Gameweek Guide

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for Gameweek 38

The end of the most unusual season is upon us, and with it comes the final opportunity to climb the ranks or claim mini-league glory.

The usual mix of dead-rubbers and motivated teams is slightly diluted this season with the title and relegation places settled ahead of time, but the battle for the top four and the remaining European spots remains wide open.

And Gameweek 38 has a reputation for the unexpected. 

Take Theo Walcott’s 34-minute hat-trick against West Bromwich Albion at the end of the 2014/15 campaign, or the ten goals shared equally between the Baggies and Manchester United in Sir Alex Ferguson’s last game in charge.

This year, West Brom could be involved in another high-scoring affair when they visit a fan-filled Elland Road. The Leeds United faithful celebrating not only their first season back in the Premier League for 17 years but also their Championship victory from 10 months ago.

With the cricket season already underway, could we see a cricket score in the football?

The last round of matches all kick-off simultaneously, as is tradition on the final day of the season, handing us a Sunday deadline of 14:30 BST.

Celebration and Motivation

Just as they did in midweek, the home sides will benefit from playing in front of their supporters. Although, as Spurs discovered against Aston Villa, a poor performance can quickly change the mood. Boos ringing out at the Tottenham Hotspur stadium before half-time. 

But with Marcelo Bielsa’s side finishing the season strongly, Leeds United are not expected to suffer the same fate. 

Hotly tipped by Zophar, the Pro Pundit is backing Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) and co to push him towards his eighth top 10,000 finish. The combination of in-form striker against porous defence appeals:

Bamford tops the xG non-penalty numbers (1.73) for Leeds over the last four matches and has landed at least double the number of shots on target (six) compared to any other Leeds player. West Brom have conceded a massive 50 shots on target over the last six Gameweeks; that’s an average of over eight a game!

When selecting his shortlist of favoured armband candidates, Captain Sensible writer Jan put Bamford in third.

The Whites have only lost one of their last eight matches at Elland Road and put five goals past Sam Allardyce’s men the last time the two sides met. Since then, the Baggies’ fortunes have not changed, conceding at least two goals in six of their last eight league outings.

There was, however, a word of caution voiced for those considering Bamford.

Neale, the doyen of the team news, warned of reduced minutes for several of the Leeds contingent due to farewell appearances for long-serving players Gaetano Berardi (£4.0m) and Pablo Hernandez (£5.7m). 

I would not be shocked if [Bamford] got 60 or 70 minutes.

– Neale

Nonetheless three of Bielsa’s men are selected in the final Scout Picks of the season. 

The known absentees for the Whites are Illan Meslier (£4.8m) in goal, Mateusz Klich (£5.2m) and Diego Llorente (£4.4m). Meslier missing out has left many managers contemplating a hit for a goalkeeper, something Neale advised against, even if it meant going with ten men.

Across the Pennines, Manchester City’s line-up is, as ever, hard to predict. And this weekend they are joined in that respect by their local rivals Manchester United, who play in the Europa League final on Wednesday. 

Manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer promised to “make a few changes” with Bruno Fernandes (£11.3m) among those not guaranteed a starting spot.

Going for Gold

All this means that Liverpool offer the best captain options. 

Mohamed Salah (£12.9m) and Sadio Mané (£11.8m) are not only Jan’s top picks but also those of Tom and Andy among our four Scout Picks selectors. 

Ahead of facing a side he scored 16 points against earlier in the season, Mohamed Salah is top among all midfielders for expected goal involvement (xGI) over the last four matches. Just two players have more shots in the box than him over the last six, suggesting he will be giving his all to win the Golden Boot race on Sunday.

– Scout Picks

And our Big Numbers article pointed to an encouraging statistic for Mané owners.

Seven – the number of consecutive Premier League games that Sadio Mané has scored in against Crystal Palace. In the league’s history, only Robin van Persie (against Stoke City) has scored in eight consecutive matches against an opponent.

– Big Numbers

What’s more, Liverpool need to win to ensure Champions League football for next season.

The Reds are currently level on points with Leicester City but are above them in the table thanks to their superior goal difference. However, a big win for the Foxes by five goals or more would put real pressure on on Jurgen Klopp’s side.

An unlikely scenario, perhaps, but Liverpool may want to bag a few goals against Crystal Palace just to be on the safe side.

And the Eagles have an abysmal record against their hosts, having lost their last seven matches against them by an aggregate score of 22 goals to five.

The one spanner in the works could be that this is Roy Hodgson’s final game in charge. 

Part of me thinks they are going to be right up for this and I don’t think they are going to roll over.

– David, Captaincy Video

However improbable, a repeat of the scoreline on Sir Alex Ferguson’s last day in the Old Trafford hot seat would be welcomed by Fantasy managers, with the obvious exception of Liverpool fans.

Anfield was also set to be the petri dish for David’s new ‘equal opportunities’ captain experiment.

Speaking on the Captaincy Video with Joe, David suggested the radical idea of handing the armband to the best candidate based on their qualifications alone. He highlighted a player who has scored in each of the last four Gameweeks, has had the most shots over the last six matches, and is up against the team that has conceded more big chances than anyone else.

However, that player, Christian Benteke, is now an injury doubt and has been left out of Neale’s predicted line-up. The experiment will, unfortunately, have to wait until the new season.

Must Win

The best Neto replacements and whether FPL managers should stick with Fernandes

As mentioned, Leicester City’s need not only to win but ideally by a big margin, thrusts Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.2m) into the spotlight. 

The Foxes forward has 11 goals in 11 matches and faces a Spurs side who conceded 20 shots in their home encounter with Aston Villa.

But the fact that Brendan Rodgers could instruct his team to go for it at some stage, may benefit Harry Kane (£11.9m) if it means Leicester leave themselves open at the back. The want-away Spurs forward has an impressive record against the newly-crowned FA Cup winners, scoring 14 goals in 11 Premier League meetings.

Encouragingly for those backing Kane, influential centre-half Jonny Evans (£5.6m) is set to sit out the King Power clash with injury. His presence at the back was sorely missed in the 4-2 home defeat to Newcastle United in Gameweek 35:

[The injury to Jonny Evans was] very disruptive. He’s a great talker. With Caglar and Wesley, they are both fantastic talents but Jonny is the brain in there and he organises them so for him to come out was a big blow for us.

– Brendan Rodgers, after the Gameweek 35 defeat to Newcastle

Elsewhere, Michail Antonio (£6.7m) boasts impressive underlying stats for West Ham’s clash with Southampton.

Over the last four matches, no forward has registered a higher xG non-penalty (2.52) than the Hammers forward.

– Zophar

And Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side have not done well on the road: 

Nine defeats for Southampton in their 10 away league fixtures this calendar year. The Saints, who travel to West Ham United this weekend, have conceded 30 goals in these nine defeats, scoring just seven in return. Their sole win on the road in 2021 was at relegated Sheffield United.

– Big Numbers

Don’t Look Back in Anger

Pro Pundits Simon March and Lateriser were both in reflective mood ahead of the season finale.Simon counselled on the perils of hindsight bias, while Lateriser rued his early season overconfidence.

“We are more likely to apply hindsight to negative outcomes than positive ones … The key to overcoming hindsight bias is learning to evaluate decisions based on their logic rather than their outcome. Rationally-speaking, the outcome should be irrelevant if the logic used in the decision-making process was sound.” – Simon March

And this is where Lateriser feels he let himself down at times, believing he could create whatever narrative he wanted and going against logic. He cited the example of ignoring Mohamed Salah in Gameweek 1 when Liverpool took on newly-promoted Leeds United.

All the same, the three time top 200 manager is still in love with FPL.

“I was actually very surprised by how much I enjoyed a green arrow despite the poor rank. It gave me genuine delight and that little bit of a good run I had in the past few Gameweeks.” – Lateriser

Community Competitions and Head-to-Head Fixtures

UEFA Champions League Fantasy Football is back - what you need to know 3

Following the quick turnaround of recent weeks, Neale recapped on the winners of our two cup competitions. Congratulations to Genovoze and Mohd Rodzi on their respective triumphs in the FFS Open Cup and FFS Members Cup.

And well done to Jambo17 who added a third-place finish in the FFS Open Cup to his 2018/19 runners-up spot in the Members Cup. Likewise Rossaldinho, who overcame SUNFLOWER to take the bronze medal in this year’s Members Cup.

RedLightning brought us his regular update on the community competitions, which included a look at the Grand Final of Last Man Standing.

The competition, run every year by TorresMagic, eliminates the lowest-scoring managers each Gameweek until just four managers remain to battle it out in the final round. 

The Hsuper One adds his name to the list of winners after overcoming Robert Tuck (aka COVID-CASUAL), Steven Schelk (aka The Suspended One), and Amit Sharma in Gameweek 37. Many congratulations to him.

And despite his cup success Callum Croal (aka Jambo17) will be one of the ten managers relegated from the top division in our Head-to-Head Leagues.

Gameweek 38 sees David Arblaster, in eleventh, take on Richard Clarke, in tenth, to decide the final relegation spot. Meanwhile Aleksander Våge Nilsen (aka AleksanderVN) will be hoping for a win or a draw to ensure he claims the ultimate prize of Head-to-Head League Champion. Ville Tuominen (aka Santigold) lies in wait should he slip up.

The Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 38 can be found below. 

The scores and tables update every night on the Head-to-Head Leagues main page so you can keep track of the action as the Gameweek unfolds. 

For the last time this season, may your arrows be green!

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside.”

2,761 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Super Saints
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    15k to 50k in the last two game weeks looking likely, wasted a lot of time this season!

  2. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Sick of it. What an absolute grind.

    1. Super Saints
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      I am so excited for the season to be over, wait off shoulders

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      This season has been a real slog.

    3. Thomas Magnum
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Terrible season, both in terms of FPL and the league in general

  3. JONALDINHO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Mahrez off the bench for Greenwood or Bamford please

    1. Duke Silver ☑
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.

      1. Pep bites Kun
        • 5 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Murphy's Law?

        1. Duke Silver ☑
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Game of Thrones 😆

          1. Pep bites Kun
            • 5 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            I'm a bit outdated there lol - haven't got around to watching it yet 🙂

  4. Hryszko
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Both bamford & Vydra benched, looking like I’ll be fielding 10 if either of them don’t make an appearance..

  5. EmreCan Hustle
    • 9 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Pereira in the squad for WBR?

    1. Super Saints
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Don't be silly I own him and rival doesn't

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Don't remember reading his name in the squad.

  6. Skloppy Kops
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    My lucky day.. hold on getting Bamford for -4. Kept DCL.
    Got Mané and Raph in for Jota and Bruno with my 2FT.

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      thank you

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Got Mane and Harrison for Bruno and Greenwood. Was planning on getting Mendy in as a punt. Fortunately decided against it.

      1. aborg
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        What’s wrong with Mendy? He is playing, isn’t he?

  7. PascalCygan
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    All my players starting but, having gone with DCL and Digne, I’m starting to think I should have taken a hit so that one of them could avoid this super strong City team!

  8. Fer Fuch's Ake
    • 8 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Bielsa checked FPL Bamford ownership and captaincy last night so couldn't resist. All elite coaches check FPL before locking teamsheet, ask Pep

  9. Thomas Magnum
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    What’s the best football watching food?

    1. Deulofail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Olives

    2. MightyGar
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Nachos

    3. WHUFCSmith23
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Pizza

    4. Pep bites Kun
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Chinese with chopsticks - the dog is always happy

    5. KAALI_DAAL
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Popcorns

    6. Mr. O'Connell
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Bleach (unless you class it as a drink)

  10. ClassiX
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Updated

  11. ZAMUNDA
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Ffs I was on the verge of getting Rodrigo and everyone here basically ruled him out.

  12. Athletico Underachieving
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Can’t wait for my Greenwood one pointer

  13. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Sergio will play the full second-half, according to @SkySports
    .

    1. JJO
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Who will be subbed out is the question?

  14. Duke Silver ☑
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Game updated.

  15. GOTHAM City F.C.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Who will win?

    (Meslier, Forster)
    TAA*, Dallas, Holding, (Ward, Amartey)
    Salah*, Mane*, Son, Lingard, Willock
    Kane*, Bamford*, (Benteke)

    (Fabianski, Forster*)
    TAA*, Dallas, Dawson, (Fofana, Coady)
    Salah*, Mane*, Greenwood, Harrison, JWP
    Kane*, Bamford*, (Vydra)

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      A or B

  16. Jordan.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    and pep bends me over one final time,bruno to torres and benched....

    1. jammie26
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Hardly a great surprise.

  17. Little Red Lacazette
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    updated...

  18. Pat Bonner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Pope getting a knee op….looks like might be out of the euros

    1. Duke Silver ☑
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Shame. Think he should be England's no. 1.

  19. Kabayan
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Need ESR haul and Bamford stays on the bench.

  20. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Bielsa is a savage. Meslier & Bamford have amazing seasons; start in front of home crowd? NOPE.

    1. FPL_Motty
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Yeah. I also thought, Bamford playing for a place at the Euros, but no, benched. Ouch.

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        I don't think Bamford was ever getting a Euros spot on fairness

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      There is still hope that Casilla twists a knee in the warm up

  21. JBG
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Ffs... didn't even need Bamford in the end. Just brought him in to block 2nd place. Would have been better off without him.

  22. how now brown cow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Where's saka?

    1. HonestBlatter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      on bench...I'm getting max 10 players today...carnage

  23. Pukki Blinders
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    City chief says Aguero will be subbed on at HT. Owners half out of the mud now...

  24. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    First time I own Bamford this season 🙂

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      So it's your fault

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Looks like it 🙂

      2. Avery
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 7 days ago

        ^we found the one!!

  25. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    When so we reckon Bamford comes on?

    Or Greenwood?

    1. diesel001
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Reckon both will come on after 60 mins or so.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Why rest your players then throw them on?

        1. KAPTAIN KANE
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          For the fantasy league owners.
          Remember Bamford owns himself 😉

  26. Lucky Z
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Any chance Greenwood will stay on bench?

    Mejbri, Fish and Soterite needs this game more.

    1. Avery
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 7 days ago

      I think Greenwood will come on

  27. ajay_kl +42
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    With that team news, I have 8 players and my rival has 11. We both have Salah captain and I am 1pt behind in cash league.

    I have lost before a ball has even been kicked, gutted

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      My story is very similar. Need Bamford and Greenwood to score off the bench I think

  28. EmreCan Hustle
    • 9 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    How's everyone's Euro fantasy teams looking 🙂

    1. Jafooli
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Very Scottish 😎

  29. TheDragon
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Any EO figures available yet?

  30. Duke Silver ☑
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    11/11. Ant man with the armband. Come on GW38 give me some jam.