Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Double Gameweek 36

Double Gameweek 36 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Liverpool, Everton and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

LUIS DIAZ

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: TOT + avl | sou | WOL

Luis Diaz (£8.0m) has slotted into Liverpool’s setup with ease following his January move from Porto.

The 25-year-old has been directly involved in five league goals across 10 appearances – scoring three and assisting two – and his performance against Villarreal in the Champions League semi-final summed up his season: he came on at half-time but was still the man of the match.

As a result of those displays, it now feels like Diaz is part of Jurgen Klopp’s strongest XI.

That certainly doesn’t guarantee two starts in Double Gameweek 36, especially given the timing of next weekend’s FA Cup final, but 110-120 minutes across both matches could be enough to haul. His impact as a substitute is also worth noting: already this season, he has returned against Everton and Villarreal from the bench.

Since his arrival on Merseyside, Diaz is averaging 3.66 shots per 90 minutes in the Premier League. Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) is the only member of the Liverpool squad who averages a higher rate, while his 3.82 expected goals (xG) is another encouraging statistic.  

As for Liverpool, they are undefeated in 15 Premier League outings – netting 36 goals in the process – as they chase down a historic quadruple. And while the defensive data for Gameweek 36 opponents Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa suggests neither will roll over, matchups against Emerson Royal (£4.5m) and an advanced Matty Cash (£5.3m) does feel appealing for the Reds’ left-winger.

Diaz is an intriguing differential for the run-in, and could be an explosive option for those willing to gamble on his minutes.

YERRY MINA

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lei + wat | BRE + CRY | ars

Yerry Mina (£4.9m) was back in the Everton starting XI in Gameweek 35 after he was rested for the defeat to Liverpool the previous weekend.

The Colombian international has only recently returned from a long-term quad issue and is being carefully managed, but has now had a clear week of training before making the trip to Leicester City on Sunday.

In his two outings since his return to fitness, it’s no coincidence the Toffees are unbeaten, with his presence in defence shoring up a backline that has struggled so often this season.

“With Yerry, I’m delighted he’s come back into the fray in terms of his fitness. You can see that leadership, presence and personality he brings. He is a big leader for us. It was great to see him play like that.” – Frank Lampard on Yerry Mina

Mina’s goal threat was a key part of his appeal when Everton spent £28m on him, having scored three headed goals for Colombia during their 2018 World Cup campaign. And it’s that potential from set-pieces that could be key in Double Gameweek 36, with opponents Leicester and Watford both susceptible to conceding chances from dead-ball situations.

Everton’s away form is a concern as they get set for two games on the road, but confidence is on the up following their 1-0 win over Chelsea, which moved them back within two points of Burnley and Leeds United, having played a game fewer.

Mina looks like an ideal gamble for the run-in, and could be set to put his threat inside the box to good use in Double Gameweek 36.

RIYAD MAHREZ

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 24 and beyond
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NEW + wol | whu | AVL

Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) has been in excellent goalscoring form for Manchester City this season.

The Algerian is the club’s overall top scorer with 24 goals in all competitions – next in the list is Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) with 15 – and clearly gives Pep Guardiola’s side something unique in attack.

Notably, only Salah can trump Mahrez’s 0.87 expected goal involvement (xGI) per minutes in 2021/22, whilst penalties are another nice route to points if City are handed a spot-kick.

NameGoalsStartsGoals per 90Mins-per-goalTotal shots
Mahrez11130.71127.157
De Bruyne11210.5317063
Sterling10210.46193.953

Riyad Mahrez has scored 11 goals in 13 Premier League starts in 2021/22

Of course, the above doesn’t necessarily mean Mahrez will start both matches in Double Gameweek 36, but like Diaz, it does feel like he has now worked his way into the best XI, which should ensure plenty of minutes during the run-in.

Man City now face Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers knowing they can’t slip up in the title race, which offers huge potential for their assets to haul in Double Gameweek 36 and beyond.

A move for any City midfielder this week certainly carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed minutes, which makes him such an exciting differential for the remainder of the season.

697 Comments Post a Comment
  1. gart888
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    What would you prefer for the DGW?

    A) Son + Jesus (Salah C)
    B) KDB + Nketia (KDB C)

    1. Jässi
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A

    3. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B

  2. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Is Sam greenwood best forward for 4.6? Thanks

    1. Harvey_27
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Does the pope you-know-what in the forest?
      (yes)

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Thanks not expecting more than 2 points though max !

  3. The Big Fella
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    I am going to sell Mateta and Havertz and bring in Richarlsion and a midfielder for 5.8m. I am thinking of Odegaard or Martinelli, but both are quite uninspiring. Can anybody suggest another midfielder for 5.8m or less?

    1. tokara
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Harrison

    2. Harvey_27
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Harrison is a good call, and I think Gordon or the in-form Trossard are too but Brighton don't have anything to play for, as such, whereas Leeds and Everton fighting for survival and Arsenal for CL so I guess not Tross

  4. mdm
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Is Alonso nailed?

    1. Harvey_27
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Sarr and Saul could both see one game on the left, probably the Leeds game, but I think it's worth the risk given the upside and they have no better, fit leftwingback

  5. cruzex
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    my FH team is done

    Kasper
    TAA James Dias Cancelo
    Saka Salah Kdb(C) Mount Diaz
    Pukky

    Good to go?

    1. Jässi
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yes. Pukki*

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Not too sure about Pukki really, but really like the Diaz pick & captaincy

  6. C_G
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    should I keep Mount and Havertz?

    1. C_G
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      oops not Havertz, Maddison***

    2. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yeah.

      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Sell Havertz after Tuchel's quotes

    3. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Sell havertz

  7. The Mighty Hippo
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Schmeichel
    Cancelo | Matip | Alonso | James
    Salah | KDB | Son | Luis Diaz | Saka
    Pukki

    Do you think I should lose one of the Chelsea defenders for a Man City defender and if so, which one?

    a) keep two Chelsea defenders
    b) James --> Dias
    c) Alonso --> Laporte

    1. cruzex
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      b

  8. putana
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    do you guys think mahrez starts both games?

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I hope so!!

    2. Lord.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Why wouldn’t he? He’s in City’s best XI, and hasn’t been overworked lately.

  9. J to the T
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on Jesus’ minutes for the double?

    He didn’t play the 120 (or even the 90) midweek but he’s probably due a rest.

    City start with Grealish Sterling Mahrez do we think?

    1. Mogger11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I would guess 120 mins plus over the double at least. Guess being the operative word. It’s Pep.

    2. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Hard to know who'll play the central role. Pep could even drop a bit of a bombshell and start Foden

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I think he keeps starting as long as he keeps performing

  10. Kun Tozser
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    FH draft

    A
    Schmeichel
    Matip* Cancelo Alonso
    Salah (C) Son Saka KDB* Mahrez
    Nketiah* Richarlison

    B
    Schmeichel
    Dias* Cancelo Alonso
    Salah (C) Son Saka Jota* Mahrez
    Iheanacho* Richarlison

    A - Matip, KDB, Nketiah
    B - Dias, Jota, Iheanacho

    1. The Mighty Hippo
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A

  11. JY84
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Would u still play BB if ur bench is Foster White Borja n Kilman or save it to Week 38 since I am playing FH in week 37??? I prob intend to take a minus 4 to replace Kilman only if I play BB because one of my changes is to replace Ramsey for Gordan in my starting lineup

    1. BremerHB
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I'd wait til 38 probably.

  12. Union_Jacks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Trying again as no answer last page 🙁

    Is it worth doing White > Tavares for a -4?

    On a BB, only have 4.5m to spend and will FH37

    1. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I would yes if White is out as you should get your 4 back minimum, hopefully

      1. Union_Jacks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Hopefully we’ll get confirmation if we was in training or not before 1:30 tomorrow!

    2. Ruinenlust
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      No

    3. Harvey_27
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Probably not. White might get some game time and Arsenal have been leaky anyway. Would you consider Sessegnon instead maybe???

      1. Union_Jacks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        I’d consider him or Emerson Royal, about all I can afford really

    4. Terry the Terrier
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I’d sub White out but don’t fancy Tavares he looks poor. Appreciate Tierney is injured but if he has a poor game at Leeds (Raphinha has got to fancy that one) he could still be dropped. As someone has said I’d go Royal or a player with a double double maybe if budget is a problem Holgate I know Everton have been poor but they have a hell of a lot to play for. Hope this helps

      1. Terry the Terrier
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Missed FH37 I’d go Royal

        1. Union_Jacks
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 10 months ago

          Thanks

    5. Union_Jacks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Cheers all!

  13. iL PiStOlErO
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    If I use FH what is the best way to improve this squad on FH? Or should I TC?

    Mendy Dubravka
    TAA Cancelo T.Silva Telles White
    Salah Saka Mount Maddison Gordon
    Kane Mateta Greenwood

    1. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      TC Salah
      Make a FT
      FH37

  14. C_G
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Mahrez or Foden?

    1. orangepeel
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I'm toying with this. But I think Mahrez. Foden had a lot of mins and I think Mahrez will give enough across the two games.

  15. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Goalscoring odds for this weekend:

    Diaz 13/8
    Jota 1/1
    Mahrez 20/21
    Weghorst 21/10
    Nketiah 1/1

    All anytime.
    Makes me concerned about going Diaz over Mahrez, but it would have required another hit to facilitate and would have to have got Aké or Clyne.

  16. BremerHB
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    A) Pukki & Foden
    B) Richarlison & Maddison (-4)

    1. Mogger11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      A for me.

  17. PompeyUpNorth!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Folks! I could do with some help/reassurance please? 1.4 ITB 1 FT 1 FH Left. 89k team linked.

    Ramsdale

    James Alonso Bavies

    Salah Maddi Son Zaha Coutinho

    Kane Mateta
    Subs: Dub Holgate Broja Bednarek

    1. Got 9 doubles, so make it 11 with a -4 then save FH for next week when I have just 4 doubles. This is what I’m thinking. So Jesus n Gordon in for Mateta n Zaha?
    2. FH and get a better team this week
    3. Any other ideas?

    Cheers!

    1. Mogger11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      1 seems sensible.

      1. PompeyUpNorth!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Thank you

  18. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on this lot?

    

2 FT 0.0 ITB, FH in GW37.



    Ramsdale

    TAA Cancelo James

    Salah Saka Kulusevski Martinelli Mount
Kane Weghorst



    Foster Broja Schar Doherty

    

A) Doherty to Laporte and Weghorst to Fodder

    B) Martinelli Weghorst to Gordon Nketiah
    C) Kulu Doherty to Gordon Laporte

  19. Eightball
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Anyone considering Vardy? probably too much of a minutes risk.

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Probs won't start against Everton, though he could net a decent score in NOR fixture...

      1. Eightball
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        A) Vardy + Laporte
        B) Richarlison + TAA

        I just have this feeling about Vardy for some reason but those feelings are usually wrong haha.

  20. FPLMarc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    4-point hit to replace Havertz, Cucho, White with Foden, Nketiah, Matip?

    1. Mogger11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I would.

    2. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yeah

    3. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Seems reasonable

    4. The Mighty Hippo
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      yes, it looks worth the points hit.

    5. sulldaddy
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Yes

  21. Totti
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Who to play?

    A) digne
    B) castagne

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      B

  22. Dynamic Duos
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on my bb team please?

    Foster
    TAA Cancelo(vc) Royal
    Salah (c) Son Mount Coutinho Maddison
    Richarlison Watkins

    Pickford Nketiah Lamptey Johnson

  23. BantasyFootball
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Team right now:

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo Alonso Matip
    Saka Gordon Salah (C) Mount Kulu
    Kane

    Subs: Dubravka, Pukki, Broja, Dier (doing BB)

    Any moves worth making for a -4? (0.1m ITB)

  24. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Who takes the last spot on a FH?

    Kasper
    Taa Cancelo Laporte
    Salah KDB Son Saka Gordon
    Nkeitah

    A. Robbo
    B. VVD
    C. Richarlison

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      C

    2. Mogger11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Robbo on paper but I’m a Liverpool fan and he seems goosed. Managed minutes incoming.

  25. Mogger11
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Werner and Mitchell to Ruben Dias and Richarlison -4. Yay or nay?

  26. C_G
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    For BB:

    Carson + Schar + Ramsey + Kane ----> Foster + Dias/Laporte + Foden/Mahrez + Nketiah/Pukki? (-8)

    please help

    1. Mogger11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      I never take a -8 so it’s a no for me. Any other options?

    2. sulldaddy
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Sure, with
      Laporte
      Nketiah
      Mahrez

  27. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Dias or Cancelo?

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Dias or Laporte***

      1. jimmyharte
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        I was gonna do laporte but he's played so much think Dias safer option.

      2. Mogger11
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        Dias for me. Under the radar and Laporte looked injured against Madrid.

    2. Tartan Brazilians
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Agree Dias over Laporte. Dias played less recently and Laporte looked tired at the end the other night. Cancelo if enough money.

  28. wulfrunian
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Would you use the FH in gw36?Sa would probably get 2-3 points,Robbo/Laporte/James/Foden/Jota could get a rest,tough games for Villa,No Salah/Kdb.

    Sa
    Taa/Robbo*/Laporte*/Cancelo/James*
    Jota*/Foden*/Saka/Coutinho
    Kane

    Dubravka Broja/Dobbin/Fraser*
    1ft 1.4itb

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      Probably no

      1. wulfrunian
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 10 months ago

        cheers

  29. jimmyharte
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Pope, Chaloboah, Mateta to Schmeichel, Dias, Nketiah -8 for BB good to go?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 10 months ago

      probably yes

  30. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 10 months ago

    Mount and Kane out:
    A. GW36 Son and Jesus - GW37Jesus to Rich
    B. GW36 KDB and Rich - GW37 KDB to Son

    2FT 0.2ITB - No chips left

    Schmeichel
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Laporte James
    Salah Saka Kulu Mount
    Kane
    (Steele Brownhill Gelhardt Greenwood)