Spot the Differential

Brighton and Leicester differentials to consider for Double Gameweek 22

Double Gameweek 22 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brighton and Hove Albion and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

MARC CUCURELLA

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: CRY + CHE | lei | – | wat | BUR

Spaniard Marc Cucurella (£5.1m) has made a real impact at Brighton and Hove Albion since his summer transfer from Getafe.

Across his 16 Premier League starts, the attack-minded defender is averaging 4.1 points per match, a team-leading total.

During that time, amongst all defenders, only Joao Cancelo (£7.0m), Trent Alexander-Arnold (£8.4m) and Reece James (£6.2m) have produced more final-third touches, whilst he also sits in the top 10 for crosses and expected assists (xA). Notably, he’s a bit of a BAP-magnet, too, sitting joint-eighth overall for bonus points in 2021/22.

The Double Gameweek 22 matches are far from perfect but both opponents – Crystal Palace and Chelsea – have allowed more crosses from their right-flank than the left (198/176 and 170/152 respectively) to date, with the Blues’ split more significant when zoning in on the last six matches – 49/28. That’s encouraging for Cucurella’s small army of owners, who’s delivery from wide areas is one of his main strengths. 

Brighton’s defensive form is also worth touching on here, as Graham Potter’s side have now kept four clean sheets at the Amex this season, conceding just nine goals in as many games.

Meanwhile, if you can afford to bench Cucurella for his Gameweek 24 blank, it’s worth noting his fixtures to follow, which includes back-to-back matches against Watford (a), Burnley (h), Aston Villa (h) and Newcastle United (a).

Cucurella has been one of Brighton’s players of the season so far, and could be an effective differential for Double Gameweek 22 and beyond.

LEANDRO TROSSARD

  • FPL ownership: 1.8%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: CRY + CHE | lei | – | wat | BUR

Staying with Brighton, another differential worth considering is Leandro Trossard (£6.1m).

The Belgian has performed well this season, but in Fantasy terms, it has been a little underwhelming, with just four goals and one assist across his 18 Premier League appearances.

However, his most recent strike against Brentford signalled an upturn in form for the Seagulls, which has seen them beat Thomas Frank’s side and Everton, whilst also taking a deserved point from Chelsea.

As a result, Graham Potter’s side now sit ninth in the table, with six wins, nine draws and only four losses.

For Trossard, he can be found in just 1.8% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads ahead of Double Gameweek 22, which sees Brighton play at home twice, facing Crystal Palace and Chelsea. That’s important, too, given that he has posted team-leading totals at the Amex for goal attempts, shots in the box, created chances, penalty area touches and expected goal involvement (xGI).

In fact, across the season, amongst all players, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m), Cristiano Ronaldo (£12.5m) and Raphinha (£6.5m) have attempted more shots on home turf, though we should point out that just under half have been from range.

Tactically, Trossard usually starts off the left, but mainly occupies more central zones due to Brighton’s reliance on their wing-backs to provide the width. Because of that, he is always heavily involved in the final third, and a lot of the time, is asked to get in behind the oppositions defence.

All things considered, that makes Trossard one of the better midfield options in Double Gameweek 22.

PATSON DAKA

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW22-26 fixtures: bur + TOT | BHA | liv | WHU | wol

In the absence of Jamie Vardy (£10.4m) and Kelechi Iheanacho (£6.9m), Patson Daka (£7.1m) will surely be tasked with leading the Leicester City line in Double Gameweek 22.

The Zambian, who was passed fit by Brendan Rodgers in Thursday’s press conference, was brought to the King Power Stadium for a reported fee of £27m in the summer, after hitting 27 goals in 28 Austrian Bundesliga appearances for Red Bull Salzburg in 2020/21.

His Premier League minutes have been limited since, though it is worth noting that he has made a real impact when on the pitch, producing two goals and three assists in just 286 minutes. During that time, he is averaging 2.28 shots in the box per 90 minutes (p90), whilst his 0.54 xGI p90 is a team-leading total.

Meanwhile, Daka’s UEFA Europa League form has been equally impressive, too, having bagged five goals from six appearances, including four in just one match against Spartak Moscow back in October.

With three players at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON), plus an extensive injury list, Leicester’s squad is stretched ahead of Double Gameweek 22. However, Rodgers today provided positive updates on Luke Thomas (£4.3m), Caglar Soyuncu (£4.9m) and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£4.4m), plus Daka of course, which suggests they will be ready on Saturday, when they take on a Burnley side that has failed to win a single league match since October.

With five attacking returns from seven Premier League appearances so far, Daka will now be looking to add to his tally against Burnley and Tottenham Hotspur, and could be a nice differential pickup for those on the lookout for a new forward.


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avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/818/history”

544 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Roni! Toni! Toney!
    • 5 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    it seems that Kilman is as good as Coady right now, isn’t him? I mean none offer attacking threat but at least both are nailed in a defense that has been keeping CS consistently. I am .1 off Coady so I guess Kilman should be just as good? I had Marcal before but don’t want to go there anymore. People said he was terrible at the pitch and can loose his place at anytime.

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Ait Nouri.

  2. Torres76
    • 12 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Any chance of Foster Watford playing?

    1. Ron_Swanson
      • 11 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Prob not IMO but it’s possible

  3. Ginkapo FPL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    I'm considering Bruno, but also think I might be thinking too many steps ahead.

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      He's an option for me as well, especially if CR would be out

    2. TheTinman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Planning for Salah?

      1. Ginkapo FPL
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        14 days, 16 hours ago

        Not really. Figure with Ronaldo being injured/unprofessional Bruno willhave a bigger role

        1. TheTinman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          14 days, 16 hours ago

          Fair enough. I didn't think Ronnie's comments were unprofessional, more of a rallying call to his team mates. And he didn't disrespect Ragnick in it

    3. Vlad Tepes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Same thinking of taking him instead of Kane and Ronaldo just to be the perfect placeholder for Salah. If I go for Kane or Ronaldo would result in a hit to bring Salah back

    4. Camino Aleatorio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      14 days, 7 hours ago

      Probably wild rumors but he seems nothing like the old Bruno. Might as well punt more cheaply on Crashford.

  4. Qaiss
    • 6 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    We are toast if Tomiyasu and ESR aren’t back by Sunday. Kane is going to haul.

    Oh and nice one by Liverpool faking covid cases last week so they can breeze past us now!

    1. Camzy
      • 11 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      ESR hasn't been first choice in months.

      Strong teams from both.

      1. Gazwaz80
        • 2 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        Can’t see him being fit for Sunday if he’s not even on the bench…

  5. jai1212
    • 8 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    It's getting really confusing for me out here now, all boiling down to Ronaldo or no Ronaldo. Can someone help put their thoughts forward?

    DDG | Foster
    TAA Cancelo Emerson Coufal | Mitchell
    Jota Bowen Gray Son* | Salah*
    Antonio Watkins | Davis*

    1FT and 1.6 its

    Route A (-8)
    Salah/Son/Davis >> Bruno / Maddison / Dennis

    Route B (-8)
    Salah / Son / Davis >> CR7 / Bruno / Sissoko

    Route C (-4)
    Son / Antonio >> CR7 / Maddison

    Route D (-4)
    Salah / Son >> Bruno / Maddison

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 12 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      A, C, D, B
      Ronaldo maybe only having 1 game is worrying
      You need a Watford striker too
      Kane not tempting?

  6. sfcspartans
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Best sub-9m midfielder? (not Bowen, Maddison, Jota)?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 4 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Moura

  7. RamboRN
    • 10 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    DDG*
    TAA regulion* cancelo
    Son* foden bowen jota
    Ronaldo* antonio dennis*

    Subs foster* dalot*, martinelli, livra
    2m itb 1ft.
    A. Just son to maddison
    B. Son and antonio to maddison and kane
    C. Something else?

  8. FCSB
    • 5 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    DDG
    Alonso TAA Cancelo
    Son Jota Bowen Bilva
    Ronaldo King Antonio

    Foster Gray Dawson Livramento

    1FT, 0.2itb

    Son >> Maddison

    Then is anything worth a [-4] hit ??

    Thanks

  9. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    For GW22

    Who is the best DGW defender to have?
    Who would you have out of Ronaldo or Kane?

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. TheTinman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      If FH then I genuinely think a Man Utd defender will score highest. But its a risk so I wouldn't do it for a transfer

      1. Ginkapo FPL
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        14 days, 16 hours ago

        Which one is even starting two games with Shaw banned?

        1. TheTinman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          14 days, 16 hours ago

          You'd have to look at a CB I think. Maguire is back isn't he

  10. WibblesTeam
    • 4 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    A: Ronaldo in as captain for -4, wont have a fit 3rd defender
    B: Cucurella in -4, King (c)

    1. JoTAA
      • 2 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      A for me

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 12 Years
        14 days, 16 hours ago

        Ronaldo quote is worrying for me
        For a very confident guy, it was quite 50/50

        1. Salan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          14 days, 15 hours ago

          Ronaldo may start only one of these two games. Play around 120 mins in total I guess.

    2. mdm
      • 9 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      A easy

  11. wulfrunian
    • 5 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Madness to start Coufal over Cancelo?

    1. JoTAA
      • 2 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Yes

    2. Qaiss
      • 6 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Why would that even cross your mind….. 😀

    3. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 12 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Insanity
      I mean for a DGW punt maybe, but not another sgw player

    4. wulfrunian
      • 5 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      cheers all

    5. mdm
      • 9 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Coufal this week for me

    6. Rassi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      I would.

  12. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Evening!

    Best two midfield options for DGW? I have £16m to spend...Moura and Maddison?

    Other selections...Go...

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 12 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Trossard Tielemans

    2. mdm
      • 9 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Moura and Jota

  13. JoTAA
    • 2 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Pick one:

    A) Son+Gelhardt -> Mount+Dennis (-4)
    B) Son+Antonio -> KDB+Dennis (-4)

    1. theodosios
      • 4 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      A

  14. WibblesTeam
    • 4 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Sorry, worded first question wrong -

    A: Antonio > Ronaldo (c) -4, wont have a fit 3rd defender
    B: James > Cucurella -4, King (c)

    1. Game of Throw_ins
      • 5 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      B

  15. Michelle Davin
    • 5 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    What should i consider playing my wildcard?

    Which dgw teams is a must that wont have a blank coming up soon?

  16. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 12 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Random Differentials this GW

    Robertson
    Lamptey
    Trossard
    Jorginho
    Wood
    Tarkowski

    1. Ginkapo FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Tark wont transfer in time to play

  17. Bobby Digital
    • 4 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Pool Arse lineups?

  18. G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 4 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Let's try that again...

  19. Crouching Tiger
    • 9 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Bench boost?

    DDG (AVL, BRE),
    Rudiger (MCI, BHA), Dalot (AVL, BRE), TAA (BRE), Matip (BRE)
    Lucas Moura (ARS, LEI), Jota (BRE); Maddison (BUR, TOT)
    Dennis (NEW, BUR), Ronaldo c (AVL, BRE), Antonio (LEE)

    Bench: Bachmann (NEW, BUR), Foden (CHE), Sissoko (NEW, BUR), Cancelo

    1. wulfrunian
      • 5 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      If Foden is fit to start then yes.

    2. Ginkapo FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      No, but play Sissoko over Antonio

    3. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 12 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      No
      Play Cancelo over Dalot and Foden over Matip

    4. TheTinman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      I would

    5. Crouching Tiger
      • 9 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      Cheers. Yeah I got my doubts about Dalot starting even one game. Difficult choice.

  20. Casp123
    • 6 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    Having shipped out Salah for Maddison I've got loads in the bank
    Who to swap out for Ronaldo?
    A) Toney (liv, MUN)
    B) Antonio (LEE)
    C) Dennis (new bur) - has a knock but also playing Norwich next gw

    1. Buck The Trent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      Easy A

    2. mdm
      • 9 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      C

  21. DGW22 Fixture and clean sheet odds
    G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 4 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    DGW22 fixture odds can be found here:
    Friday to Saturday:
    http://prntscr.com/26d9lh8

    Sunday to Wednesday:
    http://prntscr.com/26d9lon
    (Provided by Betbrain.com)

    DGW22 clean sheet odds:
    LIV: 49%
    MCI: 38%
    BHA: 37% & 20%
    WOL: 37%
    EVE: 36%
    WHU: 36%
    NEW: 31%
    TOT: 30% & 28%
    LEI: 29% & 23%
    MNU: 29% & 38%
    SOU: 29%
    ARS: 27%
    BUR: 26% & 35%
    AVL: 25%
    CRY: 25%
    NOR: 24%
    WAT: 21% & 25%
    CHE: 18% & 44%
    LEE: 16%
    BRE: 12% & 20%
    (Provided by Betbrain.com)

    DGW Teams CS probabilites where A is the first fixture and B the second.

    BHA:
    Probability of A NOT occuring: 63%
    Probability of B NOT occuring: 80%
    Probability of A and B both occuring: 7.4%
    Probability that A or B or both occur: 49.6%
    Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 42.2%
    Probability of neither A nor B occuring: 50.4%
    Probability of A occuring but NOT B: 29.6%
    Probability of B occuring but NOT A: 12.6%

    BRE:
    Probability of A NOT occuring: 88%
    Probability of B NOT occuring: 80%
    Probability of A and B both occuring: 2.4%
    Probability that A or B or both occur: 29.6%
    Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 27.2%
    Probability of neither A nor B occuring: 70.4%
    Probability of A occuring but NOT B: 09.6%
    Probability of B occuring but NOT A: 17.6%

    BUR:
    Probability of A NOT occuring: 74%
    Probability of B NOT occuring: 65%
    Probability of A and B both occuring: 9.1%
    Probability that A or B or both occur: 51.9%
    Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 42.8%
    Probability of neither A nor B occuring: 48.1%
    Probability of A occuring but NOT B: 16.9%
    Probability of B occuring but NOT A: 25.9%

    CHE:
    Probability of A NOT occuring: 82%
    Probability of B NOT occuring: 56%
    Probability of A and B both occuring: 7.92%
    Probability that A or B or both occur: 54.08%
    Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 46.16%
    Probability of neither A nor B occuring: 45.92%
    Probability of A occuring but NOT B: 10.08%
    Probability of B occuring but NOT A: 36.08%

    LEI:
    Probability of A NOT occuring: 71%
    Probability of B NOT occuring: 77%
    Probability of A and B both occuring: 6.67%
    Probability that A or B or both occur: 45.33%
    Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 38.66%
    Probability of neither A nor B occuring: 54.67%
    Probability of A occuring but NOT B: 22.33%
    Probability of B occuring but NOT A: 16.33%

    MNU:
    Probability of A NOT occuring: 71%
    Probability of B NOT occuring: 62%
    Probability of A and B both occuring: 6.67%
    Probability that A or B or both occur: 45.33%
    Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 38.66%
    Probability of neither A nor B occuring: 54.67%
    Probability of A occuring but NOT B: 22.33%
    Probability of B occuring but NOT A: 16.33%

    TOT:
    Probability of A NOT occuring: 70%
    Probability of B NOT occuring: 72%
    Probability of A and B both occuring: 8.4%
    Probability that A or B or both occur: 49.6%
    Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 41.2%
    Probability of neither A nor B occuring: 50.4%
    Probability of A occuring but NOT B: 21.6%
    Probability of B occuring but NOT A: 19.6%

    Clean sheet totals:
    Manchester City: 12
    Liverpool: 10
    Arsenal: 9
    Chelsea: 9
    Tottenham: 8 (+1)
    Wolves: 8 (+1)
    Brighton: 6
    Aston Villa: 5
    Crystal Palace: 5
    Southampton: 5
    West Ham: 5 (+1)
    Brentford: 4
    Manchester Utd: 4
    Burnley: 3
    Everton: 3
    Leeds: 3
    Leicester City: 3
    Norwich: 3
    Newcastle 1

    Wasn't sure I had the captaincy right at the halfway stage on Bowen, but glad he came through last night. Call me biased but he could have had 4 :O

    Whoever you pick this DGW, I hope it works out for you. I was gonna do Watkins ➡️ Ronaldo(C) for a hit but think I'll end up getting rid of Antonio instead...

    We'll see...

    Good luck!!!

    G

    1. how now brown cow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      Thanks. Same question- what does the (+1) mean?

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 4 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        Soz mate, did reply but obviously that got lost when I deleted, DOH!

        It signifies that team recorded a clean sheet that week 🙂

        1. how now brown cow
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          14 days, 15 hours ago

          Brilliant. Thanks.

    2. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 4 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      Not had time to have a proper proof read, please let me know of any errors and I'll get them corrected 🙂

      1. Kalix
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        14 days, 12 hours ago

        Im confused how:
        BHA have 20% & 37% matches
        MNU have 27% & 39% matches

        But the subsequent calculations seem to say BHA are more likely to get a CS.

        Is there a mistake somewhere there?

        1. Kalix
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          14 days, 12 hours ago

          Sorry, 29 & 38 for MNU

          1. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 4 Years
            14 days, 11 hours ago

            You know what I make you right!

            Let me double check the calculations and get back to you...

          2. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 4 Years
            14 days, 11 hours ago

            You beauty!

            Don't ask me how those figures for Man Utd originally came out but re-entered them now and we're getting:

            MNU:
            Probability of A NOT occurring: 71%
            Probability of B NOT occurring: 62%
            Probability of A and B both occurring: 11.02%
            Probability that A or B or both occur: 55.98%
            Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 44.96%
            Probability of neither A nor B occurring: 44.02%
            Probability of A occurring but NOT B: 17.98%
            Probability of B occurring but NOT A: 26.98%

    3. how now brown cow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      Still getting ronaldo? Trying to decide on ant-> ronaldo or kane or whether to stick.

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 4 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        Right here and now I'm around 80% yes tbh...

        Am I looking at the right team for you? The link doesn't show Antonio in the team :O

        I did think of Kane with Son missing but I can't, just don't have any faith in him whatsoever of getting any returns tbh so IF I do anymore moves it'll probably be Ronaldo in...

        1. how now brown cow
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          14 days, 15 hours ago

          Was last season's link. Updated now.

          1. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 4 Years
            14 days, 15 hours ago

            Great stuff I'll have a butchers in a mo.

            Have you thought about a FH? I've still got both but not really excited about using one for this DGW...

          2. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 4 Years
            14 days, 14 hours ago

            Nice team! Much better than that other one 😆

            Where you at right now with deciding Ronny or Kane? Is it 50-50 or you currently favouring one over the other???

            1. how now brown cow
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              14 days, 14 hours ago

              Not sure. Son to lucas for free is plan.

              Kane(c) Lucas and davies is a lot of eggs in one basket as a pessimistic spurs fan.

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 4 Years
                14 days, 13 hours ago

                Indeed!

                News breaking Arsenal are short of players for the Spurs game :O

                I'll keep my ear to the ground, but would be so typical of recent events if that was cancelled too!

    4. Finding Timo
      • 1 Year
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      Hi based on your cleansheet odds it does look like DDG is the keeper to get this week? I was looking at Sanchez but overall MU look better odds?

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 4 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        BHA:
        Probability of A and B both occuring: 7.4%
        Probability that A or B or both occur: 49.6%

        MNU:
        Probability of A and B both occuring: 6.67%
        Probability that A or B or both occur: 45.33%

        Although Man Utd have a better CS % in their second fixture, it looks to me that Brighton have the better overall probability percentages to me.

        Not much in it tbh, I'm happy with DDG for this DGW and going forward too...

        1. Finding Timo
          • 1 Year
          14 days, 14 hours ago

          Cheers v helpful

          1. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 4 Years
            14 days, 13 hours ago

            Glad to help 🙂

            Whatever you decide to do I hope it works out for you!

          2. G-Whizz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 4 Years
            14 days, 11 hours ago

            Would be even more helpful if there wasn't an error in the original posting of the figures for which I can only apologise!

            It should read

            MNU:
            Probability of A NOT occurring: 71%
            Probability of B NOT occurring: 62%
            Probability of A and B both occurring: 11.02%
            Probability that A or B or both occur: 55.98%
            Probability that A or B occurs but NOT both: 44.96%
            Probability of neither A nor B occurring: 44.02%
            Probability of A occurring but NOT B: 17.98%
            Probability of B occurring but NOT A: 26.98%

    5. Sharkytect
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      14 days, 14 hours ago

      Love these, thank you!

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 4 Years
        14 days, 13 hours ago

        You're welcome mate 🙂

    6. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      14 days, 13 hours ago

      Nice work! thanks for sharing

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 4 Years
        14 days, 12 hours ago

        My pleasure Jambot!

  22. rokonto
    • 6 Years
    14 days, 16 hours ago

    El Ghazi to Everton.
    I gues DCL off the radar with that greedy ghit shooting every time he gets the ball.

    1. TheTinman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      14 days, 16 hours ago

      What's Rafa thinking? Strange moves

      1. TheTinman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        14 days, 16 hours ago

        Unless he is deliberately sabotaging Everton?

        1. FFS Ultras are for Kinnear
          • 8 Years
          14 days, 15 hours ago

          Agent Rafa

    2. PartyTime
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        El ghazi & Gray. That’s 2 Ronaldos

      • HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 12 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        Yep
        Probably steal pens too

        1. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 4 Years
          14 days, 15 hours ago

          This...

        2. sulldaddy
          • 11 Years
          14 days, 7 hours ago

          yup....especially after that DCL miss.

      • mdm
        • 9 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        Yep. Will obviously take the penos too

    3. Johnny too hotty
      • 10 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      Draft query :

      Target to lamptey

      Yes or no ?

      1. mdm
        • 9 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        Yes

        1. Johnny too hotty
          • 10 Years
          14 days, 15 hours ago

          Any reasoning sir ?

      2. Johnny too hotty
        • 10 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        Trying to peel back the onion and see if it’s a sensible move ? Discuss gentlemen

      3. popey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        14 days, 14 hours ago

        If we hadnt signed Digne it would be a no as Villa defence looks good for the medium term (and posible dbl 23)

        However, he's been our worst player this season from regular starters and Digne probably goes staright into first 11

    4. Fuddled FC
      • 10 Years
      14 days, 15 hours ago

      If you had 2FH and only 2dgw's before transfers would you Free Hit this week?

      1. Piksau
        • 7 Years
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        Depends on your current squad.
        If you have 4-6 DGW players and just a couple of Red/Orange Flags then save the FT for later Blank and Double GWs.
        I had 4 guaranteed non-starters due to flags and only 3 DGW players so had to bite the bullet and did a FH after the Son injury update came out.

    5. Harvey_27
        14 days, 15 hours ago

        ESR to Maddie: now, saving me a likely £0.2m, or tomorrow, once Dyche has spoken?

        1. Harvey_27
            14 days, 15 hours ago

            It’ll cost me -4

          • IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            14 days, 15 hours ago

            Wait

            1. Harvey_27
                14 days, 14 hours ago

                Thanks!

          • DycheDycheBaby
            • 6 Years
            14 days, 15 hours ago

            TAA starts 🙂

          • Piksau
            • 7 Years
            14 days, 15 hours ago

            My FH Team:

            DDG (GUNNARSSON)
            THOMAS CUCURELLA TAA SANCHEZ (SHAW)
            MOUNT MADDISON JOTA (BOWEN MODER)
            CR7(C) DENNIS KANE(VC)

            0.3 ITB
            Good to go?

            1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              14 days, 15 hours ago

              Play Bowen over Thomas?

            2. Mr. O'Connell
              • 9 Years
              14 days, 15 hours ago

              PLAY BOWEN

              1. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 4 Years
                14 days, 15 hours ago

                Obviously I'm biased but would have to agree there...

              2. Piksau
                • 7 Years
                14 days, 15 hours ago

                Been thinking of the same, most probably will put it off till later.
                How is the squad looking otherwise?

          • TheYogaDaddy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            14 days, 15 hours ago

            What to do here?

            De Gea (Foster)
            TAA Cancelo Dias (Johnson) (Livramento)
            Jota Son* Salah* Bowen (Brownhill)
            Antonio Watkins King

            1 ft, 0.0 itb

            a. Son and Salah to Maddison and Mount (-4)
            b. Son Salah and Antonio to Maddison Mount and CR7/Kane (-8)
            c. Salah and Antonio to Maddison and CR7/Kane (-4)
            d. Son and Livramento to Maddison and Spurs defender (-4).

            1. Piksau
              • 7 Years
              14 days, 15 hours ago

              All are good, but don't get in Mount if you are not FHing

              1. TheYogaDaddy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                14 days, 15 hours ago

                But then I would just transfer him out to get Salah back?

                1. Piksau
                  • 7 Years
                  14 days, 15 hours ago

                  In that case A or D.
                  A gets you both DGW players for Son and Salah and also halfway decent bench options.
                  D gets you an extra transfer whenever Salah returns.

          • FCSB
            • 5 Years
            14 days, 15 hours ago

            DDG
            Alonso TAA Cancelo
            Maddison Jota Bowen Bilva
            Ronaldo King Antonio

            Foster Gray Dawson Livramento

            What to do here please?

            1. Hold
            2. Play Gray (nor) over Bilva (CHE)
            3. Bilva >> Moura (-4)
            4. Livramento >> Reguilon (-4)

            Cheers

            1. Piksau
              • 7 Years
              14 days, 15 hours ago

              2. Have Bilva as 1st sub

          • My heart goes Salalalalah
            • 5 Years
            14 days, 15 hours ago

            "Prince Andrew has lost his military titles and patronages, and will no longer be called His Royal Highness, Buckingham Palace has announced." - BBC

            1. FCSB
              • 5 Years
              14 days, 15 hours ago

              Hopefully his FPL team has been cancelled too

              1. Steve McCroskey
                • 8 Years
                14 days, 15 hours ago

                Hit him where it really hurts

            2. PartyTime
                14 days, 15 hours ago

                Oh dear Andrew Johnson

                1. HuttonDressedasLahm
                  • 12 Years
                  14 days, 15 hours ago

                  Andrew’s Johnson got him into this mess 🙂

                  1. PartyTime
                      14 days, 15 hours ago

                      That must be Adam 🙂