Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 38

Gameweek 38 offers Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

YOANE WISSA

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW38 fixture: LEE

Despite a stop-start debut season at Brentford, Yoane Wissa (£5.7m) has been one of his team’s top performers of late.

The Congolese winger joined from French side Lorient for £8.5m in August but has taken time to adjust to Thomas Frank’s approach.

Earlier in the season, he came off the bench to score in successive matches against Liverpool and West Ham United, but was then dropped after his manager said he needed to “work harder off the ball”.

However, Wissa’s performances have picked up in his two most recent outings and there are clear signs that he is finally starting to settle. Against Southampton in Gameweek 36, his strike from outside of the box was impressive, before he then created one goal and scored another at Goodison Park last weekend.  

In spite of that mixed start, Wissa is Brentford’s second-top scorer in the league this season behind Ivan Toney (£6.8m). He has seven goals, which is a very decent return considering he has only started 11 of the 37 matches. As a result, his 0.49 goals per 90 minutes ranks tenth among all Premier League players, highlighting his potential when afforded pitch time. Bryan Mbeumo (£5.2m), meanwhile, who has partnered Toney up front for much of the season, has started 33, yet has only found the net on four occasions.

An excellent 10-game run has seen Brentford leap up to 11th in the Premier League table, with a potential top-half finish on offer if they can beat Leeds United at home on the final day. Only Watford have kept fewer clean sheets than the Whites this season and while Jesse Marsch did oversee an initial defensive improvement, the fixtures have stiffened over the last four Gameweeks and the goal concessions have been flying in again.

Wissa’s place in the starting XI isn’t completely assured, especially when Frank uses a 3-5-2 formation. However, recent performances have been very good in a 4-3-3, which suggests he will be handed another opportunity to impress from the left in Gameweek 38.

EMERSON ROYAL

Emerson Royal offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season
  • FPL ownership: 2.3%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW38 fixture: nor

Following the inclusion of Ryan Sessegnon (£4.3m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Emerson Royal (£4.6m).

Owned by just 2.3% of FPL managers, the wing-back has recently been handed a run of starts and stepped up in the absence of Matt Doherty (£4.5m) following his season-ending injury.

From Gameweek 31 onwards, Emerson has returned a goal, four clean sheets and two bonus across his eight appearances, producing 38 FPL points. Amongst all defenders, only Joel Matip (£5.2m), Marcos Alonso (£5.7m) and Marc Cucurella (£4.9m) have managed more, while he also ranks sixth for expected goal involvement (xGI) in that time.

The question for many is, which of Antonio Conte’s wing-backs is the better pick for Gameweek 38? In truth, they are both excellent options, but when comparing Emerson and Sessegnon’s underlying numbers since Gameweek 34, the latter has been the more creative of the pair, laying on a whopping five big chances for his team-mates. However, Royal edges the goal threat metrics, leading on goal attempts (6/3) shots in the box (5/3), efforts on target and big chances (both 2/0).

At this stage, we should point out that this is a very small sample size we are working with, but the above data is encouraging ahead of Sunday’s trip to Carrow Road. It’s also worth noting that Norwich City’s left side has been susceptible to conceding chances all season, with Dimitris Giannoulis (£4.4m) run ragged by Chiquinho (£5.5m) at Molineux last time out.

Royal has impressed for Spurs of late and now showing increased consistency, could be an effective differential for the final day.

CALLUM WILSON

Newcastle and Man City differentials to consider for Gameweek 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW38 fixture: bur

Callum Wilson (£7.1m) turned in a man-of-the-match display on his return to action in Gameweek 37 after four months out.

The former Bournemouth man played just under 90 minutes and could have scored twice, whilst also playing a crucial role in both of his side’s goals.

Offering a different dynamic to that of Chris Wood (£6.3m), Wilson bullied the Gunners’ defence and ran the channels brilliantly, ending the match with team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box and penalty box touches.

“Immense performance when you consider how long he’s been out and the type of injury it was. To deliver that on his first game back, I can’t say enough positive words about that performance. You see behind the scenes how he’s conducted himself and how hard he’s worked and it doesn’t surprise me because I’ve seen it times before in previous years but you have to back it with the performance.” – Eddie Howe on Callum Wilson

Wilson has missed a large chunk of the 2021/22 season but despite his lengthy absence, is still Newcastle’s top scorer this season with six goals. It’s also worth noting that he has found the net at a rate of a goal almost every other game since moving to Tyneside, with an impressive 18 in 38 starts.

Now, he will be hoping to add to that tally and end his season on a high when Eddie Howe’s side travel to Burnley on Sunday. The Clarets are fighting for their lives near the bottom of the table, but have allowed 11 goals in their last six home matches, whilst also conceding the fourth-most chances from the centre of the pitch under Mike Jackson, an area Wilson thrives in.

And Newcastle are in very good form, too. In fact, only Liverpool, Manchester City and Spurs have taken more points since the turn of the year.

Wilson is a real difference-maker for Newcastle, and could be a decent mid-price punt for those willing to take a gamble in Gameweek 38.

Who are the best FPL captain options for Gameweek 32?


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756 Comments Post a Comment
  1. kid_a19862
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Upgrade White to James or Ramsey to Maddison? (The other one will be first sub)

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Madds

    2. dwain100
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Maddison

  2. Cojones of Destiny
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Possible No show for below two players who'd you lose:
    a. Jota
    b. Mahrez
    c. Lose both for a hit

    1. buzzkill
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Spend the points and get nailed starters for 38. Can't afford risks if there's rumours of no shows

  3. Malinwa
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Would you do this move: Havertz > Mount (-4) ?

    1. Kante Touch This
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      No, Hav will play on Sunday

      1. Echoes
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 17 days ago

        How certain are we about this?

        1. Kante Touch This
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          He came on yesterday for a run about, Lukaku was poor as usual, I'm not certain but I'd bet on it

  4. lilmessipran
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Start one-

    A Richa
    B Davies

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  5. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Who to play?

    1. Richa
    2. Pukki

    A) Schmeichel
    B) Ramsdale

    1. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      1A

  6. Atimis
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Leading by ~40 points, probably doing Salah to Son (c), would you say I win the ML ?

    Ederson
    TAA/Robo/Cancelo/Alonso
    Salah/KDB/Mount/Saka/Kulu
    Pukki

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Yes, providing he has 6-7 similar picks and not a chip

      1. Atimis
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        It is my:
        Ederson, Cancelo, Robo, Alonso, KDB, Mount, Pukki

        to his:
        Pope, Matip, Laporte, Foden, Maddison, Jesus, Werner/Toney

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Quite different then. I’d expect a win with 40 more but he does have a small chance, 5-10%

    2. JT11fc
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Easy win, unless Villa and Wolves score and Son smashes it

    3. Atimis
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Cheers guys and good luck!

  7. Tsssst
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Jota, Ings, Coutinho > Mount, Jesus, Bowen -8 worth a dabble?

  8. Pep Roulette
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    On FH

    A. Robbo, Eriksen, Gelhardt(bench)
    B. Matip, Maddison, Barnes(bench)

    1. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 17 days ago

      B.

    2. Atimis
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      50/50 imo

  9. JT11fc
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    FH team gtg? 0.itb

    Sanchez
    James Sessegnon Matip
    Son Diaz Mane Mount Wissa
    Vardy Kane

    3.9 Amartey Kelly 4.4

    1. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Interesting team. 7 different players 🙂

      1. JT11fc
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Im loving the options haha

    2. tokara
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      No City

      1. JT11fc
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Their mids stuffed me this season haha and the last time I was doing well too, I expect them to concede aswell

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Looks strong. Sanchez a bit random. Also Wissa / Eriksen must be close call?

      1. JT11fc
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Sanchez for budget reasons, only really gone Wissa for more goal threat

    4. Shayben
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      kinda like it

  10. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Great picks Tom! Really think Wilson will bang at least 1

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      And Toney 2

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Not as sure and he’s not much of a differential

      2. Klaren
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Toney better choice than Wilson. Burnley will park the bus.

  11. Tsparkes10
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Anything worth a hit? Feel free to fire your own question 🙂

    Pickford
    TAA Cancelo Alonso Matip
    Son KDB Madi Saka
    Nketiah Rich
    (Foster, Gordon, Soyuncu, Dennis)

    1. The White Pele
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Rich to Toney

  12. The White Pele
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    best 4.6 defender? (not Sessegnon).

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Bavies

    2. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Jansson

      1. The White Pele
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        better than Henry?

        1. Holmes
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          set-piece threat helps. Henry good from open play.

          1. The White Pele
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            cheers

    3. tokara
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Royal

    4. balint84
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      White or Davies

    5. The White Pele
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      thanks all

  13. balint84
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    Holgate to
    A) Sessigno
    B) Dier
    C) Matip (have Robbo)
    D) James (have Alonso)

    1. tokara
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

    2. balint84
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Davies or White

    3. rilo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      A

  14. tokara
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 17 days ago

    My FH Team
    541

    Schmeichel
    Sess // Robbo // Alonso // James // Lap
    Erik // Barnes // Diaz // Son // KDB
    Kane

    Any comments?

    1. TopBinFC
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Similar to mine, I have Mount instead of Diaz. And Saka instead of Barnes

        1. tokara
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Going 451 too?

      • madmafc
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 17 days ago

        I suggest

        Maddison/Mount for Diaz/Eriksen if you have the funds

        Play 4-5-1

    2. Holmes
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      So it has come down to this. Would you prefer:

      A) Toney, Mane, Sessgnon
      B) Trent, Luis Diaz, Rudiger

      1. tokara
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        B

      2. Botman and Robben
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        B

      3. Holmes
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Thanks both, will be close

      4. RedRo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Both look decent but slight preference for B mate

      5. Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        B

    3. Mane Mane Mane
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Do we reckon both Vardy and Lukaku start this weekend?

      1. zon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Neither imo

      2. Holmes
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Vardy, yes
        Luka, not sure

      3. rilo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Lukaku yes IMO
        Vardy, probably yes but who knows

    4. pingissimus
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Reducing my hit average in the last 10 weeks to a disappointing 7.6 I arrive at this -4

      Pope
      Rudiger Alonso Cancelo
      Zaha Son Maddison Mount Cornet
      Kane Rich

      Pickford Andersen Mateta Cash

      A. Play Pickford?
      B. Nowt to play for. Get Wilson or Toney for Rich?

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Play Pope and B. Get Wilson if you want to have some fun.

        1. pingissimus
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Ty

      2. Holmes
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        nope. pope.
        keep richarlison. arsenal leaking goals. could be a goal fest.

    5. Fit_to_drop
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      How did Vardy perform last night? Worth signing on FH alongside Kane?

      1. rilo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Yes, but imo he might not start

        1. Fit_to_drop
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          I dont want risky non starters so thats him out so. Might just go with Toney as Everton could be on holudays and dont want to risk Richarlison

    6. balint84
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Why is Sessegnon more popular in FPL than Davies?

      1. Holmes
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        price. position.

      2. Fit_to_drop
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Looked threatening in recent games and is almost playing as a left winger. Crossing a lot.

      3. Black Knights
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        One is a marauding LWB getting in the box at every opportunity, the other is a CB.

    7. Dynamic Duos
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Differential McCappo?

      1. JBG
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Mount? Kane(slight diff)? Mane? Diaz? or even CR

      2. rilo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 17 days ago

        CR7, Mount, James

    8. rilo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 17 days ago

      Hi,

      Jota -> Mount (I have Diaz) and Weghorst -> Toney for -4 ?

    9. TopBinFC
        1 month, 17 days ago

        Horrible GW, dropped from 60k to 115k.

        What are the chances Salah plays this week?

        Current FH draft,
        Dubraka,
        Cancelo, James, Guehi, Matip
        Mount, KDB, Son, Eriksen, Maddison,
        Kane (c)

        Any changes, going without Salah could be a killer?

        1. rilo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          I play without Salah for like 5 GW and it is not that bad. But You need Liverpol cover like Diaz

          1. TopBinFC
              1 month, 17 days ago

              For who? Will need to downgrade alot

        2. focaccia
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Currently 2nd in my league and up for throwing caution to the wind. Have 1 free transfer and nothing in the bank. Would seriously appreciate any advice :

          Ramsdale

          Cancelo - White - Alonso - TAA

          Saka - KDB - Salah - Kulu

          Jesus - Richarlison

          (Dubravka - Holgate - Dewsbury-Hall - Gelhart)

          My 2 main rivals teams as follows:

          A.
          Schmeichel
          Cancelo / Matip / Laporte / Alonso
          Salah / Havertz / KDB / Mount
          Richarlison / Nketiah
          (Foster / Pukki / Cash / Dewsbury Hall)

          B.
          Ramsdale
          Cancelo / James / TAA / Cash
          Saka / Kulu / Salah / Mount / KDB
          Nketiah
          (Dubravka / Joao Pedro / Broja / Holgate)

        3. RedRo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Martin Atkinson in charge of Man Utd vs Palace makes Zaha very tempting. He despises Utd

          1. Holmes
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Time to pick De Gea then

            1. Holmes
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 17 days ago

              now that you have posted this, I'm actually tempted.

              1. RedRo
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                1 month, 17 days ago

                By De Gea? Theye’re bound to get penalties, I guess it’s just a case of which De Gea turns up

                1. Holmes
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 17 days ago

                  Yep, De Gea. Zaha being bad at penalties helps

                  1. RedRo
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    1 month, 17 days ago

                    Yeah, true. Maybe it’s actually a negative for him

          2. pingissimus
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Palace may well put out quite an experimental side with a couple of youth team players. It's bold but of course but Ronaldo is a fascinating call if you have funds and FT. Can certainly see something close to a 3-3 as I assume United will be open too and have had a couple of weeks to prepare and not 48 hours.

            1. RedRo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              1 month, 17 days ago

              Yeah, maybe they get penalties, go ahead and it feeds right into Ronaldo’s hands. He always plays better when angry too so if Atkinson is unjust maybe Ronaldo’s the play

        4. StellaMan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Any tweaks to this free hit team?

          2nd in ML but whole top 7 is very tight.

          Free hit team - 3-5-2 formation
          Fab (Foster)
          James, Alonso, TTA (Tsi/Davies)
          Bowen, Maddison, KDB, Son (c), Erikson
          Kane, Toney (Geldhart)

          Best keeper? Mount and Diaz on a shortlist

        5. TN
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 17 days ago

          Schmeichel
          Trent Matip Cancelo
          Saka Kulu Son (C) Mount (VC) KDB
          Richarlison Mateta

          Foster Cash Broja Williams

          2.2m itb, 1FT, no chips

          Thoughts on this:

          Cash --> James (C) - for free
          Kulu --> Maddison - for a -4

          1. StellaMan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Go for James and keep captain on Son

            1. TN
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 17 days ago

              Thanks Stellaman

              I thought James might haul vs Watford quite likely for a CS so almost guaranteed 12 points if captained prior to assists/goals/bonuses.

              Son could get another 3 pointer or could explode vs norwich and a hattrick etc could happen...I think i might switch to Son (C) and james (VC)

          2. FTH
              1 month, 17 days ago

              Cash - James for free is enough

          3. _Ninja_
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Salah/Mateta to Eriksen/Kane worth -4? bench Cout

            Dubravka
            James TAA Laporte
            Salah Son Saka Mount Coutinho
            Jesus Nketiah

            Schmeichel Mateta KWP Doherty

            1. tokara
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 17 days ago

              Yes 4 sure

          4. Gunnerssss
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Isit only me without son or kane other than just dier.
            Not sure if it will kill my rank. Am at 17k OR now

            1. RedRo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              1 month, 17 days ago

              I’m not too far behind you and also planning on going Spur-less

              1. Gunnerssss
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 17 days ago

                Niceee . I am planning to do watkins and jota to mount and toney for -4

          5. focaccia
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Pick one:

            A. Salah + Saka > Son + Diaz

            B. Salah + Richarlison > Kane + Maddison

            C. Salah + Holgate / White > Son + James

            1. TN
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 17 days ago

              C, B, A

              I would get rid of White and have Holgate first on bench (team dependent).

              Can't see Diaz hauling vs Wolves who wil have learnt there lesson from the KDB masterclass...

              Maddison potentially a good pick but southampton never easy

              1. focaccia
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 17 days ago

                This is my team - would appreciate thoughts!

                Ramsdale

                Cancelo - White - Alonso - TAA

                Saka - KDB - Salah - Kulu

                Jesus - Richarlison

                (Dubravka - Holgate - Dewsbury-Hall - Gelhart)

          6. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 17 days ago

            Good afternoon everyone!! Most fruitful option for this gameweek????

            A- Vardy and Mount or Diaz
            B- Kane and Barnes
            C- Mané and Toney or Wilson

            Cheers everyone!!!