Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Double Gameweek 36

Double Gameweek 36 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Liverpool, Everton and Manchester City who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

LUIS DIAZ

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: TOT + avl | sou | WOL

Luis Diaz (£8.0m) has slotted into Liverpool’s setup with ease following his January move from Porto.

The 25-year-old has been directly involved in five league goals across 10 appearances – scoring three and assisting two – and his performance against Villarreal in the Champions League semi-final summed up his season: he came on at half-time but was still the man of the match.

As a result of those displays, it now feels like Diaz is part of Jurgen Klopp’s strongest XI.

That certainly doesn’t guarantee two starts in Double Gameweek 36, especially given the timing of next weekend’s FA Cup final, but 110-120 minutes across both matches could be enough to haul. His impact as a substitute is also worth noting: already this season, he has returned against Everton and Villarreal from the bench.

Since his arrival on Merseyside, Diaz is averaging 3.66 shots per 90 minutes in the Premier League. Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) is the only member of the Liverpool squad who averages a higher rate, while his 3.82 expected goals (xG) is another encouraging statistic.  

As for Liverpool, they are undefeated in 15 Premier League outings – netting 36 goals in the process – as they chase down a historic quadruple. And while the defensive data for Gameweek 36 opponents Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa suggests neither will roll over, matchups against Emerson Royal (£4.5m) and an advanced Matty Cash (£5.3m) does feel appealing for the Reds’ left-winger.

Diaz is an intriguing differential for the run-in, and could be an explosive option for those willing to gamble on his minutes.

YERRY MINA

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lei + wat | BRE + CRY | ars

Yerry Mina (£4.9m) was back in the Everton starting XI in Gameweek 35 after he was rested for the defeat to Liverpool the previous weekend.

The Colombian international has only recently returned from a long-term quad issue and is being carefully managed, but has now had a clear week of training before making the trip to Leicester City on Sunday.

In his two outings since his return to fitness, it’s no coincidence the Toffees are unbeaten, with his presence in defence shoring up a backline that has struggled so often this season.

“With Yerry, I’m delighted he’s come back into the fray in terms of his fitness. You can see that leadership, presence and personality he brings. He is a big leader for us. It was great to see him play like that.” – Frank Lampard on Yerry Mina

Mina’s goal threat was a key part of his appeal when Everton spent £28m on him, having scored three headed goals for Colombia during their 2018 World Cup campaign. And it’s that potential from set-pieces that could be key in Double Gameweek 36, with opponents Leicester and Watford both susceptible to conceding chances from dead-ball situations.

Everton’s away form is a concern as they get set for two games on the road, but confidence is on the up following their 1-0 win over Chelsea, which moved them back within two points of Burnley and Leeds United, having played a game fewer.

Mina looks like an ideal gamble for the run-in, and could be set to put his threat inside the box to good use in Double Gameweek 36.

RIYAD MAHREZ

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 24 and beyond
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £8.6m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NEW + wol | whu | AVL

Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) has been in excellent goalscoring form for Manchester City this season.

The Algerian is the club’s overall top scorer with 24 goals in all competitions – next in the list is Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) with 15 – and clearly gives Pep Guardiola’s side something unique in attack.

Notably, only Salah can trump Mahrez’s 0.87 expected goal involvement (xGI) per minutes in 2021/22, whilst penalties are another nice route to points if City are handed a spot-kick.

NameGoalsStartsGoals per 90Mins-per-goalTotal shots
Mahrez11130.71127.157
De Bruyne11210.5317063
Sterling10210.46193.953

Riyad Mahrez has scored 11 goals in 13 Premier League starts in 2021/22

Of course, the above doesn’t necessarily mean Mahrez will start both matches in Double Gameweek 36, but like Diaz, it does feel like he has now worked his way into the best XI, which should ensure plenty of minutes during the run-in.

Man City now face Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers knowing they can’t slip up in the title race, which offers huge potential for their assets to haul in Double Gameweek 36 and beyond.

A move for any City midfielder this week certainly carries risk, but Mahrez’s potential is clear when handed minutes, which makes him such an exciting differential for the remainder of the season.


Full-year memberships, monthly subscriptions and a *FREE* trial are all now available.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to Members content in over 250+ articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT


697 Comments Post a Comment
  1. iCon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 29 days ago

    A. Holgate
    B. Tavares
    or
    C. Chambers

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 29 days ago

      B

    2. putana
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 29 days ago

      i was looking at holgate but apparently there is doubt if he starts both

    3. The Movement
        1 month, 29 days ago

        B

    4. The Red Devil
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 29 days ago

      At around 390k worst season ever, thinking of going out with a bang!
      Thinking of these moves for -12 & BB

      Ramsdale-> Schmeichel (more & easier games for latter)
      Robbo -> Laporte (will score around similar points?)
      Ramsey-> Son (major upgrade)
      Kane-> Richarlison (not a major downgrade, hoping kulu + son match Kane)
      Broja-> Nketiah (solid upgrade)

      Thoughts?

      1. iCon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 29 days ago

        Go for it!

      2. Traction Engine Foot
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 29 days ago

        Might as well go for it.

      3. No Need
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 29 days ago

        I took a -12 and I'm at 23k so why not, look at each move singularly and it makes more sense imo

        1. The Red Devil
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 29 days ago

          Cheers mate

      4. Fish up a tree
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 29 days ago

        Each of those moves could yield a nice profit so hit the button!

    5. SuperDan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 29 days ago

      Pukki or Dennis?

      1. iCon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 29 days ago

        Pukki, form just swings it I reckon

    6. FPL Maldini
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 29 days ago

      Who to start this week?

      a) Ayling (ars, CHE)

      b) Tarkowski (AVL)

      1. C_G
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 29 days ago

        b) in case Leicester concede 4+ in one of the games

    7. C_G
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 29 days ago

      want to use my BB but have no clue what to do, please help. sorry to ask again!

      Have 2 FTs, o ITB

      Kasper Carson

      TAA Robbo Amartey Schar Alonso

      Salah Mount Maddison Saka Ramsey

      Kane Weg Toney

      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 29 days ago

        Carson obviously needs to go. As does Schär, as does Ramsey, if injured. Downgrade Toney to fund other moves?

      2. The Movement
          1 month, 29 days ago

          Carson to Foster
          Toney to Nketiah

          1. The Movement
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Ramsey to Gordon
              Schar to who ever is best with what’s left. That is if you want to take - points after the initial 2FT

          2. iCon
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            Not set for BB really, even with 2 FTs...may be worth working towards a GW 38 BB giving you more t/fers to get a decent bench?

        • meshgearfox
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 29 days ago

          Rich & Kulu OR Nketiah & Mount?

          1. Hansel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            First

          2. The Movement
              1 month, 29 days ago

              1

          3. gmando2011
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            why are people transferring out all their Chelsea?

            1. Fish up a tree
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Fear of rotation!

          4. ADucksBehind
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            Havertz to Madison for free?

            1. fish&chips
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Yes

          5. Patson Dabaka
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            Both my rivals own Laporte. I'm about 30 points ahead of one of them but its really tight against the other one (4 points!) Should I go for...

            A) Laporte
            or
            B) Dias?

            1. The Mighty Hippo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Dias

              1. Patson Dabaka
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Thats what I'm thinking too 😀

          6. KUNingas
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            Which will score most?

            A) Kulusevski (liv, ARS)
            B) Matip (avl, TOT)
            C) Nketiah (LEE, tot)

            1. citizenkane
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              B higher floor C higher ceiling

            2. fish&chips
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              C

            3. Camzy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              C if I had to bet.

            4. KUNingas
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Thanks!

          7. shapply
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            think I won't change anything in that FH team

            Foster (Bachmann)
            Cancelo, Alonso, Tavares (Tsimikas, Kelly)
            Saka, Mahrez, Son, Salah, KDB
            Pukki, Richarlison (Kamara)

          8. dansmusen
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            On BB. Would this be ok for a whopping -12. White/Ramsey/Kane/Broja to Cancelo/Saka/Nketiah/Richarlison.

            1. fish&chips
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              As -12s go it's a good one. 4 good quality players coming in and only really kane going out who could hurt you

          9. G Banger
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            Exact cash to put the following FH together:

            Pickford
            Alonso TAA Cancelo
            Saka Son Salah Gordon KDB
            Nketiah Richarlson

            Any major omissions?

            1. Patson Dabaka
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Looks banging! Who you captaining?

              1. G Banger
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Thanks, between KDB and Salah atm, how about you?

                1. Patson Dabaka
                  • 6 Years
                  1 month, 29 days ago

                  Salah but if I had beautiful Kevin, I'd pick him no doubt!

                  1. G Banger
                    • 4 Years
                    1 month, 29 days ago

                    Think I need a bit of a differential, so hovering on KDB atm, also thinking of Rich + TAA => Jesus + Van Dijk, thoughts?

                    1. Patson Dabaka
                      • 6 Years
                      1 month, 29 days ago

                      TAA had a rest last gameweek. I'd be terrified not having him tbh mate

                      1. G Banger
                        • 4 Years
                        1 month, 29 days ago

                        Nice cheers

            2. camarozz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Isn't Richarlson flagged now tho?

              1. G Banger
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                So I've read, may switch Rich + TAA => Jesus + Van Dijk... thoughts?

            3. citizenkane
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              If I was FHing would look almost identical

          10. JJO
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            A) Foster + Ake + Dennis + Kane + 4
            B) Pickford + Dias + Jesus + Richa
            ( Would probably save FH for gw 38 if i choose B)?

            1. Gazza2000
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              B

          11. Kodap
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            Am I good to go guys?

            Schmeichal
            TAA - Robbo - Cancelo - James
            Salah - Son - Kulu - Saka - Cout
            Nketiah

            DDG - Weg - Mateta - Telles

            1. Biggsy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Yes

            2. G Banger
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Looks good, but lacks Man City attack for me

          12. fish&chips
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 29 days ago

            Havertz to mahrez for a -4? Will FH37 if it makes a difference

            1. DavvaMC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Probably the move I will be doing.

              1. fish&chips
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                It's tough... I'm on the fence for holding havertz or bringing in mahrez. Don't think any other mid is worth risking a -4 for but mahrez could easily hit a 20 pointer if he plays both

                1. DavvaMC
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  1 month, 29 days ago

                  I's Mahrez or Foden for me. If I went Foden I would have a better bench, if I went Mahrez only one bench starter.

                  1. FPL_ UP_Down
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 4 Years
                    1 month, 29 days ago

                    I’m on a same debate now
                    Already have Foden taking a punt going 2nd City Mid Havertz to Mahrez for -4

                    ** Tuchel hinted at a return to the starting XI for our no.9 Romelu Lukaku
                    ‘He trained very well, maybe he starts tomorrow, we'll see.’

                    Havertz Massive Sell!

                    1. DavvaMC
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 1 Year
                      1 month, 29 days ago

                      Lukaku could replace Werner though?

                      1. FPL_ UP_Down
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 4 Years
                        1 month, 29 days ago

                        I hope you’re right.

                        I already own James Maddison And Foden bit of headache they might only play one game.
                        High risk high rewards

          13. The Movement
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Who gets more minutes this gameweek please guys?

              A) Laporte
              B) Dias

              1. Eightball
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 29 days ago

                My guess would be Dias. Laporte looked like he was struggling at the end of the Madrid game.

            • pundit of punts
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              White and Barnes too much of a risk on BB?

              1. iCon
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                A risk for sure, but probably not worth -4s to move 'em on...hold and hope most likely?

            • LucasPodolski
              • 2 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Mount & Pukki or Mahrdz and Nketiah?

              1. Gazza2000
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                The latter two

            • umerlfc
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Best defender upto 4.6m?

              1. Gazza2000
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Tavares

            • Bobby Digital
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              I'd like to play JWP(bre), but who for?

              Foster
              TAA Laporte Roberts Clyne
              Salah(c) Son Maddison
              Pukki Kane Dennis

              Forster JWP White Ramsey

              0.0m itb, 0ft, FH and BB left

              1. Biggsy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Clyne

            • BantasyFootball
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Ramsey + Kane > Son + Richarlison?

              1. BantasyFootball
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 29 days ago

                (-4 hit)

              2. Bobby Digital
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Who comes on for Ramsey?

            • meshgearfox
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Mings best defender 5.1 or under for GW36 and 37? Someone else?

              1. Biggsy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                36 and 37 maybe one of the Palace guys - Guhei probably

            • rdpx
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Who do I really need to get rid of this week?

              Andersen
              Mateta
              Willock (definitely out)
              Weghorst
              Werner

              1 FT but taking BB hitz

              1. Biggsy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                If not FH for 37 I'd keep the Palace guys - other three can go for a -8

                1. rdpx
                  • 10 Years
                  1 month, 29 days ago

                  Yes I'm thinking FH next week

            • iCon
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Best defender for 4.4 or less for GW36 only? Tavares not an option as I've 3 Ars already

              1. antis0cial
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Holgate maybe? Not sure how nailed he is

            • Firminoooo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Pukki or Dennis to Richarlison?

              1. Biggsy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                I'd keep Pukki of the two

              2. Bavarian
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Keep both

              3. Firminoooo
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                On BB. Would mean -4.

            • G Banger
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              Last decision (I think):

              a) TAA + Richarlson
              b) Van Dijk + Jesus

              1. Traction Engine Foot
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                A

            • Bavarian
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              All set for the BB week....

              Schmeichel-Foster
              TAA-Matip-Cancelo-Laporte-Alonso
              Salah (C)-Son-Mount-Saka-Gordon
              Jesus-Dennis-Pukki

              1. Biggsy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Looks good

                1. Bavarian
                  • 4 Years
                  1 month, 29 days ago

                  Cheers mate

            • ct mariner
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              On FH - final choice:

              1. Matip and Greenwood (bench) - have TAA
              2. Holgate (bench) and Nketiah

              1. citizenkane
                • 3 Years
                1 month, 29 days ago

                Matip higher floor, Nketiah higher ceiling

            • cescpistols111
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 29 days ago

              BB36 G2G? 0FT, 0.0 ITB. Punting on Toney & Mateta in the SGW.

              FH37 to load up on AVL assets.

              Ramsdale Foster
              Robertson Cancelo Rudiger Fofana Johnson
              Salah Foden Mount Maddison Gordon
              Kane Toney Mateta