts

      1. #Swish41
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        9 much easier to chase than 17, which 2 hits will leave you. I’d do 1 hit max and captain a differential tbh. Brun > Mané and captain?

        1. mrelpea
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Agreed do just one hit

        2. Calum Undisputed
            2 months, 14 days ago

            thanks. makes v gd sense. sometimes jus blinded.
            prioriy - bruno to mane
            greenwood to jlingz (which he havex or dcl/watkins to antonio (he dot have )??

      2. Cojones of Destiny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        who to play
        a. Greenwood
        b. Gundo

        1. mrelpea
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Greenwood

      3. JUST ONE LOMBARDO...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Do we think Foden or Torres start today?

        1. HollywoodXI
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Torres

        2. #Swish41
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Who knows!

        3. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Torres and KDB most likely city attackers to start imo

          1. Tinkermania
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Explain!

      4. #Swish41
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        18 pt lead, lots of similar players, so:

        1. Bruno > Mane (bench Watkins)

        2. Watkins > Antonio (bench Bruno)

        Rival has Antonio and Bruno (unclear if he will go Mane)

        Cheers!

        1. fr3d
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          1

        2. George James
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          1 for sure

        3. Peteski29
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          1

        4. #Swish41
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Thanks all - looks unanimous

      5. Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Best option out of these?

        A) Kane, Bamford & Mount
        B) Kane, Bamford & Dallas
        C) DCL, Bamford & Mane
        D) Kane, DCL & Mount + 4 points
        E) Kane, DCL & Dallas + points

        Will be a 4 at the back with Dallas options.

        1. George James
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          B

        2. mrelpea
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          B

        3. #Swish41
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          B, but depends if leading, chasing or doesn’t matter…

          1. Karan14
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            I'm looking for the most points potential. Just not sure if it's worth it to take a hit for Dallas.

      6. George James
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Pereria (West Brom) won’t play will he ??

        1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Don’t think so

        2. claretparrot
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Sounds like no

      7. George James
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        A) DCL + Robertson + 4 points

        B) Antonio + TAA

        1. claretparrot
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          A if leading, B if chasing

        2. Muzzy87
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          B

        3. #Swish41
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          I think that probably nets out tbh

        4. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          It’s really close

      8. claretparrot
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        17pts off 1k.

        Is it worth going rogue with captain (e.g. Bamford), or too far off so just play safe and consolidate c.2k?

        1. Holmes
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Too far I guess but hat-trick for Bamford should fill the gap.

          I guess you can trust your differentials and be happy with current rank since Salah will probably do fine vs Palace

        2. Cojones of Destiny
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          yes him or raph

        3. claretparrot
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Thanks guys

        4. Winston.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          I would try...but not sure about Bamford. I had 2k rank couple of weeks ago, but not anymore...so unable to reach 1k.

      9. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Ok, the D-day is finally coming. Who’s your differentials-ish that you would heavily rely on? Mane and Coufal here.

        1. fr3d
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Mane's EO will be higher than you think. Would be nice if Holding could score a couple

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Noted nothing I can do about it. Still rather differential re Mane.

        2. HollywoodXI
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Mane(c) and Nacho

        3. Burger
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          My differentials are Ederson, Mane, Coufal, Harrison, Wood, Antonio, and possibly Sterling & Aguero if I can find my balls in time.

      10. Muzzy87
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Who’s scores more assuming all starting...?

        A) Mane & Rudiger
        B) Trent & Rashford

        Thanks!

        1. Gandalf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          A

        2. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          A just because of Rash

        3. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Dont think rashford starts. A

        4. Tinkermania
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 14 days ago

          DRAW

        5. Peteski29
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          A

      11. Bad Kompany
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Thoughts? 1 ft. 1.6 itb.

        Mendy (Forster)
        TAA Dallas Cooper (Shaw, Webster)
        Salah son raphinha greenwood mahrez
        Kane Antonio (vydra)

        Don’t think it’s worth a hit to lose son or mahrez (unless leaked lineup shows he’s not starting)

        A. Vydra to nacho (bench greenwood)
        B. Webster to cresswell (bench cooper)

        I think b is better if everyone plays but if mahrez doesn’t play then I’d prefer a

      12. yanky
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        2 pt lead on my rival
        me- kane bamford dcl
        him- kane antonio nacho

        is dcl > antonio worth -4?
        yeah rest of our teams pretty similar...i worry if i did the hit and my rival got in bamford for nacho then we only have 2 players different (1 is keeper) and hed have the lead

        1. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          No

      13. Bunk Moreland
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Who scores the most points? Dallas or Raphinha?

        1. Burger
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Dallas.

        2. shapply
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Gonna be close I think

        3. Peteski29
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Dallas

      14. shapply
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Thinking of:
        Son -> Pepe (-4)
        Would you do that?

        Team:
        Martinez
        Holding, Robertson, Dallas
        Salah, Son, Lingard, Mane, Raphinha
        Kane, Bamford

        1. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          No. Son could do well. Leicester will need to attack which could leave space for the counter

        2. Winston.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          No

      15. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Best option ?

        A. Dallas (WBA) -4
        B. Play Rudiger (avl)

        1. shapply
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          B

        2. Peteski29
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          B

        3. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          B

      16. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Which game do we think is going to be the mega goal bonanza today?

        I'll go Sheff Utd v. Burnley.

        1. Burger
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          2-5 scoreline.

        2. HollywoodXI
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          I think the Leeds, Liverpool and Leicester games will all have hauls in them.

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Hope so

        3. TheDragon
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Na

          Leicester vs Spurs has the potential to be 5-4 type score line

          1. Burger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Ordinarily I'd agree but Spurs looked flat as a pancake midweek. I'll go 1-1 in this game.

      17. TheDragon
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        A) DCL
        B) Antonio -4

        1. Winston.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          A

        2. Peteski29
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          A

        3. Bad Kompany
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          A

      18. wolves_simmo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        What to do?

        1 FT with 0.7itb...OR 2.9k

        Forster (will he play?)
        TAA - Ayling - Dawson
        Salah - Son - Greenwood - Bruno - Lingard
        Kane - Antonio

        1. TheDragon
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Bruno -> Mane will be every reply

          1. wolves_simmo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Would have to take a -4 to make this happen

            1. TheDragon
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Bruno -> Raphinha is the next template move

              1. wolves_simmo
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 14 days ago

                Could do that & either Son/Greenwood to Mane for -4?

        2. #Swish41
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Bruno > Mané seems sensible. You must have a shortlist of options?

          1. wolves_simmo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            -4 to get mane.
            Feel I need to target Raphina, Dallas & Bamford

            1. #Swish41
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Raph is a good shout, he’s our best attacking player by far

      19. #Swish41
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        What would you realistically consider a minimum mini league lead to be comfortable? 25 pts?

        1. TheDragon
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Define comfortable

          40 point lead is say you win 99% of the time
          25 point lead you win 90% of the time

        2. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          30+

        3. Collie01
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          30 would be pretty comfortable. Depends on how similar your teams are.

        4. #Swish41
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Thanks all, that’s the ballpark I was thinking. I don’t see many weeks whereby someone scores 30 more than rivals. I guess this is the week for differentials, but most teams still have 6-7 similar players at the top end

        5. BERGKOP
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          About that, yeah. I'm ahead by 18 and sweating it a little

          1. #Swish41
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Exactly the same here! Good luck!

      20. jaguar shark
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Too risky to start Greenwood in case he come on for 20 mins?

        Better to start Rudiger or DCL?

      21. balint84
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        My rivals don't own Mane, neither I. I will transfer out Bruno for Mane. Perhaps they will do the same move, I don't know. Everyone has Dallas, but surely they wont captaining him. I'm chasing 3
        30 points need.
        A) captain Mane
        B) captain Dallas

        1. Collie01
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          A

      22. Collie01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Best of luck on the final day! Will be great to have the excitement of all the matches on at once.

        The site will be crazy here later. Are there any reliable in the know accounts that could be helpful before the deadline?

      23. Disturbed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        If there’s no early team news would you still do Bruno > mane?

        1. TheDragon
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          YOLO

        2. jaguar shark
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          For free? Definitely