Pro Pundit Teams

Is Antonio a keep or sell and is Alonso a good Chilwell replacement in FPL?

We are now approaching the business end of the season and the Gameweeks will come thick and fast. As Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, we need to react and absorb information over a short period. There is no room for passengers.

Speaking of passengers, I want to start off this article talking about FPL’s top-scoring forward – Michail Antonio (£8.2m).

It’s just one goal in the last six matches for the West Ham United striker, so let’s have a look at his numbers.

MICHAIL ANTONIO: KEEP OR SELL?

Above: Forwards sorted by expected goal involvement (xGI) in Gameweeks 1-6

Antonio notched 47 of his 63 points in the first six Gameweeks, despite missing one game due to suspension.

He topped the numbers for forwards in that period, with a whopping 21 shots in the box, 11 chances created and seven big chances. He was also top for expected goal involvement (xGI) (5.21) by some distance.

Above: Forwards sorted by expected goal involvement (xGI) in Gameweeks 7-12

A look at the last six weeks sees a significant drop in his numbers. While his chance creation has actually gone up (12 from 11), his shot volume has dropped massively (10 shots in the box vs 21 earlier). There have been only two big chances, too, which sees his xGI fall to just 2.39, less than half of his Gameweek 1-6 total. Again, it’s worth mentioning he played one game fewer in the previous sample. 

We discussed the merits of premium wing-backs in our latest episode of The FPL Wire. With Chilwell’s injury, you can easily substitute Alonso into the conversation. I highly recommend watching it. 

Good luck and see you next week. 


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466 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Alex1995
    • 5 Years
    6 days, 2 hours ago

    Chilly/Mbuemo/Foden > James/Gallagher/Jota for a -4?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 8 Years
      6 days, 2 hours ago

      Hard to say no. What is your concern here?

    2. Bertonian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 days, 2 hours ago

      Would hold the Mbeumo to Gallagher move as Mbeumo has a better fixture for me this week

    3. TheDragon
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 2 hours ago

      Personally I don’t think the Mbuemo -> Gallagher move is worth the -4

  2. TheTinman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 days, 2 hours ago

    Can anyone confirm the situation with regards to prices for Chilly and Alonso?

    When do we expect Chilly to drop?

    Is it correct that Alonso is price locked until he plays this week, having had a red flag? I think somebody mentioned this previously.

    1. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 days, 1 hour ago

      Courtesy of Hazz to one of my posts earlier today:

      When a player is injured (0% chance of playing), suspended or on loan his price can still change in value. However, once his status has changed again his price will be "locked". Here are Alonso's recent status changes: Injured! Alonso #CHE - [Ankle injury - Unknown return date] - #FPLSU https://twitter.com/FPLStatus/status/1456622646708293632 Now Available! #FPLSU Alonso #CHE [+ Others] https://twitter.com/FPLStatus/status/1461665847219568648? Alonso's price will unlock at the start of next Gameweek. Usually, a player’s price remains locked when he becomes available to play in the immediate GW after returning from a suspension/injury layoff and FPL notifies his status as 100% fit for the next match. This simply means that a player can change in price when he is injured, suspended or goes off on a loan. But, once his status changes, prices will be locked until the start of the next GW. Source: https://allaboutfpl.com/2021/07/fpl-price-changes-explained-fpl-guide/ Therefore that is why if you click Alonso's name on FPL Statistics is says "Unlocks: 27 Nov 11:20 AM, GMT"

    2. NateDog
      • 1 Year
      6 days, 1 hour ago

      Alonso is locked, on fplstats you can see it if you click on the plus icon, it says he unlocks on 27 Nov at 11.20 (so just after the game updates once the deadline is up essentially)

      Chilwell is dropping fast so he's likely to drop at least once before deadline, likelihood is the severity of his injury will be revealed tomorrow officially so he'll then be red flagged which will mean there's a higher sales threshold that will need to be met for him to drop. If he manages to survive without dropping tonight, it's possible that that could hold off a drop until after Saturday but I'd say that's unlikely

  3. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 days, 1 hour ago

    Is Livra/Foden to Cancelo/Bilva worth -4?

    Sanchez Steele
    TAA, James, Rudiger, White, Livra
    Salah, Jota, Foden, Raphina, Sissoko
    Kane, Jimenez, Broja

    1.2 in the bank

    1. JBG
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 1 hour ago

      If you did Livra to Cancelo, would you start him over Foden?

  4. dshv
    • 4 Years
    6 days, 1 hour ago

    Can plat Antonio over Foden and safe foden.. what do you suggest??

    1. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      6 days, 1 hour ago

      You stop drinking?

  5. Gizzachance
    • 7 Years
    6 days, 1 hour ago

    Thoughts appreciated
    2ft. 1.0 itb

    Ransdale
    James cancelo chillwell •
    Salah son saka raph•
    Toney Vardy Antonio
    Foster livramento luiz • manquillo

    Raph to jota
    Chillwell to alonso /rudiger
    To get taa would have to downgrade somewhere ?
    Many thanks

    1. Pegboy
      • 11 Years
      6 days, 1 hour ago

      Chillwell + Antonio > TAA + King/Dennis/4.5
      Chilwell + Saka > TAA + fodder

      1. Gizzachance
        • 7 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Cheers for input
        I have d luiz as fodder, and injured currently, bit of a dilemma!
        First option is one I considered also
        Thanks

    2. Whatever100
      • 5 Years
      6 days, 1 hour ago

      What’s wrong with Saka?

      1. Gizzachance
        • 7 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Nothing, has a good fixture this week, will be keeping , cheers

  6. tbos83
    • 1 Year
    6 days, 1 hour ago

    0ft, 0.0 itb. Can I limp through on this or would you take a -4 somewhere?

    Sanchez
    TAA Cancelo White
    Salah Gallagher ESR Benny
    Toney Ronaldo Antonio

    Steele Livra Gray* Chilwell*

    1. Gizzachance
      • 7 Years
      6 days, 1 hour ago

      Ronaldo and free up funds

  7. highsguy
      6 days, 1 hour ago

      Hi all, I did Azpi to Chilwell before the injury… 1FT left, should I hold?

      James TAA Cancelo
      Saka Salah Mbeumo Raph
      Kane Toney Antonio

      Foster Duffy Brownhill Chilwell

      (Also - play Duffy or Antonio?)

      1. Jimmers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        I'd hold. Having 2 FT for the gameweek starting Tuesdy could be handy.
        I'm starting Antonio - he's due. 🙂

        1. highsguy
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Yep thinking the same, nice one

          • Whatever100
            • 5 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Maybe due not not necessarily against City away

      2. KUNingas
        • 5 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        2FTs and 2.7 ITB

        A) Mbeumo/Raphinha -> Jota
        B) Dias + Brownhill/Mbeumo/Raphinha -> Alonso + Jota

        Ramsdale
        TAA, Cancelo, Dias, James
        Salah, Son, Raphinha, Mbeumo
        Toney, Hwang

        Foster, Antonio, Livramento, Brownhill

        1. Pegboy
          • 11 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Mbeumo > Jota

        2. Konstaapeli
          • 5 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          A. Mbeumo

      3. Pegboy
        • 11 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Is Dias still nailed? Do we know why he was benched against Everton?

        1. Kryptonite666
          • 2 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          I think he was rested for PSG. He’s still first choice. Although with Laporte and Stones, he could miss out an odd game every once in a while.

        2. Wild Rover
          • 11 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          How can he be nailed if he was benched?

      4. Konstaapeli
        • 5 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        I've backline of TAA - Cancelo - Chilwell - James - Livra.

        Chilly to Alonso with my FT, right?

        1. TheDragon
          • 3 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          It’s the FPL community approved transfer it seems.

          Reguillon is worth considering (and Rudiger)

        2. Pegboy
          • 11 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Depends on the rest of the team. I'd consider rolling the FT.

          1. Konstaapeli
            • 5 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Have yellow Foden and Raph in there so might need some depth.

      5. fylde2022
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        I have James.
        Alonso or Reguilon for Chilwell?

        1. Konstaapeli
          • 5 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Alonso for me.

      6. cigan
        • 3 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Who would you prioritize getting this week, Cancelo or James?

        Thinking Cancelo cos of better fixture + I already have Rudiger

        1. Pegboy
          • 11 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Tough one. Probably Cancelo, as long as you can get James in next GW.

          1. cigan
            • 3 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Would have done both but 0.1 short of my ideal move White+Semedo+Foden > Them 2 + Gallagher (-4) so I'm looking at getting James next week for a hit (though not entirely sure who is the other player to make way)

        2. cigan
          • 3 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Also, who would you sell first, White or Semedo?

          Both are likely to be gone for the above mentioned pair anyway so it's only a matter of a week or 2 - reckon Semedo simply because I prefer his next 2 fixtures

        3. HMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          I swapped Dias to Cancelo earlier this week mainly because I owned Chilwell, now getting both!

          Would get Cancelo first yes

        4. mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Arguably James has the better fixture. Keep Semedo over White for next 2

          1. cigan
            • 3 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Hard to disagree tbf - would probably get James first if I didn't have Rudiger already

      7. pakornk
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Reguilon or Alonso?

        1. Van der Faart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Probably Alonso until we see more of Reguilon, easy switch thereafter anyway

      8. Kryptonite666
        • 2 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Is Foden a doubt this week ?

        Will need to transfer Chillwell to Alonso for free if yes.

        1. Pegboy
          • 11 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          He's a doubt but we'll hopefully know more soon.

      9. Pep Roulette
        • 4 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        A. Jesus & Mbeumo
        B. Bernardo & Benteke (-4)
        C. Mbeumo & Benteke

        1. Pep Roulette
          • 4 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          D. Gallagher & Jesus (-4)

          1. Konstaapeli
            • 5 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            This one.

        2. mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          B

      10. Well you know, Triffic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Tempted to jump off Foden as theres quite a lot of games coming up for City and I'm not sure he's immune from Pep roulette.

        Jota is the obvious replacement.

        1. mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Doubt there'll be that much difference in mins between Foden/Jota, assuming Foden knock is minor

          1. Lanley Staurel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Not sure. Jota should get 70+ but Foden might just sit this game out completely.

            1. mentaculus
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              6 days, 1 hour ago

              Yeah, this GW, but I think Harry means over the next month or ao

              1. Lanley Staurel
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                6 days, 1 hour ago

                Ah OK then yes agree with Foden

        2. Tonyawesome69
          • 2 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          If fit, I think he is clear first choice in the 11. However, I am tempted to move to Jota as it allows me funds to upgrade Duffy to Alonso in GW14

      11. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Any need for a hit here?

        Doing Dias to James as one move.

        Sanchez/Foster
        Dias* TAA Rudiger (Duffy Livra)
        Salah Gallagher Raph Jota (Bissouma)
        Hwang Kane Antonio

        1. mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Gtg

        2. Tonyawesome69
          • 2 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Depends what hits you are considering

          1. Van der Faart
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Possibly Antonio to someone to free up funds for Cancelo next week. Not worth a -8 to get him this week I feel.

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 2 Years
              6 days, 1 hour ago

              yeah not worth the -8

      12. Kryptonite666
        • 2 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Would you roll or transfer Chilwell to Alonso ?

        Guiata
        TAA Cancelo James Chilwell* (Livramento)
        Salah Son Foden ESR (Mbeumo)
        Vardy Toney (Perica)

        If Foden is out as well, will need to play Livramento against Liverpool which isn’t great.

        1. Van der Faart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Do the move yeah

        2. mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          I'd make the move even for -4 if playing Livramento v Liverpool is the other option

          1. cigan
            • 3 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Yup

        3. Tonyawesome69
          • 2 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Depends if it is for free or a hit. For free then yes. I would lean towards playing Mbeumo over taking a hit to bring in Alonso v United.

          1. mentaculus
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            I think Mbeumo is filling in for Foden already

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 2 Years
              6 days, 1 hour ago

              Yeah you are right, take the hit

      13. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        Good to see Bamford training, as a Raphinha owner

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 2 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Not part of group training yet but definitely positive

      14. Mikel Arteta
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 days, 1 hour ago

        I have James, Reguilon and Kane.
        2 FT and no money left itb.

        And I think I will do:
        - Livramento and Son out
        - Alonso and Jota in

        So:
        A) Do it! No brainer, bring Goalonso and mini Salah in your squad.
        B) Dont't do it moron! Son has good fixtures and never sell Livragod.

        1. mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          A

          Im also ditching Son early

        2. Tonyawesome69
          • 2 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Probably B. but tough one

        3. cigan
          • 3 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          Might just do the Jota move

        4. TopBinFc
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            B, Son could haul next few weeks

        5. tbos83
          • 1 Year
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          If I fh does it undo all my transfers this week? I've had a shocker

          1. fylde2022
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            All the transfers you made this week, will become free, as part of the free hit.

            Your team will revert to your original team after this gw is complete.

          2. Tonyawesome69
            • 2 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Yes it will undo the moves and revert back to the team in the previous GW

          3. mentaculus
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            Haha I'm considering the same. Made early moves & now stuck with injured Chilwell & Foden.

            Only other thing to consider (as I was advised) is that you wont have Free Hit for Blank GW

            1. tbos83
              • 1 Year
              6 days, 1 hour ago

              Yeah this is my worry - I've ended up taking a -8 to undo my Chilly transfer and still don't like my team :-/

        6. fylde2022
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          6 days, 1 hour ago

          A) Mbeumo to Jota -4
          B) Davis to Jiminez -4
          C) Save

          Ramsdale
          Cancelo TAA James Alonso
          ESR Raphinha Salah Son Mbeumo
          Toney

          Foster Wilson Livramento Davis

          3.8m itb

          1. cigan
            • 3 Years
            6 days, 1 hour ago

            No hits needed imo

            1. fylde2022
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              6 days, 1 hour ago

              Cheers.

          2. TopBinFc
              6 days, 1 hour ago

              No hits, nice team

          3. CapK
              6 days, 1 hour ago

              Slightly confused about price rises;

              if im 0.1m short of chillwell > james, when kane / jota + maybe some others rise tonight, is it possible i make that 0.1 up in team value and then am able to do chillwell > james tomorrow (of course without chillwell or anyone else dropping or james rising etc)

              Thanks for any insight

              1. GreennRed
                • 10 Years
                6 days, 1 hour ago

                No. You need Chilwell's price to rise, which won't happen.

              2. Tonyawesome69
                • 2 Years
                6 days, 1 hour ago

                You will only get that 0.1 increase to the budget if you sell that particular player that gets the price rise and it increased selling price.

                Go to Transfer tab on FPL then change from Pitch to Player view to see the Selling Price (SP)

              3. CapK
                  6 days, 1 hour ago

                  Thanks all

                  Guess im going alonso for now then

              4. ZTF
                • 7 Years
                6 days, 1 hour ago

                Maddison to ESR or hold? Feel like Mads is surely due another start with Leicester looking so poor, and it’s a good fixture

                1. Tonyawesome69
                  • 2 Years
                  6 days, 1 hour ago

                  Lose Maddison

                2. TopBinFc
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    Perhaps hold for one more week

                  • GreennRed
                    • 10 Years
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    Yes.

                    1. ZTF
                      • 7 Years
                      6 days, 1 hour ago

                      Yes to the move?

                3. unitednations
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  6 days, 1 hour ago

                  Best moves here worth 2ft and 1m

                  Ramsdale
                  Taa James Cancelo --- Duffy Livramento
                  Salah Jota Foden Mbeumo -- brownhill
                  Kane Antonio Toney

                  1. Tonyawesome69
                    • 2 Years
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    Upgrade Duffy to rotate 1st sub and roll 2nd FT

                  2. House Frey Wedding Planner
                    • 3 Years
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    Duffy and Toney to Alonso and Hwang/King

                4. TeddiPonza
                  • 11 Years
                  6 days, 1 hour ago

                  Got 1FT and 0m in bank. Midfield of Salah Son Jota Raphinha Foden.

                  Roll transfer or ship out Foden if he is out? Antonio is currently my 1st sub.

                  Thanks.

                  1. Tonyawesome69
                    • 2 Years
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    Roll

                  2. mentaculus
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    Play Antonio unless Foden injury turns out to be more than a little knock

                5. Cruyff's Eleven
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 3 Years
                  6 days, 1 hour ago

                  Why is Jiminez not an option to replace Antonio, with a swap to Josh King in GW16?

                  1. Tonyawesome69
                    • 2 Years
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    He is but we tend to pick long term options, minimum 4GWs.

                    1. Cruyff's Eleven
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 3 Years
                      6 days, 1 hour ago

                      Ah, fair enough. Yes. Jiminez for 2 weeks, then move on...

                      Thanks mate.

                  2. mentaculus
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    He can be if you're looking very short term. Probably want to move him out again before Liverpool, City, Chelsea

                  3. Black Knights
                    • 9 Years
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    He is an option.

                  4. GreennRed
                    • 10 Years
                    6 days, 1 hour ago

                    He's a good option. Josh King is Josh King though, not in the way that Ronaldo is Ronaldo.

                    1. Cruyff's Eleven
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 3 Years
                      6 days, 1 hour ago

                      There's a 6 million difference in price. Exactly in the way that 6 million is 6 million (i.e. the price of one Gallagher)

                    2. Pompel
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 7 Years
                      6 days, 1 hour ago

                      Exactly - confidence player , and now he has it ,until he faces another draught.

                      1. GreennRed
                        • 10 Years
                        6 days, 1 hour ago

                        Played 10, scored in 2. There's better forward picks around 6m even at Watford.

                6. Erez Avni
                  • 5 Years
                  6 days, 1 hour ago

                  Ramsdale
                  TAA Rudy Cancelo White
                  Salah Raphi Foden Son Mbuemo
                  Jimenez

                  Foster Antonio Livra Broja

                  A. Foden to Jota
                  B. Foden & White to James & ESR/Gallagher (-4)

                7. dbeck
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  6 days, 1 hour ago

                  g2g?

                  Guita
                  Alonso James Trent Cancelo
                  Mbeumo Salah Foden Jota Son
                  Toney

                  Foster Antonio Livra Davis

                  Plan is to move mbeumo to bowen to double up on west ham for the fix swing, potentially funded by Toney to King at GW16

                8. FF Dirtbag
                  • 10 Years
                  6 days, 1 hour ago

                  Hows it looking? Ready for the weekend?

                  Steele
                  Rudiger James Cancelo
                  Salah Jota Bernardo Gallagher
                  Jimenez Antonio Ronaldo

                  Sanchez; Livra, Williams, sissoko