Spot the Differential

Budget FPL defender Davies offers cheaper route into Spurs backline

Gameweek 15 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United and Arsenal, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

BEN DAVIES

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: NOR | bha | lei | LIV | CRY

Budget defender Ben Davies (£4.4m) could be set for a new lease of life at Tottenham Hotspur under Antonio Conte.

The 28-year-old started the season as back-up at Spurs, which limited him to just one league start up until the Italian’s arrival in Gameweek 11. However, the Welshman has since completed 90 minutes in each of Conte’s three league matches in charge, which has coincided with his side keeping two clean sheets.

During that time, Davies’s role on the left of Spurs’ three-man defence has seen him regularly burst forward and contribute in the final third, linking excellently with wing-back Sergio Reguilon (£5.2m). That was evident against Brentford on Thursday, when he forced the own goal that put his team ahead, before later sending another header at goal that was saved by Alvaro Fernandez (£4.5m). His defensive work was notable, too, with two interceptions, four recoveries and a couple of successful clearances.

Up next for Tottenham is Norwich City, who rank bottom for non-penalty expected goals (non-pen xG) and who have found the net just eight times across their 14 outings this term, while appealing fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Crystal Palace (h), Southampton (a) and Watford (a) follow prior to the January break.

Davies has had an up and down career at Tottenham to date, but there is hope Conte can coax the best out of him, and if he does, FPL managers will be handed a budget route into Spurs’ backline.

MARCUS RASHFORD

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £9.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: CRY | nor | bre | BHA | new

Following the inclusion of Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Marcus Rashford (£9.4m).

The England international has had a frustrating campaign so far, mainly due to injury, but has scored two goals and provided an assist in his six Premier League appearances since returning from shoulder surgery, despite featuring for over 60 minutes just three times.

Against Arsenal in midweek, he appeared a little isolated but did deliver at a crucial moment, when he produced the cross for Cristiano Ronaldo’s (£12.3m) strike, while prior to that, his pressing ability was key to his team’s performance at Stamford Bridge.

Now, with Ralf Rangnick installed, he will surely be handed further opportunities to kick on, with his manager’s comments about wanting to control games and play on the front foot hugely encouraging for Manchester United’s attacking assets.

The Red Devils’ forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that Rashford can deliver, with games against Crystal Palace (h), Norwich City (a), Brentford (a), Brighton and Hove Albion (h), Newcastle United (a) and Burnley (h) before the end of the year. In fact, the next time they face one of the ‘traditional’ big six is in March, against rivals Manchester City.

Rashford has all the attributes to thrive in a Rangnick system, and could be a nice pickup for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential.

TAKEHIRO TOMIYASU

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 2
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: eve | SOU | WHU | lee | nor

With six clean sheets, an assist and three bonus points in his 11 Premier League appearances since joining Arsenal, plus an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Takehiro Tomiyasu (£4.6m) could be a solid under the radar pick in December.

Unlike Nuno Tavares (£4.3m) and Kieran Tierney (£4.7m) on the opposite flank, the Japan international has established himself as first-choice under Mikel Arteta, and was arguably the best player on the pitch during their 3-2 loss at Manchester United on Thursday, when he almost won a penalty after Harry Maguire (£5.4m) pulled him down.

The 23-year-old’s creativity is on the up, too. Having started the season slowly in an attacking sense, he has recently started to contribute more in the final third. In fact, over the last four Gameweeks, Tomiyasu has posted team-leading totals for successful crosses and chances created, while his 0.68 expected assists (xA) total ranks eighth amongst all defenders.

However, the real appeal lies in the Gunners’ clean sheet potential, and with home games against Southampton, West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers before the end of the year, plus away trips to Everton, Leeds United and Norwich City, further shut-outs could be on the way.

Priced at just £4.6m, Tomiyasu is a cheap route into Arsenal’s defence, and could be a nice set-and-forget option given his security of starts and increased attacking potential.

1,277 Comments Post a Comment
  1. John Nerdelbaum
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    a) Gallagher & Vardy > Son & King/Dennis
    b) Vardy & Antonio > Ronaldo & King/Dennis

    1. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

      1. John Nerdelbaum
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Ta

    2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Similar issues pal. Is this for a hit ?

      Ronaldo injured is putting me off of B. Thing is if we hold Vardy this gw then we have to next gw and he's a worthless piece of sh*t which is a problem

      1. Bennerman
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        We don't know Ronaldo is injured. Do we?

        1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          https://mobile.twitter.com/OddsOnFPL/status/1466904847844794369

          This guy says he's a doubt and he gets good UTD info

        2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          He was flagged last night and that was without anything being mentioned at a presser

      2. John Nerdelbaum
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Nope for free Pumps
        I don't think I'm too fussed about losing Vardy, it's just going for Son makes it nigh on impossible to get Ronaldo without then losing Son. Spurs' fixtures look middling

    3. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  2. El_Gigante
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    On GW16 WC

    A. James, Bowen, Watkins
    B. Rudiger, ESR, Antonio

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. John Nerdelbaum
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Leeroy357
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A
      James is on fire and getting attacking returns most times when he plays and Watkins looks dangerous again

    4. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A but with ESR instead of Bowen

      1. Diedhiou See That?
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        This

    5. Peteski29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  3. Yozzer
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez
    Cancelo Alonso James TAA Livra
    Gallagher Jota Salah
    Vardy Toney

    Foster Antonio Mbuemo Brownhill

    1.5 itb

    Don't like my team and having a bit of a mare

    Any ideas lads ?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Brown hill to Cornet

  4. premierleaguesgreatestevert…
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best defender 4.5 or below?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Duffy

      1. premierleaguesgreatestevert…
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        That's who I was thinking of replacing. Got a ft to use

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Assuming you bench then every week, anyone which is most nailed so they'll score something if they come in.

    3. I am 42
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Johnson?

      1. premierleaguesgreatestevert…
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

    4. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ben Davies at 4.4. Right there in the article.

  5. Leeroy357
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    2 free transfers so might as well use but not sure I need any changes.
    Any advice?
    0.4m ITB

    Ramsdale
    TAA - Cancelo - James - Chilwell - Reg
    Salah - Jota - Foden - Son - (Brownhill)
    Antonio - (A Armstrong) - (Davis)

    Thinking maybe I want Watkins but like West Ham's fixtures soon so don't want to lose Antonio!

    1. JorisLa
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Drop Chillwell? For Dias?

  6. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who should be my next GK?
    De Gea or Ramsdale (first to 3 wins)

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Rambo

    2. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ramsdale
      Ramsdale
      Ramsdale

      😉

    3. Steiger
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ram

    4. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Can ramsdale grow a proper beard?

    5. 003
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Would choose the cheap one. Keep the money for other players

      1. Shark Team
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        0.1£ diff

        1. 003
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Then one is cheaper

    6. Peteski29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ramsdale

  7. FPL-Albion
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Struggling to know what to do
    Ramsdale (Foster)
    TAA Regulion Christensen Livra (Ben Johnson)
    Salah (c) Raphinha ESR Gallagher (Allan)
    Kane Ronaldo (King)
    1FT 0.0itb

    Either -
    A) hold
    B) Christensen to Arsenal def (probably tomiysu)

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  8. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which one would you bench out of there.
    A. Gallagher
    B Duffy
    C.Antonio
    Cheers lads.

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Bennerman
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Them lads. Useless

      1. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I know that. But which is most useless.

  9. abaalan
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on Antonio mid terms prospects....alot of games with tight Turnaround a worry.

    Jesus or Watkins for Xmas period?

    1. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm holding because of ownership, lack of good alternatives at the moment, fixtures turning soon and no fires to put out

  10. 003
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Hi!

    Im doubting between:
    1 Antonio home at Che.
    2 Dennis home at MCI.
    3 White away at Eve

    Who would you play?

    1. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not a nice choice!!

      Probably Antonio just!

    2. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      White. Everton are a mess

    3. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Was on 3. Now on 2.

      Definitely not 1

  11. Weeb Kakashi
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start one

    A Antonio
    B Gallagher
    C Livra

    Starting Alonso and Reece

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

    2. Nemes1s
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I have exact same question. Going with B or C due to double Chelsea defence, but can’t decide between Livra (BHA) vs Gallagher (mun)

  12. revelc
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Mané and Brownhill -> bilva and sancho?

    Any thoughts?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Like it

  13. Chris_White
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start: Alonso or ESR?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      ESR

    2. Leeroy357
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Alonso

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Have to start Alonso. May only be one game where he explodes, don't want to miss it if you own him

  14. The Final Boss
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed sorry

    Guys start 2 out of these

    A) Gallagher
    B) Antonio
    C) livra
    D) white

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      CD

  15. jai1212
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start one

    A. Antonio
    B. Mbuemo
    C. Livramento

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

      1. lilmessipran
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        A

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

    4. Peteski29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

  16. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What changes should I make to my WC team?

    Dea Gea
    TAA Cancelo James Reguilon
    Salah Jota Esr Bernardo
    Kane Dennis

    Bench: Gunnerson White Davis Brownhill

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Bench is way too weak considering with Xmas schedule a fair few of your starting 11 could be benched

    2. 003
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cheaper keeper and upgrade subs.

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Like what keeper?

    3. Pegboy
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd want a better bench for Xmas. Downgrade De Gea?

  17. klipp klopp
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bernardo + vardy
    Son + antonio

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  18. Pegboy
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale (Foster)
    TAA Cancelo James Dias Livra
    Salah Jota Raph (Mbeumo Luiz)
    Vardy Antonio (Hwang)

    2FT £1.1m

    I'm confused why nobody seems to be suggesting Bernardo on here. Am I missing something?

    A) Mbeumo + Hwang > Bernardo + 4.5
    B) Mbeumo + Hwang > ESR + Dennis/King
    C) Livra > Reguilon (go 532)
    D) mini-WC: Vardy + Mbeumo + Hwang > Ronaldo + ESR + 4.5

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Scout team news speculating Silva may be rested.

      Did Pep say similar, I've not been following closely this week.

      1. LoneWolf1989
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        He said pretty much all his players are fit

      2. Bennerman
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        He said everyone is fit. I was surprised when I looked back at Silva's record - he's barely missed a minute, must be their most-played outfield player. So would not be shocked at all by a rest

        1. Pegboy
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          He just feels crucial to they play at the moment, and they can't really afford to test him given the form of Liverpool and Chelsea

      3. Pegboy
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks

      4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        He said that players will be rested in the UCL game and that the academy players need to be ready. Then he said that people know who has played the most and thus needs a break the most. I imagine he'll be fine but hard to know, but with Foden, Gundogan, KDB and Grealish all only back from injury and Silva one that has played so many full games I think it's likely he'll need him as the rest won't last a full game / will come off the bench

        1. Bennerman
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          That's true, he was referencing midweek re rests

    2. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      With so many players coming back in, expectations are he will be rested

  19. alsybach
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start

    A) Antonio
    B) rudiger

    Hobson’s choice?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  20. Drexl Spivey
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who have you picked as your VC?

    I'm on Raphinha here.

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

    2. Leeroy357
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Spurs if you own

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Son

    4. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Regulion

    5. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Good call.

      He's pretty reliable for a goal most weeks.

    6. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cancelo

  21. LoneWolf1989
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed.

    Morning chaps,

    G2G?

    Mendy,
    Tomiyasu, Livramento, Reguilon, James, TAA (C).
    ESR, Son, Salah.
    Toney, Lukaku.

    Gunn, Gallagher, Hwang, Gilmour.

    0.6 ITB and 1 FT.

    Cheers and good luck all!

  22. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play Antonio or Cornet?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cornet

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers.

        I just think West Ham will be well up for it.

        It's tough but there's usually a surprise benching.

        Rotation could kick in.

    2. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cornet

  23. Totti
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start

    A) dennis
    B) livramento

    Plz help guys

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Zladan
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    4. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    5. Peteski29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  24. Releasebreaks
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who to play?

    A- Gallagher (mun)
    B- Lowton (new)

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  25. Zladan
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which City midfielder to buy?

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Foden

      1. revelc
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Will He Play?

        1. LoneWolf1989
          • 2 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Who knows, that’s why I stay away from city

        2. Bennerman
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          I Don't Know Mate

    2. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Maddison

    3. Jafalad
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Bilva or Gundog. Gundog has the better underlying stats but Bilva isn't far behind.

  26. LoneWolf1989
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play 2

    Livramento
    Tomiyasu
    Gallagher

    1. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Top 2

  27. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    please complete WC team
    3.9 X
    taa rudi X X X
    bowen esr salah jota bernardo
    ronaldo denis X

    which & whom ?
    a) rams - laporte/walker davies lamptey - benteke
    b) ddg - laporte/walker white dufy - benteke
    c) ddg/rams - cancelo white/davies lamptey - under 5.0 fwd.
    d) rams - lamptey cancelo regi - 4.4 fwd.

  28. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    cap one:

    1 - kane
    2 - salah
    3 - kane
    4 - kane

    1. LoneWolf1989
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Lol

    2. alsybach
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1, 3 or 4 you will live to regret….

  29. revelc
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bilva or Gundo?

    1. Leeroy357
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      foden

    2. lets talk about 6
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Bil

  30. lets talk about 6
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start
    A)Antonio
    B) mbeumo

    1. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A