Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 20 and beyond

Gameweek 20 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Crystal Palace, Everton and Manchester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ODSONNE EDOUARD

ARS/CRY
  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NOR | WHU | bha | LIV | nor

Summer signing Odsonne Edouard (£6.3m) has had a mixed start to his Crystal Palace career, producing three goals and two assists across his 15 Premier League appearances.

However, with two games against rock-bottom Norwich City in the next five, plus an away trip to Watford that still needs to be rearranged, perhaps as early as Gameweek 21 or 22, he certainly has the potential to kick-on.

The 23-year-old has had to be patient at times this season, and hasn’t always played in his natural centre-forward position, but with Christian Benteke (£6.3m) absent on Boxing Day, plus Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m) suspended for Gameweek 20, his chances of a start through the middle on Tuesday certainly looks promising. It’s also worth noting that Zaha, plus Jordan Ayew (£5.8m), will in all likelihood depart for the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) soon, which in turn should create further opportunities for him to play.

Edouard is currently averaging a fairly modest 2.24 shots per 90 minutes at Palace, but there is assist potential, too, as he often arrives in between the lines, looking to combine with those around him, especially box-to-box midfielder Conor Gallagher (£6.1m) and Palace’s wide players.

With a crucial run of games coming up, Edouard can make a real impact, with a home tie against Norwich handing him the perfect opportunity to get his confidence up.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: NEW | BHA | nor | AVL | new

After almost four months on the sidelines, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was set to return for Everton’s game against Burnley on Boxing Day, only for it to be called off due to a Covid outbreak in the Toffees’ camp.

As a result, a move for the England international ahead of Gameweek 20 certainly carries some risk, with his level of fitness also in question, but due to the calibre of player, we think it’s worth offering an early heads up that he is back on the FPL radar.

The England international started the 2021/22 campaign in excellent form, scoring in each of the opening three Gameweeks, before suffering an unfortunate toe injury. During that time, he recorded 7.7 points per match, whilst producing 11 shots in the box and an expected goals (xG) total of 3.13, which remains a team-leading figure for Rafa Benitez’s side.

Now, with the striker set to be involved in the next league game against Newcastle United, he could be an effective differential for those willing to move early, knowing that Everton also have a kind run of fixtures to follow, which sees them take on Brighton and Hove Albion, Norwich City and Aston Villa before the end of January.

Benitez urged caution when discussing Calvert-Lewin’s return recently, but given his side’s current problems, they may have little choice but to throw him in from the start in Gameweek 20.

KEVIN DE BRUYNE

FPL Gameweek 17 round-up: Tuesday review, injury news and the things we learned
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £11.9m
  • GW20-24 fixtures: bre | ars | CHE | sou | BRE

It feels strange to include a player like Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) in this section of our coverage, but having only recently recovered from Covid, the Belgian comes into Gameweek 20 sitting in just 4.1% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Since his return to Manchester City’s starting XI earlier this month, De Bruyne has netted three goals in his three starts, including a whopping 16-point haul against Leeds United in Gameweek 17. During that time, amongst all midfielders, he has posted league-leading totals for shots, efforts on target and created chances, highlighting his potential to both score and assist.

Rotation, just like it is for all City assets, is of course a concern, especially given his premium price tag. However, having been withdrawn on 70 minutes against Leicester City – Bernardo Silva (£7.6m) and Ilkay Gundogan (£7.3m), meanwhile, both featured for the full 90 – he will now be pushing for another start against newly-promoted Brentford on Wednesday.

Key to his appeal is that fixture, too, after the Bees’ were comfortably beaten 2-0 by Brighton and Hove Albion on Boxing Day. As a result, they have now shipped 15 goals across their last eight Premier League matches, which suggests Pep Guardiola’s attacking players will be handed plenty of opportunities to get amongst the goals.

De Bruyne has had a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injury and Covid, but is now getting back up to speed, and could be an effective differential pick in Gameweek 20 and beyond.

2,463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. C_G
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Bilva + Foden ---> Son + Gallagher (-4)?

    1. Atwood
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I wouldn’t. Isn’t there a reliable rumour that Gallagher is out?

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Is there?

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Rather keep 'em both.

      Seen some rumours on Reddit/Twitter/Palace forums that Gallagher may miss out tomorrow. Get searching.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Not sure they are worth losing before Brentford

  2. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    good lord I feel sorry for Brentford.

    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Why?

    2. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      They are on course to stay up, which they wanted to do before the start of the season.

      What’s with the sudden expectations?

    3. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I feel sorry for them Wednesday I mean. City are ruthless.

  3. asr
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Ramsdale, ESR, Watkins > DDG, Lucas Moura, King for -4.

    Yay or nay?

    1. C_G
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      nay

    2. asr
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Team for context

      Ramsdale* Foster*
      TAA Cancelo James Alonso Livra
      Salah Jota Mount Bernardo ESR*
      Antonio Jesus Watkins*

  4. Atwood
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Any idea what the smart move here is? Got bare 11 if they all start. I’m thinking Lacazette out, but for who?

    Sanchez
    TAA - Alonso - Cancelo - Dalot
    Salah - Jota - Foden - Gallagher
    King - Antonio

    Lacazette - Saka - Marcal

    1. osceola31909
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Not a lot of great forward options. Maybe Dennis, but you would have to transfer him out again in a couple of GWs. Maybe Edouard or DCL, but they are both punts. Do you have enough funds to do Marcal to a Spurs defender?

    2. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      St Maximum looking quite good.

  5. Dynamic Duos
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    How is this ? -4

    Sanchez
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Son Foden(c) Gallagher
    Ronaldo Jesus Antonio

    Foster Livramento Martinelli Sissoko

    1. Atwood
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Jesus a huge risk surely?

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah he gets benched twice in a row alot

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      What are the transfers to get to this?
      Rumours Gallagher may be out.

  6. Karhumies
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Toney out. In Antonio or DCL?

    1. Atwood
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      If I could be sure DCL starts I’d choose him but it’s too risky. Also Howe spoke about COVID at Newcastle earlier so that match could be a doubt.

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I don't like picking players who are back from a long injury right away. It does not often go well.

    3. The Mighty Hippo
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      It's probably just a bit too early for DCL, but he's one to watch for sure. I'd go Antonio for now and then reassess in a couple of weeks.

  7. C_G
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Toney ----> Antonio on FT?

    1. Karhumies
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, unless you want to gamble with DCL.

  8. Babit1967
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    23 points in 2 games, must admit Saka has probably been one of the buys off the season for me but probably needs to be offloaded soon with the fixture swing.

  9. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Who is the better keeper to get. Probably to accompany ramsdale in the hope I can bb22

    A....lloris
    B....ddg

    Thanks

  10. Feed tha Sheep
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Best move?

    A. Laca & ESR > Son & King (-4)
    B. Laca & ESR > Jota & Antonio (-4)
    C. Laca > Antonio
    D. BSilva > Jota

  11. Sterling Archer
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    If you were to free hit 2moro,

    Best 3 city considering the turn over in games, thinking Cancelo could be rotated.

    Foden looks set to start again.

    1. Babit1967
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I like Cancelo, Dias and KDB

    2. JBG
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Kdb, Cancelo and Foden/Sterling

    3. Atwood
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Go all out for goals/assists

      Foden, Grealish, KDB

      1. Sterling Archer
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        I like these 3, grealish will b rested

        1. Atwood
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          I’ve just played a pretty good FH but I kind of wish I could choose these three against Brentford.

    4. Karhumies
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      KDB, Ederson, Sterling/Foden

    5. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Foden, Grealish & Jesus banished to play with the youngsters whilst the first team watches on...

      https://www.mancity.com/citytv/mens/manchester-city-training-brentford-premier-league-63776223

  12. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    A. ESR > Gallagher (benching Lamptey)
    B. Ramsdale > DDG
    C. Save FT

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Alonso Cancelo Lamptey
    Son Bernardo Jota
    Ronaldo Dennis

    4.0 Watkins ESR Martinelli

  13. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Considering using a FH tomorrow. I want Salah back in. Ronaldo, Bilva, Gallagher might be rested. No keeper.

    1. Atwood
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Can’t see Ronaldo being rested. Bernardo always seems to play too.

  14. jia you
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Love me a good rage transfer after a disaster of a GW:
    Ronaldo + Martinelli to Edouard + Son

  15. C_G
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    any Palace fwds worth considering?

    1. jia you
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I've just bought Edouard as think he starts and Norwich looking poor recently

      1. Atwood
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        What do Palace look like though?

        (Genuine question, haven’t seen them in a while)

        1. jia you
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 3 months ago

          they've been decent, just have to ignore the Spurs game

    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Edouard is recommended in the article

    3. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      No

    4. boroie
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      No… don't gamble on Palace for the sake of 1 week

  16. Muscout
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Bachmann
    Cancelo James TAA
    Salah Foden Bilva Jota ESR
    Wilson Laca

    Foster Benteke Livra Manquillo

    Team is a bit of a mess, 2 FT, 0.9 itb, top suggestions?

    1. Return of the FF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Team looks fine except your strikers, prioritise selling both

  17. marcos11
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Best Ramsdale replacement? 5.3m

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      DDG … price rise looking likely tonight …

      1. marcos11
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Even with Dalot already?

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      DDG

    3. JBG
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Lloris

      1. Better Call Raul
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        He's 5.4 sadly

      2. marcos11
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Short 0.1 unless l take a -4 to fund it

  18. JariL
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Is Manquillo Newcastle's first choice right back? On WC, looking for a cheap defender as 3rd sub, him at 3.9 could be decent with pretty nice fixtures (if ever needed).

    Suspended for GW20 but wouldn't matter.

  19. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Best option to bring in for Lacazette

    A Antonio
    B King

    B allows a bit more flexibility with cash in bank going forward and I do have Bowen but Antonio could just be ready to go on good run after scoring last game

    1. boroie
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Jackie Moon
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I’m looking for same replacement. Leaning towards Antonio, but also looking at DCL. Just not sure if he’s worth the risk coming back from injury, but those fixture are so good!

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Good point- think I would want to see DCL get some playing time under belt first and think Everton v Newcastle game may be more high risk of COVID call off and not playing until Thursday

  20. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Anything worth a hit here? Or GTG?

    DDG
    TAA Cancelo James
    Salah(C) Son(VC) Jota Foden
    Antonio Dennis Broja

    Foster*; Dier Livramento ESR*

  21. Better Call Raul
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Ramsdale + Laca -> De Gea + Antonio ?

    Need to decide now to avoid price rise.

    Other option is Lloris or I suppose Broja

  22. C_G
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    is this gtg? no FTs, 0.1 ITB

    Sanchez

    Cancelo Rudi TAA Livra

    Foden Bilva Salah Jota

    Dennis Antonio

    Steele Laca Saka White

    Should I do Laca/Saka?White ---> ? (-4)?

  23. putana
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    ramsdale -> de gea or sanchez for free?

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      DDG

  24. jia you
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Locked and loaded, GL for the GW
    all:

    Lloris
    Cancelo Trent Tsimikas James
    KdB Foden Jota Son Bowen
    Edouard
    (Gunn Dennis Livra *Watkins)
    1.0itb

    1. Dr Mulholland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      I like the thinking.
      It is different.

  25. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    are we expecting many main names to be rested tomorrow?

    1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Maybe Salah?

      1. Eh, just one more thing ...
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Naughty …. But that would be superb.

      2. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        He's had more recent rest than most players in the squad.

  26. Boomerang V
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Laca to:
    A) Wilson
    B) Antonio
    C) DCL
    D) King
    E) Edouard
    F) Other?

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      B

    2. Oscar Slater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Maupay and invest the spare cash wisely elsewhere. Forwards aren't worth wasting too much money on nowadays,

  27. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Better option here?

    A. Ramsdale > Lloris
    B. Foster > Sanchez

    Ramsdale foster
    Taa cancelo rudiger Alonso tierney

  28. Salah’s Sonnet
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Was level on points with ML rival in 1st position, both played FH, still tied for points in first lmao.

    Anyway, best move foward here guys please?

    Sanchez
    TAA - Cancelo - James - Reguillon
    Foden - Salah - Jota - Bernado
    Dennis - Antonio
    ____________________________
    Ramsdale: ESR: Tierney: Watkins

    1FT, 0.2 ITB

    A) Roll FT
    B) Foden + Watkins > Son + Broja (-4)
    C) Bernado + Foden > Son + 5.1m mid (-4)
    D) Something else

    Cheers gents!

    1. jimbo90
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      A. Id keep foden

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers Jimbo!

    2. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 3 months ago

      Save

  29. jimbo90
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Laca and Martinelli > Antonio and Gallagher (-4)?

    Arsenal have no fixture then man city next gw

  30. AM9
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 3 months ago

    Lacazette and Bernardo to Son and Broja -4?