Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is Ota > VVD worth it?

    1. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      For -4?

    2. arndff_
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Nah

    3. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No.

      But have a good bench option.

      If he plays it’s a clean sheet, if not then that’s a bit of an issue.

    4. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      no

  2. OnionBag
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Have 1 player who defo won't play (Barnes) and 3 players who I'm not confident will play (Smalling, Kompany, Lingard) so might struggle to field 11. Fairly confident other 10 will play.

    Is it worth doing Barnes to Ayew (a player who hasn't scored in 4 games) for -4?

    1. United10
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I wouldnt

    2. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I did that. If Swans score its him. Options at that price are slim. Bikes?

      1. asquishypotato
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Vokes

        1. OnionBag
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Too pricey. Can only stretch to 5.4

    3. Bis_78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I think Smalling is out

  3. Luton_Fan
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A. Gross to zaha / ramsey and play Alli
    B. Alli to salah and play gross

    Hmm

    1. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      b

  4. Mike82
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I’m glad I’ve done nothing yet with all these rumours going round, have we made them all up or are any real? Lol

    1. PL Ball
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      They are all made up and all real at the same time.

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I never lie about teams/leaks.

      FWIW 🙂

      1. Mike82
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Tell me spurs and city line ups please ha

        1. Roy Rovers
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          DDG & Smalling don’t play.... Mo interview

  5. Darsh
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Cresswell or TAA as a final punt

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Trent

  6. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Pick one
    A Arnautovic Alonso
    B Hazard TAA

    1. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      a

  7. Patch
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    RIP Dilva not starting by the looks of things

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Thought he would as he’s likely off in the summer

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Thinking about Ramsey/Arnie/Micky

    2. Regin
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Source?

  8. UpAndAway
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is it wise to avoid Salah if chasing?

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I would if rival ahead has him, I’m leading and will captain Salah

    2. TrollMasterDeluxe
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes if your rival has him so

      1. UpAndAway
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        That’s what I was thinking. Will go Martial instead.

        Thanks.

        1. No Totti No Party
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          U think Martial will outscore Salah ?

  9. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who is the best defender to get for max 6.7?

    Townsend maybe as a punt?

    1. Spike ⚽️
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Townsend?

  10. aborg
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Smalling -> PVA or Trent Arnold?
    I already own Robertson.

    Who has most chance.... Liverpool or Crystal Palace keeping a clean sheet?

    1. No Totti No Party
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      i did same to PVA, prefer him

    2. Mauricios Cappuccino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Cleans sheet odds, liverpool

    3. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Pool

  11. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Really need help, final post before the deadline, who should I TC this week? chasing ML by 11 points and he has no TC... Thinking Sterling or Aub as he will probably captain Salah? any advice please thanks....

    My Team:
    DDG (Ryan)
    Vertonghen Tark Robertson (Mustafi Dunk)
    Salah Sterling Son Sane (Gross)
    Aub Vardy J.Ayew

    His Team:
    Lloris Pope
    Valencia Robertson PVA Aurier Lacalles
    Salah Lingard Arnie Kennedy Sanchez
    Jesus Giroud Wilson

    1. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      id go auba

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        cheers

    2. Playing_the_Numbers
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I would go TC Salah. You are only 11pts behind and the TC chip could be just enough for you to win.

      1. Roy Rovers
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        ^ this

  12. Bleach †
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Leading ML by 18 pts, pretty sure he'll cap Auba. Should I cap

    A) Kane
    B) Sterling

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Kane

    2. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Kane safer bet

    3. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B. Go for it

    4. Roy Rovers
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A

  13. Bartowski
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A. Play Yedlin

    B. -4 for TAA

  14. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    How likely is it that Monreal starts?

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Id say very

  15. EL_FENOMENO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any leaks on Spurs teamsheet

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I wish

    2. Spike ⚽️
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Earlier post stated Poch might give two defenders first start this season

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Foyth and the new Kyle Walker

  16. barracuda
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Are you going to win your ML today?

    1. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      How much in the pot?

    2. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      37 up, hope so!

      1. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        That's enough. Congrats

        1. Sedemuda
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Thanks, no Salah though!

    3. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      tc decision to make so ive no idea, 11 points in it

      1. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Salah.

        1. Steve Stiffler
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          ml rival has him, chasing by 11, its either aub or sterling

    4. Mauricios Cappuccino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      323 up, so I hope so... About 75 quid

      1. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Holy macaroni.

    5. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yep
      £140
      🙂

    6. JonSnow
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      50 up but he has TC to play with salah and kane. decisions

    7. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes 164 up. $300 for the grab!

  17. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    ***Parent club update***

    Robert Kennedy misses out today as he is ineligible to play vs his parent club Chelsea

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks Opti Joe

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Is he related to Neighbours’ Karl Kennedy?

  18. Bring the Cavalry
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    What is the source Silva might not be in the squad today? Just seeing the Tweet with Silva on the plane yesterday thought he might be travelling back to Manchester?

    1. eazy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Somebody who was in Soton and saw the team getting to the bus

    2. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Prob going to Hawaii next, it's a hard knock life for some

    3. Bring the Cavalry
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers lads

    4. Spike ⚽️
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Not at the team hotel apparently

  19. eazy
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Pick 2 out of 3:
    A) Alli
    B) Zaha
    C) Arnautovic

  20. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Vardy/Son/Silva/VDH > Rashford/Salah/Zaha/TAA

    Should I have some fun with this -12?

    1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No

  21. Playing_the_Numbers
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Chasing 14pts. Is it worth taking any hits?

    DDG
    Cedric, Lowton, Tarkowski
    Sterling, Gudmundsson, Arnie, Salah(c)
    Kane, Jesus, Auba

    Bench: Ryan, Smalling, Morgan, Oriol Romeu

    Rival has 1FT, 0.2 itb and a current team as follow:

    DDG/Ryan
    Cedric, Maguire, Dunk, Vertonghen, Valencia
    Sterling, Gudmundsson, Willian*, Alli, Albrighton*
    Kane, Vardy, Barnes*

    He probably won't have Salah and would bring in either Zaha or Arnie.

  22. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is there a decent source on that leaked Liverpool team?

    1. tm370
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Oo there is a leak?!

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Anfield Express on Twitter. Although he may have been shut down following fan complaints.

      It'll likely be their regular XI (-Mane potentially).

  23. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Should I take -4 to do ddg and Vardy to

    A) karius and bobby
    B) Hennessy and laca

    (Got salah)

    1. Mauricios Cappuccino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Karius, but would reconsider Vardy

  24. JD @JDCochran2
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Pick one for DSilva

    A)Zaha
    B)Arnie
    C)Ramsey
    D) other and who

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Zaha

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A

    3. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Thinking about the Mickey Monster

    4. Paul
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

    5. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Z man

    6. JD @JDCochran2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Alli > Salah for -4?

  25. HD7
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    G2G? Right order of starters and bench?

    Ryan
    Vertongen Mawson Lowton
    Son Sterling Gudm Zaha
    Kane (C) Jesus Auba

    Subs: DDG, Mustafi, Tark, AKing

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Are you making a FT on the goalkeeper?

      1. HD7
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        No. Did Vardy Mahrez to Auba Zaha for -4 so I will play Ryan

  26. Adams6
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A Cedric to 5.0 TTA/Rob/Cresswell
    B Tadic/Gross to 6.5?
    C Barnes to 5.6?

    God help me please!

  27. arndff_
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Got a feeling Burnley will concede...

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Not with Heaton on the job

    2. Playing_the_Numbers
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      If they don't you can win the Bulgarian league 🙂

      1. arndff_
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks for the support! I appreciate it.

        Still no transfers for me as I have to make up my mind soon.

        1. william prunier
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Ddg->Karius?

          1. arndff_
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Haven't decided yet. I could go for Romero as well.

            Both great options imo.

        2. Playing_the_Numbers
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          What do you think about my case?

          Chasing 14pts. Is it worth taking any hits?

          DDG
          Cedric, Lowton, Tarkowski
          Sterling, Gudmundsson, Arnie, Salah(c)
          Kane, Jesus, Auba

          Bench: Ryan, Smalling, Morgan, Oriol Romeu

          Rival has 1FT, 0.2 itb and a current team as follow:

          DDG/Ryan
          Cedric, Maguire, Dunk, Vertonghen, Valencia
          Sterling, Gudmundsson, Willian*, Alli, Albrighton*
          Kane, Vardy, Barnes*

          He probably won't have Salah and would bring in either Zaha or Arnie.

          1. arndff_
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Replied to your last post, mate. Check it out.

  28. fr3d
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    The Man City XI posted is just a prediction, nothing reliable about it

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      The poster who he is linked to is a very reliable source.

      That is the team.

      1. fr3d
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        No, it's a prediction, he even said it himself on Reddit

        1. Ibracadabra
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Would be great to get more clarity on this as would probably bring Bernardo Silva in over Arnie or Zaha for a last day 7M punt if lineup is confirmed.

      2. Sedemuda
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Do you have a link please?

  29. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Could really do with Spurs leaked team news ! Son? Vertonghen?

  30. Paul
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Leading my cash MLs by 63 points and 91 points....Team as of now with 1 FT and 0 itb

    Want to increase OR

    DDG
    Alonso Smalling Long Naughton Mariappa
    Son Alli Sterling Ramsey Ibe
    Kane Ayew Jesus

    A) Jesus Son Smalling > Giroud Salah Creswell -8
    B) Jesus Son Smalling Ddg > Giroud Salah PVA Karius/Lloris -12
    C) DDG Smalling Son > Romero TAA Salah -8