Feature
29 December 2016 1495 comments
Mark Mark
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Following Friday’s 7pm Fantasy Premier League deadline for Gameweek 19, we will be handed a second “Winter Wildcard” chip as a means of shaking up our squads.

This also means that, if you’re yet to play your first Wildcard, you only have until Friday 7pm to make it active.

The first Wildcard cannot be carried over beyond Friday’s deadline, so, in the unlikely event that it’s still burning away in your pocket, you’d best get busy.

I’d wager that many of us are not in that position. I’d also hazard a guess that the majority of us will be unmoved by the possibilities presented by the second Wildcard being available from Friday evening.

Although there is a school of thought that argues against preserving the “Winter” or second Wildcard to use around Double Gameweeks, following last season’s experience, this appears to be an accepted and almost preferred strategy.

Certainly, having used this tactic with last season’s chips, that will likely be the route explored by many who visit these pages.

However, let’s examine the Wildcard strategies on offer and attempt to weigh up the merits of the options available.

Playing It Early

The urgency to instigate a refresh of our squads will, of course, be dictated by current rank, injuries and doubts and a general lack of so-called “essential” assets.

Certainly, with the Africa Cup of Nations imminent, there could be some FPL squads hit hard who now face a run of transfer hits.

Couple that with talk of Jordan Pickford’s long-term injury, Sergio Aguero’s return, and a relentless shift in midfield heavy-hitters and there are clearly factors at play that could influence our decision.

The Aguero situation, in particular, is intriguing in this respect.

Currently owned by just 17.9% of FPL managers, those who can bring him in and effectively model their squad around his hefty price tag could reap big rewards should the City striker explode and outpace rival forwards. Arguably, that’s a big ‘if” given recent form from Diego Costa and Zlatan Ibrahimovic.

But for some, there could be overwhelming evidence to take the plunge and put this second Wildcard to immediate use.

While we can’t categorically write this off as a bad strategy, in previous seasons we’ve made the statement that “there’s no strict right or wrong time to play the Wildcard”.

However, the addition of the Triple Captain and Bench Boost chips for last season did change the landscape and cast doubts over such a statement. More on that to come.

Even so, if your squad and rank are floundering to the extent that you feel there is little hope of making up ground without major surgery, the Wildcard obviously allows for this to take place without the cost of transfer hits.

The ability to completely reconstruct your squad without cost certainly affords the opportunity to gain ground on rivals and, by also playing to the upcoming fixtures, there’s a good chance that you can close a mini-league gap.

As a rule, if you are able to deploy an effective Wildcard, targeting players that come into form and rise in price, you will gain an advantage by playing it early since the positive impact of the chip will have longer to take effect over the coming Gameweeks.

It’s a principle argued by those who throw in the first Wildcard in the opening month and, to a lesser extent, this still rings true for this second chip. But, of course, it relies on acquiring the most effective targets.

In addition, it may also be possible to use the extended gap between Gameweek 20 and the January 14 deadline for Gameweek 21, to play the market and reap some extra funds.

By activating the Wildcard early, you can transfer in assets that are likely to rise in price over this 12-day period, in an attempt to gain from 0.2 rises.

This relies on committing to the Wildcard as early as possible after the Gameweek 20 deadline on January 2, and also demands some extreme diligence when it comes to timing transfers and monitoring rises.

That’s no easy task and, in all honesty, there is no guarantee that it can be effective.

Much depends on the extent of the bandwagons created by the Gameweek 19 results and activity in the market over the FA Cup break. Based on previous international breaks, the transfer numbers have slowed dramatically heading into the second week.

One major downside to deploying early, aside from the possibilities around Double Gameweeks, is the potential of missing out on new arrivals in the Premier League January transfer window.

If you’re trailing your rivals and therefore considering differentials, this could be key.

The January 31 transfer deadline may well deliver a whole batch of differentials and, by playing your Wildcard now, you could be restricting your ability to reshuffle should new attractive assets arrive on the scene.

More significantly, you have to consider that any ground you make up now by deploying the Wildcard, could be eaten up by rivals who bank theirs and preserve them for the Double Gameweeks.

Finally, if you’re considering an early Winter Wildcard, try to commit to it.

If you can be certain on activating the chip in Gameweek 21, for example, you can use your transfer for Gameweek 20 to acquire a risky differential which can then be cleared using the Wildcard. In this way, you could eke out a further advantage.

The Pros
It can provide an instant boost for those suffering red arrows.
You can catch the current market trends and jump on the Aguero “differential”.
You can avoid the AFCON fall-out.
You can make a risky differential transfer prior to the Gameweek of activation.

The Cons
It’s easy to fixate on bandwagons.
You lose the ability to build around new player list additions.
You potentially gain ground now to lose it later.
You miss out on exploiting the potential Double Gameweeks.

Playing it Late

Arguably, the later you leave your winter Wildcard, the more data you have available to shape your decisions and, with new arrivals due at the end of January, the landscape could change dramatically.

But having more information extends beyond team and player form – it’s inevitable that we will see Premier League postponements that could then lead to potential Double Gameweeks.

The EFL Cup semi-finals in January will reveal the clubs involved in the Wembley showpiece on February 26.

This will create two postponements in Gameweek 26 which could then create a Double Gameweek to follow. At present, Southampton, Liverpool, Manchester United and Hull City are in the last four.

Should Manchester United overcome Hull in their semi-final, they could bring Manchester City into a double Gameweek situation since they are due to meet on February 26. That may give us four sides supplying some major assets in a Double Gameweek scenario.

Then there are the FA Cup Quarter-Finals and Semi-Finals to come. These will clash with Gameweeks 28 and 34, potentially causing multiple postponements and further Double Gameweeks.

For the last two seasons, we have seen Double Gameweeks scheduled in 34 and 37 as a result of domestic cup postponements.

In the previous campaign, with the chips introduced, this put even greater emphasis on these events.

One popular strategy was to utilise the Winter Wildcard prior to using the Bench Boost chip for a Double Gameweek.

This enables FPL managers to stock their squad with assets that enjoy two fixtures, before deploying the chip which can also bring four substitutes into the equation. Do this effectively and you can feasibly have a 15-man squad each with two fixtures in a single Gameweek.

There are many arguments surrounding the effectiveness of this tactic.

Clearly, if used in this way, a squad is entirely warped and shifted to accommodate those teams granted two fixtures. However, to counter this, the theory is that if this is carried out for Gameweek 37, then there remains only a single Gameweek to absorb any potential damage.

It is assumed that the positives vastly outweigh the negatives involved and, in general, last season’s experience provided enough evidence to suggest that this is indeed the case.

However, we have just that one season to go on and the configuration of the Double Gameweek fixtures, plus the teams involved, could certainly adjust the balance somewhat.

The Pros
You give yourself the opportunity to pair the Wildcard with other chips around potential Double Gameweeks.
You will have more data and information at your disposal.
You can exploit any new players that arrive in the Premier League window.
You may be able to react to your rivals’ Wildcards should they play it early.

The Cons
You forgo the potential to immediately revive your squad.
You are reliant on the Double Gameweeks delivering fixtures that create major profits.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Gemgem1010
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Cup fixtures updated

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yep, I'm still out.

    2. pompeyfan
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      oh no, here we go... 😉

      1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        😆 time for an hour lunch break.

    3. The special 5
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I have a nice opponent but thats not always a good thing

    4. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      a dead squad with ibra captain and kun present doesnt sound good for me

    5. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Not a dead team this time but someone ranked much lower than me - https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/team/678456/event/18

  2. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    If koeman decides play 3 @ the back from now on is
    Holebas » Holgate a good move??

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

    2. The special 5
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Keep tabs wouldnt do that switch yet

  3. GummiG
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Foster or Mannone as Pickford replacements?

    1. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Is Pickford defo out?

      1. The special 5
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        No could be available this gw

        1. fusen
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          That's not true, there is no chance he is available this week. It looks to be a minimum of 2 months out

  4. tisza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Mark writes that Jan can see new arrivals but I can't think offhand of any that have made much of an FPL impact in recent seasons.
    Anyone?

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Luis Suarez?

      1. tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        didn't make an immediate impact. 4 goals in 12 games.

        Just talking about players that made an immediate impact JAn to end of season in FPL terms.

    2. pompeyfan
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Luis Suarez was pretty successful!

    3. pundit of punts
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Cisse
      Sigurdsson
      Dzeko
      Jelavic

      1. tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Jelavic & Siggy good shouts.

    4. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sunderland have done the best January's in recent years (out of necessity).

      Khazri, Kirchoff & Kone last year kept them afloat

      Bought Defoe back from Totonto the year before.

      Big window for Moyes this time round then!

  5. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    choose one:

    a) Lallana + Randolph/Hennessey/Grant (who)
    b) Antonio + Heaton

    1. FISSH
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      a

  6. The special 5
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Hi guys 74 points this week any changes neccesary?? Was thinking of bring in Lukaku for Kane

    Valdes (Pickford)
    Evans Alonso Jones (Pieters) (Barragan)
    Zaha Hazard Sanchez Lallana (De Roon)
    (C)Zlatan Kane Origi
    0 In the bank

  7. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Any transfer news on VVD? Pep said he wouldn't be buying in Jan.

  8. Prison Mike
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Have 2 FT, any suggestions on what transfer(s) to make guys?

    Cech Pickford
    Alonso Lovren Holebas Nyom Amat
    Sanchez Hazard Lallana Siggy De Roon
    Ibra Kane Origi
    0 ITB

  9. greghammer95
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Would love to have 15 DGW players in the squad. 30 players in one week would almost guarantee a big score.

    1. @chapellefpl OR 577TH
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Did you not play last year?

      1. greghammer95
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Nope! Kept my team ticking over but worse than a casual. Come back properly this year again.

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Everone did this last season and it spectacularly backfired.

      1. Leaf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Not for all of us

      2. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Not true

      3. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Love it when people think themselves equals everyone.

      4. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        This is the year for it then

    3. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      it's not as simple as it sounds.
      Lot of people ripped up good sides last year - selling Leicester & Spurs. Couldn't afford to get them back in afterwards.
      People taking hits to get a side out following GW . (only 5 or 6 matches)
      As it's so close to end of season can end up with some iffy GWs afterwards.

  10. Over Midwicket
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Cup opponent is ranked 3.5mil, with Rashford, Love, Stones all in the starting 11.

    I'm doomed.

    1. The special 5
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      How did he get through??

      1. Over Midwicket
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Dead team with Ibra perma-captained. :/

        1. The special 5
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          🙁 Annoying when that happens

          1. The special 5
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            You will have to have Ibra captained

          2. Over Midwicket
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Ah well, should beat him this week. Going to nullify with Ibra (c) I reckon.

            1. The special 5
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Yep 100%

  11. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Play 1:
    A) Lamine Koné (bur)
    B) Amat (BOU)

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Holebas is the third option, but I'm unlikely to play him.

  12. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Cant make up my mind, what would you do? A) Kane > Costa (ft), or Kane and Stones > Lukaku and Alonso.

    1. SuperDan
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. SuperDan
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Stones to Brunt or Ake

  13. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    hi
    used my ft on a keeper.
    Now thinking of downgrading Firmino to lallana for Aguero funds.

    Should I take a hit for Firmino move this wk to spread hits instead of taking a big one to get kun if I decide I want him?

    If I decide I don't want kun I will have to get rid of siggy soon anyway and might upgrade him to mikhitarian if he gets minutes.

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      No.

  14. @chapellefpl OR 577TH
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    How many people here have more than one team?

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      None, unless they are breaking the rules and are risking disqualification and a public flogging.

    2. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Having a 2nd team is deplorable
      I am in favor of life bans for people running 2nd teams
      If i ever found out that someone in the mini league i admin was running a 2nd team that would be the end of them

      1. JogaSemmedo
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Agree Two Team Tommys are as bad in fantasy world as they are in the real one.

  15. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Bottomed so I try again...
    Pickford Jak has to be fixed. Maybe Walker but I guess McAuley can come in for him this week.
    A) Foster (nice fixtures)
    B) Heaton (saves but not good fixtures!) and downgrade Walker for a hit (Brunt/Valancia?)

  16. bordalo1
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Hi guys,

    can we use the WC and a chip in the same GW ???

    Thank you

    1. AA33
        8 years, 11 months ago

        No. WC itself is a chip.

    2. greghammer95
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      My cup opponent is ranked 70k and also in the FFScout league. Where are you "Magikarp used Splash"??

    3. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Great. I lose fpl cup vs dead team 77-85

      He owned vvd(8), Song(6) & Ali(15) going into the last game.

      fcek off.

      1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        pwned

      2. Over Midwicket
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Thought Alex Song left the PL years ago..

        1. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Sing a Song Son

      3. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        My dead team opponent got over 80 too knocking me out with ease.

    4. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Vertonghen and Defoe to holgate and Costa for -4. Worth it?

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        No

    5. Grant Ed
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Cup draw game week 19 is up...

      1. Je suis le chat
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Ta, got through thanks to Eriksen. Was in trouble after VVD goal.

    6. Hochoki
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Good afternon all.
      Foster
      Alonso Rose Ake
      Sanchez Mane Siggy Lallana Ramirez
      Ibra Kane

      Pickford Diomande Holebas Amat

      I have 0.9 ITB & 1FT left. What would be the best transfer decision according to u guys:
      1. Kane to Costa/Kaku
      2. Kane & Holebas to Costa & VVD (For -4 hit)
      3. Kane & Ramirez to Lukaku & Walcott/Sterling (For -4 hit)
      4. Kane & Mane to Costa & Hazard( For a -4 hit)
      5. Any other suggestion

    7. Je suis le chat
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Noticed my next opponent in the cup hasn't used his first wildcard yet as has a few injuries/suspensions. Hope he doesn't realise he has to us it or lose it.

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Unsporting.

        1. Je suis le chat
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          True, but I'd love a good run in the cup.

      2. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        dead team

      3. Grant Ed
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Diseased maybe

    8. Winter_is_coming
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Play 1 from 3:

      1) A. Smith
      2) Amat
      3) Benteke

    9. Chrisitis
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Was there any news considering Amat?

    10. pundit of punts
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Drawn a dead team in the cup with Walker Shaw Adrian Cazorla Drinkwater and Callum Wilson. 😀

      Ibra (c) is the only worry as I will go for Hazard or Sanchez.

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Captain Ibra......

      2. Le _ Professeur
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Wow .. How did he qualify because an Ibra (c) is still isn't enough.

    11. DoubleC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Can anyone tell me how to link my team and how to get a grav please

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        In the fpl site go to gameweek history and copy the url and paste in the website box in my profile
        And use this site to set up your grav
        http://en.gravatar.com/

        1. DoubleC
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Cheers

    12. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      With Vertonghen suspended and possibly no GK starting this GW, is it worth taking a hit to sort GK situation? Have 0.0m ITB and 1FT. Would have to take a hit really due to cheap GKs. Thoughts?

      Pick Jaku
      Alonso Vertonghen Holebas Amat Jones
      Hazard Sanchez Payet Siggy Capoue
      Kane Ibra Diomande

      1. The special 5
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        No I wouldnt you need a guaranteed cs but sort out next gw

    13. TaiwanHC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Why wait to play the WC until DGW if that is in April? In that case, you can play your WC team for about 6 GWs.

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Because in order to get DGWs a team has to blank in other weeks.

    14. JakesXI
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Could someone give me some advice please:
      De Gea
      Walker Koscielny Prodl Fuchs
      Zaha Siggy Erikson Mane
      Ibra Costa
      subs: jakupovic/amat/fletcher/wilson
      £2.6 itb
      What do I do with this mess of the team?
      Early wildcard an option?
      Thanks

    15. Le _ Professeur
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      When are the press conferences this week 🙂 ? .. Need to know what's up with Theo so I can decide my FT.

      1. Karan_G14
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Tomorrow.