Scout Notes

Southampton’s home form, Broja’s goals and Brentford’s defence: FPL Double Gameweek 21 notes

Southampton swept aside Brentford in the only Double Gameweek 22 match of the day, after Everton v Leicester City was postponed on Sunday.

Our Scout Notes article reflects on the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from the fixture.

FORTRESS ST MARY’S

Following tonight’s convincing 4-1 win over Brentford, Southampton have now lost just one of their 10 Premier League home fixtures in 2021/22.

Across the season, only Liverpool have lost fewer on home turf, with their only defeat arriving against Wolverhampton Wanderers back in September.

SOUTHAMPTON AT HOME 2021/22:
GameweekOpponentScore
21Brentford4-1
20Tottenham Hotspur1-1
15Brighton and Hove Albion1-1
14Leicester City2-2
11Aston Villa1-0
9Burnley2-2
8Leeds United1-0
6Wolverhampton Wanderers0-1
4West Ham United0-0
2Manchester United1-1

From Gameweek 26, the Saints embark on a kind run of home fixtures, taking on Everton, Norwich City and Watford, which suggests their budget options could offer FPL managers plenty of value during that run.


BARGAIN BROJA

At the start of the season, Armando Broja (£5.3m) wasn’t one of Ralph Hasenhuttl’s first-choice strikers.

However, the Chelsea loanee is developing into a player who will surely start most weeks, after producing his fifth goal of the season in Double Gameweek 21.

As a result, Broja has now racked up seven attacking returns across 16 Premier League appearances, though it’s worth noting only eight have been starts, with all of his goals arriving in those fixtures.

BROJA’S PREMIER LEAGUE STARTS 2021/22:
GameweekOpponentScoreGoalsAssistsBonusFPL points
21Brentford4-11028
19West Ham United2-30104
17Crystal Palace2-211312
16Arsenal0-30002
15Brighton and Hove Albion1-11028
13Liverpool0-40002
9Burnley2-21028
8Leeds United1-01028

Given the schedule detailed above, plus the fact they have a home tie against Newcastle United that still needs to be rearranged, Broja surely won’t remain a differential too much longer.

“This is not a surprise, he is quick and has a fantastic finish. He has some weapons that are definitely helping us. Young players can take a while to adapt to the Premier League and we knew it would be a tough start, but we are not getting worse we are getting better every day.” -Ralph Hasenhuttl on Armando Broja’s form

DEFENSIVE ISSUES AT BRENFORD

While a relegation battle looks unlikely, Brentford’s defensive form on the road is a real concern, having shipped 16 goals across their last six away games.

Given the opposition faced, which hasn’t exactly included the divisions most potent attacks (Southampton, Brighton and Hove Albion, Leeds United, Tottenham Hotspur, Newcastle United and Burnley), owners of Diogo Jota (£8.3m) and other Liverpool assets will be relishing this weekend’s matchup.

Notably, most of their chances during that six-game run have been conceded from their right, a theme which continued against Southampton, which is captured on their expected goals conceded (xG) shot map:

Brentford’s xGC shot map v Southampton in Double Gameweek 21

“Fair play to Southampton but my job is to look at my team’s performance. If we are not playing every second of every Premier League match 100% then we are not getting anything out of it. We needed to do better at 2-1. We can’t give three of the goals away, especially the last two. We tried to change it offensively (when Wissa came on). We were slightly better but it didn’t help. That is why it hits so hard. The big thing we want to be good at is defending well and we have done it well this season but didn’t today.” – Thomas Frank


Southampton XI: Forster, Bednarek, Lyanco, Salisu, Tella (S Armstrong 70), Ward-Prowse, Romeu, Diallo, Perraud, Redmond (Adams 65), Broja (A Armstrong 78)

Brentford XI: Fernandez, Ajer, Jansson, Pinnock (Jensen 68), Roerslev, Janelt, Norgaard, Baptiste (Wissa 56), Canos (Stevens 76), Mbeumo, Toney


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435 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Rbyrne95
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    As differentials, what's thought's on Lookman and Daka?

    1. JBG
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Is Daka back from injury though?

      1. Rbyrne95
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        The big question really. Burnley game more ideal than spurs.

    2. ZTF
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Daka could be a good one

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Daka expected back for Burnley according to Rodgers. Bit risky but could be absolute gold

      1. JBG
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Source? Couldn't find anything online :/.

        1. The Mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          7 months, 1 day ago

          "We're looking towards Burnley for Daka" - end of article below
          https://www.leicestermercury.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/leicester-city-could-down-eight-6457733

          1. JBG
            • 4 Years
            7 months, 1 day ago

            Ah, thanks.

      2. Rbyrne95
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        I've just realized Maddison is on all set pieces too apart from pens which Tielemens edges him on so probs best to stick with Maddison. Reckon Daka be on pens?

    4. Lucky Z
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      FW slot is a bit overloaded at this moment compared to MF.

      You can choose Ronaldo/Kane, Dennis, King, Antonio, but no real substitutes for Salah/Son. That is why Maddison is more attractive

  2. Yordan Letchkov
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Please predict points for the following assuming that the DGW for ManU will be confirmed:

    A) Fernandes
    B) Rashford
    C) Greenwood

    1. JBG
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      a) 7-10pts
      b) 4-7pts (if he plays both)
      c) 7-10pts

    2. Dark Side Of The Loon!
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Even Ragnick has stopped expecting anything from them.

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 1 day ago

      3
      4
      5

    4. Yordan Letchkov
      • 6 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Thanks. It's a lottery with ManU midfield assets I guess. It could go both ways, but not worth to take a hit for any of them.

  3. ZTF
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Pick a captain (assuming all are fit).

    A) Kane
    B) Maddison
    C) Jota
    D) Trent

    1. Moxon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      I'm going Kane

      1. ZTF
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        How do you reckon he fares without Son mate? Think in that Leicester game so much will depend on how their current situation progresses too

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          Would also get Kane, think he'll do OK without Son, Moura is playing well to support him, also the wing backs. And Kane could easily get a pen too

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 1 day ago

      B/C

    3. ZTF
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Cheers guys

  4. The Train Driver
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Same guy that broke the Coufal and Ashby news says on reddit that Soucek is sick and will miss the Norwich game.

    Roumor but a reliable source so far.

    1. ZTF
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Yeeellows

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Coufal fit again?

      1. The Train Driver
        • 7 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        No idea...

  5. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Which mid to get for Son?

    A) Mount
    B) Tielemans
    C) Maddison
    D) Moura

    Will give med 5 DGW for free, considering a -4 too.

    And bench Bilva?

    DDG
    RUDIGER, Cancelo, taa
    Foden, Jota, Son*, Bowen
    DENNIS, KANE (C), Broja

    Subs: Steele, Bilva, Coufal, White,

    1 FT
    1.6 in the bank

    1. JBG
      • 4 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      C

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Thanks! Fernandes also an option E)

        1. JBG
          • 4 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          Even as a lifelong MU fan and a huge Bruno fan, I can't trust him or the team atm. Sadly. But i'm considering Bruno and Maddison in my team for Son and Ødegaard.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 1 day ago

      C

    3. ZTF
      • 8 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Maddison for sure

    4. Hiiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 months, 1 day ago

      D. No idea if Leichester even has a DGW. Mount has bad fixtures . If Leichester won't have DGW then Spurs might not have one as well, since they go against Leichester in one of their double.

      So hard decisions, but from those choices I would go with D.

      1. Hiiler
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Although if Maddison has a DGW for sure then yes C is best option. Just not sure if their DGW will happen as they had their last game postponed.

        1. RamaJama
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          Thanks, we'll hopefully get some news before the deadline on Friday.

    5. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Thanks, seems like it's Maddison 🙂

      If I take a hit to field 6 DGW players Son/Bilva til Maddison + who?

    6. Botman and Robben
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      C

  6. Sz21
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Which of these options would you go with to possibly bring in Lamptey/Davies keeping fixtures after this GW in mind.
    1. Sell Coufal. -4. (Seems to be fine after COVID).
    2. Sell Dalot. -4. (a double so should play once at least)
    3. Don't do the -4.

    DDG.
    TAA, Cancelo, Dalot, Coufal.
    Son**, Bowen, Jota.
    King, Ronaldo, Anto.
    Bach. Martinelli, Foden, Tierney.
    1ft (Son replacement), 0.4m ITB

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Don't get Lamptey

      1. ilikewud
        • 1 Year
        7 months, 1 day ago

        Have you ever watched him play? At times he’s the most forward Brighton player (down the middle) the lad is mad.

  7. ZTF
    • 8 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Looking to bring in an 11th starter for the week - can be a mid range mid or defender at any price.

    Currently considering Cucurella and Greenwood. Any other suggestions?

  8. Hazardous1983
    • 11 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    what to do with this

    pickford (foster)
    rudiger taa coufal (cancelo white)
    jota bowen saka foden (son)
    watkins king antonio

    3.8m in bank. 1 ft

  9. rokonto
    • 7 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Ok so if i decide against Bruno who to replace Son?
    Jota or Maddy.

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Jota

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Jota

  10. Zinedine Kilbane
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Some strange transfer news this morning;

    1- is the Newcastle Wood signing just shithousery to make a rival weeker- I'm sure Newcastle fans wer dreaming of a more glamorous forward purchase when they seen the take over

    2. Digne to Villa- is he any better than Targett? Surely he won't be happy to be rotated

    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Top teams need 4 good full backs these days to be fair

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      1 - No I would dispute this definitely, it's not the case.
      Clubs in January are not going to be selling strikers that are scoring goals unless for extreme circumstances.
      The only reason why the Wood deal is a possibility is because of the supposed buy out clause.

      2 - Yes. He hasn't been at his best this season + Aston Villa are a club that wants to break into the top 6. They are going to be upgrading players where they see fit.

  11. cemal
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Salah and Livra —> KDB and Reguillon for -4?

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Sure

    2. Atimis
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Why not

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Do it

  12. Atimis
    • 5 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Thoughts on going City mid over Maddison/Moura as a Son replacement?

    I know that City has no DGW but fixtures are great long term and I'd rather avoid unnecessary transfers now. Could even go KDB/Sterling as budget is no issue.

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Could work. Bilva or Foden not options?

      1. Atimis
        • 5 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        BSilva not convincing recently, had Foden previously but he tends not to play, tough decision tbh

  13. Game of Throw_ins
    • 6 Years
    7 months, 1 day ago

    Kane in for:
    A. Antonio (LEE)
    B. DGW hero Toney (LIV, MUN) 😛
    (Keeping Dennis)

    1. Atimis
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      B if you have to

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      B

      1. AARON-1
          7 months, 1 day ago

          No brainer. Ivan Phoney out, Kane in.

      2. JBG
        • 4 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        B without any doubt.

    3. AD2110
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      What exactly controls the price changes? If it’s purely based on transfers in/out then I’m very surprised that Salah hasn’t dropped more

      1. redsallstars
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        They also factor in how many players owe that player. So for Salah there needs to be more transfers out for a price drop due to his high ownership

        1. Gabbiadini
          • 5 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          yep. and there is no doubt some level of manipulation from the headquarters.
          for instance, dcl only ever got as low as 7.9, quite staggering.

          1. redsallstars
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            7 months, 1 day ago

            Yeah they’re not very open on how they work out price changes. Fplstatistics.co.uk is a good guide, Salah on 86% to drop

    4. rokonto
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      How did Liverpool do last time no Mane or Salah due to AFCON?

      1. Holmes
        • 8 Years
        7 months, 1 day ago

        It was played off season, so they didnt miss any games.

        1. rokonto
          • 7 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          Ok thanks

    5. Rassi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      Would you freehit this lot? Have both FHs left.

      Bachmann (Guaita)
      TAA - Cancelo - Reguilon - Dalot (Holgate)
      Foden - Bowen - Jota (Bernardo - Salah)
      Antonio - King - Watkins

      1 ft, 0.2 itb.

      Currently leaning towards FH...

    6. Stram Dunk
      • 2 Years
      7 months, 1 day ago

      DDG Sánchez
      TAA Cancelo Alonso Keane Dalot
      Maddison Bowen Bernardo Son Jota
      Ronaldo Antonio Gelhardt

      1 ft, 0.1 itb

      A) Son+Bernardo+Gelhardt -> KDB+Sissoko+Dennis (-8)
      B) Son+Gelhardt -> Mount+Dennis (-4)
      C) Son+Antonio -> KDB+Dennis (-4)

      Cheers all!

    7. AARON-1
        7 months, 1 day ago

        1620 minutes of Premier league football for Ivan Toney and 2 goals from open play. That's 2 goals in 27 hours of football. Not long ago, he and teammate Mbeumo were being touted as hot fpl properties. Of course, all this means he's bound to score against United and Liverpool...

        1. Drumandbaines123
          • 1 Year
          7 months, 1 day ago

          Yes indeed. Booting him out last night was my most satisfying transfer out of the season so far.

        2. Gabbiadini
          • 5 Years
          7 months, 1 day ago

          I honestly don't remember him having a kick yesterday.
          To answer you final statement he would have to be very efficient because he's not even taking the shots.

          1. AARON-1
              7 months, 1 day ago

              A record 31 goals in the Championship last season hasn't translated to any kind of Premier League form at all. Obviously, it's a big leap in terms of the quality of opposition, but he has never appealed to me as an fpl option.