Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 32

With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

2,111 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Zenith UK
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    G2G;

    DDG
    Alonso, Monreal, Smalling, Lowton
    Salah, Gross, Mahrez, Mkhi
    Auba, Vardy

    Pope, Gudmund, Murray, Chilwell

    1. Sweetboi
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Play Murray over Lowton

      1. Zenith UK
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 12 months ago

        Murray goal more likely than WBA not scoring?

        1. Sweetboi
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 12 months ago

          Yep

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Surely play Murray

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Murray over Gross

  2. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    How much are people keeping banked on WC?

    1. The Left Duke #3
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      1.6m

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Looks like 1.7m

    3. Limbo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      0.0

      Sod it.

    4. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      For Kaku/Kane?

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 12 months ago

        1.9m

    5. KLOPPTOMANIA
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      0.5 decided not to keep funds for Kane as v city gw34, blank 35. Will get gw36

  3. 1zverGGadeM
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Bench 1:
    A) VVD
    B) Bavies
    C) Ake
    D) Janmaat

  4. Teror
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    A. Auba + Lukaku

    B. Auba + Vardy

    C. Auba + Firmino

    1. Limbo
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A

  5. pjomara
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    who to play?
    a. Schindler (new)
    b. Baines (MANC)

    1. Robben Mee Blind
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Think I'd go Baines with prospect of attacking returns

      1. Robben Mee Blind
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 12 months ago

        I'm benching Coleman though having said that

    2. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Schindler for me I think

  6. sk018
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Go Wood before Austin? No med to play any of then before GW 34.

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Austin the better pick I think.

    2. Ryan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      For the short term Wood is the better pick. Austin may not start against West Ham and thats his only good fixture in the short term.

    3. Kno
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Doing a cheeky punt on austin myself. Got gross to cover until 34 so not worried about playtime before that either

  7. zakard
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Bottomed
    hi all

    Best combo

    a) Alonso + Gross + barnes
    b) Duffy + Gud + Vardy

    Rest of the team

    ddg Ryan
    Lowton Mustafi Chilwell Smalling
    Willian Son Salah Mahrez
    Aubam Firmino

    00itb

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A for me mate

      1. zakard
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 12 months ago

        thx 🙂

  8. Blame it on Traore
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    A - Austin, Mariappa, Dummett
    B - Barnes, Lowton, Tarkowski

    Any input would be fantastic. Thanks a lot guys.

    1. zakard
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      B

      1. Blame it on Traore
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks mate

  9. Sweetboi
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    For the next two:

    a) Mkhi + Smalling

    b) Son + Mustafi

    1. The Darkest Knight
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A

  10. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Which WC combo is best:

    A - Son & Vardy
    B - Gudms & Lukaku

    1. The Darkest Knight
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A

  11. The Darkest Knight
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Help required badly... on a WC

    A - DDG / Robertson / Mustafi
    or
    B - Lloris / Bailey / Christensen

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A, as we don't know if Bailly or Christensen will start.

  12. FPL Emu
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Any consensus on what's best out of Keeping Firmino, who may get benched one of the simple games, and going for Vardy?

    Opinions?

    1. Sweetboi
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Vardy nailed and has an extra game. Firmino should do well but will be rested during one of the next two imo.

    2. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Probably get Vardy on balance

  13. BlzE_94
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Bench one please:

    A) Mee
    B) PVA
    C) Zanka

    1. yakirh
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      B

    2. 1zverGGadeM
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      B

  14. Pringle
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Start Gross or Barnes?

    1. Mauricios Cappuccino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      gross

  15. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    On a WC, pick a pair
    Vardy + Smalling
    Wood + Alonso
    Barnes + Alonso
    Vardy + bailly

    1. Mauricios Cappuccino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      barnes alonso

    2. The Darkest Knight
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Vardy + Bailey

  16. Zero
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Any news on Sterling?

  17. @fpl_phenom
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    DDG (Ryan)
    Alonso Bailly Lowton (Tark , Morgan)
    Salah Mahrez Son Willian Gross
    Lukaku Aubamayang (Barnes)

    Benching the right players?

    Any sign of a leaked Liverpool line-up?

  18. #Swish41
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    WC next week, who to get for Shaq for one week punt?

    Silva
    Sanchez
    KDB
    Miki
    Sterling

    Other....got Salah and Mahrez

    1. Robben Mee Blind
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Mik or KDB

      1. #Swish41
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 12 months ago

        Cheers, think I have narrowed it to those two

  19. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    why are people still going smalling with risk of all cb being fit? any late news?

    1. KLOPPTOMANIA
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Best alternative - Bailly?

    2. Sweetboi
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Don't see many alternatives at that price, for 34 as well. But yes, it's looking risky now.

    3. Aladdin Sané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Neither Jones nor Rojo spotted at the Lowry.

  20. Babyangus01
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Good morning lads. Struggling with team value, all chips in hand, what do you make of this?
    DDG, Ryan
    Alonso, Smalling, Tarkowski, Dunk, Morgan
    Salah, Son, Willian, Gross, Gudmundsson
    Vardy, Auba, Firmino

  21. neiltaylor83
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Can’t decide which version to go with, any advice?

    V1
    De Gea / Ryan
    Morgan / Alonso / Tarkowski / Lowton / Cedric
    Salah / Gross / Mahrez / Son / Willian
    Barnes / Lukaku / Aubameyang

    OR
    V2
    De Gea / Ryan
    Morgan / Chrisensen / Tarkowski / Lowton / Cedric
    Salah / Gudmunsenn / Mahrez / Son / Willian
    Vardy / Lukaku / Aubameyang

    So essentially it’s Alonso, Gross and Barnes OR Vardy, Gudmunssen and Christensen

    1. zakard
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      same problem here. I prefer V1

    2. Sir Dave
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Was pondering very similar options, but I prefer option 2 as it gives me flexibility to get Kane as well as keep Vardy and Lukaku.

  22. Karan14
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Best option on wildcard?

    A) Dunk
    B) Fernandez
    C) Mariappa

    Would like to start the defender this week and BB34.

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A this week

    3. neiltaylor83
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      A

  23. Dr. DOOM
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Good enough? 2.3 itb

    De Gea - Ryan
    Mustafi- Alonso - Morgan - Lowton - Stephens
    Son - Mahrez - Salah - Willian - Gross
    Vardy - Auba - Barnes

  24. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Bench headache after WC

    DDG (Hennessy)

    Bailly Dummett Lowton (Mariappa Verts)

    Salah Son Mahrez Silva (Lingard)

    Barnes Vardy Auba

    Bench correct? .4 itb anything i can improve? Thanks

  25. Nidhalho
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Finalizing my Wildcard team and I'm torn between
    1) Smalling-Willian-Aubameyang
    2) Mustafi-Lingard-Lukaku

    and who to bench between these three this GW
    Gross (LEI)
    Willian (TOT)
    Son (che)

  26. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    On a WC, which pair?
    Vardy + Smalling
    Wood + Alonso
    Barnes + Alonso
    Vardy + bailly

    1. Nidhalho
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Vardy-Bailly

  27. 2cheesy
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Morning!
    Who to play this gw:

    Mariappa or Baines
    Stanislas or Tosun

  28. GuillermoDickero
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    Why are people going for Auba?

    Simply fixtures? His form has hardly been incredible

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 12 months ago

      Good fixtures and Arsenal have been strong at home. Plus, his form's not been that poor.

  29. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    0.6m on WC.

    A. Smalling >> Bailly
    B. Barnes >> Austin

    DDG
    Alonso • Mustafi • Smalling
    Son • Mo(C) • Mahrez • Willian • Kenedy
    Aubameyang • Lukaku(V)
    (Ryan, Barnes, Lowton, Morgan)

  30. Mytteristen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 12 months ago

    On WC, but no free hit, so have to think about GW35 as well.

    A) Hazard, Groß, Christensen
    B) Willian, Mkhitaryan, Alonso