Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 38

Gameweek 38 offers Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

YOANE WISSA

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW38 fixture: LEE

Despite a stop-start debut season at Brentford, Yoane Wissa (£5.7m) has been one of his team’s top performers of late.

The Congolese winger joined from French side Lorient for £8.5m in August but has taken time to adjust to Thomas Frank’s approach.

Earlier in the season, he came off the bench to score in successive matches against Liverpool and West Ham United, but was then dropped after his manager said he needed to “work harder off the ball”.

However, Wissa’s performances have picked up in his two most recent outings and there are clear signs that he is finally starting to settle. Against Southampton in Gameweek 36, his strike from outside of the box was impressive, before he then created one goal and scored another at Goodison Park last weekend.  

In spite of that mixed start, Wissa is Brentford’s second-top scorer in the league this season behind Ivan Toney (£6.8m). He has seven goals, which is a very decent return considering he has only started 11 of the 37 matches. As a result, his 0.49 goals per 90 minutes ranks tenth among all Premier League players, highlighting his potential when afforded pitch time. Bryan Mbeumo (£5.2m), meanwhile, who has partnered Toney up front for much of the season, has started 33, yet has only found the net on four occasions.

An excellent 10-game run has seen Brentford leap up to 11th in the Premier League table, with a potential top-half finish on offer if they can beat Leeds United at home on the final day. Only Watford have kept fewer clean sheets than the Whites this season and while Jesse Marsch did oversee an initial defensive improvement, the fixtures have stiffened over the last four Gameweeks and the goal concessions have been flying in again.

Wissa’s place in the starting XI isn’t completely assured, especially when Frank uses a 3-5-2 formation. However, recent performances have been very good in a 4-3-3, which suggests he will be handed another opportunity to impress from the left in Gameweek 38.

EMERSON ROYAL

Emerson Royal offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season
  • FPL ownership: 2.3%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW38 fixture: nor

Following the inclusion of Ryan Sessegnon (£4.3m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Emerson Royal (£4.6m).

Owned by just 2.3% of FPL managers, the wing-back has recently been handed a run of starts and stepped up in the absence of Matt Doherty (£4.5m) following his season-ending injury.

From Gameweek 31 onwards, Emerson has returned a goal, four clean sheets and two bonus across his eight appearances, producing 38 FPL points. Amongst all defenders, only Joel Matip (£5.2m), Marcos Alonso (£5.7m) and Marc Cucurella (£4.9m) have managed more, while he also ranks sixth for expected goal involvement (xGI) in that time.

The question for many is, which of Antonio Conte’s wing-backs is the better pick for Gameweek 38? In truth, they are both excellent options, but when comparing Emerson and Sessegnon’s underlying numbers since Gameweek 34, the latter has been the more creative of the pair, laying on a whopping five big chances for his team-mates. However, Royal edges the goal threat metrics, leading on goal attempts (6/3) shots in the box (5/3), efforts on target and big chances (both 2/0).

At this stage, we should point out that this is a very small sample size we are working with, but the above data is encouraging ahead of Sunday’s trip to Carrow Road. It’s also worth noting that Norwich City’s left side has been susceptible to conceding chances all season, with Dimitris Giannoulis (£4.4m) run ragged by Chiquinho (£5.5m) at Molineux last time out.

Royal has impressed for Spurs of late and now showing increased consistency, could be an effective differential for the final day.

CALLUM WILSON

Newcastle and Man City differentials to consider for Gameweek 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW38 fixture: bur

Callum Wilson (£7.1m) turned in a man-of-the-match display on his return to action in Gameweek 37 after four months out.

The former Bournemouth man played just under 90 minutes and could have scored twice, whilst also playing a crucial role in both of his side’s goals.

Offering a different dynamic to that of Chris Wood (£6.3m), Wilson bullied the Gunners’ defence and ran the channels brilliantly, ending the match with team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box and penalty box touches.

“Immense performance when you consider how long he’s been out and the type of injury it was. To deliver that on his first game back, I can’t say enough positive words about that performance. You see behind the scenes how he’s conducted himself and how hard he’s worked and it doesn’t surprise me because I’ve seen it times before in previous years but you have to back it with the performance.” – Eddie Howe on Callum Wilson

Wilson has missed a large chunk of the 2021/22 season but despite his lengthy absence, is still Newcastle’s top scorer this season with six goals. It’s also worth noting that he has found the net at a rate of a goal almost every other game since moving to Tyneside, with an impressive 18 in 38 starts.

Now, he will be hoping to add to that tally and end his season on a high when Eddie Howe’s side travel to Burnley on Sunday. The Clarets are fighting for their lives near the bottom of the table, but have allowed 11 goals in their last six home matches, whilst also conceding the fourth-most chances from the centre of the pitch under Mike Jackson, an area Wilson thrives in.

And Newcastle are in very good form, too. In fact, only Liverpool, Manchester City and Spurs have taken more points since the turn of the year.

Wilson is a real difference-maker for Newcastle, and could be a decent mid-price punt for those willing to take a gamble in Gameweek 38.

Who are the best FPL captain options for Gameweek 32?


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756 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pringle
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    What do you prefer?

    A. Havertz
    B. Diaz (-4)

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A if fit

    2. lilmessipran
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A should start and vs Watford that could mean points

  2. Lovren an elevator
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Who are the likely starting front 3's for City and Liverpool on Sunday?

    1. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      who knows, maybe

      Sterling, Foden, Mahrez

      Jota, Mane, Diaz

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Round and round the wheel goes, where it stops nobody knows.

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Jota Mané Díaz
      Sterling Jesus Foden

  3. Tcheco
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    A. Son

    B. KDB

    1. RedRo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A

    2. lilmessipran
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A

    3. Il Capitano
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A

    4. Tcheco
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Thank you. I’m surprised it’s unanimous

  4. RedRo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 month, 18 days ago

    If rival is 8 points ahead and likely to bring in Son (c) for Salah and I’m going KDB (c) to differentiate should I still do Salah to Son or really bet against him with Salah -> Diaz or keep Salah or something?

    1. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      just 8pts, go with Son move.

      1. RedRo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Thanks mate

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Go differential - if you bring in Son & don't cap, you're falling behind with every point he scores. Try Diaz/Mané/Mount

      1. RedRo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Thank you!

  5. lilmessipran
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Start one-

    A Davies
    B Richa

    1. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Richarlison

  6. quayle99
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Ramsdale
    Trent Cancelo Amarety
    Son(v) Barnes Saka Zaha
    Rich Nketia Kane(c)

    Sanchez Kulu Cash Tsimikas

    I'm quite happy with the team. Only one I'm thinking of replacing is

    Cash to Targett and play over Amartey?
    Or anyone else need replacing more

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Boring defender move seems good

  7. Il Capitano
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 18 days ago

    1FT 0.4ITB

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Laporte
    Son Saka Kulu
    Kane Rich Nketiah

    Foster - Raph Gordon Digne

    Rich > Toney or Raph > Barnes (bench Rich)?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Toney

      1. Il Capitano
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Ta

  8. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    So based on Klopp's comments, it's not worth taking the risk and keep Salah.

    Who are you selling Salah for?

    A) Son (also have Kane)
    B) Mane
    C) KDB

    1. lilmessipran
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A

  9. grennans2
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Best option?

    A) Salah > Mane (Start Jesus and James)
    B) Salah and Jesus > Kane & Diaz (-4) (Start James)
    C) Salah & James > Mane & Sessignon (-4) (Start Jesus)

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      A and roll the dice

  10. Qaiss
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Play Pukki or bring in James for a -4 to block rival? Own Alonso

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      James

    2. sunzip14
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Pukki

  11. anish10
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Which one:

    A) Salah > Son
    B) Salah > Mane

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Mane still do better when no Mo? Was that ever really a thing?

    2. artvandelay316
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 18 days ago

      I think Son more likely to haul than Mane. Liverpool tend to share the spoils between various teammates whereas Spurs goals tend to centre around the front three, in recent matches at least. Famous last words... it'll be a haul for Davies now I said that!

  12. Gunnerssss
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Watkins jota to Toney and bowen for -4
    Or toney and mount for -4 is better?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Mount

  13. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Who scores most?

    Richarlison

    or

    Havertz (-4)

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Both 2 points

    2. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      could be diaz over havertz actually

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Better

  14. sunzip14
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Defending a 49 point lead and he has TC left.

    Salah> Son a no brainer to block him?

    1. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      yep

      he probably wont go with Son TC anyway, at least I wouldnt go if I was your rival

      1. sunzip14
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Thanks. You know I am getting Son, he doesn't though 😀

        1. Holmes
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          I would still predict you getting Son even if I didnt know. Thats an easy move to predict 😀

          1. sunzip14
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 18 days ago

            That, it is 😀 Hope the season ends well for us. Thanks for the feedback, as always.

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Yup

  15. Ibralicious
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 18 days ago

    Salah –> Son (FT) the only obvious move here?

    Schmeichel
    Robertson - Cancelo - Alonso - Matip
    Salah* - KDB - Mount - Coutinho - Saka
    Nketiah

    (Foster - (Cash - Pukki - Dennis) – 0.3 ITB

    Cheers!

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Coutinho out probably worth a hit

    2. artvandelay316
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Yes it is the obvious one

  16. LosSurenos
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Leading ML by 14 points going into GW38. Few issues as only have 1FT and 0.3 ITB, anything obvious? Thinking maybe just Salah to KDB or Salah/Ings to Mount/Kane -4? Rival has Kane/Mount/Saka/James.

      Ramsdale (Sanchez)
      Cancelo TAA Gabriel Rudiger (Dalot)
      Son Salah Rodri Kulusevski Martinelli
      Ings (Broja Dennis)

      Cheers

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        I'd take a hit or two, you'll still be up a few points and wouldn't be starting Martinelli or Ings

    • artvandelay316
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Current mid and forwards:
      Kulu, Saka, KDB, Mount, Zaha
      Kane, Rich

      Pretty much set on doing KDB to Son this week, but as a second transfer should I (choose a letter a number)...
      A) Sell Saka
      B) Sell Kulu
      C) Sell Zaha

      1) Buy Maddison
      2) Buy Barnes
      3) Buy Bernardo
      4) Buy Rodrigo

      1. Prinzhorn
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Zaha - Maddison seems sensible

      2. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Saka to Madds

    • Prinzhorn
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Schmeichel
      Robertson - Cancelo - James
      Son (C) - Kulu - Diaz - Saka
      Kane - Richarlison - Nketiah

      B: Forster - White - Guehi - Gordon

      GTG?

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Thumbs up

    • JBG
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Which option?

      a) Raphinha to Luis Diaz and play Ings or Gordon

      b) Ings+Raphinha to Wilson+Diaz -4 and start Wilson over Gordon

      B doesn't have to be Wilson can be anyone around 7.5 or under.

      1. No Kane No Gain
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        B but maybe consider Toney instead of Wilson?!

        1. JBG
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Yeah Toney was my other option tbf

    • No Kane No Gain
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Is there any low budget player worth a -4 this week?! Like a sessegnon or Toney or Matip?!

      Looking for a nice filler to get rid of Dennis or Myko with 1m itb

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Sessegnon and Toney good options for surr

      2. Holmes
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Sess, Toney, Matip are decent options

        Jansson and Wilson might also work

    • Tsparkes10
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Soy to Sessegnon or James worth a hit?

      Means benching Nketiah, Rich or Matip

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Then no

    • Bavarian
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Scores Prediction:

      NOR vs TOT
      ARS vs EVE

      1. No Professionals
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        0-3
        2-1

      2. Holmes
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        1-1
        3-1

    • No Professionals
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      4 point lead (so basically nothing) in my main ML.

      Schmeichel
      Robertson Cancelo James
      KDB Son(c) Saka Gordon
      Vardy Richarlison Mateta

      Sanchez Schar Cash Ramsey
      1FT 0.3

      rival will roll the dice, they'll definitely take a hit.

      A) Cash and Ramsey to Sessegnon and Eriksen (bench Gordon and Mateta)
      B) Cash and Saka to Sessegnon and Mount (play Mateta)

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        B

        1. No Professionals
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          with B it would be tempting to just avoid the hit as Saka could do ok

          1. Fulchester's New Centr…
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 18 days ago

            Tricky. Wheels seem to have come off Arsenal, but Everton players could still be all pissed come kick off.

            Like Sess and Mount is a flat track bully, even (C) material.

            1. No Professionals
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 18 days ago

              yeah, to be honest mount is the one that worries me most (in terms of not owing)

              1. tokara
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 18 days ago

                Chelsea cant score agst Leicester

    • Flynny
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 18 days ago

      Salah and vvd owners....are you selling?

      No idea on game time

      Salah to son seems simple move

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        If any doubt, might as well get rid

      2. DelPiero10
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Van Dijk isn't in my squad but I do have Salah in there and I will most likely sell him this week. Moving to Son is the easiest transfer you'll make all season. For me, it's a clear swap to Mane as I have Son, Foden, Mount, and Saka.

      3. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Lazy question. Nothing to play for at all so just brainstorming.

        A. Any keeper, def, forward or mid under 10 million for free
        B. Sonny for a hit
        C. Mane for 2 hits
        D. Kev for more hits than I can be botherd to work out

        1. FF Dirtbag
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Son for a hit. No doubt.

          1. Fulchester's New Centr…
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 18 days ago

            Thanks. I don't doubt he'll get plenty of points, but is it the funnest(?) move I can make?

        2. No Kane No Gain
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          A Luis Diaz

          1. Fulchester's New Centr…
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 18 days ago

            Thanks, had considered him

      4. how now brown cow
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Schmeical
        TAA Davies Alonso Laporte
        Son Zaha Foden Saka
        Richarlison Nketiah

        Foster Watkins Gordon Cash

        Is Watkins to Kane the most straightforward decision ever?

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          It is up there

        2. FF Dirtbag
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          No hit? Just straight FT? Then yes.

        3. Il Capitano
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Yes

        4. My heart goes Salalalalah
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Vardy

      5. FF Dirtbag
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Is this worth it?
        Salah and richarlison -> Maddison and Kane (-4)

        Team at the mo (1FT. 0ITB)
        Pope
        TAA Cancelo Laporte T.Silva
        Salah Son Kulu Mount Saka
        Richarlison

        Foster; Nketiah, Mateta, white

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Yes

          1. FF Dirtbag
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 18 days ago

            Cheers fulchester

      6. DV8R
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Saka to Maddison worth a -4? Already doing Salah to Son

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Probably

        2. FF Dirtbag
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          I don't think so quite... Saka could get something.

          1. FF Dirtbag
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 18 days ago

            Everton will have been partying, on the beach and arsenal will be hoping spurs do a monumental slip up.

      7. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Not sure if I should double up on Liverpool or Chelsea?

        A. Mane & Diaz
        B. Mount & Havertz

        Or maybe brining in Leicester? Maddison or Barnes

        Thanks

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          A

          1. DavvaMC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 18 days ago

            Oooops just realised I already have two Pool so need to choose between

            A. Mane
            B. Diaz

            Would would you bring in for Mahrez?

            A. Barnes
            B. Maddison
            C. Kulu
            D. Brentford

            Thanks

            1. Fulchester's New Centr…
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 18 days ago

              Madds most exciting seems to be in one of his hot streaks; Barnes is a troll; like Kulu, he'll likely get something, but not a monster score; Leeds will be trying their best even if that is not very good

              1. DavvaMC
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 18 days ago

                Do you think Maddison starts, can't see why he would not right?

                1. Fulchester's New Centr…
                  • 4 Years
                  1 month, 18 days ago

                  At home, last game of season, against team who are going nowhere and who they put to the sword a year or two ago, next match in August, got to start.

        2. The Mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 18 days ago

          Mount & Mané (or Diaz if you cant afford)

      8. DF Team
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 18 days ago

        Lukaku and Mane the differentials this week?

        1. Peps Pups
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 18 days ago

          They are great shouts to gain rank

          1. Peps Pups
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 18 days ago

            minWould lean towards Mane, as more to play for and very likely to play full 90min