Pro Pundit Teams

My Gameweek 37 Free Hit draft: Triple Everton and Villa + three premium midfielders

We’re at the home stretch now and there are just two weeks to go of what feels like the longest Fantasy Premier League (FPL) season in memory. I was questioning my will to play this game when we were in December/January and fixtures were getting postponed left, right and centre but like you, I have persisted and now with the finish line in sight, I find myself limping rather than sprinting.

It’s been difficult to make up ground in the last few weeks. Chelsea have fallen off a cliff, affected by off-field issues. The Double Gameweeks which promised so much have been impacted on by the deep runs of teams in Europe (Leicester City and Liverpool) and the scheduling of the FA Cup during the season hasn’t helped matters, either.

Double Gameweek 37 looks like the last opportunity to make those surges up the mini-leagues and in this piece, I will be looking at the picks I am considering for my own Free Hit side.

Goalkeeper

Jordan Pickford (£4.8m)

Everton have shipped just one goal in their last four home matches and are ranked top for fewest big chances conceded (two) over that data sample. They are ranked 13th for shots on target conceded (18) which indicates that while Pickford is facing a lot of efforts, these are not high-quality chances – which bodes well for his save potential. 

This is probably one of the easiest picks of the week.

Defenders

Lucas Digne (£5.0m) vs Matty Cash (£5.3m)

A Villa defender is a must-have on a Free Hit and a case can be made for both the full-backs, given how much license Steven Gerrard gives them to get forward.

A look at the ‘expected’ data for the Villans’ last three matches indicates the differing roles that the full-backs play: Digne is very much the creator while Cash is the one making the runs into the box to score. To put it crudely, Digne is the Villa version of Reece James (£6.4m) and Cash is the Marcos Alonso (£5.7m) figure.

Above: Expected figures over the last three Villa matches, with Lucas Digne on the left and Matty Cash on the right

Digne has created eight chances since his return to the side while Cash has managed only three. The latter has managed two shots in the box and as many efforts on target while the Frenchman has had just one effort in the opposition area, which landed off target. The high rate of chance creation also means that Digne is favoured for bonus points. 

There are very few Fantasy managers, myself included, who haven’t been burned by Digne in the past, either at Everton or at Villa. So there is a natural aversion towards the Frenchman but I think he is the better option over Cash. 

Vitalii Mykolenko (£4.9m)

The Ukrainian full-back registered his first goal for Everton against Leicester with a well-taken attempt from outside the box. It was his only shot on target over the last six matches but as the below table from the Premium Members Area shows, he is top for chances created (five) amongst Everton defenders over the same period:

Granted, the average of less than one a game is not something to be enthused about but only Richarlison (six), Alex Iwobi (eight) and Anthony Gordon (10) have created more chances amongst Everton players over the aforementioned period. He also ranks sixth amongst their players for expected goal involvement (xGI, 0.84). 

Andrew Robertson (£7.3m)

The Scotland international was rested completely against Villa in Gameweek 36 and there should be no doubts about his game-time for the remainder of the season. That’s not a feeling I share about Trent Alexander-Arnold (£8.4m): with Liverpool playing in the FA Cup final on Saturday and then at Southampton on Tuesday, I fear he could be the one to get his breather next. 

Midfielders


It’s been a pleasure writing for you this season, I hope you have enjoyed reading these pieces and I am looking forward to the next campaign already.

See you then. 


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285 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    Bringing in Mahrez, what a season killer!

    1. Firminoooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      I know. Sterling to Mahrez for a hit allready cost me 20 points.

      1. FFFoxy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Same, why does he never play mahrez I just don’t get it

      2. Firminoooo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        And when I sell him…big haul.

  2. OptimusBlack
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    Pep don't like mahrez

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      KDB’s turn to get rested next match?

      1. lil sebastian
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Haven't they got 2 games left + win them both, they win the league?

  3. KAPTAIN KANE’S SON
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    PUKKI PARTYTIME

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Yeah, we finally need him to score a brace

  4. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    Kulu or Maddison on FH?

    1. Echoes
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Wait for Chelsea's result today. If they win, they'll be on the bench in 37 making Maddison a great option for the double.

      1. Echoes
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 26 days ago

        *beach

      2. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Cheers

  5. Arteta
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    Captain De Bruyne starts and that's all that really matters in a shitty gameweek like this.

  6. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    KDH enough bench on FH?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 26 days ago

      Yes, would gamble on that

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 26 days ago

        Cheers pal

  7. DARWIN'S DINOSAURS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 26 days ago

    A Caveat to the noise surrounding Zaha.
    I can hardly look at the home page of a YouTube video without seeing Zaha's face. Deemed essential by most; what about the down sides:
    He plays for Palace who are very poor away from home.
    You will probably be batting against your own defenders.
    His XGI is poor and with penalties a 40% chance of missing one.
    Can you really move out a similar priced player such as Kulu who could well outscore with one GW.
    Supposedly playing down the middle but not in the last game.
    If you wanna make ground, miss him out maybe.
    At least he plays ManU in 38 (smile)