Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Double Gameweek 36

Double Gameweek 36 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Liverpool, Everton and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

LUIS DIAZ

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: TOT + avl | sou | WOL

Luis Diaz (£8.0m) has slotted into Liverpool’s setup with ease following his January move from Porto.

The 25-year-old has been directly involved in five league goals across 10 appearances – scoring three and assisting two – and his performance against Villarreal in the Champions League semi-final summed up his season: he came on at half-time but was still the man of the match.

As a result of those displays, it now feels like Diaz is part of Jurgen Klopp’s strongest XI.

That certainly doesn’t guarantee two starts in Double Gameweek 36, especially given the timing of next weekend’s FA Cup final, but 110-120 minutes across both matches could be enough to haul. His impact as a substitute is also worth noting: already this season, he has returned against Everton and Villarreal from the bench.

Since his arrival on Merseyside, Diaz is averaging 3.66 shots per 90 minutes in the Premier League. Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) is the only member of the Liverpool squad who averages a higher rate, while his 3.82 expected goals (xG) is another encouraging statistic.  

As for Liverpool, they are undefeated in 15 Premier League outings – netting 36 goals in the process – as they chase down a historic quadruple. And while the defensive data for Gameweek 36 opponents Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa suggests neither will roll over, matchups against Emerson Royal (£4.5m) and an advanced Matty Cash (£5.3m) does feel appealing for the Reds’ left-winger.

Diaz is an intriguing differential for the run-in, and could be an explosive option for those willing to gamble on his minutes.

YERRY MINA

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lei + wat | BRE + CRY | ars

Yerry Mina (£4.9m) was back in the Everton starting XI in Gameweek 35 after he was rested for the defeat to Liverpool the previous weekend.

The Colombian international has only recently returned from a long-term quad issue and is being carefully managed, but has now had a clear week of training before making the trip to Leicester City on Sunday.

In his two outings since his return to fitness, it’s no coincidence the Toffees are unbeaten, with his presence in defence shoring up a backline that has struggled so often this season.

“With Yerry, I’m delighted he’s come back into the fray in terms of his fitness. You can see that leadership, presence and personality he brings. He is a big leader for us. It was great to see him play like that.” – Frank Lampard on Yerry Mina

Mina’s goal threat was a key part of his appeal when Everton spent £28m on him, having scored three headed goals for Colombia during their 2018 World Cup campaign. And it’s that potential from set-pieces that could be key in Double Gameweek 36, with opponents Leicester and Watford both susceptible to conceding chances from dead-ball situations.

Everton’s away form is a concern as they get set for two games on the road, but confidence is on the up following their 1-0 win over Chelsea, which moved them back within two points of Burnley and Leeds United, having played a game fewer.

Mina looks like an ideal gamble for the run-in, and could be set to put his threat inside the box to good use in Double Gameweek 36.

RIYAD MAHREZ

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 24 and beyond
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NEW + wol | whu | AVL

Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) has been in excellent goalscoring form for Manchester City this season.

The Algerian is the club’s overall top scorer with 24 goals in all competitions – next in the list is Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) with 15 – and clearly gives Pep Guardiola’s side something unique in attack.

Notably, only Salah can trump Mahrez’s 0.87 expected goal involvement (xGI) per minutes in 2021/22, whilst penalties are another nice route to points if City are handed a spot-kick.

NameGoalsStartsGoals per 90Mins-per-goalTotal shots
Mahrez11130.71127.157
De Bruyne11210.5317063
Sterling10210.46193.953

Riyad Mahrez has scored 11 goals in 13 Premier League starts in 2021/22

Of course, the above doesn’t necessarily mean Mahrez will start both matches in Double Gameweek 36, but like Diaz, it does feel like he has now worked his way into the best XI, which should ensure plenty of minutes during the run-in.

Man City now face Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers knowing they can’t slip up in the title race, which offers huge potential for their assets to haul in Double Gameweek 36 and beyond.

A move for any City midfielder this week certainly carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed minutes, which makes him such an exciting differential for the remainder of the season.


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697 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Tartan Brazilians
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    Ait Nouri to Laporte or Ramsey to Maddison.

    No City cover at moment.

    1. Mr. O'Connell hates DG…
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      I'd consider both tbh

    2. sulldaddy
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Both

  2. C_G
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    keep or sell Kane?

    1. Mr. O'Connell hates DG…
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Only reason I can see to sell is if you're distributing some funds for a BB. Otherwise keep. He's a key player for 37 and 38.

    2. mdm
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Sell

    3. sulldaddy
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Sell. Too much cash

  3. mdm
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    Which option:

    A. Matip and Ramsdale
    B. Alonso and Kasper - 4

    1. Mr. O'Connell hates DG…
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      A

  4. Mr. O'Connell hates DG…
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    What do we reckon is best? FH37 so needed for this week and 38.

    A) Mahrez, Sterling, Cash
    B) Mount, Sterling, Dias
    C) Mount, KDB, Taveres/Mykolenko (-4)

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      C

    2. mixology
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      It's hard to predict Mount's minutes. Sterling has been so frustrating. Honestly all combinations could do well. Depends what you're leaning towards

      1. Mr. O'Connell hates DG…
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 21 hours ago

        Honestly don't know what I'm leaning towards. Have 2 FT and Havertz to Saka is a lock.

        I would do C if there was any sub-5m defender who was actually a good option this week.

        Does say KDB and Mykolenko outscore Sterling and Dias + 4?

        At least if I do C, I've probably got less of a headache on the final day with regards to City options.

  5. rnrd
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    who scores more for DGW36 only?

    A- Richarlison
    B- VVD?

    1. Mr. O'Connell hates DG…
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Probably Rich

    2. putana
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      id say A. not too sure of pool keeping 2 cleansheets which is what vvd would have to do to outscore rich

  6. putana
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    anyone else dumping coutinho this week?

    im considering toney + coutinho -> richarlison + mahrez (-4)

    1. sulldaddy
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Id do those for the hit

  7. JJO
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    A) Foster + Ake + Dennis + Kane + 4
    B) Pickford + Dias + Jesus + Richa
    ( Would probably save FH for gw 38 if i choose B)

  8. mixology
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    Highest upside/value here?

    A) Maddison
    B) Mahrez
    C) James
    D) Alonso
    E) Mount

    It's so hard to predict minutes. But for all on a FH any one of them could smash it.

  9. C_G
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    want to use my BB but have no clue what to do, please help.

    Have 2 FTs, o ITB

    Kasper Carson

    TAA Robbo Amartey Schar Alonso

    Salah Mount Maddison Saka Ramsey

    Kane Weg Toney

    1. Pegboy
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      You've probably got to prioritise Carson and Ramsey out, and find some money from somewhere.

      Can you afford Carson + Ramsey + Weg > Pickford + Gordon + Nketiah?

  10. FantasyHero
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    Why do I read ppl concerned about Maddy playing?

    1. FPL Maldini
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Same every week with Leicester assets

    2. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      'Cos he has propensity to do well...??

    3. mixology
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Reduced minutes due to a season of injuries, no?

      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 21 hours ago

        Norwich fixture could bode well for him. Against his former club, too.

  11. FPL Maldini
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 22 hours ago

    I already own Cancelo, who should I get now for GW36 and GW37?

    A) Laporte (x 3)

    b) Cash (x 4)

  12. danielm4
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Laporte or Reece James

      1. Pegboy
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 22 hours ago

        Laporte

    • Patson Dabaka
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Watkins to Richarlison worth a -4? Using FH in 37

      1. Pegboy
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 22 hours ago

        I'd lean no

      2. OptimusBlack
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 22 hours ago

        Nooo

      3. sulldaddy
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 21 hours ago

        No

    • Pegboy
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Keep Mount or Maddison? I'm expecting both will be benched in at least one game in 36.

      I'm FH in 37, so fixtures are:

      Mount (WOL lee WAT)
      Maddison (EVE NOR SOU)

    • OptimusBlack
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 22 hours ago

      Pick just one player from those for DGW 36
      A- Dias
      B- Mahrez
      C- Luis Diaz

    • Casualspotted
        2 months, 22 hours ago

        Any Maddison news?

      • Devos
          2 months, 22 hours ago

          Hello, I'm using BB this gameweek with the following team:

          Ramsdale / Allison
          Cancelo / Robbo / Laporte / Alonso / Rudi
          Salah / KDB / Maddi / Kulu / KDH
          Werner / Dennis / Nketiah

          I have 1 FT left. Would you do any transfers here? Maybe the one that has the least chances to play both games? Who do you think that is?

          (I'm doing FH in GW37, so rolling the FT is useless.)

          1. citizenkane
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            Werner to Richarlison?

          2. Pegboy
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            Werner to Rich/Jesus?

            1. Devos
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                What's wrong with Werner?

                1. Pegboy
                  • 11 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  He's a decent option, but lacks the upside of Jesus or the solidity of starts of Rich.

          3. RamboRN
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 22 hours ago

            Bench boost. Got 2ft. Any changes? Maybe I have too many chelski?

            Schmeichel foster
            Taa cancelo matip laporte james
            Kdb saka salah havertz kdh
            Pukki werner mateta

            1. The Movement
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Mateta to Nketiah
                Havertz to Madders
                James to VVD or Robbo

              • Abaddon
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Werner to nketiah and havertz to mahrez

                1. RamboRN
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  Have 3 City already

            2. ct mariner
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 22 hours ago

              RMT - on FH

              Kasper
              TAA Cancelo Alonso
              Salah Kulu Saka KDB
              Rich Jesus Nketiah
              Bench - Foster KDH Holgate Amartey

              0.1 IB

              1. gmando2011
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Got a fairly similar team - just worry about Jesus game time & Nketiah

                1. ct mariner
                  • 3 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  Yep - could change Nketiah and Holgate to Matip (play) and Greenwood (bench). Leaves gamble on Jesus minutes but not many good Fwd options unless upgrade a MF

            3. FantasyHero
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 22 hours ago

              Any thoughts here:

              Schmiechel (foster)
              Robbo Cancelo Alonso (white kilman)
              KDB Maddy Havertz Saka Gordon
              Kane Werner (broja)

              GW36 - thinking of not doing anything and playing TC on KDB
              GW37 - kilman, werner, broja to cash, rich, nketiah for -4 and use BB

              I play a H2H top of the table rival in GW37

              1. citizenkane
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                KDB TC this week makes sense but holding on to the chelsea boys this week isn't ideal imo

            4. umerlfc
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              Best defender 4.6m till the end of the season?

              Is Holgate the only one?

              Need to use for BB36 as well

              1. Pegboy
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                I'd consider Ben Davies or Ben White and they feel more nailed.

            5. citizenkane
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              Hi all, what would you do here:

              Ramsdale
              TAA Robbo James Alonso
              Kulu Havertz Salah(c) Saka Raphinha
              Kane

              Foster Broja Kilman Forde

              2 FT, 0.1 ITB, FH37

              A) Havertz, Kane > KDB, Richarlison (no Cancelo, have to play Raphinha)
              B) Kilman, Havertz, Kane > Cancelo, KDB, Nketiah (-4) (bench Raphinha)
              C) Robbo/James, Havertz, Kane > Cancelo, KDB, Richarlison (-4) (bench Raphinha)
              D) Something else?

              1. Pegboy
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Is there an option where you keep Kane but ditch Havertz and Raph/Broja?

                1. Pegboy
                  • 11 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  I.e. Havertz + Raph > KDB + Gordon? (No idea whether that's possible)

                  1. citizenkane
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 21 hours ago

                    2.2 short 🙂
                    Mahrez + Gordon I can afford, but not excited about that.
                    But good shout, thanks. Didn't consider selling Raph/Broja. Will give it some thought

            6. The Movement
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Who gets more minutes this gameweek?

                A) Laporte
                B) Dias

              • orangepeel
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Got KDB. My close ML enemies have Salah - Do I need him?! I want to do without.

                Current FH is

                Foster (ramsdale)
                James Matip Robertson (tavarez, fodder)
                KDB Mahrez Son Diaz Saka
                Jesus Nketiah (Greenwood)

                0.5 loose change. Prob KDB captain.

                1. Pegboy
                  • 11 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  Big big gamble. If you're chasing and need to take a chance, go for it.

              • checkit_j
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Richarlison or Jesus?

                I have no mid Man city.

                1. SuperDan
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 6 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  Jesus this week than Rcihi next

                  1. checkit_j
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 21 hours ago

                    That's my thinking. thanks

                2. putana
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  for me kdb is the only good option that will start both games

                  1. checkit_j
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 21 hours ago

                    I'd have to take a minus 4 . Who would you bin out of this?

                    Taa - Cancelo - Laporte - James
                    Mount - Salah - Coutinho - Son - KDH
                    Pukki - Nkeitah

                    bench

              • AF90
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                White -> Matip -4?

              • SuperDan
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Dennis or Pukki?

              • putana
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                for the people considering mahrez, do you really think he would start 4 games in 2 weeks?

                madrid, newcastle, wolves, westham. I think wolves games will be rested because will definitely start against west ham

              • Henryyy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                Which combo do you prefer?

                A Nke Foden
                B Rich Ødegaard

                FH37

                Thanks

                1. Traction Engine Foot
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  B

              • Traction Engine Foot
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                BB good to go or anything worth a hit?

                Schmeichel
                TAA Matip Cancelo Laporte Alonso
                Salah Son Saka Mount
                Watkins
                Foster Nketiah Pukki Dewsbury-Hall

                1. citizenkane
                  • 3 Years
                  2 months, 21 hours ago

                  G2G