FPL

Is the last day of the Premier League season a goal-fest?

The 2021/22 Premier League season draws to a close on Sunday, with many Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers anticipating a high-scoring round of fixtures.

But are there actually any facts to back this theory up?

We’ve analysed the final day of the last 10 Premier League seasons to find out.

SEASONAVERAGE GOALS PER GAME IN GAMEWEEK 38SEASON AVERAGE
2020/213.12.69
2019/203.32.72
2018/193.62.82
2017/183.12.68
2016/173.72.80
2015/163.52.70
2014/152.92.57
2013/142.82.77
2012/133.62.80
2011/123.22.81

For the sixth season running, the final day of the 2020/21 campaign produced a minimum of 30 goals, with 31 from the 10 matches played in Gameweek 38.

However, the most goals scored in a final Gameweek over the last 10 seasons is 37, with Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City all scoring five goals or more in 2016/17.

So, whatever the last games hold, recent history does suggest we’ll see a few more goals than usual.

Meanwhile, the highest-scoring game on the final day in the last 10 years was the epic 5-5 draw between West Bromwich Albion and Manchester United in Sir Alex Ferguson’s last game in charge.

Notably, Spurs have been involved in four of the six most recent goal-fests, with Leicester City featuring in two of the last three.

FINAL DAY GAMES WITH SIX OR MORE GOALS IN THE LAST 10 SEASONS:

  • West Bromwich Albion 5-5 Manchester United – 2012/13
  • West Ham United 4-2 Reading – 2012/13
  • Leicester City 5-1 Queens Park Rangers – 2014/15
  • Stoke City 6-1 Liverpool – 2014/15
  • Newcastle United 5-1 Tottenham Hotspur – 2015/16
  • Chelsea 5-1 Sunderland – 2016/17
  • Hull City 1-7 Tottenham Hotspur – 2016/17
  • Tottenham Hotspur 5-4 Leicester City – 2017/18
  • Crystal Palace 5-3 Bournemouth – 2018/19
  • Leicester City 2-4 Tottenham Hostpur – 2020/21

WHAT’S ON THE LINE IN GAMEWEEK 38?

Man City v Liverpool team news: Jota in for Diaz

The Premier League season is heading for an epic finale and there is still plenty to play for at both ends of the table as the campaign enters its final week.

The fight for fourth, the battle to avoid the drop, the tussle for the final UEFA Europa League qualifying spot and – if Liverpool don’t lose on Tuesday – the title race will all go down to the final day.

Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool, Man City, West Ham United, Man Utd, Leeds United and Burnley are the clubs who will have something tangible to contest, while Everton will be added to that group if they fail to beat Crystal Palace on Thursday.

GAMEWEEK 38 FIXTURES SORTED BY ATTACKING DIFFICULTY


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Join now to get the following:

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205 Comments Post a Comment
  1. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 19 days ago

    Lets hope so please!!!

  2. NateDog
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 19 days ago

    Funnily enough I just realised with my planed moves I'm going to end up playing 5-3-2. What a week to decide to do it on

    1. Dark Side Of The Loon!
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      5 3 2 here too

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      Ditto

  3. Royal5
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 19 days ago

    Any more rumors about Robbo missing out tonight? Got Kulusevskis 0 pointer first on the bench >:(

    1. Steve McCroskey
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      I'd like to know this too. My rival has Bruno G first on his bench which would bring us level on points going into the final round of games

  4. Dynamic Duos
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 19 days ago

    A or B?

    A) Zaha
    B) Bowen -4

    Team, please let me know your thoughts

    Pickford
    TAA Cancelo Royal
    Son Diaz Mount Maddison ***
    Vardy Richarlison

    Foster Watkins Johnson Lamptey

    Thanks

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      Stick with Zaha. I brought him in on WC37 with an eye on the United fixture

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      A

  5. Atimis
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 19 days ago

    Thoughts on these options ?

    1. Salah to Son (c)

    2. Salah Pukki to Kane (c) Maddison -4

    3. Other ?

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      1

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      1

  6. Dark Side Of The Loon!
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 19 days ago

    Which option:

    A) Mount + Alonso - 4
    B) Coutinho + James

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      A

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      A

  7. dshv
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 19 days ago

    What will happen with the leagues when the main players leave for World Cup??? Suspended or continue without key players??

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      WC break I would think

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 19 days ago

      Break from 14/11 - 26/12
      https://www.premierleague.com/news/2264107

    3. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      Suspended for 6 weeks, but the season is only expected to start a week earlier and finish a week later than the current season. So it's going to be a very cramped schedule.

      It will interesting to see what FPL does regarding chips, will we get an extra WC to use when the season resumes like we did after the Covid break ?

    4. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      Instead of a free WC. How about a chip that allows you to transfer ONLY any players flagged following World Cup injuries etc.

      1. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        That's what I'd liked to have seen over the last couple of seasons when we have been losing members of our squads to Covid through no fault of our own.

      2. The Mentaculus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 19 days ago

        I guess the 2nd WC would at least be made available from resumption (26/12) rather than GW19..?

        1. bitm2007
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Possibly but that would mess up the strategy for those of us who save that WC to set up BB.

    5. Deulofail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      Everyone will just use the WC to try and increase their value, the worst part of the FPL game. Adding another WC will be no different. I would like to see some other change to keep the game a bit purer in fantasy terms.

      Maybe allow us to save 3-5 FTs this season, making it a bit less obvious to play WC at that point.

      Or maybe WC should be 5FTs instead of unlimited, then give us a couple of them.

      Or just remove the WC chip and see how we deal with it! Could have a larger bench with a separate bench budget? And maybe allow us to play players in any position and pick up points based on the position they play (+ adjust the point system a bit).

      Ideally, the FPL game would suspend transfers during the World Cup so we don't have to resent the game making us signing in constantly to try and make value gains

      1. Whats the Mata?
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        There will be 50-60% less people playing the game if they complicate it so much.

        1. Deulofail
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Changing from 2 bankable FTs to 3 doesn't add any complexity to the game mechanics. I'm not saying they should make all these changes.

          That said, they aren't afraid to complicate things by adding the AOA or FH chips, nor by adding WC or FH chips midseason with a new rule that you can't do FHs back to back.

    6. Ian & Zen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Start of new season’s games will be fab as players will be keen to excel & get in their country’s World Cup squads. So many places up for grabs in England’s team, especially in defence

    7. NorCal Villan
        1 month, 18 days ago

        The WC is going to make this officially The Season from Hell

    8. Fernandito
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      A Mount & Toney
      B Vardy & Mbuemo/ Bruno G

      1. The White Pele
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        A

    9. Henryyy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      If Salah is out vs Wolves

      Salah Dias -> Son (c) James -4

      Yay or nay?

      1. The White Pele
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        yes

    10. The White Pele
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 19 days ago

      will Martinelli start vs Everton?

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Well ESR didn't light the world on fire...

      2. Username checks out
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Yes

      3. Bobby Digital
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Would you play

        A. Sessegnon(nor)
        or
        B. Nketiah(EVE)

        1. ViperStripes
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Sess

        2. sulldaddy
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          A easy. Frees up some cash, should get CS and may score too

      4. Cheeto__Bandito
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Jamie Vardy in court today lads

        1. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Why is that so?

          1. Bobby Digital
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 19 days ago

            Too much partying

          2. Cheeto__Bandito
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 19 days ago

            for his wife

      5. ViperStripes
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        To get in Son I need to downgrade TAA - that gives me 4.6m to sepnd on a defender. I have Schar and Mina on the bench.

        Tsimikas looks like a reasonable bet. Woudl go with Sessegnon, but I'll have Kulu and Kane alongside Son.

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Roberts?

          1. ViperStripes
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            1 month, 19 days ago

            Could be a good shout. Burnley have everythign to play for and Newcastle not normally a goal fest.

        2. Holmes
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Jansson

      6. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Exact money to do Salah & Watkins to Sterling & Vardy (-4).

        It is a sign..

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Assume you own son??

      7. Holmes
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Goals will be scored in games where you dont have any players, it will be bore-fest in games where you overload on attack 😆

        1. The Mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Burnley 4 - 5 Newcastle?

          1. Holmes
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 19 days ago

            wouldnt surprise me

      8. boc610
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        certain men's( Gordon Ramsey and Granit Xaka im looking at you ) obsession with testicles/cajones/ nuts/big bollocks as being some kind of totem of your ability to handle pressure and 'man up ' or grow a pair seems really redundant now. in fact it was probably redundant to begin with. As some one who has witnessed child birth 'having a pair' in probably the most stressfull situation on earth doesn't really help

        1. RN - Lyon Fan
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Huh?

          1. Holmes
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 19 days ago

            “If someone isn’t ready for this game, stay at home. It doesn’t matter the age. If you’re not ready or you’re nervous, stay on the bench, stay at home, don’t come here. We need people to have the balls to come here and play. We knew this game was maybe the most important for us but, with a performance like this, it’s not acceptable.”

            -xhaka

          2. The Mentaculus
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            1 month, 19 days ago

            Xhaka blaming his teammates. Stupid comments

        2. NateDog
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 19 days ago

          It's also a convenient way for a player to excuse themselves from losses and their own failures and shirking their own responsibilities. Fernandes has done it a few times this season. "We're so sorry, some people here aren't fit to wear the shirt, if you're not going to put in 100% then don't play", after himself disappearing and doing next to nothing for a number of games. Or even the classic breaking out of an organised line / press to run like a headless chicken at defenders, leaving gaps behind and exposing the rest of your team but then turning around and shouting at them as if you're great for making a little run and the rest are incompetent. Or just smashing a player for nothing and getting booked and being proud of it like you've helped your side.

        3. Monty the Magpie
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Definitely need balls for a game of footy, no?

        4. teneighty
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          “I like you, you have balls. I like balls."

        5. Deulofail
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          I agree, but at least he showed some awareness by saying something like, 'sorry to say', which is left out from the quote below from Holmes

          1. Holmes
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 19 days ago

            Sorry to say but that was copy paste from another site, no grudge against Xhaka 😀

            1. Deulofail
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 19 days ago

              I don't mind a grudge against Xhaka. He reminds me of my ex-housemate, who was not a nice person, sorry to say, and also had a quite an air of toxic masculinity about him 😀

      9. Cheeky Onion
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Only have 1 space left in the starting 11 and looking to replace Digne and/or Ings. Can do a straight swap for an average player or take a hit to get a premium.

        A) Ings > Toney
        B) Digne > Dier/Jansson/Cucurella
        C) Ings + Digne > Tsimikas + Jesus (-4)
        D) Ings + Digne > James + Nketiah/Origi (-4)

        I like D with Origi

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          D with Nketiah is decent. What about B with Sess?

          1. Cheeky Onion
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 19 days ago

            Already have Sess - backline is Matip, Cancelo, Sess

            I liking the Origi punt - he can start for maybe Richarlison or be 1st bench so no pressure if he doesn't start. If he does, I could see a haul in his final Anfield match - or maybe I'm just a romantic

      10. FOMFF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Best FWD for 38 at 7.8m?

        A. Antonio
        B. Toney
        C. Pukki
        D. ASM

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          B

        2. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Wilson? Toney if not

      11. Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Is it worth selling Pukki (TOT) for -4 for any striker below 9.1m (not Jesus)?

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Wilson could be a nice punt if chasing! Looked amazing last night. But comes with a risk

        2. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Or Toney as mentioned above

      12. NateDog
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 19 days ago

        https://mobile.twitter.com/FabrizioRomano/status/1526526194237177858

        After signing Christiansen, Barca are now trying to sign another 2/3s of Chelsea's defence, both Alonso and Azpilicueta

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Liverpool need to raid the Soton squad, it has been a while.

      13. Weasel51
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Trent, Salah and Watkins > Dier, KDB and Kane (-4)

        Worth it?

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          If you own Son yes!

        2. Cheeky Onion
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Looks good to me. I take it you already have Sessegnon?

      14. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Best move here? Will captain Kane or Son.

        A. Salah >> Son
        B. Salah+Dennis >> Kane+Kulu/Barnes/Maddy/Bowen (-4)
        C. Salah+KDH >> Son+Kulu/Barnes (-4)

        Schmeichel
        TAA Robbo Cancelo Laporte Davies
        Salah KDB Saka Mount
        Nketiah
        (Foster, Pukki, KDH, Dennis*)

        1. Atimis
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Somehow similar team and dilemma, thinking about just Son (c) as I'm leading my ML for now. -4 last GW sounds somehow risky.

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 19 days ago

            What you planning if Salah is fit?

            1. Atimis
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 19 days ago

              Still can't look past Spurs fixture but much depends on the title race status as well

              1. RAFA THE GAFFA
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 19 days ago

                I’d need to lose Mount to get Salah and Son

      15. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Follow on to the above question, which mid you picking this GW?

        A. Barnes
        B. Maddison
        C. Kulu
        D. Bowen

        1. Cojones of Destiny
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          B

        2. cravencottage
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          e-Diaz

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 19 days ago

            Can’t afford 🙁

        3. sulldaddy
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          B from this list

      16. cutch
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Of course, waiting for news, but for the moment, selling Salah and a forward for a hit (-4). Then:

        Who should I out?
        A) Salah + Richarlison (play KDH, bench Dennis)
        B) Salah + Dennis (play Rich, bench KDH)

        Which FW shoud I transfer in?
        1) Kane
        2) Vardy

        Which MF should I transfer in?
        3) Maddison (outpriced if I sell Dennis instead of Rich!)
        4) Diaz (outpriced if Kane!)
        5) Jota (outpriced if Kane!)
        6) 5.8 MF (Odegaard?) (maximum I can afford if B1)

        1. cutch
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          If A, I might play Ben Davies instead of KDH)

      17. OLA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 19 days ago

        KDB to Make and will be targeting Norwich, South, Watford and Wolves altogether (Son, Kane, James, Mount and Madd already in the team). Guess that teams have the most poor defensive.

        Thoughts?

        1. Deulofail
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Most of that short post you have written has nothing to do with the KDB to Mane decision. The move doesn't affect Son, Kane, James, Mount or Maddison. Are you just flexing? 😛

        2. Cheeky Onion
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Are you using a second transfer to improve the squad after KDB > Mane? If not, then I'd hold KDB

          1. OLA
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 19 days ago

            No, considering just this move (KDB to Mane).

            Think KDB is better option?

            1. Cheeky Onion
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 19 days ago

              I think so - will reassess after today's lineups are released.

      18. Cojones of Destiny
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        get:
        a. Diaz
        b. Barnes

        1. cravencottage
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          a

        2. sulldaddy
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          A

      19. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Do you think TAA and Robbo both miss out tonight?

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          I think so

        2. Holmes
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          yep, not worth risking

        3. cutch
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Likely yes. But with no VVD either, maybe Klopp wants to have at least one of their regular defenders playing. We'll know soon.

        4. Mr Ozil
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          Logically yes, but if VVD is out
          I think one of the full backs might start

      20. Eastman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 19 days ago

        Who is the best replacement if Salah is out for 38:
        A. KDB
        B. Son (have Kane)

        1. Cojones of Destiny
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 19 days ago

          son + kane combo

      21. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Dubravka
        TAA James Laporte Cancelo
        Son Kulu Coutinho Saka
        Richarlison Kane
        (Pickford - Digne Ramsey 4.5fwd)

        A) Coutinho to Mount
        B) Coutinho to Diaz/Jota

        C) A plus Ramsey to Wissa/Eriksen (-4)*
        D) A plus Digne to Alonso (-4)*
        E) A or B plus Richarlison to Toney (-4)*

        *In these cases Richarlison benched or sold

      22. dshv
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Salah to Kdb for the final 38? 5k rank want to stay there

        Casper
        Taa robbo alonso cancelo
        Saka son **** kulusevski mount
        Richarlison

        Nketiah cash pukki