Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 33

Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

2,250 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pompel
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Can we trust Willian to start over the DGW? Or better to splash the cash for Hazard?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      If you have the cash then go hazard but Willian looks good value

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Would mean downgrade Son to Lingard, but then Son might be benched for one match in DGW as well

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Willian, best value Chelsea attacker

    3. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      In my opinion, Hazard is not worth the extra 3.4, the money could be better used elsewhere.

      If I were Conte i’d be resting Hazard for the midweek game given they have the cup match on the Sunday. The top 4 is almost out of sight so no need to risk Hazard ahead of important game. He’s rested him before so is not beyond rotation either.

      1. Pompel
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Txs, you have me settled on Willian then!

        1. Blue&White85
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 19 days ago

          Nothing is certain, just an opinion.

  2. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Who to play?

    A - Bailly (mcy)
    B - Lowton (wat)

    Have Ryan in goal (DDG on the bench) and no other ManU or Burnley defenders

    1. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      B

  3. zotter
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Lukaku and Salah to ALLI and Kane worth a -8?

    Would captain Kane too

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      No

    2. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      -8 is a bit too much

    3. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      no IMO.

    4. Your Man With The Hair
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Worth a gamble if you're chasing

  4. Borran
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Firmino-->Kane
    Salah-->Lingard

    Should I do it?

    1. zotter
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Not to lingaard

    2. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      For free? Yeh

      1. Borran
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        -4
        but I have the Free hit chip

    3. Spike ⚽️
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Sets you up for gw33 so why not

    4. Dannyb
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Yes

    5. BobBradleysOpportunity
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      i presume lingard is to free up funds

    6. Spike ⚽️
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      GW34 even

    7. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      One of the popular moves on here.

    8. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      not linny

      1. Borran
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Then who?
        I need to free up money to bring in Kane

    9. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Yes

  5. Ibracadebruyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Monreal or Mustafi?

    Cheers!

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Must

    2. zotter
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Monreal. Mustafi due a rest

  6. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Worth keeping Salah?

    If not:
    1. Kane for a hit in place of Vardy
    2. Dele
    3. Eriksen

    ??

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      2

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Son and Dele good enough to "cover" Kane points ? 😀

        1. Ha.
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 19 days ago

          Nah

    2. Andy'81
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Of course it's worth keeping him, we're still in the dark as to how serious this injury is and he could be a great (c) pick for GW's 35, 36 and 38. Well worth holding until we have more clarity on the situation.

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Still have FH

  7. casual
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Right then. I've digested all the info and am pleased to confirm that selling Salah this week will get you more points between now and the end of the season regardless of what chips and bench you have. Job done....you can all relax

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      what happens of he comes back against Stoke and bangs 4 in

      1. NATSTER
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        You can sell him now and have him against Stoke.

      2. casual
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Then I was wrong......but then you're biased if you do in fact rule Egypt

    2. JustPark
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Doc is that you?

      1. casual
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        I have no medical background

  8. Siggy Azalea
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Is Willian (c) with WHU at home madness?
    Seriously tempted with the uncertainty with Kane, Firmino...

    1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Not madness, decent shout. I feel like Auba is better though.

    2. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Not madness but risky. Aubameyang & Mahrez if you own are better picks.

  9. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Thoughts on these transfers for this GW lads?

    Mkhi > Mili & Firmino > Auba for -4?

    Leading my ML by 46 i my closest rival has both Mili & Auba.

    Thoughts please!

  10. tractorjess
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Who do I replace Mkhi with? Ramsey, Silva, or a Gw34 dg-er?

    Full team is...
    Ryan Pope
    Tark Kiko Dummett Smalling Chilwell
    Salah Mahrez Gross Willian Mkhi
    Auba Vardy Wood
    2.5m itb

    1. tractorjess
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Want to follow the Auba --> Kaku move next week, so to afford that I'm sadly 0.1m off Eriksen but could get Alli?

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Son or Alll?

  11. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    is salah and barnes to ibe and kane woth a hit ???

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      No

  12. KUNingas
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Benching right players?

    Ryan
    Vert, Morgan, Mustafi
    Salah, Mahrez, Son, Willian, Gross
    Lukaku, Auba

    DDG, Barnes, Lowton, Stephens

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Yep

      1. KUNingas
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Thanks

  13. Scotty B
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Best TC option for GW34?

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Lukaku

    2. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Lukaku I think.

  14. finnish92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    If I play Free hit in gw 34, will I get 2 Free transfers in gw 35 then?

    1. dark91
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Nope

    2. Dilemas
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      No you only get one

    3. finnish92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Thanks guys!

  15. MGD
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    1. Sell Salah -> Alli and Auba -> Lukaku next GW (and keep Mustafi over DGW34)

    2. Keep Salah and do Auba + Mustafi -> Lukaku Vertongen DGW34

  16. WVA
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Help I'm completely stuck!?

    Ddg
    Alonso Ake Robertson*
    Alli Doucoure GroB Salah*
    Auba(c) Vardy Firmino*
    Pickford Mili Schindler Hegazi

    Do i start Mili Schindler Hegazi over Firmino Salah Robertson?
    Anything worth a -4?

    1. AnfieldLad
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      See the link below, all 3 set to not start... Maybe worth benching 1 or 2 or maybe a hit to someone playing?

  17. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Any glaring mistakes on this WC team so far and who is the best DGW 4.6DF to have

    De Gea Hennessey

    Christensen Morgan Dunk Vertonghen xxxxxxxx

    Mahrez Son Willan Gross Iwobi

    Aubameyang Kane Barnes

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Burnley defender

    2. The Darkest Knight
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      iwobi?

    3. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Lowton

  18. Big P
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Best combo?

    A) Kiko and Chris Wood

    B) Tarkowski and Austin

    1. The Darkest Knight
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      A

    2. tractorjess
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      A

    3. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      A

  19. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Buy
    A. Vertonghen
    B. Davies

    Play
    C. Christensen (WHU)
    D. Chilwell (NEW)

    Captain
    E. Kane
    F. Aubameyang

    Ryan
    Alonso ____ ____
    Mahrez Son Willian Milivojevic
    Kane Auba(>Luk34) Barnes

    (DDG ____ Lowton Lingard)

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      A C and F

      1. Schwarzer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Agreed

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Davies

      Chilwell

      Kane

    3. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Acf

  20. The Tinkerman
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Start Tark or Lowton?

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      I'm doing Lowton with hope for attacking points.

  21. damiang2233
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Alli, Son or Erisken??

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Eriksen for me

  22. The Darkest Knight
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Why suddenly so much love for lingard???

    Should I do
    Salah > Lingard (this week)
    Auba > Kane (Next week)?

    1. Big P
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Price, form and fixtures.

      Obvious ain't it?

      1. The Darkest Knight
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        where is the form?

        1. Volley127
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 19 days ago

          Mainly an enabler for Kane. Best option at 6m

  23. WE GO FOR IT
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    RP:

    Best 2nd goalie?
    A. Pope. Have Lowton.
    B. Ryan. Have Dunk.
    C. McCarthy

    Best sub 6.5 mid?
    1. Groß
    2. Lingard
    3. Tadic
    4. Other

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Gros

    2. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      B2

    3. WE GO FOR IT
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Cheers both!

  24. Homo Neanderthalensis
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Who’s the safest captain?

    Kane vs Aubameyang?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Aubameyang prob safer

    2. Visionaries
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Same question here, probably going Auba. Nailed on to start

      1. Homo Neanderthalensis
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Yea. I can’t decide. 1st in my mini league.. second just a few points behind.. 3rds like 60 points away but the guy in second has just got Kane in and I know he will captain him.

    3. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Aub for me

  25. Hart-ake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Considering no FH, would you rather have

    Alli and Firmino or

    Kane and Lingard for the doubles

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Kane and Lingard

      1. Hart-ake
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Cheers!

  26. HD7
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    A or B Guys?

    Team:

    De Gea Ryan
    Alonso Baily Morgan Lowton Tark

    Salah* Mahrez Gudmundson Son
    Willian
    Auba Murray Vardy

    A)
    GW 34 Auba to Kaku
    GW 36 Kaku to Kane

    B) GW 33 Salah Murray to Kennedy Kane (-8)

    GW 34: Auba Gudm to Kaku Cork (-8)

  27. Visionaries
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Play one
    1 Ota
    2 Mee
    3 Shaqiri
    4 Miliv

    Captain
    A Kane
    B Auba

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      4 B

      1. Visionaries
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 19 days ago

        Cheers, that's what I was on

  28. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Captain Mahrez or Auba?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Aubameyang

  29. tabzy
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 19 days ago

    Is Willian, Mahrez and Firmino to Ki, Lingard and Kane madness for a -8?

    It would only be to accommodate Kane. These Firmino benching rumours are pushing me.

    Would appreciate opinions.

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 19 days ago

      Yes not a fan of losing Mahrez or Willian