Spot the Differential

Three FPL differentials to consider for Gameweek 38

Gameweek 38 offers Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

YOANE WISSA

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW38 fixture: LEE

Despite a stop-start debut season at Brentford, Yoane Wissa (£5.7m) has been one of his team’s top performers of late.

The Congolese winger joined from French side Lorient for £8.5m in August but has taken time to adjust to Thomas Frank’s approach.

Earlier in the season, he came off the bench to score in successive matches against Liverpool and West Ham United, but was then dropped after his manager said he needed to “work harder off the ball”.

However, Wissa’s performances have picked up in his two most recent outings and there are clear signs that he is finally starting to settle. Against Southampton in Gameweek 36, his strike from outside of the box was impressive, before he then created one goal and scored another at Goodison Park last weekend.  

In spite of that mixed start, Wissa is Brentford’s second-top scorer in the league this season behind Ivan Toney (£6.8m). He has seven goals, which is a very decent return considering he has only started 11 of the 37 matches. As a result, his 0.49 goals per 90 minutes ranks tenth among all Premier League players, highlighting his potential when afforded pitch time. Bryan Mbeumo (£5.2m), meanwhile, who has partnered Toney up front for much of the season, has started 33, yet has only found the net on four occasions.

An excellent 10-game run has seen Brentford leap up to 11th in the Premier League table, with a potential top-half finish on offer if they can beat Leeds United at home on the final day. Only Watford have kept fewer clean sheets than the Whites this season and while Jesse Marsch did oversee an initial defensive improvement, the fixtures have stiffened over the last four Gameweeks and the goal concessions have been flying in again.

Wissa’s place in the starting XI isn’t completely assured, especially when Frank uses a 3-5-2 formation. However, recent performances have been very good in a 4-3-3, which suggests he will be handed another opportunity to impress from the left in Gameweek 38.

EMERSON ROYAL

Emerson Royal offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season
  • FPL ownership: 2.3%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW38 fixture: nor

Following the inclusion of Ryan Sessegnon (£4.3m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Emerson Royal (£4.6m).

Owned by just 2.3% of FPL managers, the wing-back has recently been handed a run of starts and stepped up in the absence of Matt Doherty (£4.5m) following his season-ending injury.

From Gameweek 31 onwards, Emerson has returned a goal, four clean sheets and two bonus across his eight appearances, producing 38 FPL points. Amongst all defenders, only Joel Matip (£5.2m), Marcos Alonso (£5.7m) and Marc Cucurella (£4.9m) have managed more, while he also ranks sixth for expected goal involvement (xGI) in that time.

The question for many is, which of Antonio Conte’s wing-backs is the better pick for Gameweek 38? In truth, they are both excellent options, but when comparing Emerson and Sessegnon’s underlying numbers since Gameweek 34, the latter has been the more creative of the pair, laying on a whopping five big chances for his team-mates. However, Royal edges the goal threat metrics, leading on goal attempts (6/3) shots in the box (5/3), efforts on target and big chances (both 2/0).

At this stage, we should point out that this is a very small sample size we are working with, but the above data is encouraging ahead of Sunday’s trip to Carrow Road. It’s also worth noting that Norwich City’s left side has been susceptible to conceding chances all season, with Dimitris Giannoulis (£4.4m) run ragged by Chiquinho (£5.5m) at Molineux last time out.

Royal has impressed for Spurs of late and now showing increased consistency, could be an effective differential for the final day.

CALLUM WILSON

Newcastle and Man City differentials to consider for Gameweek 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £7.1m
  • GW38 fixture: bur

Callum Wilson (£7.1m) turned in a man-of-the-match display on his return to action in Gameweek 37 after four months out.

The former Bournemouth man played just under 90 minutes and could have scored twice, whilst also playing a crucial role in both of his side’s goals.

Offering a different dynamic to that of Chris Wood (£6.3m), Wilson bullied the Gunners’ defence and ran the channels brilliantly, ending the match with team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box and penalty box touches.

“Immense performance when you consider how long he’s been out and the type of injury it was. To deliver that on his first game back, I can’t say enough positive words about that performance. You see behind the scenes how he’s conducted himself and how hard he’s worked and it doesn’t surprise me because I’ve seen it times before in previous years but you have to back it with the performance.” – Eddie Howe on Callum Wilson

Wilson has missed a large chunk of the 2021/22 season but despite his lengthy absence, is still Newcastle’s top scorer this season with six goals. It’s also worth noting that he has found the net at a rate of a goal almost every other game since moving to Tyneside, with an impressive 18 in 38 starts.

Now, he will be hoping to add to that tally and end his season on a high when Eddie Howe’s side travel to Burnley on Sunday. The Clarets are fighting for their lives near the bottom of the table, but have allowed 11 goals in their last six home matches, whilst also conceding the fourth-most chances from the centre of the pitch under Mike Jackson, an area Wilson thrives in.

And Newcastle are in very good form, too. In fact, only Liverpool, Manchester City and Spurs have taken more points since the turn of the year.

Wilson is a real difference-maker for Newcastle, and could be a decent mid-price punt for those willing to take a gamble in Gameweek 38.

Who are the best FPL captain options for Gameweek 32?


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756 Comments Post a Comment
  1. McSauce
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    Will Dalot play sunday?

  2. TheBigDogg
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 29 days ago

    0.6 itb would you double up with:

    a)Alonso and James
    b)Robbo and Matip
    OR
    c) Bring in Jansson for Leeds game
    d) Davies for Norwich
    OR
    e) use my transfer for Gordon to Mbuemo

    Also what are peoples thoughts on playing White?

    Thanks!

  3. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    Repost bottomed-

    Good afternoon everyone!! Most fruitful option for this gameweek????

    A- Vardy and Mount or Diaz
    B- Kane and Barnes
    C- Mané and Toney or Wilson

    Cheers everyone!!!

    1. pingissimus
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      All great options. Think B is where I might go. That's partly just a last day of the season Kane thing swinging it.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Think you could be right mate!! I’ve only got Nketiah up front to so seems sensible to get a more reliable forward to go with him too, cheers mate!! Best of luck!!

    2. SKENG
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      Yep B

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Thankyou mate!! Think I’m all set to get for B!!

  4. Echoes
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 29 days ago

    Best Havertz replacement? 7.9 itb. Have Mount.

    1. TopBinFC
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Saka

        1. Echoes
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Should've mentioned, have him too

      • McSauce
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        I also Havertz and was moving to Mount but I think he plays on sunday. last game of the season and been a big part of the team.

        Not sure a move is worth it

        1. Echoes
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Might need to roll a transfer if I keep Kai 😀

      • SKENG
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Would not sell Havertz. If you really want to do it, perhaps Foden or Barnes

        1. Echoes
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Have Foden. Yeah, Banres is an interesting choice. Cheers.

          1. SKENG
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            You mind sharing your full team? I'm just thinking Havertz > Barnes could actually be a downgrade, curious if you can't upgrade somewhere else.

    2. DeuloRad
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 29 days ago

      When will FPL release the player prices? Getting antsy

      1. Arteta
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Patience is a virtue.

      2. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Wasn’t it around the start of June last year??

    3. TopBinFC
        2 months, 29 days ago

        If you had to pick on Liverpool midfielder this GW who is it and why? Can we assume Diaz, Salah and Mane will start CL final? If so surely their mins are managed this week

        1. Shayben
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Still think Salah out of those but depends how you use the money elsewhere

        2. DeuloRad
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Plenty of recovery time though

        3. MyNameIsRedro
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          2 months, 29 days ago

          My best guess would be that each of Mane and Diaz play maybe 60-70 mins each (dependant on scores) and Salah plays 0-30. Jota could be worth a punt as maybe he plays the 90? I’d lean towards a punt on Diaz. Variance is huge over 1 game, his stats are great and he just feels the most fun to me

        4. SKENG
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Mane

      • Shayben
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Stuck on final transfers of the season!!

        Which are better?

        A) Kane and Bowen
        B) Vardy and Diaz

        1. Botman and Robben
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          A

        2. SKENG
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          A. However there are better options than Bowen I feel... like Barnes?

          1. Shayben
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Yeah I like that if Barnes plays. Just tempted by Bowen as had exact cash!

      • FredrikH
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 29 days ago

        Son or Kane captain and why?

        1. SonnyPikey
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Both will haul so hard to say

          • DeuloRad
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Son. He is by far the higher points scorer this season. No point disadvantaging yourself

          • Arteta
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Spurs keep getting soft penalties, so you should probably go with Kane.

            1. DeuloRad
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              😆

          • SKENG
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Son

        2. Karan14
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          Ramsdale
          TAA Robbo Cancelo Laporte
          Salah KDB Mount Saka Kulu
          Pukki

          (Davies)

          A) Salah to Son(c)
          B) Salah & Pukki to Maddison & Kane(c) -4
          C) Salah & Pukki to Son & Toney(c) -4

          Thoughts please?

          1. Karan14
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Option C Son will be captain.

          2. SKENG
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            C

        3. Arteta
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 29 days ago

          If you could only own one Liverpool midfielder for last gameweek, who would it be? Salah, Mane, Jota or Diaz?

          1. SonnyPikey
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Not salah or jota

            • MyNameIsRedro
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Diaz, just

            • SKENG
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              If budget is no issue, Mane

            • Bavarian
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Salah

          2. SKENG
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Thoughts on what to do with this team? First in my ML, 2nd place 15 pts behind.
            Got 2 FTs and 0.3M ITB.
            Rival's main differentials: Kane (probably C), Mount, Sterling.

            Schmeichel
            TAA Cancelo James Silva
            Salah Havertz Son(c) Kulusevski Saka
            Richarlison

            Steele Broja Gelhardt Doherty

            A) Salah & Havertz > KDB & Mount (block his Mount)
            B) Salah & Richarlison > KDB & Jesus
            C) Salah, Richarlison & Doherty > Barnes, Kane(c) & Laporte -4 PTS (block Kane, need to sell Doherty - 3rd Spurs slot)
            D) Salah, Richarlison & Doherty > Diaz, Kane(c) & White -4 PTS (block Kane, need to sell Doherty - 3rd Spurs slot)
            E) smth else??

            Currently between C and D. For xPoints, I think B is the best, however strongly considering C/D just to block his Kane(c).

            1. wulfrunian
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              It seems that Salah is fit but don't know if he will start.

              1. SKENG
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                I don;t think he'll start. If we don't get reliable team news, he has to go.

          3. wulfrunian
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Which one?

            A)Zaha
            B)Bowen
            C)Raphinha

            1. SKENG
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              B

            2. artvandelay316
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Which one to buy, play or bench?

          4. artvandelay316
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Saka, Zaha or Mount... One will have to go. I was going to keep Mount based on his fixture but I am seeing people uncertain about his likelihood to start if Havertz is back...

            Initial instinct is Saka to Maddison?

            1. SKENG
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Sell Zaha

              1. artvandelay316
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Cheers.

          5. Bavarian
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Is 55 pts lead enough to secure my ML win?

            1. George James
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Yes

              1. Bavarian
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Cheers mate

            2. KenyaDigIt
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Yes, unless 2nd has a TC or FH.

              1. Bavarian
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                No chips remaining, thanks mate

            3. Cheeky Onion
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Should be comfortable barring a massive captain haul. You have enough of a cushion to take some defensive hits to cover his players

          6. KenyaDigIt
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            1. Richarlison to Kane
            2. Coutinho to KDB/Mane

            or... take a -4 for

            3. Richarlison & Coutinho to Kane + Maddison
            4. Richarlison & Coutinho to Vardy + Diaz

            1. Emah3
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              2 - KDB for me

              1. KenyaDigIt
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Cheers - seems like a coin toss for many this GM

            2. artvandelay316
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 29 days ago

              2 if you have Son. I wouldn't lose Richarlison. But if you have not got Son then maybe 3.

              1. KenyaDigIt
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Yes. I've got Son, but 2 people tied in 2nd in my ML and one has KDB and one has Kane. its Damage mitigation (I currently have 23 point lead)

          7. George James
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Best option for GW38?

            A) Diaz

            B) Maddison

            C) Mount

            D) KDB -4

            E) Mane -4

            1. SKENG
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              A

            2. Gazza2000
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              C

          8. Gazza2000
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            1 FT and will do Salah to Son and if Schar is out I will take a hit, would you do:

            A) Dias to Alonso
            or
            B) Broja to Toney

            Ramsdale
            TAA James Cancelo Schar*
            Salah Mount Kulu Saka Martinelli
            Kane

            Foster Broja Dias Richardson

            1. SKENG
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              B

            2. Emah3
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              B

          9. Emah3
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 29 days ago

            Leading league by 9 points, with 1 transfer - best to not take a hit and make them chase the whole 9 points?

            Best option:
            Salah to Mane?
            Salah to Diaz and upgrade Pukki to Vardy (-4)?

            Thanks!

            1. zon
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              No hits. Just the former

            2. SKENG
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              I'd take the hit

              1. SKENG
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Mane - Diaz is 50/50 imo and Pukki > Vardy definitely worth a hit

            3. FTH
                2 months, 29 days ago

                No hit
                Salah to Son, KDB, Mane etc
                Depends on your team and your rivals

              • Wizard of Ozil
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Salah to Diaz and Pukki to Vardy sounds good, just for -4.. i take it you have Son already.

            4. Pinatta
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Hi guys n girls, is there a way to see total scores your players got? I mean a ranking of all the players you had through the season and their total points for you?

              1. Jordan.
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                FPL STATISTICO your fpl season,fantastic site.

            5. abaalan
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Havertz...keep or sell.
              Likely to be part of a hit to change weghorst

              1. KenyaDigIt
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                I would keep!

            6. DeuloRad
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              brb - gotta redo my entire RMT in members area because I used FH last week

            7. The-Red-1
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Given Klopp's comments, I expect Origi to get a full 90 and be on pens too?

              1. KenyaDigIt
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                No chance! Not the full 90. He will be benched and brought on after 70th (super sub)

            8. Cheeto__Bandito
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 29 days ago

              Who scores most?

              Richarlison

              or

              Luis Diaz (-4)

              1. Pinatta
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                That's a gamble anyway

                Richi could get a red card, Luis could get a hattrick , etc

                I wouldn't do it

              2. GreennRed
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Richarlison.

            9. FTH
                2 months, 29 days ago

                3e in ML, 17 and 7 points behind nr 1 and nr 2. Both have Son and for example James.
                Best to taken other players or Salah to Son?
                Any thougts about Havertz will play from the start? Have him, is now a differential

              • George James
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Play one

                A) Richarlison

                B) Ben Davies

                Bring one in

                1) Diaz

                2) Mount

                Cap one

                X) Son

                Y) Kane

                1. Cheeto__Bandito
                  • 2 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  A2X

              • wulfrunian
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                How is your season with still one gw to go?My best fpl season of all time even if 10k has gone.Since gw24 i was inside 20k but an awful gw37(40 points) and now i am 35k.

                1. GreennRed
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  Fair play. Going awful but not bothered now. Went from 454K GW19 to 1677K in GW27. Now on 1,107K with FH. Enjoying watching the games anyway. Good luck in GW38 Wulf.

                  https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/138679/history

                  1. Gunnerssss
                    • 5 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    Gw35 was 70k and then gw36 up to 20k and now after gw37 now 17k

                    1. wulfrunian
                      • 5 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      Excellent season!

                  2. wulfrunian
                    • 5 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    cheers.Good luck!What a season!

              • DeuloRad
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 29 days ago

                Isn't CF Vardy better than DM Kane this week?

                1. Cheeto__Bandito
                  • 2 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  good one but Vardy will be benched for Daka

                  1. DeuloRad
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    Thanks for your reply. Why do you think this will be the case?

                    1. GreennRed
                      • 10 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      He'll be dying to play ball after listening to her indoors banging on about Tweeting and that.

                    2. Cheeto__Bandito
                      • 2 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      He has been benched last two and vardy has started last two this will be 3rd game in a week. Im guessing it will be Barnes, Daka, Albrighton front three. Or Maddison RW instead of midfield.

                      1. SonnyPikey
                          2 months, 29 days ago

                          isn't vardy heading to the US

                  2. GreennRed
                    • 10 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    Motivated Kane.

                2. Wizard of Ozil
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  Morning,
                  Mount back in for Zaha and Cash out for Reese James for -4
                  Yes/No

                  4-4-2 looks likely
                  Ramsdale
                  James/TAA/Cancelo/Jansson
                  Son/maddison/Mount/Saka
                  Kane/Toney

                  Bench - Pickford/White/Gordon/Broja
                  This leaves 0.3 ITB

                  1. Pinatta
                    • 10 Years
                    2 months, 29 days ago

                    I wouldn't play Jansson. Leeds are bad mkay but they also are fighting for their last chance, so play Gordon of Broja

                    1. Wizard of Ozil
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 9 Years
                      2 months, 29 days ago

                      Thanks Buddy, I will consider it.

                3. Bezz82
                  • 12 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  Help needed…. I’m on FH what would you change on this team? Will Walker be fit and take Zinchenko’s place?

                  Meslier

                  TAA -James - Zinchenko - Sess

                  Mount -Son (c) -KDB

                  Vardy -Kane - Nketiah

                  Steel -Tism - Brownhill - Duglas luiz

                4. daitryingsweetFA
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 29 days ago

                  Keep Vardy, or Transfer in Kane for -4?... and what about Nketiah in for Watkins for another hit? reckon whilst cost is 8pts, upside could be more, and am chasing top, but also being chased! Thoughts? already think need to take Jota out (my one transfer) but for Bernardo, Foden or Bowen (or if Kane but not Nketiah, then Rodri or BrunoG? Stick or Twist? 🙂