Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 33

Two of our Gameweek 32 selections got on the scoresheet and we’re hoping our latest trio of differentials can continue in a similar vein this weekend.

This time around, we’ve opted for one premium and two cut-price midfielders to hopefully take advantage of favourable home fixtures.

Eden Hazard

While he was bitterly disappointing in the 3-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard remains a powerful differential option.

The 6.9%-owned Belgian faces a promising home match-up with West Ham United this weekend.

David Moyes’ side have conceded 11 goals on their last three road trips, while only Stoke City (117) have given up more shots than the Hammers (115) over the last six away matches.

Although Hazard has only produced a single assist from his last four appearances, he has faced both Manchester sides as well as Spurs over that spell.

Despite that, he has impressively created more chances (16) than any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) midfielder over the four matches.

He has also enjoyed recent success against the Hammers, scoring in two of his last three league outings against the east London club, including in the corresponding fixture last season.

Priced at 10.6 in FPL, Hazard is something of a luxury item.

However, he has still produced 11 goals and five assists this season and has registered six double-digit hauls, all coming since Gameweek 10.

With two Double Gameweeks (sot bur, LIV HUD) to come in a favourable run-in, he could prove to be a stand-out differential over the remaining six Gameweeks, starting on Sunday.

Jordon Ibe

With Junior Stanislas suffering a season-ending knee injury, Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe looks to have the platform to finish the campaign strongly.

The winger registered a 10-point haul in the 2-1 victory over West Bromwich Albion in Gameweek 31 and has produced a respectable two goals and six assists from just 19 starts overall.

The primary factor behind the midfielder’s appeal is his 4.7 price tag in FPL, making him an effective enabler.

Ibe’s underlying statistics also provide further room for optimism.

He is second to only Stanislas (11) among Bournemouth players for shots over the last three Gameweeks, with six, while he has registered more crosses (11) than any team-mate over that period.

The Cherries face a favourable home fixture against Crystal Palace this afternoon.

Roy Hodgson’s side are second to only Stoke City (75) for shots conceded over the last four matches, with 66.

Ibe’s prospects are also boosted by the fact Bournemouth play twice in Double Gameweek 34, albeit involving a daunting trip to his former club Liverpool and a home clash against Manchester United.

The wide man is definitely a viable alternative to Newcastle United’s Kenedy in the budget bracket and offers an obvious upgrade for later in the season, when Bournemouth’s schedule (sot SWA bur) compares favourably to the Magpies’ (wat tot CHE).

Sat in only 1.4% of FPL squads, Ibe looks a viable short-term differential given he now looks assured of starts.

Alex Iwobi

Another midfielder who looks set to benefit from an injury is Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan was forced off with a knee injury in the 4-1 win over CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg, and there are fears he has damaged a medial ligament.

The Gunners will be full of confidence following Thursday night’s emphatic victory and entertain struggling Southampton at the Emirates tomorrow.

The Saints suffered a dismal 3-0 defeat to West Ham last weekend and also lost 3-0 at Newcastle in their previous league encounter.

In Mkhitaryan’s absence, Iwobi should gain regular starts in the league while Arsenal are still in the Europa League, starting with tomorrow’s fixture.

Despite only managing two goals and three assists, the Nigerian’s underlying statistics suggest he has the potential to improve his output.

He has averaged a shot every 36 minutes, which is tied with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and superior to both Mkhitaryan (55.2) and Mesut Ozil (55.5).

Iwobi also impresses when assessing his creativity.

The 0.7%-owned midfielder has created a chance every 50 minutes, which is only bettered by Ozil and Mkhitaryan among Arsenal players.

During his last run of starts – between Gameweeks 23 and 26 – he registered a goal and two assists. Those four matches were his best run in the starting XI this season.

Available at just 5.1 in FPL, Iwobi is another interesting cut-price contender who can prove to be a real difference maker for those managers prepared to take a risk as we approach the final month.

2,250 Comments Post a Comment
  1. lucasleiva7
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Want to bring in Kane for Firmino, to do so I need to get rid of either Son or Mahrez, which one would you pick? and for which cheap midfielder (

    1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Neither. Sell Alonso 😉

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Son to Gross. Keep Mahrez, Son slight rotation risk and although he's best at home, it is City.

    3. The Tinkerman
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Son

  2. Schwarzer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Who would you start?

    A) Tarkowski
    B) Lowton

    Cheers

    1. Gaffa914
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

    2. Volley127
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

    3. Your Man With The Hair
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

  3. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Dream score for Spurs vs Stoke
    4 nil
    Kane ('13) Eriksen A
    Lamela ('27) Eriksen A
    Davies ('45 + 2) Eriksen A
    Eriksen ('89) Davies A
    Kane penalty miss

    1. AnfieldLad
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Surely you either want Kane to do well or flop, no goal + pen miss? weird dream score..

    2. Ginola14
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      More likely kane 4 goals

    3. palace ash
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Eriksen ('7) Son A
      Eriksen ('23) Son A
      Eriksen ('68) Son A
      Eriksen ('70) Son A

      '71 Eriksen subbed for Kane

      FT 4-0

  4. Moses _H
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    How to sort this bench
    Ibe Baily Morgan

    1. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Morgan first

  5. pls
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    A: Son, Lowton, tark
    B: lingard, Vert, Christesen

    1. KUNingas
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

      1. Your Man With The Hair
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        B

  6. KUNingas
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    First on the bench (if Salah wont play)

    A) Barnes (wat)
    B) Lowton (wat)

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      A

    2. pls
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

    3. Tsumo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      A

    4. Dannyb
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Barnes all day, he's scored in every game for the last 4/5 weeks lol.

  7. Pat Bonner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    On wc and no FH

    A Salah Kennedy vert
    B Willian gross Alonso

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

    2. KUNingas
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

      1. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Cheers guys

    3. DAZZ
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      A IMO, have to plan ahead unfortunately like myself, Salah and Kenedy play 35. Sit Salah on the bench. A is the sensible option

    4. Tsumo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Keep Salah

  8. Ha.
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Vert or Mustafi?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Vert if you’ve got FH

      1. Ha.
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        No FH which is what is making it difficult...but then thinking that West Ham will probably score anyway?

  9. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Kane Lingard to outscore Salah Vardy next two weeks?

    1. KUNingas
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Depends Lingard game time, but no one knows

      1. Atimis
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Damn, on paper it looks good for 33 and 34

    2. fattfattygavgav
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      I'd say no

  10. Borisalandoris
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Would I be stupid punting on morata

    Firmino and Mkhi for Morata and
    6.9 player...who?

    1. KUNingas
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Ballsy differential

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      that is a big big gamble. It's the first time I've seen his name mentioned as an incoming transfer in months.

      1. Borisalandoris
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        It'd be funny if he went mental and Kane and Lukaku failed

      2. Amsterhammer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Few Chelsea fans were touting him on here the other day. Mark or Jonty also mentioned him on the scoutcast. Too ballsy for me though. And Giroud could always mean rotation.

  11. drughi
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    DDG
    VVD Baines Davies
    Milivojevic Mahrez Salah* Willian
    Kane (C) Auba Wilson

    elliott mariappa naughton shaqiri

    0.6 itb, anything worth a hit ? bench order correct ?

  12. Millie7
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Best cheap goalkeeper pairing?

  13. ILOVEBAPS
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    How many days between Salah's Bou game and second leg with City?
    Any chance he will sit out the Bou game?

    1. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      v MCI ... Tue 10 APR 19:45
      v BOU .. Sat 14 APR 17:30

  14. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    If Gudmonsson and Salah dont come back for DGW34, is it better to NOT use the Bench Boost chip? Is it better to TC Kane? This is my team

    Lloris, Ryan
    Alonso, Mustafi, Lowton, Chilwell, Morgan
    Salah, Mahrez, Son, Willian, Gudmonsson
    Lukaku, Aubameyang (>> Kane), Barnes

  15. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Are Ryan owners starting him over DDG even though City might play a weakened team?

    1. MGD
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Hmm.

      I think yes

    2. fattfattygavgav
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      yes

  16. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    is gudmunson injured or he will play ?

  17. Point-one short
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Play:

    A) Lowton (wat)
    B) Smalling (mci)

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      A

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Lowton

    3. Ginola14
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Same choice I'm going a

  18. arndff_
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Start who?

    A) Salah
    B) Barnes

    1. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      A but doesn't matter either way if Salah isn't in the squad

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Really?

      1. arndff_
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Yep.

        I shouldn't have asked this, because yesterday I gave an advice to the same question lol.

        But...

    3. FPL Blow-In
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      May aswel start Salah

  19. tractorjess
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    a) Mkhi --> Alli this week; Auba --> Kaku next week.

    b) Mkhi --> Ibe this week; Auba --> Kaku and Vardy --> Kane next week.

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

    2. ljuta zena
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B ofcourse

    3. FPL Blow-In
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      B

      1. tractorjess
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Do I do Vardy --> Kane this week or next?

  20. Your Man With The Hair
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Opinions on this WC lads?

    DDG (Ryan)
    Vertonghen, Mustafi, Christensen (Chilwell, Lowton)
    Hazard, Lingard, Ramsey, Ali, Ibe
    Kane, Vardy (Wilson)

    All chips intact:
    GW 34: BB/TC
    GW 35: Free Hit
    GW 37: BB/TC

  21. Borran
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Who believes Firmino will be benched?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Gut feel is that he will play due to being our derby!

    2. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      He's not in the leaked lineups and they're usually right

      1. Borran
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Yeah, that's why I'm worried

      2. tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        have the sub benches been leaked?
        Only seen leaked starting XI

  22. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Anybody will do -4 for dgw34 then a -4 for sgw35 as well?

    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      o/

    2. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      probably quite a few who don't have FH

  23. Plagued by indecision
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Pulled the trigger omnibus Firmino > Vardy in a panic and already regret it. At least this means I have the funds for Aubameyang > Kane for next week.

    1. Plagued by indecision
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Omnibus!

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      I like that omnibus 😉

    3. the axolotl
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Omnishambles

  24. TooDifficuIt
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Play Barnes or Lowton?

    1. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Barnes.

  25. Richd
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    There is a lot of bias on here.

    Lowton and Tark I own both. The most common player owned here is Lowton however.

    Stats all say Tark (see RMT or stats)

    Yet everyone says start Lowton

    Bias.

    1. Alan_T
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      I don't trust RMT to be honest, but you're right.

      People give advice based on what makes then feel better about themselves

    2. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      I have both too. For bonus points, Tark looks more chance.

      But I think they will concede, so I hope for attacking Lowton.

  26. R.C
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Lowton nailed as much as Tarkowski right?

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      This is what I want to know

  27. Aubaaaaa
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Christensen nailed?

  28. 5678
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Hello, does anyone have the leaked Liverpool line up and reputation of leaker?

    1. Pasqualinho
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      https://mobile.twitter.com/AnfieldExpress/status/982316643459256321?s=20

      Crediting Red Devil (previous page) for this - although others posted it yesterday.

    2. Jairzinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      thisisanfield on twitter. has always been correct on it in the past.

      1. Jairzinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        well i can't even get the name of it right

    3. FPL_Hazards
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Anfield express

  29. Pasqualinho
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    That leaked Liverpool line up is pretty bad news for most. But I suspect Everton fans are extremely happy. FPL nostalgics might even break golden rule #3 and captain Baines.

    1. the axolotl
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Still have Walcott by default. You just never know

    2. @FPL_liverbird (liverpoolfa…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Fully understandable though! I think it puts pressure on Everton!
      If they lose to that side their fans will want Big Sam out and its not like liverpool are going to not create chances.

      This game could define whether Jonty was correct all along about how abysmal Everton are

    3. Your Man With The Hair
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Well that's the most ridiculous thing I've heard all morning.

      1. Pasqualinho
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        The Baines thing? Yes, it probably is...That’s nostalgia for you.

  30. @FPL_liverbird (liverpoolfa…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    GW34 onwards who scores more:

    A) Lukaku,Kane,Groß,Lingard
    B) Kane,Vardy,Son,Lingard