Spot the Differential

Budget FPL defender Davies offers cheaper route into Spurs backline

Gameweek 15 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United and Arsenal, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

BEN DAVIES

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: NOR | bha | lei | LIV | CRY

Budget defender Ben Davies (£4.4m) could be set for a new lease of life at Tottenham Hotspur under Antonio Conte.

The 28-year-old started the season as back-up at Spurs, which limited him to just one league start up until the Italian’s arrival in Gameweek 11. However, the Welshman has since completed 90 minutes in each of Conte’s three league matches in charge, which has coincided with his side keeping two clean sheets.

During that time, Davies’s role on the left of Spurs’ three-man defence has seen him regularly burst forward and contribute in the final third, linking excellently with wing-back Sergio Reguilon (£5.2m). That was evident against Brentford on Thursday, when he forced the own goal that put his team ahead, before later sending another header at goal that was saved by Alvaro Fernandez (£4.5m). His defensive work was notable, too, with two interceptions, four recoveries and a couple of successful clearances.

Up next for Tottenham is Norwich City, who rank bottom for non-penalty expected goals (non-pen xG) and who have found the net just eight times across their 14 outings this term, while appealing fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Crystal Palace (h), Southampton (a) and Watford (a) follow prior to the January break.

Davies has had an up and down career at Tottenham to date, but there is hope Conte can coax the best out of him, and if he does, FPL managers will be handed a budget route into Spurs’ backline.

MARCUS RASHFORD

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £9.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: CRY | nor | bre | BHA | new

Following the inclusion of Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Marcus Rashford (£9.4m).

The England international has had a frustrating campaign so far, mainly due to injury, but has scored two goals and provided an assist in his six Premier League appearances since returning from shoulder surgery, despite featuring for over 60 minutes just three times.

Against Arsenal in midweek, he appeared a little isolated but did deliver at a crucial moment, when he produced the cross for Cristiano Ronaldo’s (£12.3m) strike, while prior to that, his pressing ability was key to his team’s performance at Stamford Bridge.

Now, with Ralf Rangnick installed, he will surely be handed further opportunities to kick on, with his manager’s comments about wanting to control games and play on the front foot hugely encouraging for Manchester United’s attacking assets.

The Red Devils’ forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that Rashford can deliver, with games against Crystal Palace (h), Norwich City (a), Brentford (a), Brighton and Hove Albion (h), Newcastle United (a) and Burnley (h) before the end of the year. In fact, the next time they face one of the ‘traditional’ big six is in March, against rivals Manchester City.

Rashford has all the attributes to thrive in a Rangnick system, and could be a nice pickup for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential.

TAKEHIRO TOMIYASU

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 2
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: eve | SOU | WHU | lee | nor

With six clean sheets, an assist and three bonus points in his 11 Premier League appearances since joining Arsenal, plus an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Takehiro Tomiyasu (£4.6m) could be a solid under the radar pick in December.

Unlike Nuno Tavares (£4.3m) and Kieran Tierney (£4.7m) on the opposite flank, the Japan international has established himself as first-choice under Mikel Arteta, and was arguably the best player on the pitch during their 3-2 loss at Manchester United on Thursday, when he almost won a penalty after Harry Maguire (£5.4m) pulled him down.

The 23-year-old’s creativity is on the up, too. Having started the season slowly in an attacking sense, he has recently started to contribute more in the final third. In fact, over the last four Gameweeks, Tomiyasu has posted team-leading totals for successful crosses and chances created, while his 0.68 expected assists (xA) total ranks eighth amongst all defenders.

However, the real appeal lies in the Gunners’ clean sheet potential, and with home games against Southampton, West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers before the end of the year, plus away trips to Everton, Leeds United and Norwich City, further shut-outs could be on the way.

Priced at just £4.6m, Tomiyasu is a cheap route into Arsenal’s defence, and could be a nice set-and-forget option given his security of starts and increased attacking potential.

1,277 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    please complete WC team
    3.9 X
    taa rudi X X X
    bowen esr salah jota bernardo
    ronaldo denis X

    which & whom ?
    a) rams - laporte/walker davies lamptey - benteke
    b) ddg - laporte/walker white dufy - benteke
    c) ddg/rams - cancelo white/davies lamptey - under 5.0 fwd
    d) rams - lamptey cancelo regi - 4.4 fwd

    1. Bennerman
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Is there a way to make it more complex for the average punter?

  2. Leeroy357
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best 6.3m or less forward?

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Dennis

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Or King

    2. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watford boys (take your pick)

    3. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watford Dennis or King

  3. bigbadbony
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    1 ft. Would you do coady to james or just play liv instead and carry? Thanks

    sanchez
    Taa,canelo,rudi,liv
    Salah,jota,raph,esr
    Kane,toney

    Foster,Dennis,coady,gilmour

    1. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      In my view, play LIV

    2. Mauricios Cappuccino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      To James, and bench ESR or Liv

  4. BigKeith
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    1ft 2.7mitb
    This lineup g2g?

    Sanchez
    TAA, James, Rudiger, Livramento, Regulion
    Salah, Gallagher, ESR, Raphina
    Kane

    Steele, Dennis, Antonio, Bissouma

  5. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    5 atb for the first time this season. GL all.

    Guaita
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso White
    Salah(C) Son(V) Jota ESR
    Wilson

    Carson Gallagher Dennis Antonio

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Good luck, I've got a feeling Antonio and West Ham score today.

      2-2?

      1. Balls of Steel
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I've got that exact same feeling 🙂

      2. GoonerSteve
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Me too 🙂

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Can't bring myself to do it so have white benched and Dennis playing. Fancy him for a cheeky consolation

  6. Le Bluff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Pick one to start:

    A) Livramento (BRI)
    B) King (MCI)
    C) Mbeumo (lee)

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Voodoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  7. yanky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    which optiom is best for THIS WEEK ONLY?

    a) James + Saka + Toney
    b) Rudiger + Saka + EmersonRoyal
    c) Rudiger + LucasMoura + Toney
    d) Rudiger + Bilva/Gundo + Toney (-4 pt hit),,

    1. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  8. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Morning all. 2 FTs 1.0 itb and very unsure what to do here. Any suggestions?

    Sanchez
    TAA James White
    Salah Jota Gallagher ESR
    Vardy Ronaldo Dennis

    Steele Livra Williams Sissoko

    Most of the targets I want are just out of my budget

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ben to Reg is the move.

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I did Livra to Regulion

    3. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Thanks guys. I was considering these too, looks like Reg is the target either way

  9. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start 1…

    A - Mbuemo (lee)
    B - Livramento (BHA)
    C - Antonio (CHE)

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If Antonio was on form, i'd go C
      But probs B.
      Brighton aren't exactly scoring a lot...

    3. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Just wanted to ask the same exact question. Leaning towards Antonio personally, although it's very close.

    4. Voodoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

  10. rrcmc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which forward to play (decided on only one forward):
    a) Dennis (MCI)
    b) Pukki (TOT)
    c) Jimenez (LIV)
    Thhanks

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A is in form

      1. rrcmc
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        kind of where i'm leaning
        or perhaps swap one for Watkins?

    2. Voodoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  11. Il Capitano
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    0FT 0.3m ITB

    Guaita
    TAA James Cancelo Livra
    Salah (C) Son (VC) Jota ESR
    Vardy Toney

    Foster - King White Brownhill

    Play King or White over Livra?

    1. vova
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      g2g I think, bench in good order

      1. Il Capitano
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks

  12. vova
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Dias
    Salah Jota Raphinha Saka
    Kane Toney

    Steele Livramento Dennis Brownhill

    G2G?

    1. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      GTG

  13. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Just checking play ?

    A Dennis red hot form terrible fixture against City

    B Livramento playing Brighton could be 0-0 borefest ?

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd generally play the attacker.

      Would you play White or Livra?

      1. Redranger
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Livra for me

      2. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        White Everton looking at this, but only 2% in it.

        GW15 clean sheet odds:
        MCI: 55%
        TOT: 49%
        LIV: 47%
        CHE: 44%
        MNU: 42%
        LEE: 36%
        ARS: 35%
        NEW: 33%
        SOU: 33%
        AVL: 29%
        BHA: 29%
        BUR: 25%
        EVE: 25%

        1. g40steve
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Ars better odds of CS 🙂

          1. denial
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers Steve. On White currently

    2. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Dennis because I think he will get chances on the counter attack which suits him.

      But reality is if I tell you Dennis then Livramento will outscore him and if I tell you Livramento then Dennis will outscore him. So either way I will be wrong.

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Pure FPL 🙁

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tough one tbh, I'd fancy Dennis to nick something, Watford have been very attacking and as you say he's in great form. But Livramento could well get a cleanie with Brighton being so profligate. I'd probably lean towards Livramento

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Coin toss

  14. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA, Cancelo, James
    Salah (c), Foden, Son, Raphinha
    Antonio, Wilson, Toney

    Foster, Livramento, Duffy, Brownhill

    2ft 0.3 itb

    A Duffy > Davies/Dier (then bench Antonio and go 442)
    B Duffy > Johnson
    C burn a transfer

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  15. revelc
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Mané/Brownhill

    to

    A) Foden/Jota
    or
    B) bilva/sancho

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A but Gundo maybe better short-term.

    2. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  16. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Anything worth doing here?

    DDG
    TAA Cancelo James Dier
    Salah(C) Son(VC) Jota Mbuemo
    Jesus Toney

    Foster; Antonio Livramento Brownhill

  17. Redranger
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    1FT & 1.4ITB. Priced out of straight to Ronaldo this week so:

    A) Antonio > Watkins
    B) Raphinha > Bowen (Antonio > Watkins next week)
    C) Gundo > Bowen (Vardy > Ronaldo for free next week)
    D) Hold FT

  18. Voodoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Swap out Guaita or Foster to bring in De Gea?

    Could De Gea lose his place or at least be rotated a bit over Xmas?

  19. JohannaAdams10
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    With games every few days now in December, are Ronaldo and Vardy going to be playing most the games or rested quite a lot

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Most I guess, with the odd rest.

    2. vova
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      they will most likely be rotated, they will probably try and keep them at 1/2 games per 7 days at most

  20. Mr Bird
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso Livra
    Salah(c) Jota Foden
    Kane Antonio

    Would you start either over Livra or stick?

    A) Gallagher (MUN - A)
    B) King (MCI - H)
    C) Stick with Livra (BHA - H)

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Think I’d play along. On penalties so there is always a chance if something

      1. Paqueta Rice
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        *King

    2. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A best option if not going with Livra
      neither option is wrong

  21. Paqueta Rice
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Saving ft right decision here?

    Sanchez
    Trent, Cancelo, James, Alonso, Reguillon
    Salah, Jota, Raphina
    Lukaku, Toney

    Steele, Zaha, Bissouma, Davis 1ft 1.1 itb

  22. Skogen89
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play Mbeumo or take a hit to Bernardo?

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Play Mbueno. One of his shots off the post have to go in right?

    2. Reckoner
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Play Mbeumo. After 7 woodwork hits, he has to return something in the next two matches, I still have hope 🙂 Also, with almost everyone fit at Man City, and the wide spread of attacking returns, it's just not worth taking a hit to get Silva imho.

      1. Skogen89
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks m8

  23. Reckoner
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you start:

    A) Antonio
    B) Livramento

    I'm on A currently, have a feeling WH will hurt Chelsea today and it's about time Antonio does something. Aslo, obeying the 'attacker over defender' rule. Thoughts?

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah it’s a tough one so favour the attacker

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd play Antonio.

      Speculation that Livramento is rested too.

  24. Bobby Zamora
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench two:

    A) Rudiger (whu)
    B) Saka (eve)
    C) Toney (lee)
    D) Gallagher (mun)
    E) Livramento (BHA)

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      D & E

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      E and C or D.

    3. Reckoner
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      D and E , no doubt for me.

  25. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Final decision, start Livra Duffy or Pukki lads?

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Pukki

    2. Chris_White
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Pukki

    3. Mauricios Cappuccino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Pukki

    4. deafcassette
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I've gone for Livra over Duffy but I don't have Pukki - if I did I'd start him over both.

  26. chebyching
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best Jimenez replacement?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Dennis

  27. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    On WC
    A) King or Dennis
    B) Alonso or Reg
    C) Lamptey or White

    1. Reckoner
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I brought King last night, so him 🙂
      B) Alonso
      C) Lamptey. Even more if you have Ramsdale on goal, but I'd pick Lamptey regardless.

  28. Malinwa
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    GTG ?

    Guaita
    Cancelo - TAA - James - Livra - White
    Salah - Son - ESR - Mbeumo
    Vardy

    Bench: Foster - Dennis - Antonio - Brownhill

    1. Reckoner
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd defo play Antonio before Livra. Otherwise, GTG

      1. Malinwa
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        cheers!

  29. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Can't believe a defender as expensive as Cancelo as risen up to 6.8 so quickly. Is there anyone else that's risen by the same amount or more so far?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Pep's basically said he can play every game! Be 7 soon enuff.

  30. Mauricios Cappuccino
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start Antonio or Bowen