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Eliteserien Runde 7 Hot Chip

Let’s get right down to business – I’m playing Rich Uncle in DGW7 for the simple fact that the three best teams all play twice and on paper have very winnable fixtures. I’m more concerned about goals than clean sheets this week and outside the template options I think there are some players not many people are talking about who could potentially boost my rank.

I’m deciding to let the stats guide me more this season and because of that I’m not looking at this Rich Uncle team to protect me against others (in relation EO) – I’m looking to hit it out the park, regardless of who else everyone goes for. 

My team isn’t complete, but I’m fairly set on 8 or 9 of my 11 players. That being said, let’s jump into the analysis and see what the results say:

(I’m not including values this week, rather illustrating ownership % as RU is the focus of this article)
(FP = Fantasy Points excluding BFP)
(/90 = Total minutes/90 e.g. 389 minutes = 4.32 games. Even if the 389 minutes were spread over 5 games, the player’s /90 value will be 4.32)

GOALKEEPER

XI:

  • Anders Kristiansen (2.0%) – Sarpsborg won’t concede many this week and might even grab a clean sheet against Brann. Kristiansen offers save points as well as clean sheet potential and allows me to load up on Glimt, Vålerenga and Molde players in other positions

Bench:

  • Sondre Rossbach (7.9%) – I don’t have the space for Kristoffer Klaesson (24.2%) and I don’t want Viljar Myhra (12.8%) so the Odd goalkeeper was the only other DGW goalkeeper to choose from. Plus, he’s quite good and while clean sheets will be unlikely, this is the Eliteserien where results have a tendency to never quite go the way they are expected to do so… 

Others:

  • Nikita Khaykin (6.8%) & Andreas Linde (15.6%) – both good keepers playing for good sides. If you aren’t fielding three Glimt players already, then Khaykin could be a good choice. The same can be said about Linde, though I think Molde are quite likely to concede in both games. That is of course just my opinion!

SGW Option:

  • Sean McDermott (15.5) –Has made more saves and won more points than any other goalkeeper and faces an Odd side that simply don’t look like scoring. He’s a great option that will more than likely go under the radar due to the nature of this Runde. The temptation is incredibly high to go with him, but I think Kristiansen edges him due to playing an extra game

DEFENCE

The above table lists relevant KPIs, illustrating the relative effectiveness of both obvious and less obvious choices for this DGW have been so far. The dataset is potentially skewed due to varying numbers of games played, but we can still derive enough worth to be able to identify some standout options:

XI:

  • Christian Dahle Borchgrevink (44.3%) – look at all that green. He’s dominating every metric as well being on corners, throw-ins and is winning fouls for fun. The Vålerenga right-back has been the best attacking defender in the league so far and he’s a very easy pick on RU
  • Alfons Sampsted (14.4%) – FP/90 is beaten only by Kristoffer Haugen and has played 5 key passes – one fewer than Borchgrevink. His edge over Fredrik André Bjørkan lies in his corner duties and affinity towards crossing the ball/trying a long pass. Bjørkan is a much better dribbler than anyone else but what have those dribbles amounted to? Both are decent options for this week, though I think Sampsted offers more in general, is largely overlooked and has been producing enough for us to consider him replacing Bjørkan in general and not just for this DGW
  • Lars-Christopher Vilsvik (1.8%) – I’ve recommended him before and I’ll recommend him again – he’s a good player and despite being in a defensively suspect Strømsgodset side, he is my third and final playing defender for this Runde. His FP/90 is low but that hasn’t stopped him from playing more accurate crosses than Borchgrevink (7-6) or having the third highest xA value (0.84). They do face league-leaders Rosenborg, but the last time they kept a clean sheet was in Runde 2, conceding 10 goals since that time. We’ve already discussed how Strømsgodset have looked good attacking-wise, and the data does speak to a return or two coming Vilsvik’s way sooner or later

Bench:

  • Joachim Thomassen (2.9%) – If I could have Jonatan Tollås Nation (16.5%) I would, but I already have three Vålerenga players for this week and despite his good run of form he just misses out. Thomassen plays out wide for Sarpsborg and despite his age (33) he’s still capable of putting in a good shift week in, week out. His combined xG and xA value comes in at 0.73 which is actually higher than Sampsted. Sarpsborg are a team that are tough to break down and outside of the top four clubs in the division, have the best defence 
  • Kristoffer Haugen (4.2%) – If he plays, I’m expecting him to score. That’s where I am right now. I’m not looking at the Molde defender to provide a lot of support and whip some nice balls into the box – I want him to get the ball and shoot. It’s that simple. My main reservation with him is I’m not too sure he plays both games and Molde really did not look comfortable against Sandefjord last season, and they come into this hectic week of football on the back of a defeat and a draw in their last two. Don’t get me wrong – I see Molde taking away at least 4pts from these games, but there’s a potential banana skin there and that combined with Haugen’s potential to play just one game makes me view him more as a backup asset rather than primary

Others:

  • Magnar Ødegaard (2.6%) – Never going to set the world alight but probably the second best Sarpsborg defender to go for and will play a decent long ball or two. He gets on the ball more than Thomassen and is part of a solid defence.
  • Sam Adekugbe (5.5%) & Jonatan Tollås Nation – If was going to play two Vålerenga defenders I’d go for Borchgrevink and Tollås Nation, but Adekugbe has posted decent enough stats for us to talk about him. He’s been unlucky not to register an assist yet and only Bjørkan has played more accurate passes in the opposition half/90 (27 – 31.17)

SGW Option:

  • Sturla Ottesen (2.5%) – He’s having a good season isn’t he? Yaw Amankwah looks likely to miss Stabæk’s Monday evening tie with Tromsø so barring anything particularly unusual, Ottesen will start yet again. He’s in good form and I really do think Stabæk have an exciting player on their hands. Tromsø regrettably look like they’re going to concede a couple of goals every time they play, and while the home side may not score too many, they’re a compact unit who should find it easy enough to see off the newly promoted side without too much trouble. 

MIDFIELD

XI: 

  • Aron Dønnum (41.0%) – You don’t need me to tell you why. The table is pretty conclusive. He’s the most dangerous-looking player in the league right now and should have more goals and assists to his name and yet he’s still been ridiculously productive. He offers threat across the board, impressing in every metric as well as taking corners and drawing free-kicks from his advancing runs. He’s a brilliant winger and a no-brainer for this week
  • Amor Layouni (4.5%) – On the other wing we have Layouni. He may not be everyone’s cup of tea but statistically speaking he’s a solid pick, DGW or not. Not as productive as his teammate but still offers a decent goal and assist threat. The newly signed left winger completes my Vålerenga triple up as even if Osame Sahraoui (5.8%) is used at some point this week, his erratic form and recent injury make him an unlikely threat to Layouni’s chances of starting and besides, even if Layouni is given a mere half an hour against Odd, I’m backing him to return
  • Johan Hove (2.6%) – Despite having the 7th highest RPS value, the Strømsgodset man finds his way into my team for a number of reasons. Has a respectable xG + xA value of 2.08, has created 3 chances from 3 key passes, averaging 20 opposition half passes per game and can certainly play far, far better. I’ve already mentioned Rosenborg’s defensive frailties, but I also think Bodø/Glimt are far from the finished article when it comes to defending. They are letting other teams at them more than they did last season and have already lost(!) – 1-0 vs. Odd – and in that game they failed to score a league goal for the first time since 2019. It would be a truly shocking result if Godset were able to steal 3pts away from the champions, but I think Hove has a bigger chance of getting a return in these games than most people would be willing to recognise
  • Sondre Sørli (13.1%) – The numbers dictate there is more to come from this guy and I’m happy to support that hypothesis by going with him for this week. That is unless I change my mind and go with the statistically much better Fredrik Aursnes instead. We all know what role Sørli offers – running down the right wing before whipping the ball into the box hoping to find some eligible part of Erik Botheim. Like Aursnes he also takes corners, plays regular key passes and is an experienced player at this level. I think he gets into my team ahead of Aursnes mainly down to recent form over the last few games as well as being a more heavily relied upon member of the team for Glimt, than Aursnes is for Molde. If Glimt score, there’s a good chance it’s because of Sørli and I think they score in both fixtures this week
  • Magnus Wolff Eikrem (9.9%) – He’s normally hard to get into your team because of his insane value, but RU means he’s in. He’s an absolute maestro and has some silly stats to back his reputation up. He’s a wonderful player to watch and the best thing about him is that even if he’s given a 20-minute cameo, he can crop up with a return or two. I’m not sure if he starts in both games but he should play in both and like I said, I’m not worried if he’s not even given 90 minutes over both fixtures – he doesn’t need it

Others: 

  • Fredrik Aursnes (43.0%) – Again, look at the numbers. The guy is great and no wonder he’s wanted by Atletico Madrid. The question is would I rather have him over one of Sørli or Hove? Honestly, it’s a tough decision. I’m inclined to suggest Aursnes has been a tad fortunate to get as many returns as he has done whilst simultaneously implying that a Hove-haul is on the horizon. I can see more upside of backing Hove for these games and if that decision comes back to bite me then so be it
  • Ola Brynhildsen (10.7%) – Been a regular this season and has been quietly scoring a good number of points. He’s another Molde attacking midfielder that offers a lot of potential and there’s certainly merit in going with him over Aursnes

SGW Option:

  • Kristoffer Zachariassen (50.6%) – If you aren’t going to load up on DGW players than Zachariassen is obviously the guy you want to fill that gap. I do believe he is overperforming and his current form is unsustainable, however. I can see better options for the double, but I can also understand why people will be scared to go without him. I’m going all in here and looking to optimise wherever I can and that means going without the highest scoring player in the game for this round. He’s in form and could easily get a couple of goals this week but at the same time if he blanked I probably wouldn’t be too surprised. That being said, he’s still clearly the best SGW midfielder to choose from.

FORWARDS

XI:

  • Ohikhuaeme Omoijuanfo (27.4%) – Yeah, this guy is good. Even if he blanks two games in a row, you take him out at your peril. He may not score every week, but he’s got more braces and hat-tricks in his game than anyone else in the league. He’s the kind of Fantasy asset you leave in your team without concern, knowing full well that sometimes he’ll score you 2pts, while other times he’ll score 20. Good stats, good form and good fixtures (kind of). He’s the standout forward for this DGW
  • Erik Botheim (50.4%) – A lot of people are going to be disappointed when this guy stops scoring every week. And I think that’s going to happen sooner rather than later. He’s another player that’s overperforming but in lieu of any competition for that second forward spot, he has to be included. He’s a talented player that’s taking his chances and while I do believe his goalscoring run will come to a rather abrupt end at some point, he represents good value for returns this week

Bench: 

  • Fred Friday (7.0%) – Has two fixtures and doesn’t look awful. That’s the gist of this decision. Has Hove behind him and leads the line for a very attack minded Godset side. Hove gets the starting place in my XI as I think it’s quite obvious he has more to his game than Friday, but both are certainly decent choices

Others:

  • Ibrahima Koné (3.5%) – Probably should have more than one goal and actually offers decent assist potential. He’s had more shots than any of the other forwards but actually has the worst shooting accuracy (25%). He’s also played 5 key passes (joint top) yet has failed to create a single viable goalscoring chance. He’s potentially a good choice and If I was a braver man I’d play him ahead of Botheim this week, but a combination of productivity and fixtures makes that quite difficult for me to see past the Glimt man

SGW Option:

  • Veton Berisha (28.9%) – He’s playing better than most people are giving him credit for and isn’t offering inflated numbers in regard to his returns. Berisha remains a top striker and can score against absolutely anyone on any given day. There’s more to come from this guy, that’s for sure

CONCLUSION

Whatever you do, make sure you understand why you’re doing it. Sounds simple, but sometimes we overcomplicate that logic. I’m playing Rich Uncle because I wasn’t happy with the amount of DGW players I had in my team and had planned to do this from GW1. I’m also approaching RU as a way to make a lot of points other people will miss out on, rather than consolidate my position. This is potentially quite risky, but I feel as though I’ve mitigated enough risk as well as maximising potential gains elsewhere.

Lykke til!

ReindeerHotdog ESF: https://en.fantasy.eliteserien.no/entry/12433/event/17 Follow me on Twitter: @ReindeerHotdog”

467 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Mince n Tatties
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    Ottesen takes one for the team
    Right on the meat and 2 veg…

  2. tomi
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    Sorli got 0+0 from 4 goals... HOW? I'm cursed, that's for sure.

    1. Niemi
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Saltnes is the best pick from the attack, but yeah.. a bit unlucky to not get something, although he wasn't that involved. Probably out for a long time now, so it's time to sell.

      1. ReindeerHotdog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 20 days ago

        Before recently Sørli was looking far better than Saltnes and their overall stats are so similar it's crazy:

        (Against 90 minutes not appearances)

        xG/90 - US: 0.20, SS: 0.17
        xA/90 - US: 0.13, SS: 0.26
        Shots/90 - US: 2.67, SS: 2.16 (on Target/90 - US: 11, SS: 8)
        Key Passes - US: 15, SS: 20
        Chances Created (Big Chances) - US: 3 (1), SS: 4 (3)

        I don't see how there's too much between them at this moment in time so it's really unfortunate that Sørli has this injury as I could see him outscoring Saltnes in the upcoming weeks if he was playing.

        Not much between them at all. Just Saltnes looks better because he's done well in the last few gameweeks.

        Regarding form, sure, Sørli has dropped off but still, I wouldn't have been too worried but yeah, now the injury has hit who knows.

        Sandberg comes in for me - Rosenborg can't keep a clean sheet, look a complete mess and Haugesund are looking much better. Plus, not terrible stats from Sandberg either.

        1. Niemi
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 20 days ago

          Saltnes in general is way more involved in the games (with one or two exceptions), and takes up more dangerous positions. Pretty clear cut Saltnes to me. Sørli could be discussed over Botheim, not a bad option at all. Biggest upside of Sørli is taking corners and some set pieces. Injured now anyway.

          Probably out for a long time now.

          1. Niemi
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 20 days ago

            I think there is a reason why over 60% of HoF top 100 captained Saltnes, while only 12-13% captained Sørli.

          2. Niemi
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 20 days ago

            Also check the heat maps. Sørli so many touches out wide and very wide in the box, while Saltnes got way more inside the box. Particularly in central areas.

            1. ReindeerHotdog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 20 days ago

              Sure, I'm not dismissing that I'm just saying, statically speaking Sørli is definitely as involved as Saltnes. He just is. But he offers more assist potential than Saltnes.

              Genuinely think Saltnes is popular for two reasons:

              1) His price (more expensive, ergo best asset to have - psychology behind going for a player priced as 'premium' is certainly a thing)
              2) His potential was massively inflated due to Junker/Zinckernagel/Hauge being in front of him

              If you look at shots, passes, chances created, assist potential - not really sure you can say Saltnes is clearly the better option - he's not.

              He's looking more likely to score, but Sørli just as likely to assist. They're two different players in that regard.

              Most people will have Saltnes because he did well last season, of that I'm very certain.

              Heat maps and touches in the box are helpful but so are the numbers. So Sørli's assist potential is boosted by being on corners, well that makes him attractive in that sense.

              I think they're both good options but if you took away the names and prices and gave me those numbers I'd basically toss a coin to decide.

              There's not much daylight between the two at all but yeah as you say, Sørli's injured for a while so he's not going to be an option for ages.

              Plumped for Sandberg this week but will probably bring Saltnes in at some point rather than going for Botheim as I think he certainly offers more than him.

              1. Niemi
                • 7 Years
                3 months, 20 days ago

                I get what you are saying, but I still think Saltnes is better for a number of reasons. What I do agree with is Sørli being better for assists. No doubt about that.

                Saltnes do get in way better shooting positions though in general. Often in central areas in the box. Sørli often takes shots from wider and more tight angles, or wide outside the box.

                It's not like Saltnes missed loads of clear cut chances, but he came really close to scoring a few time the first few GWs for example without scoring.

                I started the season with Sørli, sold him and got Saltnes for GW5 even if Sørli had produced way more. Simply because Saltnes looks better, and has better goal scoring numbers.

                There are also two major advantages for Saltnes that you are ignoring (IMO):

                - Saltnes is way more likely for bonus as he just is the better player, the more standout player. Sørli isn't a standout player really.

                - Sørli is much less nailed. He often gets subbed early, and his position was under threat up until recently. At least he performed a bit better for a few games, and Pernambuco didn't really impress off the bench. Sørli is averaging like 70 minutes per game, while Saltnes get 90 every game (except the Strømsgodset game where they had won and decided to rest him early).

                So looking at stats per 90 isn't really that fair as Saltnes will play 90 min pretty much every game, while Sørli often gets hooked at 65-70.

          3. ReindeerHotdog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 20 days ago

            I understand you saying Saltnes' position in the box but look at the xG figures - very similar. I'm not convinced he's had absolutely loads of clear cut chances at all.

            Still think Saltnes isn't as brilliant an option as some are saying but yeah, with Sørli out I'm sure he'll see a boost in ownership and I'll have to jump on that train too.

  3. FPL Bielsa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    Had a terrible two weeks down from 433 OR to around 1700. Looking to replace Sorli with a double doubler who is best of these three or am I missing someone else ?
    Velde, Norman Hansen or Asen

    Thanks

    1. Niemi
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Sandberg or Velde

    2. ReindeerHotdog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 20 days ago

      Same. I dropped like 1,700 ranks thanks to this ridiculous week.

      Don't even get it. Not got a bad team - I captain Sørli and apparently nothing happens?

      Riiiiiiiiiiiiight.

      I really do hate the captaincy part of this game (I know it's the same for everyone) but even when I get a captaincy return it always feel iffy that I've got silly points for something that could go either way.

      Bleeeeeeeeeeh.

      1. Mince n Tatties
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 20 days ago

        Who scores more in the next Runde

        Berisha the troll vs Stabaek
        or transfer him out for
        Lehne Olsen vs Brann

        Reindeerhotdog - let me know as if I keep Berisha we’ll both get 2 points - but if I transfer him out then at least you’ll get a hat-trick from him to boost you up the rankings…

        1. Hotdogs for Tea
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 19 days ago

          Fridjónsson ?

  4. Kane Lane
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 20 days ago

    Currently ranked 2k. I have 4 Dutch and Ronaldo who do I get in knowing highly likely these players will reach the final. Seems more upsets on the cards this week. Love to finish in top 1k.

  5. Crocket22
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 18 days ago

    Afternoon all, currently sitting with this team. Two free transfers, 2.5m in the bank. Still have my first wildcard, two captains and attack attack chip. Feel some big changes are needed to the team

    GK Karlstrom, trige

    Def: Bjornbak, borch, bjorkan, vevantne, hanssen

    Mid: fridjonsson, sorli, layouni, bell, zachariassen

    Att: Ebiye, Botheim, sivertsen

    Any thoughts and ideas would be apprecaited