Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 28

Everton’s Oumar Niasse and Liverpool’s Trent Alexander-Arnold both came through for us in Gameweek 27, and we’re again prioritising players with a guaranteed Gameweek 31 fixture in our latest set of differentials.

So, with appealing home match-ups later today, we’re backing attackers from Liverpool and Watford, while an in-form Brighton midfielder looks an enticing prospect ahead of a home encounter against Swansea City.

Sadio Mane

While Fantasy managers deliberate over which Liverpool asset to invest in alongside Mohamed Salah and Roberto Firmino, it’s Sadio Mane who looks the most explosive option.

The Reds benefit from a very enticing short-term schedule (WHU NEW mun WAT), including that guaranteed fixture against Watford in Gameweek 31 when only eight teams are certain to be in action.

The Senegal international fired a hat-trick in the 5-0 win over Porto in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League last-16 tie but has lived in the shadow of Salah and Firmino this season, explaining why he sits in just 7.9% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

His underlying statistics over the last four Gameweeks suggest the Champions League hat-trick could be a sign of what’s to come in the forthcoming league matches.

The former Southampton midfielder has produced more shots inside the penalty area than Firmino (nine to five), and has created more chances (eight) than any team-mate.

Jurgen Klopp’s men have created more big chances (14) than any other side over the last four Gameweeks, and only Manchester City (79) have scored more goals than the Reds (61) this season.

While Mane does set us back 9.3 in FPL, this looks to be a window when investment in three Reds attackers could be justified.

Jose Izquierdo

Goals in each of the last two Gameweeks and a promising home meeting with Swansea City ensures that Brighton & Hove Albion midfielder Jose Izquierdo make the cut.

The Seagulls’ winger has been growing in confidence of late, perhaps due to the fact he’s played from start to finish in each of the last three league matches, having only managed the full 90 minutes twice over the opening 24 Gameweeks.

His underlying statistics over those three most recent matches illustrate the Colombian’s impact.

Only Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne (six) has produced more shots on target among FPL midfielders than Izquierdo (four), while he also ranks among the top five midfielders for shots (eight) and efforts inside the box (six).

This afternoon’s match-up with Swansea looks favourable.

The Welsh outfit have conceded in each of their three away matches under Carlos Carvalhal, while no team has given up more chances down the right flank (115).

That bodes well for Izquierdo, whose pace and directness down Brighton’s left could cause plenty of problems for the visiting defence.

Izquierdo’s inconsistent form over the first half of the season mean he is owned by just 0.2% of FPL managers.

But priced at 5.9, he looks a fantastic budget option given his current output.

Troy Deeney

The home form of Watford’s Troy Deeney sees the striker complete our trio.

The Hornets skipper has registered attacking returns in each of his last two outings at Vicarage Road, while all three of his goals this season have come on home turf.

Javi Gracia’s side host Everton in today’s late kick-off.

The Toffees have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven matches and have shipped 11 goals in their last three road trips.

Deeney, meanwhile, has offered much more of a goal threat of late.

Since being recalled to the starting XI in Gameweek 24, he has averaged a shot every 44.9 minutes, up from every 75.1 minutes previously.

Another key aspect to Deeney’s appeal is the fact the Hornets are one of only eight clubs certain to play in Gameweek 31, when they travel to face Liverpool.

The 6.3-priced forward also has a plum home fixture against West Bromwich Albion next weekend.

So for any Fantasy managers seeking a major differential in attack, the 0.4%-owned Deeney fits the profile.

1,446 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    That tweet 😮

    1. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      what tweet?
      Enlighten me

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
          6 years, 1 month ago

          About Jafooli being a sad loser

          1. Jafooli
            • 12 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Agreed

        • Oven Glover
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Jafooled by his shenanigans.

      2. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Get a life.

        1. Jafooli
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          This

      3. Theres mo limit
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        jafooli is way better than the needy rmt brigade

      4. SADIO SANÉ
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        not Kiko again?

    2. james 101
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Gtg / set up right?

      Pickford.
      Alonso. bavies. Azpil.
      Salah. Sterling. Willian. Walcott. Son.
      Kane. Firmino.

      (Elliot. Mee. Ogbonna. Quaner.)

      Salah captain.

      Thanks!

      1. LosBlancos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        play Mee instead of Alonso.
        I prefer (K)ane, otherwise gtg

        1. james 101
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Thanks mate.

          Any other opinions on Mee vs Alonso?

          1. BAMBAA
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Would play mee but drop azpi.

          2. Naboo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Play Mee over Azpi. Def play Alonso!

        2. @FPLDIARYFPL
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Huh?!...

          1. LosBlancos
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            what didn't you understand?

            1. @FPLDIARYFPL
              • 6 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Alonso has attacking threat and utd chelsea likely to be low scoring.

        3. @FPLDIARYFPL
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Nah looks good.

    3. jia you
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Who else is captaining the real deal when it comes to North African footballers and not that pretender to the throne Mo Salah?

      1. LosBlancos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I'm on (K)ane, but Mane is part of the reason 🙂

        1. jia you
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Senegal in in West Africa 😉

      2. Patch
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        You mean Mahrez?

        1. jia you
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Yup, the one that has won the EPL! I will be watching the early game, cheering him on!

          1. Patch
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            I would join you except my inconsistent rule is not to contain the first gamer

            1. Patch
              • 6 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              *captain

        2. Patch
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Bloody heck Mahrez is Algerian....thought he was Indian or Pakistan...

          1. Holmes
            • 10 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Indian or Pakistan players are unlikely to be part of EPL anytime soon, may take more than 100 years! 😆

            1. LǝgleSs e|even
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Mariappa

            2. LǝgleSs e|even
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 1 month ago

              Narsingh

          2. LǝgleSs e|even
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Neil Taylor
            Michel Chopra

      3. Reuser
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Hegazi triple captain.

        1. jia you
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          🙂

      4. dark91
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        You mean Boufal or El Neni?

    4. MFPL
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Any suggestions on what to do? Have 2FT’s and 0.3ITB, as well as all my chips

      Pope
      Alonso Otamendi Bauer
      Salah Sterling Walcott Son
      Kane Firmino Niasse

      Elliot Schindler Choupo-Moting Yedlin

      1. AYLD28
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Son + Chopo > Mahrez + Milojovic

    5. AYLD28
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Any hits required here? Or GTG?

      Adrian
      Dunk, VVD, Mawson
      Shaqiri, Mahrez, Salah (c), Hazard, Milijovic
      Kane (v), Aguero

      Elliot, Dummet, Jones, Quaner,

      0FT 1.1 itb

      Could do:

      1. Jones > Defender up to 6.5 and bench Mawson (-4)
      2. Quaner > Niasse and bench Milo (-4)
      3. Quaner + Jones > Wilson + defender up to 5.1 (and bench Mawson and Milo) -8

    6. Jatt
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Walcott for Richarlison a good buy??

      1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        nope...........really bad idea

      2. @fpl_phenom
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I’d hold Richarlusin for now... you’re changing 1 GW31 player for another...

      3. Jatt
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I mean Walcott in
        Richarlison out

    7. CRO KLOPP
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      First sub in case sterling doesn't play?
      Kenny or Lingard?
      Cheers

      1. Ohh1454
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I'd go lingard can't see Everton keeping a cs

    8. Atimis
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Please bench one from each:

      A. Azpi
      B. Ota
      C. Mee

      1. Shaq
      2. Son
      3. Sterling
      4. Wally

      Cheers!!

      1. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Tough. B1 probably

      2. RomeluAndJuliet
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        2) & 1)

        1. RomeluAndJuliet
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I.e. B1....

      3. BAMBAA
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Maybe b1

      4. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks!

    9. ChadW98
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling-> Mahrez?

      1. Tom Heat-is-on
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yes if you have FT

    10. Tom Heat-is-on
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Bottomed

      Which of these would you make?
      A) Ogbonna, Sterling, Aguero --->> VVD, Eriksen, Firmino (-4 p)
      B) Ogbonna, Sterling --->> VVD, Walcott
      C) Something else?

      DDG (Elliott)
      Alonso Naughton Chilwell (Dunk Ogbonna)
      Salah Sterling Mahrez Choupo-Moting (Romeu)
      Kane Aguero Wilson
      2 FT 0.3 ITB

    11. Ohh1454
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Have sterling in my team so who to put as first sub :
      A. Lingard
      B. Francis

    12. The SK
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Best sub 4.8 defenders who also plays in BGW31?

      1. Tom Heat-is-on
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Robertson, Martina

        1. Reuser
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          But neither is 100% nailed. Moreno and Baines waiting for their chance.

          Schindler and Bauer worth considering. I have punted on Schindler.

        2. Sedemuda
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Both rotation risks for GW31 with Baines & Moreno coming back.

    13. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Which Jordan to play?

      A. Ayew
      B. Ibe

      1. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Anyone?

      2. The Overthinker
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Ibe

        1. THFC4LIFE
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers

    14. asif316uk
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Is Trippier nailed

      1. Feed tha Sheep
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Don’t think 100% unfortunately

    15. Fresh_From_Desh
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Palace have not won in 4 Premier league games and are without Joel Ward, Wilfried Zaha, Mamadou Sakho, Martin Kelly, Bakary Sako, Jeff Schlupp, Jason Puncheon, Scott Dann, Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Connor Wickham.

      Play it safe by captaining Salah amd catch my rivals in another week or go for Kane?

      1. LosBlancos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I'm going for Kane

    16. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Would you rather vertongen and Karius or vvd and Lloris. Cheers.. First to three I guess, already done my head in, fpl madness has struck

      1. JJO
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        VVD + L

      2. Digital-Real
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        VVD & Lloris

      3. Ohh1454
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I'd pick lloris and vvd, vvd more of a goal threat then vert which swings it for me

      4. sunzip14
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        VVD+Lloris

      5. EMERGING STAR
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Vvd and Lloris for the reasons already said.

    17. Digital-Real
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Bench one:
      a) Mariappa (EVE)
      b) Kenny (wat)

      1. Feed tha Sheep
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        A prob just

    18. Gunnergirl
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      G2G?

      Pickford
      Ota vvd alonso
      Ibe sterling salah(c) Shaq
      Firm Kane Wilson

      Adrian- lingard kenny ogbonna

      1. S.Agueroooooo
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yep

    19. pundit of punts
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Start two.

      A. King (NEW)
      B. JWP (bur)
      C. Gudmundsson (SOT)
      D. Phillips (HUD)

      For draft league.

      1. JJO
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        AD

      2. FER FUSCH AKE
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Do people still play that?

    20. S.Agueroooooo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Pickford
      Ota, Duffy, Robertson
      Eriksen, hazard, Walcott, Salah (C)
      Kane, Firmino, Wilson

      Speroni, Carroll, mariappa, cresswell

      GTG?

    21. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Is Pogba & Ota > Mahrez & Mee for free good to go?

      1. S.Agueroooooo
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Short term yes but I don’t think either play in 31?

        1. Feed tha Sheep
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          No they don’t unfortunately

          1. S.Agueroooooo
            • 8 Years
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Robertson?

    22. FER FUSCH AKE
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I've take a hit and I still have sanchez , lingaard and sterling in my team. My team is in chaos.

      1. S.Agueroooooo
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I think a lot of teams are if it makes you feel better

    23. EMERGING STAR
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Wilson + Son - > Aubameyang + McArthur.

      Worth? I really need an arsenal attacker.

      1. JJO
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Wilson vs New
        Auba vs City
        ???

        1. EMERGING STAR
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I guess Auba will score vs City. And presence of Defoe force me to think againt Wilson

      2. S.Agueroooooo
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Wouldn’t do those moves myself

        1. EMERGING STAR
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          If you think this moves for next week?

    24. raoulduke71
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Triple captain Salah? On a -8 this week !

      1. LosBlancos
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        dont

      2. S.Agueroooooo
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Not for me

      3. Sim Simma
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Only if you can get chicken at KFC

    25. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Final one...Zanka or Schindler?

      both nailed? whos got the higer baps potential? goal threat?

      1. Sedemuda
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Schindler is the man.
        I have Zanka!

    26. Punty McPuntface
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Who to have for the next 5?

      A Hengazi
      B Mee

    27. Patch
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hi Mark you have many folks FPL IDs, can you "out" someone?

      I.e. if we wanted to see who keeps on picking the right captaincy choices (that materialise into the most points), could you just share their ID?

      There must be some consistent lucky sod...

      1. The Overthinker
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Salah perma captain.
        Set and forget

        1. Patch
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I just bought in Kane last night which is affecting my decision to keep the cap on Salah...may need to move away from the phone!

    28. @fpl_phenom
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      What to do with Sterling?

      1. Sim Simma
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Currency markets could be volatile. Keep for now

      2. Andy_Social
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        He's got until Thursday. I'm playing him this GW.

        1. @fpl_phenom
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Oh yeah forgot that, he’s nearly got another week! Cheers!

    29. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Team locked . Good luck everyone

      Courtois
      Alonso - Vvd - Bavies - otamendi
      Salah - sterling - gross
      Niasse - Kane - Firmino

      Elliot Schindler Martial RLC

      1. Patch
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Why did you proceed to ditch Jones...I'm guessing you bought in Bavies?

        I am gonna ride out the storm with Jones as the SV won't be impacted for another 0.1 anyway

        1. The Overthinker
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Fixtures. Spurs clearly have way better fixtures than united for next 3
          And with Bailly being fit again, Jones won't be rushed for fitness.

    30. Dannyb
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Im 0.1 short of Davies, best 5.6 option?